🐂$TSLA & $GE BULL PLAYS | Stock Market Technical Analysis (30th June 2019)

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결론: 영상은 2019년 6월 30일 기준 기술적 분석으로 여러 종목에 대해 롱/숏 진입 조건을 제시하지만, 가격 목표는 대부분 차트 저항선 기준이며 실제 매매 확률은 불확실하다. [거시 배경] 미중 무역합의 기대와 연준(Fed) 금리인하 기대가 시장을 지지하는 요인으로 언급됨. 두 요인 중 하나라도 어긋나면 상승 탄력이 약해질 수 있다는 전제. [영국 ABF(Associated British Foods)] 주봉상 지지선 부근, 일봉 확장 쐐기형 패턴 형성 후 상방 돌파 가능성 언급. 약 130pips 상승을 기대하며 저항선까지 롱 포지션 제시. 과거 유사 상승 시 3일 소요. [테슬라(TSLA)] 4시간봉에서 저항선 돌파 시도, 26달러까지 상승 가능성 언급(약 3,000pips). 돌파 확인 후 롱 진입, 저항선 26달러 근처에서 청산 계획. 단기 이동평균 위 유지 필요. [AMD] 최근 고점을 돌파했다고 보며 롱을 배제하지 않지만, 더 나은 롱 기회가 있다고 판단해 중립~약한 긍정 입장. [원유(CL)] 하락 쐐기 패턴 내 지지선 하락 가능성을 언급, 약 55달러 부근까지 숏 포지션 가능. 다만 손익비가 좋지 않아 지지·저항선에 더 가까울 때 진입이 낫다는 입장. [CXO] 이전 숏 시나리오를 철회하고 주봉상 하락 모멘텀 소멸을 근거로 롱 가능성 제기. 저항선 돌파 후 진입 조건 제시. [EA(일렉트로닉 아츠)] 2018년 하반기 대폭 하락 후 일봉 채널 상단 저항 도달, 상방 추가 상승 가능성 언급. 4시간봉 채널 기준 약 800pips 상승 목표, 채널 하단 손절 설정 롱 진입. [JD(제이디닷컴)] 고점을 높여가는 구조와 피보나치 되돌림(38.2%, 61.8%) 지지 확인 후 약 200pips 상승 기대, 손익비 약 3~4:1 롱 진입 제시. [GE] 구독자 질의에 대한 답변. 상승쐐기 해석에는 이견을 보이며, 채널 패턴으로 보고 저항선 돌파 및 재지지 확인 후 진입 조건을 제시. 약 150pips 상승 목표. [펌프(PUMP)] 이미 큰 폭 상승해 추격 매수는 비추천, 되돌림 후 재검토 입장. [리스크] 모든 판단이 단기 차트 패턴과 손절 중심이며 거시 변수 의존도가 높음. 2019년 시점의 분석으로 현재 시장과 무관함. 출연자 전망은 보수적이며 매매 권유 성격이 강함.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. it's Sunday the 30th of June 2019 I'm gonna give you a technical analysis breakdown or so UK and US stocks let's get straight to it hey guys is any aka does not Trevor your friendly neighborhood swing trader back again with another video remember to hit that like button hit that subscribe button and hit that alert button to get alerts on all my latest videos I've got Facebook Twitter and Instagram at the not trade on all social media platforms and if you check that description section below you'll see a link to my mailing list if you join my mailing list you get priority access to my free training course I'm creating for all subscribers I've also got a discord group called pick talk it's also in the description section below if you click on that you get a link to it and join the discord join the discord community and discuss anything and everything to do it swing trade there with me and some other guys in the group guys and gals and group yeah so I've got quite a few stocks to cover today in the disc or group I've made it so that people can and only watch this channel people can put post their stocks that they want me to cover and then we can cover it in these videos but done that doesn't mean you shouldn't comment in the comment section below and you should leave some comments as well or some stocks because I and look at the comment sections as well for any stocks that people want to want me to analyze say let me get straight into it because we've got quite a lot of stocks to cover today I've got one UK stock and eight US stocks if see me check my friend is checking stocks and I'm covering so the first UK stock is a bf Associated British Foods now if you look at the sort of the weekly chart first if you look at a weekly chart it looks like it hit the supports here at this price which is so if you look at a weekly chart prices bring climb in basement every not flowing it's been going up and down everything it looks like it's hit the bottom and that's not going to climb up some more to 180 simple moving average is above price and curving down but I think prices still move another way on the way up on the on the daily chart you can see that it's a spinning ascending a broker a descending channel pattern broker and then tie consolidate now what I've seen here is that they it's becoming this expanding wedges formed so let me go to the flower shop first we'll look at the MACD the MACD looks like this is ready to up turn a spin if you try to obtain a couple of times but now the gradient was quite sharp and I feel like I said I make a bullish move on the daily chart MACD and on the four-hour chart oh yeah guys this one apologies for the sound quality by using my headphones and my laptop speakers so you might hit a hard drive humming but I haven't been able to get rid of that sound in post-production so you just have to have bare with me so look there's been a spending wedge forming and 180s simple moving average on the on the flower choice acting as a bit of a resistance by the leap crisis and a breakout at least up it's not all the way to the top by these up just to this resistance line now where the price breaks above it we don't know yet but I think they're still moved to be made for price to go from here to here which is about 130 pips which is not too bad nice last the last time we made that upward movement it took three days to make wonderful fat pips so I don't expect this this move to take too long to mature I can expect it to be a couple of day before Christ which is the resistance plan and then we can decide from there way way we wouldn't go so that's that's how I want to play this I think it's a long position out to the resistance line of the expanded wedge for a bf long now after the US stocks got quite a few US stocks this week I think the whole thing with Trump and China's president agreeing looks like they're gonna agree on some sort of trade deal if not they're gonna move in two steps towards agreeing on something this is helping the market and we've also got assumptions that the Fed rule the Fed the US Fed is gonna cut interest rates and if these two things happen I think it's gonna keep the market market the push that means to to really rally up some more I know there's all-time highs on the S&P recently and I think it could push up a little bit move it if these two things happening properly if they if both the Fed and and got the China and US government agree on the trade deal and interest rates of course this could really push the market out so first things first and where the Tesla just for a fan-favorite as you can see here on the on the four-hour chart Tesla has had has been staying true to these resistors knives this resistors right is to set the resistance right now Tesla hit the support that hit this previous support acts 1 June $78 then they rallied back up and now it looks like price has has been treating the 180s in simple you even have the gun for our chart as a support and I think now's the time I press is gonna break out of this previous resistors dice been staying true to and then Bradley up at least to $26 so I I believed Tesla to make its way from here all the way to at least 26 dollars which is a three thousand pit move which is great so I'm just waiting on Tesla to make a concerted effort to break out once it breaks out of here I think a long position will be taken up until the resistance now at $26 which was a previous support so that's how I'll play Tesla the MACD and the MACD is also telling me this is kind of it could potentially a long position once again then the this shape is hard to explain it when this shape I've seen it several times before and when it's trying to break into the positive territory but now it's making a bit movement it's breaking the present steadily but it's going to it's going to cut off my fingers in the shoe up to test a lot longer and if you look at it daily you can see it a little bit there that only it just looks to mean that then why don't you like the 15 day exponential moving average no sadness what's just looks like Chester has been Chris one day appear what I got in my short but that's why I would wait for it to actually hit this line so artists are selling that on this line cellular on this line so that once the break satisfying old sewer business now take a long position next one is a empty now a empty actually made a mistake on this last time with my technical analysis I initially thought that let's go to the for our own initiative for that what I was seeing was actually headed shoulders so I plotted the line there but in reality it was just a this was actually the resistance line for for opportunity so I kind of miscalculated I could together enter the trade by assumes this was a this was left shoulder as a head right shoulder so down but did not do that and after further analysis I realized it was actually ascending channel pattern so you have to be wary though because this read and I was previous long time high but then we are gonna have to move this now in napkins if you look at the weekly chart it's not all-time high but recent wartime back so if you look at the daily chart it's like I didn't delete this guy so it's broken this recent my whole time recent high and I think that it could be rallying up some more and as I said the market just seems to be doing well right now so I wouldn't I wouldn't discount AMD as a long position but I think there's better long position out there I mean I mainly covered this because I was wrong before they're just way to kind of recap on how I now see an ad I could see a in decline lean on someone but I wouldn't take this long position because their long positions out there now a bit more ambivalent confidant the next one is CL crude oil crude oil descending wedge pattern I don't think this this wedge is going to go all the way down to support because this would take us back probably down to show you so what I would say is that this clewd there's been a descendant west paterson where it's been a banner flowing between these supports and resistance lines now I think what's gonna happen that's gonna sell off but not sell off all the way down to sell off to this previous resistance line which was at $55 so I would say that a short position can be taken and it could go all the way oops it could go all the way she's gonna get a winner tomorrow with the realtor so you can take a short position and that would be about just from the 300 pips and then the second stop was just about here so that's two three that's about it's nearly a one-to-one restored which is not the greatest which is probably where I probably wouldn't take this disposition if I was if it was closer to the support and resistance line I might take a short position by still saying that crudos didn't read it down to at least 55 but I don't think it's a little all the way down to the bottom and yes that's how I'd say this next one is C X old Commodus last time bottom just recapping on this again previously said that CXO might have been a short position that could be is descending which Pat's informant but after further analysis it looks like it might be a long position because for a weekly chart CSO hasn't been hasn't managed to create the down among the bearish momentum necessary to break out of this 977 mark just tried several times but hasn't broken out of there magdhira momentum now bearish momentum has kind of dissipated so on the 4-hour chart looks to me that price may has has consolidated on this old support line and now in the fact is about to break up but no social should be made why do you like to see is it to break out of this this resistance line so break at this resistance line and then consolidate on the resistance line and then I'll take a look take a long position as the X or Y such a way out for now the next one is e a Electronic Arts the gainer company became a current gaming section as they have had a really rough year last year right looks like things that come out turning turning now as you do senior from 26 2018 from July 2018 to box December it was a big sell-off both of the EA Electronic Arts even Blizzard actively Activision Blizzard the game sector was just really having a lot of problems but now seems to be kind of not in that Mac tiara sideburns the recklessness is making a bullish run on the daily chart previous channel pattern resistance has now been reached I think I think there's more bullish move for this to come and on the four-hour chart look at a four-hour chart you can see exactly what I wanna see channel pattern there's been a channel pattern prices working out it's kinda aggressive anyway price is working out consolidated I mean it's disk area we can highlight I'll take a long position here and add the rule of thumb says that whatever the distances in this channel pattern which is about a touch of hips is where it's gonna go I'd say another eight hundred pips would be about yeah here so be one or 72 or something like that so if I was to go along with this I'll take my take profit would be around here so I'll take a long position set your stop loss just below this the new resistors right and just let everybody up off it to this way and then that's when you take the profit that's how I add that out there and then the next one is Jeff dude jab Buddhist well it's kind of messy but after if you look at it properly the pad has an informant as you can see JetBlue has been making higher highs but everyone flowing there whereas an Inca in one smooth motion has been it's been taking going and going up a couple wings down a couple weeks but it's been making higher highs I said carries on and now is hitting the bottom I feel like it's turned and it's going to make his way up the reason why is because a couple of things there's serious confidence here it's a lot of different indicators are telling you the same thing if he did Fibonacci from from here from the base to the previous peak recipe you can see that at key levels it's Wes retraced it's retraced here is retraced after by the 61 level is to change a 38 level and now I think it's gonna take a long position up to the this level here based on to the not cheap so and this is a favorable position to take because you're going to make about 200 pips and potentially risk about 60 s or less maybe four to one to meet one there by three and a half to one percent three two point five to one risk to reward ratio which is pretty favorably he's just a tight stop loss and then to see if it weddings up but based off with my analysis it looks like this could be a potential good long position Mac these are side internally whether our size not here but the Mac knees telling me it looks like just hit the bone that's ready to keep climb up again now on to some real requests to from Xavier the chief and Xavier are GE let me check 170 so I'm checking my phone just to see what he was Jean and David said GE is a lone steak so G he so I gave you a quote at GE he said GE is a ascending wedge send a wedge stop lost nine point five nine nine five and 311 and exit 1205 I mean I don't see an ascending wedge here personally and what I see here from GE is a machine lassy Fuji here is kind of a styler like a channel pan not really great we're like a little bit channel pan I do you think it's a long position because it's climbed up and then we'll not potentially long but the other activity is simply moving average has come underneath the price and it looks like it's gonna start crying a lot well not for the same reasons that imitate eggs Xavier activity there potentially could be a long position but you need to see a break out of this line first when you see a breakout consolidate and then Carolyn grandma then I would say take you on once it's broken out it's only dated then you can you can enter say stock was just below the previous resistance a new support and then just ride out to 12 my family as you said are actually a channel pattern under Matthias in in which Japan my own if there's 150 pips here they want you to take your prepare about 150 pips which is to come in there 12.5 herbs as you said so that's kind of I think we come to the same conclusion about different analysis I like to know why it's why exactly suppose the same language but um yeah dad you think G is a potential long position and it looks like it could be good good position to take but I'd say waiting for it to break out this kind of support around the resistors math class before you take a position next one is is pump hump which is a property holdin your pump okay here's problem wow it's really made a kind of big move up so if we might missed it let's just look a bird yeah punctuated come up on top I don't know if there's way it so prompt no just four resistors okay comet looks good but it looks like it's already made a big move up and I don't like taking positions on stocks that I've already kind of moved up quite and practically already because I feel like it's gonna it's gonna retrace once I enter it I like to enter positions that I've read that that have more they haven't made their big move already like look here so this would have been the point right this is how I would analyze better yeah if you wanna take a little time um I think poms got more upside to give I think there's gonna go up some more I think now be the best time to enter because it's already overextended I would probably wait for a retracement if not just leave it because you don't enter position that's climbed up so much already because the mini enter I can see it just coming back down a little bit and then growing up and you don't need a right position for too long so what I'd say is that pump to be honest I'll just leave it because I think this bear trades out there this one looks good it looks like it was one that we could have been entered at an earlier stage but a lot of the move has been made if it retraces back a little bit and then it looks like its own climb some more than maybe interval as it stands I wouldn't enter it now because it's gone up so much in such a short space of time that might be due a retracement so yeah pump not right now but not necessarily never and say you had to keep the onion watch this we just keep watching that as as it'll forward to see weapons but you don't chase the trainer's have said so yeah that's me any aka the not trader signing out