저자: VirtualBacon · 외국인
요약 보기
이 영상은 크립토 유튜버 버추얼베이컨의 라이브 방송을 정리한 내용으로, 최근 48시간 사이 급락한 비트코인과 주식시장의 관계를 다룹니다. 발표자는 이번 하락이 크립토 자체의 새로운 악재에서 비롯된 것이 아니라, 나스닥과 S&P 500의 급락, 특히 AI 관련 주식의 매도에서 시작되었다고 설명합니다. 그는 4시간 봉 하락만으로 약세장을 단정하기는 이르다고 보며, 일간 결과보다 주간 종가를 기준으로 판단해야 한다고 강조합니다. 주식시장 분석에서는 S&P 500의 200일 단순이동평균선(약 7,300선)과 나스닥의 50주 이동평균선을 주요 기준으로 제시합니다. 나스닥은 이미 강세장 지지선 부근까지 내려왔지만, S&P 500은 아직 약세장 조건에 도달하지 않았다고 설명합니다. 또한 나스닥은 AI 관련 기업의 비중이 높아 AI 사이클의 영향을 크게 받는 반면, 테슬라나 애플처럼 데이터센터 구조 밖에 있는 기업은 상대적으로 버티고 있다고 분석합니다. 하락 배경으로는 칩 지수(SOX)의 1만 포인트 하회, 마이크론의 대만 공장 건설 중단과 노동 분쟁, 데이터센터를 둘러싼 정치 이슈 등이 언급됩니다. 비트코인에 대해서는 주간 종가 기준으로 75,500달러를 강세 지지선으로 보고, 80,000달러 위에서 마감하면 상승 탄력이 붙을 것으로 봅니다. 반대로 일간 기준으로 75,000달러가 무너지면 6만 6천~7만 달러까지의 조정 가능성도 언급합니다. 발표자는 가격 예측에는 한계가 있다고 여러 차례 강조하며, 하락 목표를 확신하는 주장에 대해서는 경계할 것을 권합니다. 또한 AI 주식 투자자에게는 출구 전략이 필요하다고 조언하고, 2000년과 2008년의 사례를 들어 리스크 관리의 중요성을 강조합니다. 전반적으로 이 영상은 특정 매수나 매도를 권유하기보다는 가격 레벨에 기반한 분석과 리스크 점검에 초점을 둔 해설이며, 투자 판단은 시청자 본인의 책임임을 전제로 합니다. 댓글 질의응답에서는 헤드앤숄더 패턴, 고점과 저점의 구조, 발표자의 과거 발언에 대한 비판 등에 답하며 시장 심리를 둘러싼 논쟁도 이어집니다.
다듬은 글
Okay, we're live. Hello again everyone. Another one of the Virtual Bacon Channel Welcome to the live broadcast. Happy Thursday. The last 48 hours have been very strange. There was. This is why we can do anything right. Couldn't keep it. I I really like it. Say something different today I think, but again yesterday The progress made is complete.
It has collapsed. and I was somewhat relaxed yesterday. I am happy, I am intentional. I said, "I'm here for success." Not celebrating. This is back to normal. "Possible." If that happens, the daily minimum price And we have the conditions to watch out for. There are. But I think this will happen. I didn't expect it, I didn't want it, But what is happening today?
Okay, first of all, there's no need to panic. As usual, this is what happens Reasons to consider I will also tell you the stages. Let me show you. We are at every stage. Let's see, this is still for the project. Subject to it. We have one more. There is a plan. But due to these incessant fluctuations I am very tired.
This is fun. So, Yes. When you usually feel like this, this is what happens. The feeling you need to invest I would say that. And today What you need to do today That word means to buy. It's very difficult to say, understand? Because the price is low. So, yeah, all you have to do is The thing is, from me You can take it immediately.
This is what you need: to buy today Day is not a day to sell, because The prices are cheap. However, what is on the market today? Fully aware of what is happening I will inform you. There is no problem with Bitcoin. , right? In Bitcoin or Any new news on crypto? No. Instead, the sale that took place this morning Completely due to the stock market crash Incited.
To tell you the truth, I was very nervous this morning. When I woke up, I read today's content. While preparing, Bitcoin It was 80 thousand. That's very It was good. Just 4 hours ago it was It was close to 80,700. But in the last 4 hours, It has completely turned upside down. I'm always on crypto Twitter.
I am. Crypto on Twitter Nothing really happened. NASDAQ and S&P in the stock market The decline of both A and B and AI This only happens in the (AI) field. Now, the S&P is still bearish. Didn't enter the market. Nasdaq bull market support This is a bear market. May provoke. Over the past two weeks, Google and After the collapse of Apple shares, This is a situation I have been warning people about.
. Now it has reached that point. So, How close are these two slopes? Considering the related Bitcoin's last 4-hour candle Looking at the decline, this An event exclusive to crypto I can say for sure that it is not. Can. It was triggered by the stock market, Do you understand? That's absolutely true.
So, of course, we are trading the stock market. Explore and see what's going on there. Must see. This will burst all the bubbles. Moment? Of course, if that happens, it A bigger black swan than Crypto ( It will be a black swan event. So, let's consider the risks here. That's what we're here for. We are going to do it.
Okay. A Dan 21 million says, "Ha ha, That the bear market is over "You said it." It's over. What did you do? What are you talking about? Now you see this. Are you going to be happy? We are still in a bear market. The prediction that it is over is wrong. If you still think so, feel free. Short the market.
Why? Discuss with me and say "ha ha" Are you saying? Show your position. I am still in a long position. I am. I am the only one who knows the people. I told you to buy it. And if you think A 4 triggered by the stock market Hourly candle declines, Bitcoin bullish If you think it means no runs will come, Liberally, trade against it Do it, okay?
What are you? I don't understand what you are saying. . Specifically, this is a bull market. We have destroyed it, and we will return And we have entered a bear market. If you think so, it is completely wrong. . There is no way to say that is true. This is how Bitcoin history goes There is no evidence of what happened.
So, let's take a 4-hour candle and Trying to prove a point Madness. Because you will make mistakes. That too soon. Do you understand? However, we are currently in the stock market Analyzing the situation, a major danger I want to see if there is anything, That's what we will do. I am examining the risk, but this I don't know when it's time to panic and sell.
Not saying anything. Do you understand? This How long will the fall last? The question is, will it last? Based on levels, support level If broken, what is the next support level? And the next thing you should pay attention to is Which is higher? Right? This is what we are going to do. . Someone asks, "How much "Soon?" Well, the first of next year.
Within a quarter, a bear market Those who say so will be wrong. This We know. At the end of this year, the bear market This will be the 400th day. At that point, the bear market It's over. Continued bear market sentiment "Oh, we're long-term," "We are in a bear market" How does saying that make sense to anyone?
I don't know if there will be. This wouldn't be right for anyone. This It won't work. This is a correct prediction. There will be no. Of course not. I don't believe it. Right? Yes, the answer to this question is Let's see now. Technical Why are stocks falling? Meet? Right? Let's get started. If you have any questions, Please post on the chat, I I'm watching.
First, the main reason today is AI Investments are being withdrawn. Okay, that's basically the point. That's the S&P and Nasdaq. I am your first I'm showing you the charts, today. Some important news from this morning Let me show you. Okay, who's making noise? Okay. Anyway, How much did the S&P fall at the market open?
? This is a 4-hour candlestick chart. Look at that. This is the key. Collapse. This last 4-hour period of Bitcoin The fall is related to this. You know. Well, in the last 4-hour candle S &P fell 3.7%. The Nasdaq has fallen. 5.4% from yesterday's close. Sorry, from yesterday's decision. The decline is correct, but the last 4 Technically 5.4% per hour Has collapsed.
Now, It's the same with Bitcoin. It's a candle, do you understand? Bitcoin It has fallen by 5.6%. This is the story. So, we finally got Bitcoin. We are going to investigate, for now S&P and why the Nasdaq has fallen Let's see. S&P and Nasdaq Codes, right? That for them There are no separate incentives.
On the contrary, this Major companies in the indices Stocks have fallen. Google and Apple for the past 2 weeks Shares of major companies such as We know that they have fallen sharply. We have already seen it. The early days of the Nasdaq market This is the main reason for the decline, Because that's the bull market.
It was very close to support. Right? This is the 50-week SMA EMA line. Right? The last time it came here, You see it rising again. You saw. Here, we immediately A strong recovery is needed. Otherwise, Trouble for a few more weeks It will last, understand? On Nasdaq for about a month and a half Further decline and risk reduction There will be.
Importantly, why do we buy Nasdaq? Notice? Because Nasdaq is now has actually become an AI code, Do you understand? You are the stock. Let's look at DRAM, what You can watch it, but Everyone is watching the Nasdaq. Historically, the Nasdaq has been long Active and very famous One of the symbols, it is falling No.
But nowadays, the Nasdaq is very Dangerous. As I said on this channel , Do you understand? I am talking about Nasdaq. Especially short videos too I think I have done it. AI cycle and Nasdaq and What you should pay attention to Regarding. Here it is. That's not it. You can find a complete explanation of this If you want, it can be a long video.
Maybe. So, Here it is. The Nasdaq is now 70% AI. Do you have an exit plan? This 3 months ago. Do you understand? Nasdaq falls, bears fall If you go into the market, the S&P too I know it will improve. I pointed it out because these are the The first and second codes, Do you understand? This is a major risk reduction event.
Stimulating. Nasdaq is very safe People think that, but it Not so, because the Nasdaq is about 80% AI-based. 50% More than 100,000 companies are AI-based . So, it's actually an AI now. It remains symbolic. Their Not by choice, but in front Everything that used to be technology is now They have become AI.
So, now they are AI. Nasdaq now at 50-week SMA EMA support Breaking the status quo and going down, this Stimulates sales. This is a risk-averse mindset. Stimulates. This is what people are doing now. That the Nasdaq will bounce back Am I sure? No. What is my probability estimate? OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs yet Since it did not come, the long-term I don't think there will be a bear market.
I hope. So, when are we going to be beer? Even if you go into the market, support You have to recover as soon as you touch the ground. So, that's my basic position, I have already said this too. I first came across the NASDAQ. It was discussed in detail here, okay, Three months ago, and then It is also in previous streams.
For example, like this. Two mega IPOs to be launched I believe that the AI cycle will not be broken until I mentioned what I think. So , technically, we still have There is little time. That's why this is the collapse of AI bubbles I don't think so. Not yet. That's why that's the basis, right? What does this mean?
This means that currently Nasdaq and S&P stocks Even if it falls, the situation will remain stable. I think there will be a long-term decline. I don't think so. What does this mean? This means that these on Bitcoin The impact is short-term. Will pass, for a long time It won't last, understand? So, by this week, Nasdaq If it comes back, Bitcoin will still be It will recover within a week.
Why? Because this whole sales slump, Its precise timing and share It was only caused by the market crash. Any other news about Bitcoin? Didn't come. Now, having said all this, today's New news, AI and Some of the best-selling products in the technology sector To inform you of the maps as well I like it, okay?
The real reason this AI panic has been triggered Here are the events. Okay, let's get started. Stock market sales charts and Levels. Okay, first of all, the semiconductor code, SOX, Currently below market support level I think there is. Once Let's check it quickly. Yes. The semiconductor code called SOX, Below $10,000 this week It collapsed, it just happened today.
I think. Yes, after today's market opening The 10K level was broken. So, chips are leading this decline, and Chips are the driving force behind the rise of AI. The center point, right, is the heart of AI. So, in the chips industry, For example, Micron Important news about It has been released. This is happening in Micron.
Look at the big sales decline. Micron tops the market cap of chips It is in three or four places. I will confirm once. . The largest stocks in the SOX index. I see. Shares. Yes, Third place. In the SOX code The third largest share. That's it. So, AMD, Nvidia ( Nvidia), Micron. 7.95%. Micron is a Trillion dollar company.
There is a news about Micron. . Micron's 4.5 billion in Taiwan Taoyuan plant worth $100 million Construction work has been stopped. Also, Labor dispute over profit sharing The reason for this is said to be, The need for AI is not lacking. Micron says operations will continue It has been said, But this is very, very big, okay.
Let's see. Both sides on November 6th, That means we'll meet again tomorrow. As planned, today is a day There is a strike. If they start again tomorrow, it will Good. Okay, this is about Micron. Also, let's look at another one. Where are my messages? Here it is. Data center politics. Hmm. I'm trying to get this.
45% of planned capacity in the US, After the midterm elections Democrats may be affected, where Data in Texas and Georgia Campaigning against center restrictions They did. This is again Leads to slow construction. Therefore, the speed of construction in data centers Decreasing means demand for chips and Indicates a decrease in spending.
Okay, this is it. Starting from hyperscalars Up to chips and chip parts Going. Therefore, as a result of the midterm elections This is another piece of news that has just arrived. Similarly, from the demand side Coming. Data center companies here Directly undertakes construction Remember that. Then, Data Center Computing There are model companies that use.
Namely OpenAI, Anthropic ( Anthropic), Google, and themselves Construction companies. Open AI says ...This is not it. Open AI's... What else is here? Where is the news about the need for Open AI? Here it is. Plans for Open AI 2027 Reconsiders. Here it is. IPO in the first quarter of next year ) even though they are ready for Consulting...
No, that's not it. After the US election results OpenAI's 2027 data center capacity Rethinking expectations. Demand for data center construction Another message from the side. More I'll see if there's anything else. These are the AI and data released until this morning. Regarding the need for center and chip News.
Nothing big. Actually Nothing strange. So, is there any fundamental change? ? There is no such thing. Right? Stock market crash and fear Have prices dropped enough to be tempting? ? Yes. As we have shown before... SOX below bull market support Nasdaq bull market down Testing support. Of course the S&P is slow.
There is, but that's just one thing. In the S&P, the 50 to watch out for -Weekly SMA (SMA), but the stock market Analysts typically use the 200-day SMA They will see. So, let's look at that first. Here is the 200-day chart. So, we still have that situation. Not reached. 7,323 is a 200-day Simple moving average.
Stock market Analysts generally view the S&P as bearish. The state of being in the market This is what it means for the stock market to be a bear. It means it is on the market. This is what people say, Do you understand? What are people watching? This is it. In fact, it is a self- Fulfilling prophecy.
So, you Considering all this, right? The news that came in this morning, the last 40 In minutes or it's 10:17 am Situation. So, in the last 60 minutes, S&P 500 is about $2 trillion The market capitalization has been lost, which is a stock The fastest market in market history One of the capital losses.
Then They usually say, "This is a bear." This much distance from the market They will say, "There is." This is the observation stage, 200-day Simple moving average, currently at 7,300 It's in dollars, that's about it, Right? So, we still have that situation. Not reached. Stock market technology Still in a bear market Not logged in.
For us, the weekly result I would like to note, because it Gives us less noise. Because once the weekly results come in, " Here's what we call a bear market. Condition: At least 1 week "It is finished" means to us I know. So, in that chart, it comes down to Let's wait until. Yes. So, in the second week we This is from that recovery from the slump You know what would have saved us.
You see. But here's this one, It caught it. In that situation , Weekly result ends above 7,250 We want to have. So, we still have that situation. Not reached. Right? Can we go there? For me Unknown. Actually, I Unknown. I am a stock market expert. No, S&P or Nasdaq Tell me about the price estimates.
I don't know anyone. Especially the downward target Regarding, They are lying to you. The key to always being true The thing is, S&P and The stock market with Nasdaq at the end Rise. It is the 50-week SMA or the 200- If the day touches the SMA, that's it. Time for you to buy, sell It's not the right time.
But if it ends up below that, it Entering a long-term bear market. Right? Any other moving average bullish and This is similar to bear market reversals. It works the same way. So, If someone says to you, "Oh, the market It's collapsed, so now the S&P "We need to go to 7,000." If you say so, they lie to you.
They say it because it is I don't know. Who hit the bottom of the S&P? As can be predicted, they are overall The US stock market They would have surpassed. No one has ever done this before. So, Don't try to do that. Do you understand? That's meaningless. Actually, When you try to do it Always ends badly, because No one has ever done it successfully.
So, the decline of the S&P or Nasdaq Don't try to predict. 50-week SMA or 200-day SMA Pay attention to the closeness and to that position It's only a bit of work to buy when it arrives. Does. Nasdaq is currently here. The S&P hasn't reached that point yet, so Buy AI stocks technically This could be a great place.
The cycle of excessive speculation on AI is still You think it will last a while. If you believe. So, my position is, Cash flow from the retail market Two more IPOs to impress I hope this continues because I hope. So, Nasdaq is back I think it will recover. So, I am a big investor in AI. If so, I would buy Nasdaq, And I will buy AI stocks.
Currently, I have There are no recommendations, because Crypto and especially Bitcoin I think it's a great bet. I think, so now in AI I'm not very interested. However, the AI market is back I think we will see a rise, It will not collapse completely. That's my guess. Okay. You can see some other AI-related maps Please note.
So, To us There are Nvidia, AMD, Micron. These are the first in the SOX code Three chip makers. More Nvidia is below the 50-week SMA. This is similar to SOX. AMD, let's look at AMD. It is roughly touching, Micron is down, as I said before. Like. Therefore, the entire chip sector is in decline. Meeting.
You can enter the chip stocks If you wait, this is the chip stock. I would say it's a cheap price. Since May. SOX code Apparently, since April. So , we are back in SOX in April We are back to normal. Buy low, sell high. Do you understand? Buy less, buy more. Sell. Buy at a high price and buy at a low price.
Don't sell at a price. Very easy, But it is difficult to implement. and I'll see what else is there. . So, Between NASDAQ and S&P Unity. The big difference here What is more, NASDAQ technology Powered and AI-powered Depends. And it is hyperscalar and max. It has a lot of influence from 7. So, Google, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Amazon and Microsoft The impact is greater on NASDAQ.
But, these are also very high in the S&P . But, in the S&P index Technology stocks are so high No, do you understand? Nasdaq (NASDAQ) It is specified in the code. There are a lot of technology stocks. So, the Nasdaq is already in a bull market. Below the support level, S And B is still at that level.
Considering the absence, the main thing in this Playing the role of 'Max 7' These are the leading companies. If Max 7 companies are good, Even though there is a decline in the AI industry, it The Nasdaq is better than the S&P. Affects a lot. But, Max 7 companies are the ones selling it. If it starts, it's bad, because The Nasdaq and the S&P Both at the same time in equal amounts Will experience a decline.
So, Max 7 companies, Tesla ( Tesla and SpaceX It is very important to look after companies like Important because they AI will not join the data center architecture, Because in the top 5 hyperscalers No Tesla, more Nvidia Not a data center company Because it's not there. Also, Apple is also involved.
No. So, Decline in the data center industry However, Tesla and Apple are doing well. As long as there are, some departments It will remain in development. Okay, let's look at that difference. So, Do you have those charts? No, I don't have it. Alphabet is already in decline. Meeting. Amazon And Meta companies are the same.
I hope to be in position. , let's see. I haven't seen it yet. No, Amazon is fine. Let's look at the meta. Oh, the meta is already here. No, it's not. Hmm? It's already in there. Which one? Oh, here it is. The meta is also good. This is a good thing. Microsoft. There is no decline in Microsoft shares.
So, Hyperscalers are the biggest investment The situation is stable because of those who do it. . Google () is on the list of hyperscalers. Only Google has declined. So, this It's okay. What does this mean? This means What is more, this decline is 'Max 7' More by the AI industry than by companies It will be a collapse.
So, this Nasdaq is higher than S&P Affect. S&P is the market's Risk-on, risk-off status The determining code, do you understand? You can't just look at the Nasdaq, People also like S&P. Just keep an eye on Nasdaq. There are. When the Nasdaq falls, People say "This is in the tech and AI industry" "The correction that has occurred" will be said.
Nasdaq or S&P stocks fall When entering a bear market, that is 200-day and 50-week moving averages Only when it falls below average do people They say the stock market is crashing. . If only the Nasdaq went down, People call it a stock market crash. I don't say. S&P is what we should pay attention to.
Must. So, the Nasdaq decline is By its largest companies The comfort is that it didn't happen. Of course , Nvidia has collapsed, Micron AI-based stocks have fallen have fallen, but at least Magnificent 7 shares are doing well. There are. Let's take a quick look at Tesla. Yes, Tesla is good. So, That we are safe.
I will tell you. Right? Stock market In sight, we are safe. . Those who have invested heavily in AI In sight, you have to be careful. I want. Also, you have a Have an exit plan. I want. This is what I already did 3 times. Or so I said 4 months ago. Right? Nasdaq for the next 2 or 3 years You think it will stay like this.
Assuming, and 2000 or 2008-y Like a year, or bigger If you think the fall will not come ...because of the 2008 crash It depended on housing. and the fall of 2000 Technology-dependent. So, at the end of 2000 on the NASDAQ A major revision like the year and A severe decline is sure to come. A plan that will take profit from you Otherwise, this will happen after 10 years.
If you think you can do it, this The fall will happen. But, for that The deadline may not even be 10 years. That Maybe 3 years. So, you are more likely to invest in AI stocks. If invested, an exit It is important to have a plan because It has now escalated to an excessive level. . This is the highest in the last 3 years.
It keeps climbing. So, this is it. The basic reality you need Status. But you have that plan. If there is, like I have, okay? ? According to my research, I also know the timing of IPOs. Important points to note Based on that, I am safe. I am. So, you need a plan. You can use Nasdaq as an idle Cannot be considered an investment.
That It won't work. So, you have a plan. As long as you are, you are safe. You will be there. Despite today's decline , since my plan is not broken yet, I don't think this is the end. . Well, this is a perfect fall. So, the stock market, AI, S&P and Nasdaq, what is the reason for this decline? Do you have any questions about ?
In my opinion, nothing big. No. Basically nothing really It hasn't changed. Yes, Bitcoin and its levels Before talking about this Questions. I see. Old Us asks, " If the Nasdaq falls How is the bull market? Will it develop? How is crypto today? "See if it reacts." We don't get it. Of course, for us Not available.
Well, maybe the year 2000. If the Nasdaq collapses in style, of course S&P also falls, crypto It will experience even more decline. When the Nasdaq drops sharply I'm not saying Bitcoin will go up. . But the Nasdaq completely collapsed. I didn't see it go. So, you can understand it like this I want. Most of the time, S&P and The Nasdaq will remain on an upward trajectory.
There are minor and medium corrections in it. There will also be scale gradients, for example It happened in March of this year. Like. Okay, the 200-day SMA. If you notice, At this location, it is a 2-week period. It was correct. This is how Bitcoin is so big. Doesn't affect. You can call this a bear market.
It can be called a bear market. Nasdaq And people in S&P generally This is what a bear market is. They will call. This will last up to a month and a half. As in the crypto market, many This is not a bear market that will last for years. . But, the Nasdaq and S&P are generally Does not fall off for a long time That is the reason for this.
So, Bitcoin is down a lot. To be pulled up and unable to climb up If you want, Nasdaq and S&P A long-term bear market prevails in I want. It doesn't happen that often. Also, "If the S&P falls for a year, No one said "Bitcoin will rise" Not arguing. That's not going to happen. At the same time, in which year did S&P No one can predict the fall.
Couldn't. In which year Nasdaq I don't even know if it will fall. Which one for this? There is no rotation. Nothing, Do you understand? It's happening. It will happen automatically. So, you have an exit plan ( You should have an exit plan, To be prepared, and for example , Nasdaq below 200-day SMA Going and not being able to come back above it In the event of rejection, It is important to understand that Okay, do you understand?
As long as it stays below this level, Avoiding risk in crypto ( It's good to have risk-off. So, it January 2022 to January 2023 It would have been. That's right. There was. That's one year. It's a bear. It is clear that the market is a year. You know this. So, that That's right. But you can predict this You wouldn't want to, because Nasdaq and bearish on the S&P No one predicts the market.
To say here Do you understand what is coming? From the Bitcoin stock market We hope it will go away completely. Not arguing. This is a high-risk Investment. But at the same time, We look at this like this and say, "Oh, This is not like that, this is not like that, this is Tell me it's going down like this.
No way. Because no one can predict this accurately. No way. No one predicted this. I don't predict. So, if that happens, it It will happen. You are very polite. If you want to be, you Wait, I'm a daily candle. I wouldn't change anything fundamentally, Right? Daily candlesticks can change at any time.
. Observing the 50-week SMA You are the most disciplined person in the world. I would say it could be. Weekly decision bull and bear Indicates the market. Okay, like this. Then weekly end bull market If you finish below support, you Reduce the risk. Right? From your investments Get out. Up again. If possible, you can adapt to your situation.
Turn around. So, for that Let's wait. Yes. So, like this. That means you'll be here for about 1 week. You would have been out of the market. , but you would have sold here , again after 2 weeks You will have bought it. That's a big change. It wouldn't have happened. Here, you are about a month and a half You would have been out of the market.
. About 2 months. That's right, Okay? Here is a significant drop It happened, right? From March 10 to May 5 last year. Look at Bitcoin. It was. From March to May. So, roughly here. Right? So, You can buy Bitcoin here. You will have sold it, then come back here. You will have bought it. That's right.
It would have been. Now, the best. What is, you have enough If you have faith, you Could have bought it. But it's difficult to do. Right? Therefore, the stock market is Bitcoin You try to avoid pulling down. You can, but you definitely need to do it. Don't try to predict,"Oh, somehow, I think the Nasdaq will go down a lot.
You shouldn't say I believe it. S A&P will go into a long bear market I believe so. No one can do it. It is impossible to predict. So, it is a Do not use as a trigger. That Don't be afraid. If it happens, it It will happen. You are disciplined in it. If you want to be, you can be. . Probably this weekend, right?
Nasdaq still at 27,500 If it's possible below, I'll invest. I will consider reducing it. Let's think about it, okay? ? I'm not sure yet. , because it will be a little while longer There is. But, as people say, a bull market That it has been completely destroyed It doesn't mean, "Oh, look here, the stock market "It's disappearing," they say.
The stock market is over, so That Bitcoin is over too. No, it could easily be like this. How can these two be different? Can? For now, any There is no difference. This is how it is. Can you tell? Of course. This could be the start of a major collapse. Can it, or the decline that occurred in the 2000s?
Will it be like? The chance of that is very low, right? Very, very unlikely. So I think this is the beginning of a big decline. I don't think so. What I think is this Is it recovering or recovering this week? It's just a matter of whether it will take a month to arrive. Here That is the question, and Nobody knows.
So, I did it. I didn't come here to predict. Recovery Otherwise I will this weekend I will make a decision. But, recovered If you come, it's okay, right? So, Don't be nervous. To predict more Don't try. Stock market When will it turn into a bear market? Nobody knows. Nobody knows. . So, at the weekly end point, Now to the question about Bitcoin.
I'll answer, okay? So, on the AI side, the stock market, Weekly to be a bull market The end result should be over 27,500. , more 3 more days this weekend There are. So, there is still some time. It is also directly related to Bitcoin. Applicable. So, Bitcoin again A market is in support. The 50-week simple moving average is 75,570.
Therefore, to be a bull market, weekly The result must be over 75,500. , right? And, we can recover again. If possible, it would be better, Right? As I explained live yesterday. So, in yesterday's live, the 80K status was a By Bullish Engulfing Candle We saw it, I thought it was a joke. I also shared it as a video.
I think. Is this or I forgot which one. Anyway, at the end of the week If above 75,500, bull run To be continued. Weekly result back to 80,200 If you can finish above, Then it will give the bull speed. It will be an upward trend, Right? So, it will be like this. Do you see what's here? This Yesterday's daily candle, yesterday's bullish .
Basically this is a collapse. Have met, but in one day If the price goes up, the next day Even though it fell, it rose again on the third day. Likely to rise. Nothing really. Let's walk. This is a very unstable time. So, don't take this into account right now. Don't stay, okay? So, this is it. Weekly status.
Worth noting Weekly levels 75,500 and 80,200 . Of course, the weekly trade is 75,500- If it ends below , it is very It will be bad. I will wait until next weekend. , because that's the best signal Will give. This week ends here. Let's say. Can you get an equivalent diagram here? ? This week is over here, next week If it ends up above that again, it It's okay.
This week ends here. , if it ends there next week too, it Very bad. This week here is a If there is a small fluctuation, you You need to continue to pay attention. Maybe It might end here next week. Or Even if it goes down this week, next week If it ends up at the top, that's wonderful. So, By the middle of next week, market support We don't know what the situation is.
You will know. As I said yesterday, we are 75,500- If it's below 66, 67 thousand There is a chance to reach. It is close to the 200-week SMA level. There will be. 67,000, a level like this. Again, as I said yesterday, the price Even after the rise, "This will last" I think so, but there is a 20% chance.
"The price may fall," I said. If it falls like that, you will be 66, 67 The goal should be a thousand. This I think it shouldn't happen, But this will never happen. Don't think and go 100 times further. . It is possible. It's the same situation, the same opportunity, even now. This is possible. I didn't think this would happen.
Beyond all this, today Another interesting day to watch There is. Interesting to note today There is a map. As mentioned in the thumbnail, 75,500 and weekly levels of 80,000 There are. There is also a daily status. I did this yesterday. I mentioned it live as well. Let me show you this quickly. So, Daily high and daily low Let's see here.
Here is 75. Look at yesterday's price increase, previous Daily trading above the rise Done. Technically we are here for a We have created a high-quality low. We must be on a daily upward trend. , to remain above 75 thousand I want. Here it is. So, we haven't broken it yet. Technically, daily bullish trend It's still the same.
. Okay, everything is fine. . The minimum price here is the 200-day SMA- It is very close to. Yes, the 200-day SMA is at 73,000. So , On the daily timeframe, very favorable The environment, I want, we have 75,000- It is not to go below . If we are over 75,000, everything That would be correct. Do you understand?
This is here. You can do whatever you want. Okay, this is it. Falling again, then rising, It may decrease again, then increase. We This is daily, as long as it is over 75. It is an upward trend, because it is better than before. This is a high minimum price. Contains. This minimum, that More than the minimum.
But, On a daily basis, we are below 75 If you go, the speed will change. Do you understand? Maybe it's a wick. Maybe, then weekly price Back to that part, that is, 75,500- It may end up being over. Even after testing the 200-day SMA, momentum It will be less. In that case, long-term That there will be a time of death I think.
So, even though today seems bad, There is still a lot of momentum. We are still on the rise. , because we haven't touched 75. Do you understand? The wicks here It's okay. Because remember, yesterday At midnight we were at 76 thousand. Yesterday afternoon we were at 80,500. This morning we have over 80 thousand We were, now back to 76 We have arrived.
So, Every time it goes up by 5%, FOMO kicks in. Realized, 5% after 24 hours Don't be afraid when it decreases. It's the same thing. This Very unstable. Critical level 75, it is still Not broken. Even during this live broadcast, daily The uptrend has not broken yet. So, in the chat, "Ha ha, you again "You made a mistake." To those who say, no, I still It has not been proven wrong.
No change in daily structure . Any changes to the weekly structure No. Bull market support still Lasts. Daily Uptrend It's still going on. So, There is no need to change anything, Do you understand? Can this be broken? Of course, but that If it breaks, we can replace it, but We haven't reached that point yet.
So, no need to be afraid. The truth In fact, based on this study , today is the best time to buy. You say we will rise again. If you believe, as I believe, Today is the best day to buy. One of the days. One of the best days ever, because Only feelings have changed today, but What remains unchanged are the support levels.
levels). 75 thousand daily minimum amount Not broken yet. The 50-week SMA at 75,500 is still Not broken. That's just the way it is. Do you understand? No other crypto news came, Besides this The stock market is down, but prices There are fewer now. Therefore, prices When there is less, nothing else Would you buy it unchanged?
Yes, you should buy it. You Do not sell. Now the market is going to crash. Those who argue, based on feelings They only argue. They Not arguing based on positions. Now, you come to this video, "Ha ha, your 75 thousand level It can be said that it is broken. When it breaks, I might be wrong. You know, if that happens, everyday Whether the upward trend will be broken I agree.
Maybe it is. It may happen later today. So If so, feel free to correct me, Feel free to make changes. But before that happens, feelings are something Because it seems strange. There's no point in changing your opinion. . The levels are still unchanged. So, I am still hopeful ( I am bullish. The first to change the possibilities Indication, daily price 75 thousand Going down is the way to go, then the slope The opportunity will increase.
Right now it's an 80-20 opportunity for us. There is, this is my assessment. So, 80 Percentage chance This is the minimum price , 20 percent chance we 67 thousand Let's go down to the border. Okay, down here. . 80 to 20. Now, the daily price is 75 thousand. If we go down, there is a 75 percent chance that we Let's catch up and recover.
And a 25 percent chance we're down Let's go. Finally, the weekly price is 75.5 If it ends up below a thousand, Well, if the weekly price ends below, The Great Recession and the Long-Term Recession The probability of occurrence is very high. There will be. That is, it is often At least 50 percent chance we are 70 Let's go below a thousand.
We Weekly price below 75 thousand If you finish. So, I am completely willing to accept it. I am ready. But since that hasn't happened yet, I also The candles look red. Just because of my opinion Not going to change. Do you understand? The market will fall now. All those who argue that color Just because it's red They are working.
Whatever the color Whatever it is. But we We play based on levels, Right? So that's Bitcoin. Bitcoin These are the stages. Let's see what happens, okay? It is very difficult to survive today. Very difficult. I can say, I feel it. For me Required Sell everything. Everything I feel like selling it. It appears.
Of course. For everyone That's right. This is how market psychology works. . But the moment it happens is an opportunity. Opportunity to buy. So, I control myself. I'm trying to get it, everyone is in the market. Even if you talk about getting off, you To make negative comments Don't want to. Wait, okay?
What is happening? Let's see. If it happens, let it happen. I will change. But, I have expressed my opinion in advance. I don't want to be a fool. Accepting everyone's opinion today , "Hey, maybe I'm wrong If you say "I could have done it", I How stupid I look. Imagine. I would say it's a bear market now.
I want. "Then, this candle What if I ask you to sell it on a stick? Right? Maybe we're over 76,75 today. What if I finish and come back later? What to do? How stupid will I look? This is the most likely way to get caught in a bear market. Bad time. That's what I avoid. I would like to. Don't get stuck.
What will happen if the market goes down? ? Nothing goes to zero immediately. It won't go away. Even if it goes to 67, What is going to happen? Eventually it will rise, and that rise will be followed by Maybe in a quarter. Next quarter , we should be at 90 thousand. So, what's the concern? Right? That If it happens, I'm ready to accept it.
I am. So, I changed my mind and said, Rather than getting caught up in the market, the market I will remain hopeful that it will rise. Right? If that happens, I'm wrong. I admit that I did it, That's it, right? It's okay. Everything will be fine. The bull market is very close to us. How much longer, that is the question, Right?
It might happen soon or some more. It can happen in months. Let it happen anyway. Right? This On a note, let's move on to the questions. Tell me what you think. What do you think about today's map? Do you think? You too, with the same pressure, the market For fear of landing, red Look at the candles and see your Are you changing your beliefs?
Right? So, for me Let me know. Josh Mee Jr. says,"You have I don't know anything. You are a joke. " Let it be so. What evidence? Is there? Right? What about you? Need proof? We are definitely going to 67. Let's go or this is the bottom line Do I need to say for sure? You really want it, You think someone will say that?
You believe. What are you asking? Think about it a little. No one can predict it. Do you understand? More You watched our video yesterday. If you had seen, I will give you the entire system. I gave it, when the price goes up it's full It doesn't have to be high. I also said. Do you understand? It went up to 80k and ended the week at 80k- If you maintain above, the speed To be continued.
But it decreases again. Chances are, if that's the case, 75 Just the amount you need to pay attention to. Yesterday I clearly understand the levels to be observed. I gave it, and it's still the same amount. I say,"Hey, the same sizes are still They remain unchanged. "You still have What do you want?
Yesterday it went from 76 to 80. I said I was going to Do you think you should? Tomorrow Be careful, it's 80 again. To say that it will decrease from 76 Do you want it? A person who said that Show me, let's see. Of course No one has said that. They won't. Because that's madness. No one can do that, that's Not logical analysis.
Only if it comes from the future. Possible. Track ST says," Bitcoin will recover soon. This is for the people. Intimidation attempt Only. "Let's see. I'm like that." I hope. I certainly hope so. . But now it's very stressful. There is. Day after day, things are the same They change by 5% per day. 5% in a day Rise, fall 5% the next day.
This It's very strange. What does that mean? That means, Everyone blames others. They are trying, that's why you The comments made earlier You see, "Nothing for you." Unknown. You did this correctly. Not predicted. "Who predicted this? So , think about it this way , right? Candlestick charts ( How were the candles?
Think. This further my views. Confirms. The last two daily candles Look, this and this. What happened? These are completely opposites. Candles, do you understand? Yesterday morning By the first afternoon, Bitcoin was up 6%. High. Then today, Bitcoin fell 6%. So, what are you asking? , someone said yesterday morning, "Today 6% It should be said that it will rise.
"I should say it will decrease by 6% tomorrow." Of course no one would say that. . Someone like me is a bull. If they do, the market will rise. They will say. They tell you, "Hey, Everything is cheaper. We are 50 -We touch the weekly SMA. "You want to buy it?" They will say. Then yesterday they They would have known better, I Like it was yesterday.
But the same person I am making a mistake today because The market is fully returning. All I can do is say to you, "Hey, I just said "I am a bull" . The prices were cheap. To the people I told you to buy it. Now it is It has risen. That's up to 100k immediately. I don't know if it will rise. Not likely.
If it comes down again "Be careful." This is what I I said. This is the best situation, because No grass can say "Today is boom, tomorrow is "Down, up the next day" I can't say exactly. Do you understand? Likewise, you met the right person yesterday. If you think you are being followed, Who told you to sell this boom?
Yesterday someone said to you, "Oh, this is a A fake boom, this will fall back down. "If you saw him saying that, You think you're a genius. Okay , same person 48 hours ago He would have been wrong, wouldn't he? Because Bitcoin is going from 76k to 80k When he rose to the top, he acted foolishly. He would have known.
Do you understand? But 24 Hours later, Bitcoin is old. When he returned to his senses, he became a genius. He knows. Actually, who is he? He Nobody. He is the same person, he He has his own opinion. So a bear must be wrong. I didn't say I wanted to. This I think it is unlikely. I think. But as long as you can tell every move If you are looking for, There is no one like that.
So in the last 48 hours, no one Not entirely wrong or It wasn't entirely correct, In this whole candle. Do you understand? Everyone Exactly two days ago They are making mistakes today, Or two days ago, wrong They are doing well today. . So, who do you follow? Are you going? That's my opinion. Confirms, doesn't it?
Have your own way. I want. You have an upward perspective. If you follow, you will become great. Thinking, this is a bull market, for this There is support and daily highs I have to believe that someone Not to say. Do you understand? Likewise, you are welcome. If you have a perspective, You have a strong opinion.
I want. Maybe you are different. You can follow the charts. Maybe the market You might think it will improve again. That I don't know what it is, okay? ? But you have a long-term plan. There should be a clear opinion. Consider those triggering factors. , right? When are you right? Are you there, when is it wrong?
Are you there? Do this correctly. You for not predicting You say you don't know anything. No way. Well, because no one Of course no one is first. Going up, then down by the same percentage They wouldn't have predicted what was coming. So. Here it is. Decide for yourself. Oh, someone is spamming. He says he is.
Okay, I'll take him. I will block and delete it. Thank you very much. Friends. Mr. Cool Runner, CR, "You're the slide "You said it was over." He says. I said. I said. , I keep saying, But because I said so That should be right. It doesn't make sense. Do you understand? Are you looking for some kind of prophet?
It seems like. I am not a prophet. 80/20% probability, a trigger condition , a level. What are you really talking about? Are you talking? That is After watching some video, That the person's decline is over If you say so, I will buy it, he said. That he will always be right. You can make a profit by thinking Assuming that.
That person is a failure. He says it's coming, I'll sell it, He is always right. You always lose. You will. Because, by definition, Yesterday, they said that a collapse was coming. Look at someone else. When was he wrong? Did you know? The day before that. Because You anticipate the collapse. If you have predicted, you can at the same time The rise could not have been predicted.
I Do you understand what I'm saying? So You two days ago If you followed me, you You will have made money, then the market It would have collapsed. But, the decline will come. The other person who said that If you followed, you were the first You will have lost money, only then You will have seen the profit.
So this Just one thing, just what someone says. Follow, they are always right. I can't believe they exist. You must keep Complete view. Okay, what are the levels? What are the long-term things? Support and What are the resistance levels? Is the price really low? We Are we in a bull run or Not yet? If you look closely, my The prediction method is still the same.
It is understandable that there is. Today, at the same percentage as yesterday, Thank you for coming down. If you're angry, be angry. . Because you're new to this. I think. Aaron James, you are a bull run. "You said that," he says, "you fool." Yes. This is not a bull run. Are you saying? Let's see. Just use this and run now.
How can you be sure that it is not? I hope you believe me. I don't understand. What do you mean? What is a bull run? Is this what bull running is? This is it. This small fluctuation makes me a hundred times That the percentage is wrong Are you serious? This is not happening at all. What are you? Are you saying?
Really on this Are you going to bet? Who are you trying to prove what to? ? I don't understand this at all. A four-hour candlestick is bearish. Bull run only with what you get. How to say it's over Can? How stupid does this seem? Do you understand? You What are you saying? "This week "No big raise," you say.
Let's say. Will continue to rise. Okay. "Yesterday I took a leveraged long , because you said it was bullish, I "I'm at a loss," you might say. Okay. Do you understand? First, I leverage you I didn't ask you to take a long walk. "75 thousand "We can go up to a dollar." That's what I said. Over 75 thousand If so, the daily increase will continue.
Week If the result is more than 80 thousand , there will still be a boom. I said this in yesterday's video. Is this your fault? I'll tell you the stages, but this is long. If you say it is for the development of time, then it Put and you take 100 times longer. If I lose, it's not my fault. You don't understand what this means.
That's what it means. Do you understand? You can say many things, but Bull run with this one candle How do you know it's over? You say? That won't work. That seems absurd. You are wrong. You will be gone. This is next year or sooner. I will find out, I know very well. Soon. How is this for you? Don't know?
Who is that fool? How can you be so short-sighted? I know you are here. I don't understand. This is so ridiculous. Zero X Enigma says, "They Have fun by stimulating yourself. "They're watching, Bacon." Yes, I do. I like to answer, that's what live is. Makes the stream interesting. Okay, let's see. Sutton says, "Weekly Only the broken structure Still, still Bullish through unconfirmed higher low I can't say the run has started.
"This is a simple market structure. Why is it You mean bull run? "Okay, What is the weekly higher low? To be permanent? This is not a big expectation. Okay. You are talking about the weekly higher low. If you speak, join me in trending. If you want to do analysis, I You are saying what you said. But, first, a weekly higher low It is enough to be over 58.
This is not a weekly minimum price. . Why? Because it's only one week. You can even draw a V shape. If not, it is the minimum Not the price. This is on a daily basis. Highest minimum price, weekly Not. So, on the weekly timeframe, the Dow Theory This is how the trend in the market structure is It has been, understand?
High, low, low High, low Low, low rise, low fall, But then a maximum rise. So, We have already reached a new high. We have reached. You are a new historical figure below 58. Seriously worried about a decline If you don't believe me, next week The high is a 'high minimum' It's going to be expensive, right?
Here is the answer to your question. Whatever the next decline, bear The market bottom is over and the bull market is in full swing. If you believe it has begun, The next low is a higher low. It will be expensive. The question is: , it's here in the weekly timeline Is there, is there or It's just a matter of whether this is the case.
Okay, this is it. Answer to the first question. Second What is, A real upside to watch out for The trend is on a daily basis. Do you understand? Because on a daily basis , a higher being close to us There is a minimum price, that's it here In 75. So, from the bottom of summer Low, high, high low, high Rise, high low, high rise It has gone like this.
Now, we still We are over 75. That's why I talked about 75k yesterday. Do you understand? This daily upward trend We need to be over 75 to retain Must be stable. Now, this is contrary to the bull market. Will there be? No. Daily at the bull market Lateral trends and slopes It will definitely happen.
A bull market is a weekly price Standing on support, Weekly upward trend It is what it is. Okay, daily price below 75 Although decreasing, a new historic low There will be no weekly decline unless it is achieved. Because this weekly trend is very It has been strong. This is this weekly The high was broken.
We are so far away. If you had just stayed here instead of going, it would have been It would have been dangerous. But, this Because the breakout is so strong, It's hard for us to reach new lows, That means weekly declines are very Difficult. This is a daily sideways trend. or caused by structural changes It could be a sideways trend.
But, Which of the weekly structures I didn't see any change either. The weekly trend remains upward. That's why I linked it to this. 50-week SMA and bull market Support band, we are on a bull run. I think we are. This is a bull market at the beginning. Challenging times or immediate speed Is it available?
This will be based on the daily price. Short-term price action. Right? You have a daily up-trend. If so, you have a very strong There will be speed. Right? It's okay if this downturn continues, but If it falls below this, There will be no short-term momentum. Right? Then the interim amendment Lasts a long time, maybe a year Maybe even until the end.
But yes, I accept you. . That is, for us An up-trend is needed, but it is daily I think it's an up-trend, so far. It remains the same. That's why today Very important. That's why this The week is very important. We Continuing to maintain this, If it can be recovered again, it It would be better. Let's look at each stage, okay?
But if this goes down, of course I You need to update. Maybe it will happen tomorrow. So, tomorrow I will update if we are at level 74. I will. So be it, I I will do it then. But to walk I didn't do anything in a hurry before. I'm not going to say. That's nonsense. It is my own. It's like I'm breaking the concept myself.
Right? But yes, in what you say There is an opinion. The up-trend should continue. If there is a very strong grass speed. Let's see. Buyers are here. Let's see if they take the field. Okay. I'll see what else. Luban says,"Fake collapse, Intimidation, then elevation. " Let's be hopeful. This is another Let's hope it's intimidation.
That's what we want to see. Mui Siro says, Virtual Bacon is a great reversal indicator . It's me, so please correct me. Follow. I am in Lang. You short while . Now that I am in Lang, In this you make a short, Right? Reverse me. Use it as an indicator. I Do the opposite of what you're supposed to do.
The market will thank you, right? ? So, you don't like me. If so, please make a short cut here. Okay. William Alba asks,"Why?" Everyone is so spoiled. Are there? "Because the market is in a slump There is. Because the color is red There is. This is truly psychological. Depends. When the market is down And when it's red, people They will be parishioners.
This is very Simple. Very simple psychology. The VIX has risen 50%. Yes, because S& This is how P works. Therefore, VIX If it's over 20, I'll do it. You don't even need to look, right? This is a risk-off panic-based behavior. . But, at least the S&P is still 200. The daily SMA has not been reached. So, technically the VIX is still Come down.
But, yes, it will happen this week. I want. So, if we stay here, Nasdaq Below the 50-week SMA, around 27,000 If so, the S&P could fall a little more. Will meet. VIX volatility continues to increase . Then the next week, we didn't recover. If so, things are getting worse and worse. It will continue. So, I'm ready for it.
But, it's only four hours. Because, We know what's going to happen. I don't know. Maybe tomorrow everything It can be fixed. We don't know. Therefore, we will act according to the environment. Let's do it, let's do it. Let's see. Ah... Which map does Chantal have the head and Does he say the shoulder shape is forming?
What are you talking about? Oh, Do you mean Bitcoin? Yes , it seems to me, because you About fluctuations You were talking, weren't you? Wait, I'll check. Is that you? Is it the same person? I don't really know. Let's see. A1 Anthony says,"Why is everyone They are expecting a bull run. I don't understand.
They are grass. As if wanting to buy in the market It seems. I want to sell. This is a great one to buy now. Time. "Yes, you're right." You bought it in the market, and the grass Money by selling in the market You earn. Everyone agrees that the bull runs. By waiting until then buying You can't make money.
Because what will happen? Did you know? We are complete. That we are in the grass run What makes everyone believe? Did you know? Bitcoin Already over 100 thousand and It is only when it is at its peak that It will happen. Market sentiment and consensus This is how it works. Right? So, we still have this grass The only way to have a discussion about run Reason, Even though we are making progress here, Still at a very low level It's just that we exist.
Next During the ascent, even if it happens here Or whatever happens there, whatever However, okay? We are these peaks Once broken, Right? This is what the Bitcoin map looks like: Imagine being there. Even now, people are saying this is a market. They will say that Do you think? No. But, when it happens, the opportunity The cost will be very high and Your entry price will be too high.
. The risk will be very high. You Must buy here. Everyone, it's grass. Saying run, it's very When it's obvious you're on top Don't buy. The main thing is, right? Once we reach this point, That's it, right? We are back again. We are heading towards new heights, As a third wave, a new peak We reach. Everyone, "Crypto boom" , What is the next way to make money?
" They will ask. That is the most. A time of danger. Only then will you You need to start taking profits. Okay, What are we here to do? Only after seeing these things happen Want to get into crypto? If you think about it, you will lose money. You will. I am money in this cycle. To be sure of earning The reason is that this uncertainty prevails.
At the moment I am content It's about creating. I bought it when the price was low. Create content and share it with people I told you to buy it. It takes courage. Full of confidence that crypto will come back Trust is needed. Until the price exceeds 100 thousand Many people will not believe this. They can't make money easily.
, but I will earn, because I have high confidence in crypto. There is. I still buy, and people too. I'm telling you to buy it now. I wonder if there will be a new upswing or not. Not going to discuss. I am sure that a new upsurge will come. Comment. So, to achieve our specific goal, It will only be a little while longer.
That's why I'm less at risk. Yes, you are right. Market You should buy when it drops. This Debates about whether it is appropriate or not You should buy only when it happens. . When everyone agrees, the price The more it increases, the greater the danger. It's about buying less and selling more. The basis of investment.
But people They want to do the opposite. The boom hasn't started yet, so They argue not to buy it. What? Buy when the price is low Don't want to? What is the purpose of this? In a short time you will be right Maybe, but long-term profit You will lose opportunities. I am the opposite. Here I am. It's okay to make mistakes.
Price If it decreases, for another two months Even if I seem stupid. So be it. For the past 12 months I just feel stupid. . I don't care. I will buy more, more. I will be confident. Because when the price is cheap, money My goal is to earn. Cheaply Buy it while you can. Ah... J 10 asks,"Why are you recording your live broadcast?" I can only watch on a small screen.
It's over, why bother with other people's things? Couldn't? "Is that the system you changed? Really?" , I will ask my Claude about it. That I don't know what the system is. . Maybe. William Alba asks,"The fourth Chances are it will be in the quarter's uptrend. Isn't it? "Hmm, okay, It depends on the change that happens here.
. So, I notice it, but this Basically these are the two levels. This is the most important thing we have. The limit is right here. Do you understand? Around 75k to 80k, 81k. So, we can day trade for 75 If you finish below, the fourth quarter It will be difficult because it The interim correction quarter Confirms the idea, that is There will be more ups and downs.
We are those Once the minimum level is broken, daily The upward trend will end. End of daily uptrend When it comes, it takes a while to change. It will take. That is, this quarter That's all. Right? Next 2 months, because in the fourth quarter A month has already passed. Now, we are in the good quarter.
If you want to have, first of all, We can survive above 75 on a daily basis. Want, and weekly trading To finish above 80,100 or 80,200 Yes, this is the last day of last month. Candle size. We are looking at this bear market candle We must overcome and move forward. So, It's here this week. Hmm. Yes, that was actually in September.
That's the whole block. So, I am 80k. And I would say 75k. Weekly To go below 75 on the deadline It's better to finish above 80 first. There will be. If we go below 75, Fourth quarter growth delayed Possibly. So, it is possible. Of course it is possible. But buyers are coming in immediately. I want.
It should happen this week. Buying Let's see. Only then, we will be able to You can get out of the slump. We don't do that, we accept Continued with decline, especially in the 75- If it goes below, it is a temporary decline. Will happen. Let's see. Hmm, last question. V Iconic Asks,"Bitcoin 7-day On the chart we see the head and shoulders Can we expect a reversal pattern?
" No, do you know why? Because the shoulder shape is still Not formed. Therefore, if a form is complete Only then will it work. First of all, Bitcoin 7-day chart reversal There is no head and shoulders pattern. There is nothing there. This is not a shoulder. . You can see the daily chart I want. So on the daily chart, Wait, you're upside down and Are you asking about the shoulder?
Oh. No, there is an upside down head and There is no shoulder shape. What are you trying to say? I don't understand, but the upside down head And the shoulder shape is like this Yes, you are right. There won't be, because the neckline is already It's broken. Look here. So, the inverted head and shoulders is a bullish formation .
What do you find this for? Not used That is To the decline target. Do you understand? So, "Hey, inverted head and shoulders In the structure, the third shoulder is the last "It should come down to the shoulders." There are no rules. All that. Nothing. Therefore, this decline, deep enough, If it goes, if the neckline is at 83, it Like an inverted head and shoulders Appears.
But, we're going beyond 83 to 87. Because it went, it wouldn't be like that. I think so. This is so deep. Even if you go, It is an inverted head and shoulders pattern. It will not be an organization. For you A horizontal neckline is required. There's no such thing as a neckline. No. Do you understand?
So, it is a normal high low ( It will be a system with higher low, Because the inverted head and shoulders That is before the start of the ascent. It is a coordinating body. But, I already knew about the ascension. As stated in the question, we already have There is a boom. At least, this is the shoulder, head, Do you understand?
What is the third lowest point? However, we have a new peak. Because it is already on the rise There is. Show change here You have an inverted head and shoulders pattern. No setup required. It already is. It has changed. This decline has already turned into a boom, Because we have a clear high peak ( higher high).
Do you understand? So, who says the market will fall? Inverted head and shoulders You should also pay attention to the structure. No need. Do you understand? First of all, The inverted head and shoulders is a An ascending system, not a descending one. Market Tell them to go down. Don't use the shoulder strap.
Do you understand? Also, this is the inverted head and You confirm that the shoulder No need, because by definition, it is a It is a lateral coordination system. This is less than a direct mount. It will only have an upswing. With us There is already a boom. So, this is an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Needless to say. That Not really needed here. Okay. Yes, that's it. It's basically an inverted head and Moving beyond shoulder level It has. Okay. So Boom, no doubt. That is Monkey Mike says,"Previous The low that comes after the high Just don't ignore it. "It's clear. No, definitely not clear. No, I didn't skip the previous high.
. The previous high is here, there No. We have two high levels. This doesn't need to be broken. You see, this is all one by one. I want. This is definitely a high level, because This is the previous high, not that one. There is no room for debate in this. That's why I said, this is right here. There, let's break this down immediately.
No need. That's not possible. You are one high level at a time, one Take the bottom line. Here A lower level, here a higher level, here There is a downside. This is a high level. The next subordinate should respect this, okay? , 58-in. Then test the next higher level 94 Let's try. So no, this is definitely clear.
There is. We are on a weekly basis. We are on the rise. This is called a boom. We don't have to break 94K to call, Because we already have 83K We have passed. That is certainly true. This is very clear. Okay. Okay, my chat is stuck here. Let's bring it back. Okay. Thanks for the good questions, many today.
Technical analysis questions came up . That's interesting. On the stream Thank you all for joining. Today's time is over. Tomorrow is Friday, the last day of this week. Stream. Over 75k all day today And will last, Over 80k by Sunday I hope it will go. What Let's see what happens. The market Analyze, what is the status I am ready to take it.
But now with hope I am. I will continue as usual. This is one of the worst days, It's very difficult to be confident. Time. But, find ways to do that. Come out, or Read information that gives hope, Talk to crypto friends, but Don't panic and sell. Right? That's all for this video. Daily For information, contact me as 'Virtual Bacon'.
Follow the X in the name. We are 75- If you go below, you will get an update. I will give it. Over 80 over the weekend Ended or back to 80 If you go above, I'll update you. I will give it. Subscribe to the channel. , Monday to Friday 10:30 AM (Eastern Time) live broadcast You can find me. Okay, for this video.
This is enough. Thank you for watching, See you in the next video and live. See you. Bye-bye.
댓글 0