저자: PeterSchiff · 외국인
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비트코인은 거대한 버블이며 1929년 대폭락과 유사한 위험이 있다는 주장. 1929년 주식시장 붕괴 직전의 과열과 공포 확산(Roger Babson의 경고, 구두닦이 주식팁 일화 등)을 소개하며, 비트코인도 가격이 계속 오르려면 더 어리석은 매수자가 필요하다는 논리를 펼침. 비트코인 보유자를 버블을 인지하지 못한 사람과 알면서도 신경 쓰지 않는 사람으로 나누고, 자신이라면 버블을 알면서 참여하기 어렵다고 말함. 인플레이션과 연준의 금리 인상(3월 50bp 인상 가능성 상승 언급) 관련 발언이 포함되어 있으나 자막이 자동인식이라 일부 불명확함. 결론: 비트코인은 가치 없는 거품이며 언젠가 붕괴 가능성이 큼.
다듬은 글
that he had his shoes shined every morning by the same shoeshine boy and one morning the shoeshine boy gave him a stock tip and baruch went to his office called up his broker and said sell me out the shoeshine boys are giving stock tips it's time to get out as summer turned to fall the mood changed as the stock market dipped then roads then lurched downwards again investors grew increasingly uneasy in september an economist named roger babson sent a wave of fear rippling through wall street when he warned that sooner or later a crash is coming and it may be terrific but most experts brushed away any concern well the price will go up but it only goes up if more people make the same mistake and are willing to pay an even higher price than the last fool well eventually the supply of fools runs out and the greatest fool ends up as the bag holder and maybe we're very close to that point right now i don't know i mean i'm not you know my clairvoyant but i know a bubble when i see one i got plenty of experience and if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck you know it's a duck and and bitcoin is the biggest duck of them all what if i told you this bubble is just going to keep getting bigger would you would you still would you participate well you know it's hard to participate in a bubble when you know it's a bubble you know it because it's if you don't know well then you could buy but the problem is you never know when the bubble is going to pop so it's difficult there probably are i mean i think there are two types of people that are in bitcoin what about what about what have i paid you what if i say here's a bunch of bitcoin can you manage it for me you're a fun manager what if i can you can you can you manage my bitcoin what would you would you participate with that i would like i would just like i would be tempted just to sell it as soon as i had it so it's like you know as i said i think there are two kinds of people that are in bitcoin they're the people who don't know it's a bubble and don't know it's worthless and then there are other people who do know but they don't care concerns stock prices one man declared have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau and then the bottom fell out on wednesday october 23 1929 the first waves of panicky selling began to drive down the price of blue chip stocks like westinghouse and general electric the following morning the fear turned to panic there's going to be plenty of other aspects of cpi that i would think will moderate over time it's just that time you're as if they helped either so from some of the omicron i did not expect much alleviation there i thought maybe there could be some help at all from some of the omicron related sectors but it doesn't appear as if they helped either so we have high inflation uh uh joe and i think this keeps the fed in its appointed rounds of raising rates i do want a while i'm talking to take a very quick look at the chance of a 50 basis point rate hike uh for march i don't think that's a possibility i don't see it up oh wow it is up a lot it just spiked i don't know joe i went at it it was 30 percent a probability going in this is according to refinitive it is now the odds on mark here my friend i don't know if rick is could see the same thing i know he does the math and brokers began unloading margin accounts at record speed stock prices plummeted sickening across the board spurring the rush of sell orders from terrified speculators still more as anguished shrieks rose up from the floor of the new york stock exchange the visitors gallery was cleared in less than two hours nearly 10 billion dollars invested in stocks was simply wiped out outside on the street crowds massed six deep in front of the stock exchange while hundreds more stood in shocked silence on the steps of federal hall newspapers would later try to describe the uncanny murmuring sound that echoed off the stone facades of the financial district it was a collective moan of horror and grief and stunned disbelief rising up from thousands of ruined frightened men the biggest crowds gathered outside the house of morton desperately hoping for a miracle cheers
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