저자: XRPFutureMillionaire · 외국인
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결론: 비트코인·XRP·XLM·DGB 모두 단기 하락 전망, 특히 비트코인 약세 돌파에 따른 급락을 강하게 경고함. 거시: 러시아 관련 원자재(니켈·구리 등) 급등은 인플레이션이 아니라 가격 상승일 뿐이며, 다른 상품 가격 하락을 동반하는 소비 위축으로 경기침체를 유발할 것이라는 Peter Schiff 발언을 소개함. 바이든 1997년 NATO 확장 관련 발언 클립도 함께 언급함. 비트코인: 강세 다이버전스가 완성되지 않은 채 100일선에서 저항받았고 약세 베어 플래그 형태라고 주장. 현재 38,084 지지, 38,915 저항. 39,700 재테스트 가능성은 낮다고 봄. 다음 목표 35,000, 이후 35,056 이중바닥 및 30,000 가능성 언급. 비트코인 관련 XRP: 비트코인 하락에 따라 매우 가혹한 하락(72센트 이탈 시 69, 66, 62, 57, 52센트) 가능성 제시. XLM: 17.1 지지 아래 16.25 이탈 시 13.8, 더 나아가 15개월 저점 수준까지 단기 하락 가능성 제시. DGB: 19.10 지지 아래 17.99 이탈 시 16.12 붕괴 우려, 그 아래 13.66, 10.82 가능성 언급. 리스크/전략: 불트랩(가짜 돌파) 개념을 설명하며 거래량 확인과 손절(stop loss) 준수를 강조. 진입을 보류한 이유는 약세 신호 때문이었다고 밝힘. 출연자 전망: 발언자 본인이 비트코인·알트코인 약세를 확신하며 추가 하락을 전제로 함. 유료 클래스(월 9.99달러 텔레그램 가입, 강의 후 5달러 후원) 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
people are saying oh but peter what's happening right now in russia that's inflationary because it's driving up oil prices and it's driving up commodity prices in general whether it's agriculture or look at the industrial metals look at nickel i mean the price of nickel has just doubled i mean copper two is at a record high interestingly enough the two metals that you need to make batteries for electric cars are copper and nickel and of course everybody is looking at electric cars as an alternative to gas guzzling cars well the cost of those cars is going to skyrocket based on the higher cost to produce those cars you know biden's suggestion that i talked about my last podcast that americans just run out and buy an electric car and that's the solution to high gas prices well the cost of buying that electric car is going to be increasingly out of the reach of most americans who will have no choice but to pay those higher gas prices or just not drive maybe ride on a bicycle but as i said on the last podcast these price hey peter what is that a shot at your old pal xrp future millionaire no good exercise peter increases in and of themselves aren't inflationary because inflation isn't caused by prices going up inflation causes prices to go up it's not the other way around what normally happens where you don't have the monetary expansion which is the inflation if some prices go up well then other prices go down because you don't have an unlimited amount of money so money you spend buying certain goods or services is money that you don't have to buy other goods and services so the overall price level doesn't change some prices go up and other prices go down so if you have a surge in energy prices in food prices in rent prices some other prices have to go down and the prices that go down are for a lot of the goods and services that people forego people stop buying because they're spending so much of their money on food energy and rent and what that means is a recession because as people have to stop spending money on certain things so they can still afford to eat and put a roof over their head people that earn a living in the industries that rely on that discretionary spending they lose their job and i just want to play this real quick so back in 1997 listen to what biden said one way to have the russian response and to provoke a war would be to expand nate or would be for nato to expand as far as the baltic states while ukraine is part of the baltic states and you've seen what happened so listen to biden in 97 where the greatest consternation would be caused in the short term for admission would be to admit the baltic states now in terms of nato russian u.s russian relations so that's pretty interesting good evening 9 17 p.m eastern standard time on the east coast in the united states of america i'm xrp future millionaire reside in the great state of niche again as we can see we have some crashing prices the reason why casper was not purchased by me has finally reared its ugly head i didn't get phased when it made the little fake out earlier and i showed you guys every reason why we had a two-hour livestream last night where we talked about it and we just weren't able to pull the trigger because it looked too bearish we had a few bearish indicators pop up all of a sudden and we could tell we were in the midst of a bull trip and also if you guys need more help we just had a class from eight to nine pm eastern standard time on the east coast and i did a one-hour class that's available after but you have to be part of tom's army 9.99 a month join the exclusive uh army you get the telegram for free and then you also get the free classes and all i ask for the class is a five dollar donation at the end of the hour class that is it nothing more nothing less it's it's more a staple of appreciation and to show your understanding for the time i put in so what i want to go over first for all of you what is a bull trap because a lot of you guys need to understand what a bull trap is what is a bull trap a bull trap is a false signal referring to a declining trend in a stock index or other security that reverses after a convincing rally and breaks a prior support level the move traps traders or investors that acted on the buy signal and generates losses on resulting long positions a bull trap may also refer to a whip saw pattern the opposite of a bull trap is a bear trap which occurs when sellers fail to pass a decline below a breakdown level a bull trap denotes a reversal that forces market participants on the wrong side of price action to exit positions with unexpected losses bull traps occur when buyers fail to support a rally above a breakout level traders and investors can can lower the frequency of bull traps by seeking confirmations following a breakout through technical indicators and or pattern divergences which is what i do and why i did not enter a position and get trapped in this a bull trap occurs when a trader or investor buys a security that breaks out above a resistance level a common technical analysis based strategy while many breakouts are followed by strong moves higher the security may quickly reverse direction these are known as bull traps because traders and investors who bought the breakout are trapped in the trade traders and investors can avoid bull traps by looking for confirmations following a breakout what i always say for example a trader may look for higher than average volume and bullish candlesticks following a breakout to confirm that price is likely to move higher a breakout that generates low volume and indecisive candlesticks such as a doji star could be a sign of a bull trap i rust my case no from a psychological standpoint bull traps occur when bulls fail to support a rally above a breakout level which could be due to a lack of momentum and or profit taking bears may jump on the opportunity to sell the security if they see divergences dropping prices below resistance levels which can then trigger stop-loss orders the best way to handle bull traps is to recognize warning signs ahead of time such as low volume breakouts recognize this time and the exit the trade as quickly as possible if a bull trap is suspected stop loss orders can be helpful in these circumstances especially if the market is moving quickly to avoid letting emotion drive decision making you hear that last part stop loss orders can be helpful in these circumstances especially if the market is moving quickly to avoid letting emotion drive decision making aka burning a hole in our pocket the old emotion in this example of a bull trap the security sells off and hits a 52-week high or 52-week low before rebounding sharply on high volume and lifting the to the trend line many traders and investors jump on to the move anticipating a breakout above trendline resistance but the security reverses at resistance and turn sharply lower from these levels new bulls get trapped in long trades and incur rapid losses unless aggressive risk management techniques are undertaken which is what i always tell you you have to have a cell number before you buy no matter what emotion maybe the what ifs you can't have what if mcgee's come out and say we could go to here mcgees we could be all-time mcgees you know all-time high mcgee's because the bottom line is is you're gonna be broke mcgee's at the end of it if you don't have a plan the trader investor could have avoided the bull by avoiding by waiting for a breakout to unfold before purchasing the security app based on fomo mcgees or at least mitigated losses by setting a tight stop loss order just above the breakout level aka the hopia mcgees so the hopia mcgee levels so don't have the mcgees pay attention to the technicals and don't get trapped in something like this because the reason i show you that is bitcoin happened with bitcoin got trapped got trapped the volume the breakout volume everything so this is why we've been talking for days and that's why i consider myself the best in the business we completed a bearish divergence you see the red line cross through well we didn't technically complete a bearish divergence because we never completed the bullish it went three quarters of the way up and got rejected around the hundred day and came right back through so now it looks like a bear punnett i think this is pretty obvious that this is a bear flag here and it pulled down and i think we're probably going to have this is probably going to come through right now we have 38 084 support 38 915 resistance above us we could come up and retest that 39 700 area but i highly doubt it at this point we've broken down below a very critical level and the next target would be probably 35 000 well the next immediate target's thousand two zero two and then thirty five thousand fifty six to hit that double bottom and if we break that we're looking at thirty thousand uh what is that thirty thousand nine ninety one so that's what we're looking at with x our bitcoin with xrp this is going to be a very brutal breakdown if this in fact breaks down like we're thinking now if it breaks fast 72 to that's your ultimate sign 72 to it's got to break below that then it's very quickly going to come down to 69 and then if it breaks that we have the 66 mid support which i have no faith in that i think it would come down to 62 too retouch that which is a 10 cent drop and i think it would just most likely break through that because this would be a failed bull flag and if it breaks down instead of up this is coming down to 57 then 52.
it's going to come it's going to be brutal this would be a brutal drop here and everybody needs to anticipate what could come next especially with everything that's breaking i showed you a little bit from uh um peter schiff and i showed a little clip from mike maloney he had a joe biden thing from 1997 which was a good year because that's the last year michigan won a national title in football but it was not good for a lot of other reasons um and then let's end this with uh dgb wait a minute no xlm if you're part of the class today was a very important class so if you did not watch it live i i implore you to go watch it for a five dollar donation you are not going to get information like that and if you're like i need to see these classes join toms army 9.99 a month to get the exclusive telegram to have the privilege of the classes and see we broke down past this level so i mean we already broke past that so we have 17-1 support underneath that we have sixteen two five but i think if we break the sixteen two five you're going down to like 13 eight and maybe even worse here because this would be a brutal breakdown and we're going to be going back to multi-year lows now if we start breaking down past these levels i mean we're going to be coming down into some areas we have not seen in a while for uh january 24th 2021 is the last time if we break down past this level we've seen these numbers that's over a year we're talking december of 2020 is the last time we've seen under 13 8 so you're talking possibly 15 month lows coming for xlm in the very short term and then dgb another one that's just absolutely brutal and i've tried to keep you guys one step ahead but i can't buy yourself for you it's up to you but what i can do is give you the technical analysis and let you base every decision possible based on the technicals that you might not be able to do yourself getting beaten down by the daily and the 20 day and that's very bearish this is very bearish we have 1910 underneath support one seven nine nine and then if we break one six one two look out look out you come down to one three six six and that could possibly open the door for a one zero eight two dgb stay blessed everybody hashtag be better do better hashtag fun assassins remember help one person each and every day because if you don't do your part and i'll do my part who's going to do their part i know one person who is doing their part that would be ub2b and cfx oh yeah so let's uh i want to see uh ub 2b got a lot of mentions look at me i'm cool but i want to go to ub2b's page whoops see we got some cloud art here this is ubc it's fantastic it's phenomenal i think you guys should check it out it'll help you uh you know when you're watching crypto too much sometimes you just need to step back look at some cloud art i mean it really is some truly incredible stuff and then we've also got the fun assassins page that i would like to go to i was trying to do it here we go here's some of them kryptonite fox if you get your filth or if you get your filthy troll ass out of here i just might pretend that i never saw you otherwise don't blame me for sending you back to your mommy missing an arm or for a leg troll patrol you be 2b god i love this so much to those who join thank you you're in the army now welcome to our new t-fam members for the brust what are you waiting for you be 2b join tom's army i think that was the two that i seen that i wanted to share yeah okay so stay blessed everybody i really appreciate each and every one of you
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