저자: DanielZambrano · 외국인
요약 보기
엔비디아(NVDA)가 딥시크(dip) 뉴스로 급락한 후 주간 흐름을 분석. 116~130달러 박스권이 있었고 130선 돌파 여부를 주시. 116 하향 이탈 시 100달러 부근까지 조정 가능성 언급. 지지선 하향 이탈 가능성과 반등 가능성을 모두 열어둠. 짐 크레이머 발언에 대해서는 이번 건은 맞았다고 평가.
다듬은 글
Hey, what's up? This is Zambrano. Today we're going to do a weekly summary of Envy's stock price, and if we have time, we'll also cover Palantir. Join us very quickly in this short video. We'll talk first about Envy and then, if we have time, about Palantir. So, we're talking about Envy falling because of the dip news.
Envy generated a total drop of 12% after hours, and by the end of the day, it was almost 17% in one day. Imagine falling so sharply! Here we see a very interesting support level at 1116, which it held throughout the week. Then the dip news came out on December 27th (I mean, December 27th, January 27th).
This consolidated throughout the rest of the week, maintaining the ceiling of $11,115. We can also identify a kind of support level in this ceiling. In a second, we'll delete some lines because it's very heavy. Let's delete this one, and this one too, and this one too, and this one too. It's very heavy.
The chart is already very busy. And so here we have a clearer chart. On the daily chart, we see what I can consider a ceiling at 129. This would be the ceiling that the stock is currently playing at. So what's happening this week? It consolidated within the range of this ceiling of 129 or $130, and the floor is $16.
Here it is, it played here, and the idea is to see if it breaks the ceiling or if it breaks the floor. We have to determine that, we have to wait, because it is very important to keep in mind that a ceiling from several months ago, almost four months ago, was broken. A floor that the stock had held for four months, or rather, several months, has just been broken here.
But there is also a possibility that the stock will bounce and fill this level, and from here it might want to go up again. One thing I don't like very much is that we've been seeing highs and lows for quite some time now, since the beginning of this year. The issue of highs and lows here we have a high which is This one here.
This one here, and a maximum, and here the maximum minimum. So it's not so cool to see that, it's not so cool to see that issue. So what happens if it breaks the ceiling and wants to go up? Maybe it plays again, maintaining this ceiling, which would become a floor, which would be the best-case scenario.
Naturally, wait, let's project this here. What happens if it breaks the floor? I would think it would look for... Well, with envy, it could fall a little and go up again. It's really hard to say, but based on knowledge, I would think that it would increase the chances of seeking a new salary, which would be $100.
Who knows if that's the case? I really do n't know. We have to wait and see if it develops. Yes, but this $ would be, in my opinion, like this level. Give me a second, let's draw it here, here, $100 around here in this zone, 100, well, 97, $100 more or less. I would think it would be a strong fall, really a strong recovery, or a strong fall, recovery of 8%.
Well, from now on... 18 for a drop more or less close to 18, so 18 upwards. Yes, and 18 downwards as well. Okay, so let's see how, what, what happens with this stock, with these movements we're seeing. It's worth noting that this type of movement wasn't seen in Envy a long time ago. I mean, if we put it on a chart , let's say Max, we see that in some cases it falls a little, and in this case, it keeps falling, but the times it has gone up, it rests a bit, right, and consolidates and goes up.
Here it rests, falls, and then starts to rise. The consolidations didn't last more than six months. If you understand me, I mean, they didn't last more than six months. The biggest consolidation was when it was on a very defined trend, but this consolidation that we're seeing here, this consolidation, if you can call it that, we see that it was generated literally almost eight months ago, a little more.
I mean, eight more than six months. This consolidation is quite large, so the consolidation is getting longer. Let's see if it represents... In my opinion, I don't see that upward trend as very clear at the moment. I mean, it's difficult for me to find it because we had an upward trend, or rather, a kind of upward trend, and it broke.
Let's see if it can be recovered. So, that upward trend had been going on for, let's say, a year and a month since it broke this week. So, that trend is like, well, what now? But let's remember that Envy sometimes loses its trend during consolidations, like this one. Although what we were saying is that this consolidation lasted six months, here it's been like eight months, really, because, well, imagine, from the middle of 2024 and we're already in February, that's eight months.
But, well, I do n't know, it's difficult to determine. It's complicated to determine. This action can vary a lot, a lot, a lot, a lot, a lot. But something that really catches my attention, which we've talked about, these bars you see here, is the volume, which has been decreasing, decreasing, decreasing, and this was triggered by the dips, which caused a sharp increase in selling volume.
And well, that's where we have to be. Reviewing this stock because, yes, even though it is cheap and all that, compared to the past few weeks, remember that when a stock can pull back, it can generate bullish momentum. That is, it falls, rests, consolidates, and falls again. That's the danger right now, that it's resting, and then someone sees that it's cheap, buys it, rests, and then it goes down.
So, let's remember that about two days ago I was talking about Gin Cramer's, an hourly chart, criticizing that man said that they hadn't bought it yet here, and it went up, but look, that's like a correction. A day later it was at the same level as Gin Cramer's, it's still at the same level as Gin Cramer's, and on Friday it opened at the same level as Gin Cramer's and closed at the same level as Gin Cramer's.
So, let's say that in this case, Jamer is correct because, yes, even though it went up that same day, it fell and is still at the same level, at the same price that Jamer said it was n't. Wait, and I would think it's a slightly more precarious situation because we have a clear short-term downtrend on an hourly chart.
So, being in there is a bit more uncomfortable because of that downtrend, which could present itself with a breakout. So here we clearly see 116, and if it breaks, it'll go down. So, in this case, a positive point for Jim Cram. He's right, because I know it's a meme, I know they say it's the opposite, that everything he says happens in reverse, but look, it's not black and white.
In this case, he was right. In this case, it wasn't a good entry; it closed at the same price that week. And, in my opinion, it's much better to wait and see what happens right now, HM, whether it breaks the downtrend or if it respects it, generating a breakout. We'll see this; we'll have more clarity in the email this week, surely.
So, a positive point for Jim. Ah, in that case, in that case, yes. The important thing is to learn to be objective because it's always like... Blaming Jer is like, well, it 's a meme, what else can you do? So this week we're going to see how this Envia stock behaves. Let's remember that Envia is a very important factor in the market; it represents the I and semiconductor sector, the whole issue of artificial intelligence, and a large part of the market is driven by that sector.
Okay, it lost the upward trend it had a year ago. Dips send the stock down to around 116, more or less, in fact, around $3. The trend on the one-hour chart is clearly downward. This week it showed a downward trend, so we have to wait and see what happens, if it can break this downward trend to have more clarity.
It can break 130 consistently. Let's see what happens. I have time... no, I've run out of time. I hope you liked this video. See you next time, bye bye.
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