저자: TGInvesting진행자 · 외국인
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마이클 베리가 ARKK에 약 3,100만 달러 규모 풋옵션 숏 포지션을 잡았다는 공시를 다루며, 베리의 테슬라 숏 확대와 ARK 주요 보유종목의 고PER 리스크를 설명하는 영상. 베리는 ARKK 풋 약 235,500주 상당(약 3,100만 달러)을 보유한 것으로 공시됐고, 캐시 우드는 그의 주택시장 버블 예측 실적을 인정하지 않는다며 반박했다. 진행자는 베리가 테슬라 숏을 약 107.5만 주로 늘렸다고 언급하며 그의 과거 주택시장 공매도 성과(2008년)를 높이 평가했다. ARK 주요 보유종목(테슬라, 텔레닥, 로쿠, 코인베이스, 줌, 스퀘어, 쇼피파이, 트윌리오, 스포티파이)을 나열하며 성장주 고PER(테슬라 약 400배, 로쿠·스퀘어 100배 이상)에 따른 인플레이션 리스크를 지적했다. 진행자는 코인베이스에 부정적이며 수수료 무료 경쟁으로 수익성 타격이 우려된다고 봤고, 테슬라와 로쿠는 장기적으로 긍정적이라고 평가했다. ARK는 올해 약 33% 상승해 성과가 좋았다고 정리했다.
다듬은 글
what is going on everybody tg thought i'd bring you guys one last video in new york before we move down to florida for the year i'm gonna be talking all about arc and michael bury aka the big short who has a massive short position against arc we're gonna go into all this and more if you guys want please subscribe we just hit 5000 subscribers and we're going to be doing a big 5 000 giveaway and video coming up very very soon for all the subscribers and if you want to chat with me come on in the discord totally free would love to chat with each and every one of you but let's jump right into this because this came out about a day and a half ago disclosed in michael bury's short fund that he is betting against kathy wood and he's doing it so in the form of puts against the ticker arc as we just saw there so he owns 2 355 put contracts against ark which is essentially betting against the equivalent of 235 500 shares of arc which is approximately 31 million dollars now this is not the first time michael bury has made some big short position plays obviously he is most famous for his housing market bet against that made him billions back in 2008 predicting the crash of the housing market by buying credit default swaps um and kathy actually responded to michael and said that essentially he doesn't understand the fundamentals that are creating this huge growth and opportunities in the space that she invests in um and if we know anything about kathy she likes betting big against companies with high p e ratios and you know high growth high returns and if we actually look at her top 10 holdings obviously tesla's her number one um she did sell a little bit recently um but she still owns over 3 million shares which is over 2.1 billion tons of teledoc as well over 1.2 billion of teledoc roku about 1.2 as well coinbase she now has over a billion dollars of down a lot on coinbase she bought so much um those first couple of days on coinbase is for 300 a share unity zoom square shopify twilio and spotify so all companies that are growing at extremely fast rates um very innovative in their sector you know tesla the eevee teledoc the telemedicine roku cord cutting for cable coinbase the crypto exchange um a lot of these plays i personally like i think you know long term you can't go wrong with tesla or roku i am against coinbase i made a video about that i think as more companies like robin hood um commission free trading come out it's just gonna hurt coinbase so badly 98 to 99 of coinbase's revenue is just from commission fees alone so if you have competition in there you know this this company could be hurt badly but some of these other ones are very very good as well um but essentially you know she was going against what he was saying just saying he doesn't really understand that she tweeted she didn't give him credit about his um his call on you know the housing market and all that stuff like that but she basically just says that you know he doesn't understand what she's doing and that she's going to be wrong so we'll see what happens arc is up a little bit today it is going down some right now has had a bit of a bad week but most most stocks in the market have but overall has performed very very well especially this year you know almost up 33 and obviously michael berry is betting big against tesla he actually increased his position in his um tesla short um to over a million shares betting against tesla one 1.075 million shares which is up pretty significant from the first quarter where he's been against 800 000 shares of tesla and i was betting against over a million and obviously tesla's having a very very good day um today up massive so what does this say about it who is going to be right and you know what does this really mean for ark so obviously arc is a very very solid etf and has continued to perform well over the years but a lot of people are worried at you know if you look at the pe's a lot of these companies you know tesla almost a 400 p e roku 100 p e square over 100 p e 200 400 pes for some of these it can get a little risky because you know they're valued so high that if inflation does become an issue it could really significantly hurt these companies and teledoc has not performed too hot this year it is down massive it was doing exchange well this is almost a 300 company and now we're sitting at under half of that has performed very very poorly um and she's lost a lot of money on teledoc but you know she does believe in it long term and has continued to buy in the dip one of her big winners has been square square has just performed so well i mean this stock is up just a massive amount this year over 73 percent crazy you have roku as well and a lot of these come as i said i really like these companies long term i love roku long term i think this is a great company did get beat down from earnings and is down some obviously i mean this was a stock that was just about at 500 a share and then after the earnings disappointment it actually dropped to about what you see now at 3 50.
um but as you're as obviously up massive you know this year 137.13 you know just another stellar stellar year for arc um the company's an art coinbase on the other hand like i said that is the one that i am not a big fan of i'm going to be honest i'm not a big fan of it it has performed terribly um as doing better in the past a couple of months has recovered some but you know you look at it from when it ipo'd and it's about exactly where it is with the ipo prices but the most people did not be able to start buying this thing until it got listed um and it immediately shot up to over 430 dollars this doesn't even show if we actually look on the the chart on this and and we look at that peak we will see that someone bought shares at 429.54 and then it did pull back some and has continued to pull back and pulled back pretty hard so i am not a big fan of coinbase but that's just me personally um but you know to each his own some of these other ones i don't really know too much obviously we all know zoom zoom you know has just had covet was a perfect scenario for zoom and it's why the stock is doing so well um you know even this year alone up 26 but at one point it was i had 580 something dollars a share which is just you know incredible um then you have something something like shopify i'm not a big fan of shopify to be honest i'm if i think if you're going to go e-commerce you go amazon in the us baba um spotify solid spotify will continue to grow and twilio's really good as well um you need i don't know too much about it but i have to look into it a little bit more but overall i mean you look at arc and it's trading relatively expensive to obviously other any other index any other stock just because of the fact that you have the high growth you have those high pes and and because of that it can trade at that multiple if you actually look at the options um on it they do go for a little bit more than a normal etf would um just because of the fact that you know you have to um you have to account for the volatility swings that um this etf can have so i like michael berry a lot i think he's one of the you know goats of investing obviously one of the most famous ones and it is going to be very interesting to see what happens with his bet against it obviously he's been pretty big 31 billion dollars against that and you know over 100 600 something million dollars against tesla um with the amount of shares i mean um and the amount of puts that he has but you know it's a it's a big bet to bet against tesla that's a big benefit to bet against ark um but i think he can be rewarded pretty handsomely if it does work out so again i'll be watching it i'll be watching to see how all this plays out right now my my main focus is just on baba that has just been kind of destroying me this year um but yeah i just absolutely performed terrible you know this entire every single day it's been performing bad um but it's one of those things but anyways guys let me know how you guys are doing let me know your thoughts on everything and i will see you guys in the next video remember to like subscribe talk to you later bye
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