Micron (MU) Earnings: $5.6 Million Stock Options BetBuy or Sell?

요약 보기

마이크론(MU) 3/20 실적 발표 앞두고 $5.6M 규모의 대량 콜옵션(110/125 call spread) 거래를 포착했다고 주장. 미결제약정 대비 거래량을 근거로 신규 진입(강세 베팅)으로 해석하고, 자사 웹사이트 유료 서비스 홍보로 연결. 옵션 손익 구조(상승 시 수익, 시간가치 감소로 손익분기 상승)를 설명하며 위험성을 언급. 실적 후 상승/하락 여부는 시청자에게 질문으로 남김.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. we detected an unusual trade worth $5.6 million on Micron stock ticker symbol mu but here's what makes it more interesting Micron reports earnings next week on March 20th and so in this video we will Analyze This unusual option activity to find out if this wealthy investor is bullish and buying ahead of earnings or bearish and selling before the earnings report is released because as we all know the rich have more access to exclusive research and information sometimes even leaked Insider information such as earnings reports to make better financial decisions this is why smart money always seems to be ahead of the game no wonder the rich keep getting richer and so to level the playing field let's dive into our analysis to gain insights from the rich so that our subscribers and members can profit from this deep knowledge too as we can see here on the options time and sales tape the most unusual trade happened on March 10th at 107 at the 4 second Mark for these May 16th options at the 110 strike calls and the 125 strike calls 11,164 contracts were being traded for a price of 265 5 and 1 each and so we can calculate the total cost of this trade the price of 265 subtracted by 1 keep in mind that options are priced per share so we need to multiply by 100 since each options contract represents 100 shares of stock and so each trade cost $165 now we need to multiply this by the total quantity of contract being traded to get the total cost but notice how there are more contracts being traded not just the 11,164 contracts and so how many total contracts were being traded well let's find out by diving deeper into the data on the option chain for these May 16 options we can see here for the 110 strike calls and the 125 strike calls we have a volume of about 34,000 contracts being traded and so to calculate the total cost of this trade we have about 34,000 contracts multiplied by the cost of each trade $165 as we calculated earlier is $5.6 million but keep in mind the earnings report is being released next week so this is a higher risk trade in comparison to the trades that we share on on our website and so if you want to get access to the lower risk and higher probability of profit trades then go to our website we'll put a link to our website up here where you can get deep insights into exactly when and which stocks wealthy investors are trading on Wall Street so that you can have the same opportunities as the rich because if the rich get richer why shouldn't you now with that said even though this is higher risk we still traded this but we use position sizing to manage our risk since this was a new opening trade we also traded these call options and got into the same position here POS stands for our position and the green color means a buy position and the red color means a sell position now how did we know these were new opening trades well notice that these options have an open interest of 3,356 contracts and 3351 contracts both of which are much less than the 34,000 contracts being traded it would not be possible to close out that many contracts if there were only 3,000 open contracts and so we can conclude that this wealthy investor was opening new contracts and not closing out contracts this data is very important to figure out because if a wealthy investor is closing out cont contracts or trades it could mean they're worried about that stock so maybe it's not the right time for us to jump in on the flip side if a wealthy investor is opening contracts it could signal an opportunity for us to start a new trade and so we always take this extra step to analyze the data at a deeper level because many other websites and scanners don't they report all high volume unusual trades without filtering Out close cling trades which leads to wrong results and losses for those following unusual option activity and that is why we have more winning trades than other websites now with that being said not every trade will be a winner but as long as we diversify our portfolio with high quality stock picks backed by strong data analysis and use options strategies that can gain more than what we could lose then we can stay consistently profitable over the long run and so if you want more trades to diversify your portfolio go to our website we'll put a link up here where you can get access to more opportunities and strategies to increase your profit potential now back to this trade let's break down the data even further based on our deep research and Analysis of multiple variables and data sets this wealthy investor bought these 110 strike calls and sold these 125 strike calls as a vertical call spread for 165 each the same price as we calculated and saw earlier on the options time and sales tape and so when we Analyze This trade you can see here on the risk profile profit loss graph where the x axis represents the share price of the stock which is currently trading over here and the Y AIS represents the amount of profit or loss note the zero break even line here and so when the purple line which represents the current date and the blue line which represents the options expiration date are trading below this zero break even Line This trade becomes more negative loss and if it trades above it this trade becomes more positive profitable because this is a long bullish trade and we can confirm it here on the Greeks we have a positive Delta trade if it was a short bearish trade it would be a negative Delta but be aware of the risk of this trade we have a negative Theta Decay which means that as time goes on this trade will lose in value and that is why you can see here the purple line drops down lower to the blue line as we approach the options expiration date since these options lose value through time the break even on this trade moves higher as time goes on and so so you can see here even though these call options have a strike price of $110 the stock needs to trade above $167 per share for this trade to be profitable at expiration because of this risk including earnings we only took a small position in this trade we don't invest a lot of capital into these higher risk trades instead we we focus most of our capital on Lower risk higher probability of profit trades the kind of Trades we share on our website we'll put a link to our website here where you can also learn more trading strategies to boost your profits and gain an extra Edge Beyond just picking the best stocks to beat the market let us know in the comments below do you think micron's stock will rally after earnings or do you think it will crash down as usual please like like subscribe and until next time let's keep tracking the trades of the rich so everyday investors can profit too take care and have a wonderful day