저자: ZachlyTrades · 외국인
요약 보기
마이크론(MU) 일봉에서 갭 메우기와 강세 다이버전스를 근거로 반등 가능성을 보고, 역헤드앤숄더 패턴 형성 시 56-58달러 돌파 후 62~73달러대 갭 메우기를 기대. 현재는 보유 아님, 관망하며 55달러 이하 진입·53.63달러 손절 구간을 관심 구간으로 제시. 다만 CPI/FOMC 등 악재와 이동평균선 하회를 리스크로 언급.
다듬은 글
all right what's up i'm super excited for today's video we are going to be taking a look at ticker symbol mu okay this is micron technology um and you know this is a chip company all right and we're going to start off looking at the daily chart here and i'm just going to show you guys what i'm paying attention to on the daily chart okay um you know this is one of you know my favorite bullish setups that we're currently in right now uh in the stock market uh but i'm not in it okay so i'm not telling you guys to put all your money in it i'm just watching okay i'm observing and i'm preparing for um you know a possible breakout or a breakdown all right the first thing i want to dive into which you may be a little bit confused by is all these blue rectangles and boxes on the chart these are what's known as daily gaps okay if you look in between this candlestick and this candlestick uh there was a nice gap that was uh you know in between those okay i like to highlight these areas because these are areas um that tend to fill about 90 to 95 percent of the time historically in the stock market um you know so the main question is not if it's going to fill it's a matter of when is it going to fill right and you have to uh you know be mindful of the you know market sentiment news a lot of things are we in a bull market or a bear market right um so with that being said you can see that we have this box down here okay i know that in a bear market gaps down are going to fill okay so you know this gap down here to 52 a lot of people may have you know wondered why we broke this support level here of about like 53 63 well you know there was a gap down that we really needed to fill and you can see that we came here wicked filled that gap the price action did not stay down there long okay it's just you know the algorithms needed to fill that gap buyers quickly came in filled that gap and the next day we exploded out of there all right part of the reason we exploded out of there is something known as bullish divergence i'm going to highlight it real quick we have a low and a low right here okay so what we're doing is we're creating low and a lower low all right if we look at our relative strength index all right which is an indicator you can use um that judges you know the relative strength of a stock at its current price level we can see that the relative strength actually went up um you know to a higher low all right and from that point we had a very strong rally and you can see the the rsi continued up and you know the stock also continued up if we look at it um you know that was roughly about a 15 rally in four days um that's really amazing stuff okay a lot of people if they could catch a 15 day trade um you know in four days uh they'd be really really happy and satisfied with themselves okay so you know that's one way that traders look to spot these things right is we're looking to see is the relative strength increasing as the price of the stock is actually dropping if so there's a chance that you could have this bullish divergence and see um you know some bullish activity in the future all right so now that we have that we have our bullish divergence trend line which is an area if we come back down to we have bounced before okay so patterns don't have to repeat themselves but they tend to repeat themselves okay so there's no guarantee if there was we'd all be billionaires but we're not okay so that's why you're watching this video and that's why i'm trying to break it down and help you guys out okay so look to see if we come down all right um and you know price action falls we want to see is the you know bullish divergence trend line going to be a valid support level so you could look and try to wait for it to come down all right and if we do pull back all right now why am i saying we'll pull back if i'm you know saying i'm bullish on this well there's so much fear out and fud across the market all right the stock has already been obliterated this year but even now currently um you know july 14th at the time of this recording uh there's still so much fears okay cpi data just came out yesterday ppi just came out today uh we have the fomc meeting in two weeks so you know there there is a possibility all right that you know things could pull back more all right but if we're able to hold this 5363 support level okay and we come back down and we bounce around here this is going to give us our right shoulder the beginning of a right shoulder okay so that's what this pattern is right here you're looking at it's an inverse head and shoulders pattern and it's a bullish pattern okay so you know we want to see are we gonna you know we have a left shoulder here formed we have a head all right we're really at this critical breakout level right here at 58.49 that's our major resistance level if we're able to open and close above there okay because as you see we have it right we haven't had one green candle open and close above there we had some open below and close above then next day we come back down we had this one open right near it okay but still below it all right and close above it and you know we just keep coming down afterwards okay so you know and we're battling that resistance really really hard right now um but you can see that you know we haven't had a green candle open and close above it so once i get that confirmation we could be um you know that could be confirmation we're heading up to fill the gap up to 62 dollars and about 30 40 cents all right above that we have another small gap up to about 65 84 on the chart that i'm watching let's just call it 66 all right and finally we have the third gap up that i'm watching up to about 73.05 okay so you know there is a potential that these could fill in the short term uh meaning over the next couple months right um but if not in economic conditions you know just keep worsening and you know inflation keeps getting worse um let's say there's another covent outbreak or something like that you know we may have to wait for the next bull market cycle for those gaps to fill but it's something i'm watching i definitely think you guys should be watching it too you can either try to catch the bounce off of the bullish divergence trend line okay um and you just think about it if we pull back right to try to form this right shoulder we're also going to pull back on the rsi and look at that bullish divergence so my main thing is i'm going to be looking for an entry right around this area and here okay and um if you know if i don't get it that's fine but it'll be really easy risk reward ratio okay so you know you can enter here at 55 um and below okay and have a stop loss maybe at 53.63 or just below 53.63 maybe at like 52 right whatever your own risk reward ratio is i'm not a financial advisor i don't know anybody's financial situations so i'm just trying to break down some technical analysis right but that would be a nice set up to me right is if we come down and we say hey now we're forming a right shoulder here um i know you know if we break this major support start opening and closing below there most likely we're heading lower so i can cut my losses quickly but to the upside you know i have lots of potential okay you can ride the momentum let's look at this um trend line right here and let's look at the value real quick all right and we can see that that's potentially a 32 percent move that you could get risking you know five percent okay so you know that's a very nice ratio that's about a one to six ratio you have your risk and reward clearly defined and if that's something you like that's something that i'm gonna be you know watching for as well now we may not um you know go ahead and and and pull back okay we could break out past this level all right and then i would be looking for confirmation that we're gonna hold this level and try to ride that momentum up towards this gap fill and take some profits there um you know that's basically how i would play this okay but don't forget overall sentiment um you know we can take a look at our moving averages we're far below the 50 sma far below the 100 sma and even farther below um you know the 200 sma okay so those are the main things i'm watching on mu it's got some nice setups um and you know i basically do viewer requests every single week i just wanted to throw that in there so you know if you like this video and you want to see some more and you want your stock to be in the next video make sure you comment below okay
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