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Tom Lee: Bitcoin $40K | BTC Surpasses Russian Ruble | Libra Ban?

BTC Sessions · 2019-06-20 · 유튜브 시청 5,410 · Board Views 8 · International

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저자: BTCSessions진행자 · 외국인

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비트코인은 단기 반등 중이며 9,200~9,400달러 저항 돌파 여부가 관건이다. 비트코인 가격 전망: 9,400달러대를 뚫으면 1만 달러 방향이 가능하다고 보지만 거절될 수도 있다. 톰 리는 1만 달러 돌파 시 FOMO로 연말까지 3~4배 상승을 말했으나 진행자는 과거 예측 실패 이력을 들어 회의적이다. 진행자는 다음 반감기(내년 5월 무렵) 이후에야 사상 최고가 경신을 예상한다. 과거 흐름: 올해 4월 1일 이후 약 5,000달러 상승했고, 전년 11월~12월부터 연중 대부분 횡보했다. 진행자는 과거 영상에서 반감기 이후 1년쯤 블로오프 고점으로 10만~30만 달러를 추정한 바 있으나 본인도 확신하지 않는다고 밝혔다. 통화량 비교: 비트코인 통화기반은 약 1,640억 달러 수준으로 러시아 루블을 넘어 8위 규모다. 금은 약 7.7조 달러로 비교 대상이 되지 않으며, 비트코인이 사상 최고가 수준으로 오르면 5배 상승 시 상위 5위권이 가능하다고 계산했다. 페이스북 리브라: 러시아 국회 금융시장위원장은 러시아에서 합법화하지 않겠다고 밝혔다. 인도는 암호화폐 금지와 최대 10년 징역 법안을 추진 중이어서 리브라 사용이 제한될 수 있다. 미 의회는 규제 기관 검토 전까지 활동 중단을 촉구했다. 진행자는 비트코인은 국경을 넘지만 리브라는 관할권의 제약을 받는다고 평가했다. 라이트닝 기반 브라우저 확장 'Jewel': 웹사이트 콘텐츠에 자동으로 소액 결제하는 모델로, 광고와 개인정보 판매 없이 수익을 얻는 대안으로 소개했다. 진행자는 광고 모델이 인터넷 수익의 기반이라 대체가 어렵다고 보며, 개인정보에 대한 보상 모델도 유망하다고 언급했다. 리플(XRP) 비판: 마지막으로 리플을 조롱하는 비트코인 풀영상 예고편을 소개했다. 투자 조언이나 가격 전망은 없다. 후원 및 광고: 대출 서비스(Leaden), 이자 상품, 노드VPN 등 스폰서 소개가 있었다. 진행자는 '나도 톰 리처럼 되고 싶지 않다'며 자신의 예측도 가볍게 들으라고 강조했다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. what's up everyone been with the BTC sessions here and this is your daily session total dead Bitcoin before we dive in a couple quick things as usual of course big shout-out to sponsors of the show leaden dot IO this is where you can use your Bitcoin for a couple of different services one of which is to obtain a Canadian or US dollar loan using Bitcoin as collateral the application takes a couple minutes to fill out if you're successful well your bank account is usually funded within 24 hours secondly you can also sign up for a Bitcoin savings account where you can earn five point one percent interest compounded monthly on your Bitcoin paid in Bitcoin not in dollars in Bitcoin so if you're interested in either of these things check out the link down below they also have a deal where if you sign up for a loan through the link I provided they'll give you an additional $50 with a Bitcoin into your account and secondly before we move into the news here I've reached out to Nord VPN this is a service that I use myself if you are using Bitcoin or anything cryptocurrency related on the Internet even if you're not privacy is important and I've been on a big privacy kick lately so essentially what nor does is it enables you to encrypt your browsing from prying eyes things like hackers other types of surveillance so if you don't want people watching what you're doing particularly with money and things like that where you could potentially stand to lose it well this could be for you you can get up to six devices on a single plan and also it on blogs and geo blocked content so maybe you want to watch a TV show or you want to use a particular messenger service or maybe you'd like to jump on bit max or something like that it's not available in your country well this allows you to change your location on the internet so that you can access those services so if you click the link below they'll give you 75% off for a three-year package it ends up being about three bucks a month so feel free to check that out and with that we will dive into the news so the Bitcoin price has been on the move today so right now we're looking around we're kind of the mid 9200 s going back up towards 90 300 will we break through where we were before that kind of 9400 mid to high 9400 range if so we could be headed to 10k but who knows we could bounce back off of it and get rejected again however we have people making sizable calls for the rest of the year now this is Tom Lee some some he's he's been on CNBC quite a bit but we'll just say he's made some notoriously bad calls he was calling for like 50 K or was he he was calling for a sorry $25,000 in 2018 and we all know how that ended up he couldn't have been further from the truth there but he's saying that the rise above $10,000 will trigger massive FOMO or fear of missing out and that people will pile in and drive a you know 3 or 400 percent increase by the end of the year getting close to 40k myself I'm not super convinced of this to be honest I'm still inclined to believe that we won't see new all-time highs until well after the next having which is looking to be around May of next year but yeah I mean I was I've already been surprised by the price this year thus far so anything could happen but realistically I'm not I'm really not expecting to see the previous all-time high reached anytime in the near future that said I mean look at look at this year it's we're up five thousand dollars since our April Fool's Day surged we're pumped on April and you can see in the chart here it was pretty much since since kind of mid or so late November into December it was pretty flat and crappy for most of the year and then all the sudden April we just started this parabolic rise and we're now kind of halfway to our previous all-time high I just I I just don't see it yet you know we're starting to see it you know all over CNBC again they kind of petered out last year there wasn't as much mention of it because of the decline and the lack of interest well of course with the price going up there is more interest yet again so I would take anything that Tom Lee has to say with a giant handful of salt but you know always fun to see these kinds of headlines popping up once again it means there's interest now to this note we should say that bitcoin is now larger than the Russian ruble as far as its monetary base and by monetary base we're not talking about debt instruments or anything like that we're just talking about the money that was created by the central bank of Russia meaning that it is now the 8th world largest world currency so you can see now they did put in gold and silver here so when you factor in gold and silver it is the 10th largest but when you just factor in a central bank issued currencies versus Bitcoin it comes in at number 8 and so you can see what's up who else is up there so Japan actually has the largest monetary base and this is supply in trillions of dollars so gold is in and around seven point seven trillion whereas Bitcoin is zero point two or you know two hundred billion in that range they don't go lower than a single decimal point so really actually what's Bitcoin ad it's actually adds a hundred and sixty four billion at the current valuation but yeah it's interesting also to see I didn't realize that in the United States was not at the top of the list here but it looks like Japan China in eurozone with the euro are in ahead of us as far as the size of their monetary bases but yeah that's that's interesting to see it also kind of goes to show with a major bump in Bitcoin price how quickly we're gonna be moving up that list if you know even a 5x increase from here we would be you know top 5 out of world currencies if you exclude gold and and silver however to get up to the level of something like gold you're looking at a sizable increase like 30 something times where we're at right now which would I did the math earlier it would PO doesn't just shy of half a million dollars per Bitcoin I don't know if we'll see that anytime soon but hey maybe in the next few years the crazier things have happened and I did make a video a while back on the price where I said I could potentially see the next major bubble like a year after the having where our kind of blow off top would look something like in in the range of a hundred thousand maybe even three hundred thousand dollars as a guesstimate I would not be surprised to see that happen but again I'm just some guy on the internet so you should probably not take anything I had to say to heart either I don't want to be Tom Lee now we were talking a whole bunch about Facebook's Libre coin the other day Facebook's cryptocurrency that they're creating well it's now that they've dropped the white paper and in the cat's out of the bag and people have kind of seen what they're doing well governments are starting to push back and we all even talked a little bit about that the other day while Russia is saying that it's not going to legalize Facebook's cryptocurrency so there was a chairman chairman of the Russian State Duma Committee on financial markets he said it will not be legalized in Russia in theory we should talk about the possibility of organizing all kinds of exchanges trading platforms and sales of such currencies we I believe limit or prohibit the creation of such sites those who want to acquire these tools using foreign legislation can do it at their own risk so more or less they're they're not going to be welcomed welcoming it with open arms and we've seen this from multiple different countries now also we were talking the other day regarding libre that facebook is going to have a native app that people can use to send peer-to-peer with their currency well apparently it's not going to be able to be used in some of their largest markets so all of some people may not know but the largest Facebook user base is not in the US but rather in India and while India is just straight up trying to ban cryptocurrency they even floated a bill recently where somebody may potentially face ten years in prison for utilizing cryptocurrency now that bill is not passed but it's just something being floated through their government regardless any market that has banned cryptocurrency will not be able to use Libre so you can see that you're starting to see very distinct differences here in relation to something like Bitcoin we're more or less it can it transcends borders whereas Facebook and Libre are very much at the at the mercy of whatever jurisdiction that that thing happens to be in now that's not to say that down the line potentially given that it's open source somebody could maybe make a wallet that becomes available or you can use I was talking about VPNs at the beginning perhaps that might get you in the back door but time will tell it still seems that they're very much at the mercy of whatever regulatory scrutiny comes down on them in fact you even had Congress saying that they need they're urging Facebook to basically halt all activity on this until Congress and regulators have had an opportunity to examine it and of course regulators want them to stop doing what they're doing and and who knows they might force them to but that's why I'm thankful Bitcoin exists moving on here this was a fun little story and actually I'm I'm just gonna bypass this article I'm gonna go straight to the medium post here so there is a browser extension called jewel and jewel is meant for lightning payments native in your browser and essentially what they've started to do and create here is micro payments that are automatic from the browser so what it would be is you know you can have all these little extensions up topping the right side of your browser well it would be an extension like that and when you click you would be able to set your browser so that if you're visiting a site that has automatic lightning payments perhaps it's a video streaming service perhaps it's a pay-per-view article like like medium or something like that if that was integrated well without any intervention from you you could set parameters so that your browser would auto pay content now why would you want to do this well it throws out the window the old model of doing things on the internet where either you are being forced to watch ads in order to obtain content or you're giving away your information a lot of the time unbeknownst to you in order to obtain content and people are then monetizing your information in order to support what they're doing while this takes out that middleman and just pays directly and your browser kind of just does it all in the background without you having to set it so essentially you would set the parameters you would say okay I've funded my browser with this much I'm okay with this much being spent in a single transaction maybe like a thousand satoshi or a hundred Satoshi whatever it may be and you can even set cooldown periods where you don't want a malicious site trying to just drain your balance by spamming you with a whole bunch of transactions maybe it cools down thirty seconds before it redoes it you can set things like notifications every time you do a an auto payment it'll just pop up as a notification and you can also set a maximum payment so lots of cool things here I think it'll be really interesting to see this kind of stuff roll out over time I do think it's gonna be tough to get away from our typical model of advertising because that's essentially become the backbone of the internet and how people make money and people right now there has been a push for privacy but also people very much right now I still feel they don't value their privacy enough and they don't realize the valuable information they're giving away when browsing the Internet I think we need to have people realize that their information is valuable and perhaps the inverse of this would be when you visit a website perhaps somebody instead of taking your information and selling it perhaps what they could say is hey if you give us your information like you as an advertiser maybe if an individual gives an advertiser their information they can be rewarded for that and you can just set that in your browser where you say hey I'm visiting all these sites I'm going to allow them to know my country of origin my gender and my age I'm okay with giving away that information and I expect compensation in return for that information on my browsing history and my demographics so I think that could be a cool model and I'm excited to see this progress and finally I want to touch on one other thing I've been dropping these the last couple I haven't mentioned the show but this is our our final teaser for the full drop of our full Bitcoin video so we're ripping on ripple again here so I hope you guys enjoy I'm gonna play right now and of course let me know what you think but without further ado this is the final teaser for the full Bitcoin video coming out on Friday and this is my buddy Russ method acting as a XRP army member enjoy are we down again no it's alright uh yeah you've got an XRP standard here it's just so good okay all these people pretending what money is I just don't get it I don't get people's problem with this stuff all the time it is the best currency in the whole market just hands-down and all ripples ever wanted to do it is print money not even a bait why do you think all the big cleaners get so angry at it but can't even go on Twitter anymore like no one even wants to talk to pull Bitcoin cut the well I hope you enjoyed that if you did there's a link for it down below and feel free to share it wherever you like hit us up on Twitter if you like to and with that guys I'm gonna log out here thank you so much for watching again if you want to support the show you can hit ledin the link down below or you can check out for nord VPN of course if you're new here hit subscribe hit like hit that little Bell notification icon because I'm always in the chat when this airs for the first time chatting everybody up join me on telegram there's a link for that and I'll show that in the chat if you're in there now and of course if you really like what you saw feel free to drop me a tip via the Lightning Network and my tip and dummy page and I'll link a video for that as well with that I'm out guys have a great evening and I will see you tomorrow for your daily session you

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