Tom Lee "Buy This Stock In 2024 And NEVER Work Again"

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Tom Lee 인터뷰 발췌를 재생하며 AI·기술주 중심 미국 주식 강세와 금리 인하 기대를 강조. 인구구조·AI로 수년간 高수익 사이클 가능, S&P500 5700 이상 연말 전망, 인플레이션 둔화로 연준 인하 기대. 진행자는 자신의 $825k 계좌 수익률을 과시하며 유료 강의·디스코드 판매로 유도.

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01. Tomley just said two interviews that are the craziest interviews that I've ever seen in my entire life I'm going to play both of those interviews right now I just made a couple really big trades on this information this is my $825,000 portfolio I made $116,000 just today alone and my 2-year return I'm up $550,000 I'm going to show you the exact trades that I just made I don't think it's too late for other people to make these trades I honestly might double down on a couple of them so here's the interview and then I'll show you them trades you have not been drinking no okay not recently not not not recently 15,000 I'm just going to sit here and listen Okay well uh there's a couple of reasons behind this one is this would be the third time that stocks entered a cycle where annual returns compound at High Teens you know you had the Roaring 20s and then you had the 50s through the late 60s and this is a third cycle they all coincided with a surge in the number of people aged 30 to 50 so in other words the number of prime AG adults and this time it's powered by Millennials and gen Z on top of that we have a a really a big opportunity for us technology companies because of AI which is supplying the global digital labor because there's a global labor shortage so these two forces are combining to I think power almost a decade of extraordinarily good stock returns so we all know that the biggest and the best technology companies are here based in America we have apple we have Nvidia we have Microsoft there's a long list of companies in NASDAQ that are probably going to be the future of our economy so me personally I oriented my portfolio to capitalize on these companies I believe that technology is the future if that plays out I will make millions of dollars on these trades right here I think that there's going to be a lot of dollars spent on us technology product cuz the world is short 80 million workers by the end of this decade that's roughly 3 trillion of Labor shortage of labor salary that's turning turning into silicon so that means us suppliers of silicon and AI are going to you know have a$3 trillion Revenue run rate on top of that if us companies are growing earnings at this speed the P multiple of the US should go up and that's exactly your point there's going to be Capital flows into the US and you know where else in the world do you find the best and most important technology companies they're all basically in America they're all here I mean we it's amazing to me that that Nvidia alone folks Nvidia by itself is worth 50% more than the entire German Dax index of stocks combined yes the 30 biggest companies in Germany or 33 however many are in the Dax combined are half the size of Nvidia because we have liquid Capital markets we have American Ingenuity that was a really good example just to put in perspective how big Nvidia really is and honestly I feel like we're just getting started I feel like technology is definitely going to be the future and we are on the brink of a major technology shift if you go back historically and you look at times where technology did a massive shift when email came out when the internet came out when the first car came out people didn't think that it would be a thing imagine all the people that had horses when cars came out they're like there's no way this horse is going to be replaced by this car where's the horses at right now and the thing about technology is you're either going to invest in it or that technology will invest in replacing you so what side of the equation are you going to be on are you going to invest in this technology and capitalize on it or you going to get replaced at your job and be left behind it's a bold call what's the risk when you look at you've always got to analyze say well where could I be wrong right yep well I think there's a risk that we could have Global recession a global recession uh AI of course could become an ad an adversarial development and you know upend State Nations and cause chaos but we could also have a risk that it's a bubble and it Peaks a lot sooner every single good investor and Trader they always look at both sides of the story you don't just want to look on a good side of the story why your trade could go right for you you want to say how could this trade go bad how could I potentially be wrong you have to analyze all aspects of your trade in order to make good profitable trades you have to understand the full meal deal I think it's possible because you know inflation internals are collapsing I think the the headline core CPI and we'll get Friday PC they're being propped up by housing and auto insurance which are two components but the rest of the CPI index you know 55% of the CPI basket is below pre-pandemic inflation rates now it's the highest in four years the 20e average is 50% so inflation is tanking so I talk about this all the time how interest rates are like gravity on a stock market so if rates go down the stock market can go a lot higher so as inflation comes down the FED is going to keep lowering interest rates most likely as they lower rates more money is going to pile into the stock market cuz there's really no other game in town so nobody's going to go put their money in a bond or a CD or a money market and maybe get a 3% return per year when you could get roughly 10% per year in the stock market once you average it out over the long run people are going to say it's not even worth my time to get that 3% yield so they're going to put their money in the stock market and when they put their money into the stock market PE ratios typically go up so this right here is the CME fed watch tool this is the expectations for what interest rates are going to be going into the future so right now our current interest rate is 5% if we go to the October 29th of 2025 meeting so roughly 1 year from right now we're expected to be in this range right here so 3.5 and we're currently at 5% so we are expecting roughly 1.5% interest rate Cuts roughly one year from right now so we're going to get quite a bit more Cuts going into the future and I honestly feel like inflation is a lot lower than what's actually being reported so I think going to 3.5% is actually a little bit higher than what we're going to be at so I think that gives the stock market even more leeway to run up a little bit more because I think interest rates are actually going to fall lower than what's being predicted you know bull markets uh are supported by strong fundamentals and this is a case where not only is has the economy survived extremely high interest rates but the FED is beginning to cut rates and a an economy that has sort of been languishing um has been China and now we have some stimulus and what looks like some bazooka policies that is supporting that region and we have a lot of cash on the sidelines so I think that this is a formula for stocks to do pretty well the next 3 to 12 months and and that's why we you you know we think that you we would be well beyond 5700 before year end so this right here is a year-to-date chart on the S&P 500 so it's currently at 5700 bucks per share right now this is a year-to DAT chart and year-to dat we're up 21% so Tomley is saying he expects the market to keep going up he thinks that we're going to have a strong finish into the end of the year even though we have an election coming up in roughly 1 month so for me personally any of the dips any of the volatility that we have going into the election I think those are really good buying opport it's hard for the market to get into too much trouble when the FED is easing into a resilient economy and even though we're having to worry about maybe less fed easing than we thought U Thursday before we got this jobs report I think that's a better formula economy holds up better the only reason you'd worry about it is if you think the strong Friday jobs number was a head fake and all of a sudden it really was not representative of the economy being strong and yet yields are higher and yet oil's higher so it's actually a really good point so right here shows you a chart of what the Federal Reserve did when they raised in interest rates right here then we went plateau and now we just started to do a little cut right here but what he's saying is if the economy starts to weaken we have so much ammunition and so much Firepower because we're at such a high interest rate right now we could cut rates so much to respark the economy but it would be a bad scenario if say for example our rates will be like 1% right now then we go into recession you could only cut from 1% to 0% in a recession but if we go into a recession in the near future we're at 5% right now look at how far we could cut all the way down to zero to respark the economy so the Federal Reserve can most likely support the economy if something bad were to happen just think about how many people are going to go buy cars and go byy houses go buy a bunch of stuff if interest rates fall to practically zero that would really spark the economy all right so let's head into my $825,000 trading account right now this is on Charles Schwab this account has been absolutely on fire now I get it that the stock market has been going up but just keep in mind I am prepared for all scenarios I prepared for the stock market to go down I'm prepared for the stock market to go up but for the last few years I've been absolutely dominating what the stock market's been doing just look at this 2-year return right here I made over 200% in 2 years that's $550,000 if you want to learn exactly how I do this stuff I just released my course I'm going to walk you through step by step exactly how I do this stuff when to enter a trade when to exit a trade how to know if things are undervalued how to know if things are overvalued and the exact indicators that I look at that are super reproducible I've been making these trades in literally 90 % of my option trades that I do I make money on and when you scale a portfolio making 75% Roi year over-year over-ear you get astronomical returns remember that coupon code expires in one week you have one week to get in the prices are never going to get cheaper so definitely check out the link below if you want to get into that but now let's drop into the portfolio let's talk about some of the specific trades that I do and we'll go from there all right so here's that account $759,000 right here this account value is lower than a total Schwab amount because I have multiple accounts in Schwab so this is just the one account that I do most of my trading in within Schwab so $759,000 total account value right here so total gain loss of everything we have open right now $273,000 and this total cost basis right here is super inaccurate let me give you a quick example why because I think most you guys really need to understand this stuff so right here for this position right here I have 912 shares of triple Q I own those shares straight up it says right here that my cost basis is $313,000 but here's the deal let's just say hypothetically speaking I sent $11,000 to this Charles Schwab account and somehow I was able to make a crazy trade where I turned $1,000 into $313,000 so I do that trade I sell it I get $313,000 in cash in my Charles Schwab account then I go buy shares of triple Q with that that will show my cost basis on Triple Q of $313,000 but that does not show you how much money you actually sent to this Charles Schwab account this just shows you the cost basis of your actively open positions so keep that in mind when you check out cost basis and you see my cost basis on all these trades right here these trades are super Dynamic I make new trades all the time every single week I make multiple trades and I'm going to be honest with you guys I make less trades but I make bigger trades so for example on this trade right here I sold some Tesla puts I sold them for 30k I could buy them back for 10 right now so I'm up $20,000 on that trade right here going to the right hand side I only need to have a margin requirement of $444,000 on this account that margin requirement is Satisfied by having shares right here this is the stuff that I teach you guys in my course doing cash secured puts is stupid in my opinion if I were to get assigned these shares right here I could take assignment I have the money to take assignment but why would I sit on cash at my account because if these shares right here go up 10% per year and I can make another you know 20% per year doing option trades or whatever it may be I mean it's been like 50% per year why not get that extra return Why sit in cash if I don't have to so we got those Tesla puts that I sold some triple ke puts I sold Apple puts I sold more triple key puts I sold we got some Microsoft puts that I sold right here all these trades are absolutely printing cash right now and this is just some of the trades that I do on Charles Schwab and keep in mind by the time that you're watching this video there's a really good chance that I initiated so many new trades because I'm pretty active in this account right here I also have a Discord where I show you all my live trades in real time I talk in there all day long I give you my stock market updates you guys could shoot me any questions that you want so you go do the course once you get into the course I give you a link to get into the Discord it's pretty much like a mastermind Discord group if you want to have access to me you have to be a course member so check that link Out Below coupon code expires in one week the course is never ever ever going to be this cheap again it's only going to go way up in price don't forget to like And subscribe I come out with the video every other day I'll see you guys later