저자: John · 외국인
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결론: 채널 운영자 John은 이 영상에서 CMG(치폴레)·테슬라·엔비디아·얼타(ULTA)·길리어드(GILD) 5개 종목을 차트로 분석하며, 치폴레·테슬라·길리어드에는 약세, 엔비디아에는 약간 강세 입장을 보였다. [치폴레(CMG)] - 일봉상 6일 상승 후 618 breakdown 바 부근에서 3일간 조정, 50일선 지지 확인 필요. 전일 약 1.5% 하락. - 주봉은 20주선 아래에서 주간 종가를 형성, 약세 패턴. 685~695 이중바닥 부근을 확인 후 반등 여부 판단. 20주선 회복 전까지 약간 약세 견해. - 월봉은 추세선 하향 이탈 후 재진입 실패, 횡보 후 하락 가능성 언급. 추세선 및 50·20 이동평균 회복 필요. [테슬라(TSLA)] - 주봉 breakdown, 추세선 하향 이탈 확인. 하방 목표 187~188 언급, 180 부근 강한 지지 언급. - 19666 갭 메움 후 반등 시도 가능성은 언급되나 200 상향 돌파 전까지 약세 우위. - 월봉 618선 종가 하회 여부는 추가 확인 필요. 시장과 동조 흐름 전망. [엔비디아(NVDA)] - 일봉상 이중고점 후 하락 마감했으나 20일선 지지 유지, 강세 패턴 유지. 주봉은 20주선과 이격이 커 조정 필요 가능성 언급. - 월봉 20개월선과 이격이 커 장기적으로 20개월선 쪽으로 수렴 예상, 상승 목표 언급은 399~439 범위. [얼타(ULTA)] - 주요 지지 이탈 후 갭 구간 횡보 중. 일봉상 되돌림 시 숏 관점. 240 부근 지지, 232 및 228 갭 구간 하락 시 213~215(200일선) 및 194 갭 메움 가능성. - 시장(SPY, IWM) 약세 시 추가 하락 리스크. 228 부근 또는 189~190 구간에서 매수 검토 가능성 언급, 현재는 관망 권고. [길리어드(GILD)] - 주봉 약세 인사이드바 형성, 20주선 하락 전환. 78.13 저점 주간 종가 이탈 시 하락 가능성, 다음 목표 70 부근, 63.9 언급. - 월봉은 50개월선 아래 종가 확인 필요. 보유 중이면 포지션 축소 권고, 시장 전체 하락 시 추가 하락 우려. [출연자 전망 요약] 치폴레·테슬라·길리어드 약세, 엔비디아 중립~약간 강세, 얼타 단기 관망 및 조건부 하락 가능성. 리스크는 전반적 시장(SPY, IWM) 동조 하락 여부.
다듬은 글
hello Traders John stock bookie.com today we're looking at CMG Tesla Nvidia Ulta we're going to use the daily weekly monthly time frames and we're going to let's look at uh CMG like we've been talking about we had a nice retrace came right back into this breakdown bar I wish it would have came back up in here but they gave us what they um they gave us all they got six days up into 618 breakdown we pulled back for three days now into a little bit of support we have the 618 down here the 50 Ma we're going to see how it reacts tomorrow nice selloff $627 down or 1.51% down so technically we're still in a in a bullish stance but now we're starting to break down again but we do have a macro bull in a micro bearish pattern down sideways starting to go down again I'd like to see a little more consolidation before it breaks down but it's giv us what it gives us uh the weekly chart same same thing we watched this one here we came up into this 20 ma curled over on the weekly now we went down we're below it again we closed below this is a weekly close so now we're looking from our follow through if we do get follow through we are definitely going to come into the 685 or up 685 390 395 double bottom in here then we're going to watch how it reacts but for now it's still okay we'll see if we get a bullish inside bar next week going up but ultimately it is setting up in a bearish pattern I believe this will be going down till it gets above the 20 and closes on the weekly I'm I'm somewhat of a Believer it's going to move up but you know we're into the 440 area into this breakdown so so we'll see we we got to play it day by day each um daily close gives us a new piece of the puzzle and we'll go from there monthly chart monthly chart that's what I'm saying down bearish now we closed you know we closed below this trend line is that even a trend line yeah that that's the best not the worst but we closed below they try to recapture it we're still below it now we're setting up sideways in a bearish manner possibly to break down they need to get this above this trend line and then of course recapture these the 50 and the 20 moving averages until then I am slightly bearish on Chipotle let's see Tesla Tesla again just breaking down man I mean they had that SpaceX stuff but we talked about this down sideways pattern they tried chopping it then it came below the 20 chopped around inside bar came closer and closer they tried to pop it out shake the weak hand shorts out and boom right back down once we confirmed under the the moving averages we did hit this trend line bounced one day and we talked about this this thing can actually bounce if it retraces back into this area we'll short again and then Kaboom and then we all know what happened there but we did fill the Gap today around 19666 this thing has to get above that and I'm going to say even the 200 level area this is a 750 retrace going back up it's going to be a 250 retrace we need to get back above $200 but what I'm saying is we'll probably get sideways action for the next leg down if this continues down on on Tuesday because maybe the overall indexes are selling we're definitely heading down to 18787 and that's it you get breakdown bars like this but you're getting a little bit of exhaustion selling you did have pretty good selling on this day and then lighter volume so that's telling me it could possibly be finding a bottom we're going to have to wait to see because let me tell you on the weekly wow this this is nuts that is a nice breakdown bar I mean this is weekly we one two three four five six seven eight eight weeks of just doing nothing then they drop it in your face unbelievable but again it's Tesla and you know how this one works you know just like I mean just like this one here check this out so we come up everyone buys they slam it goes up everyone's like oh this is great it's going to 300 they slam it goes up again they start upgrading it slam it and this time slam it goes up on a Model 3 I mean this this epic run was just insane everyone they all ton of people look at look at all the buyers look at all this this is all these people buying and now they're stuck up here and here we go again and ultimately we broke this trend line here and we confirmed under it man not good I think we're going to the 18787 that's my thoughts we'll see only time will tell again we have great support around 180 so if this continues downward look out uh 19871 wow they did close it above the oh no they did not so the 618 here they closed it below it this is the monthly so we got to wait but on the weekly close they are below the 75 or the 618 here this thing starts to go with the markets 180 here we come that's Tesla let's look at Nvidia Nvidia same thing and this was funny cuz I think someone upgraded them yesterday so we got back to double top and today they sent it down it was only 62 cents but on the the low end of the day I think we were right around Buck 30 Buck 40 down so they they're holding it above this 20 ma getting everybody sucked in so just like Dollar General another high flyer this will eventually come in but bullish pattern still a little bit stretched on the on the weekly has to come down a little bit closer to this 20 ma when this starts to get separated like this you want nice even spacing that will tell you we have a good uptrend once you start widening out like this no no good monthly chart look at this thing the 20 ma is at one or 3363 it cannot stay that long that far away from the moving average it's that simple eventually it's a monthly chart but eventually it will start slowly drifting this will start curling up so price will be a little bit higher but I'm thinking right around the 3966 maybe 4390 but we'll see how this thing starts to come in they all do let look at Ulta this is another one high flyer tell everybody look out look out and they all laughed at me oh this this you're wrong this is going to go look so broke down broke below the good support areas and we came right into uh this was almost a gap around 14782 this is the 618 off of pivots right there off Gap window so it's it's actually consolidating under that that's not good if we go up about four or five more days consolidation or retrace back up into this area because the 20 ma is going to start curling down we retrace back into there you want to short this one period 's the all-time high as a stop out and go from there weekly chart weekly chart we do have support in this area and that's what it's holding 24627 was support as well as the 20 ma 240 if this thing starts to go we are definitely going right right in here around 232 and then the 228 Gap window and ultimately if this thing starts to sell with this spy we are going down oops where are we we're going down to 21365 or the 200 moving average and there's another Gap fill down here around 194 so anywhere in this area you have to correlate this with the market that's byy the iwm if everything's fling this will continue lower but if we get a bounce excuse me if we get a bounce in the mark say the markets are selling this is selling then we get into this area and the markets start to catch a bid this is a great area to buy Alta right now I would just sit on my hands if you're a buy the Dipper let it come down to at least the 228 area in this or even this low pivot around 232 don't with this setup here if it keeps going sideways and slowly goes up this thing curls down on top of it it's going down weekly that's got support down in there monthly monthly almost had a full engulfing candle we're clicking over I'm thinking the next ride down next stop 228 and that's around that Gap fill or sell so if you want to be a buy the Dipper 228 maybe I would wait for the more of the 197 ultimately the 189 190 area then maybe be a buyer because I mean this look at this stock I mean come on it was like $2 in 2009 now it's 200 whatever $78 it's Ulta come on it's not like an apple or something so but that's my take on that one and then I'm going to look at Gilead there's been a gentleman I think a gentleman asked me about this one oh man I'm just going to go to the weekly weekly you got a bears inside bar I would have lik to seen more candle sideways but this 20 ma curling down man you know if it does not recapture this low here right around 7813 on a weekly close like next week if this reverses and goes up it's got to get above this low candle and I would love it this get it above uh the 82 81 area and then really it's going to probably retrace back into this area may maybe the high of this top of this bar and if you really get lucky if the markets catch a bid you might go into this and if you're long gosh you know I I for me personally I would I would just take it off the table we were short up in here in Gilead we took I don't know maybe 5 to 10% on this one and of course it kept going but it's ugly and the IBB and all that starts selling it's it's going to continue to go lower next stop if the whole everything breaks down we're going to 6390 but now you got to wait until the weekly close next week if it closes below this red bar low we're heading down somewhere into this area you know 70 bucks even number maybe and then uh monthly chart monthly chart not not too pretty either we had an inside bar retraced up into the 618 to 20 ma and then boom we're breaking down and then boom we're just slowly bleeding and and it doesn't have bad volume but now we closed right on top of the 50 Ma and we're gonna have to see what the monthly close is right now I'm bearish on Gilead if you're long tighten that stock because we could definitely go down 6343 and especially if the overall markets the Spy the hes and everything else starts to dump everything's going to be in trouble in my opinion all right everyone thanks for watching my video God bless and have a wonderful weekend see you on the charts
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