저자: YAPSS Archive · 외국인
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my question to you sir is regarding to ipos we had one of the authors about a book on yourself visit us in sydney last year and apparently you dislike ipos my question is there are some really poor businesses that try and get passed off but there are some good ones there's some government privatizations or decentralizations the demographics of baby boomers and we have some friends wanting to exit some really good businesses could we as investors and berkshire hathaway not apply some of your disciplines to look at investing in some of these and finally would you answer be different in its applicability to berkshire hathaway as a company as opposed to us as investors thank you sir charlie the first question is it entirely possible that you could use our mental models to find good things to buy among ipos the answer is sure there are a zillion ipos every year and buried in those ipos i'm sure there's a there are a few senches that are really intelligent person could find and pounce on so welcome on the but the average person buying ipos is going to get creamed so if you're talented enough why sure that will work the second question i forget about the government offering services about government spin-offs them the spotlight again what was the second question it was just would the attitude of berkshire hathaway be different of supposed to investors thank you yeah because the ipos are normally small enough so they won't work for us or they're high-tech where we couldn't understand them and so by and large if warren is looking at them why i don't know about it yeah they i mentioned earlier how you an auction market prevailing in the uh in the stock market will will offer up extraordinary bargains sometimes because somebody will sell a half a percent or one percent of a company at a price that may be a quarter of what it's worth whereas in negotiated deals you don't get that an ipo situation more closely approximates a negotiated deal i mean the seller decides one to come to market in most cases and they don't pick a time necessarily that's good for you so it has i think it's way less likely that in scanning a list of 100 securities that are trading in the auction market uh well in the 100 ipos if you scan 100 ipos you're going to come up with something cheaper than scanning 100 companies that are already trading in the auction market it is more of a negotiated sale and negotiated transactions are very hard to get bargains if you take the houses in omaha you know somebody that lives next door to somebody who sold their house for 80 000 or dollars and their house is more or less comparable they're not going to sell it for 50.
it just doesn't happen the people are it's too important an asset and they're cognizant of what it brings what is being brought for similar properties that's what happens in negotiated sales now if on the other hand there was some a whole bunch of entities that owned one percent of each house in omaha and you had an auction market and those one percentage points they might sell it damn near anything and occasionally they sell at crazy prices so you're way in in my view you're way more likely to get incredible bargains in the in the uh in an auction market it's just the nature of things the ipo is closer sometimes there will be ipos in terrible markets uh and they may come very cheap but by and large that is not when ipos come they come when the seller thinks that the the market is ready for them and they they come they come with an informed seller thinking it's a pretty good time to go public and uh you know that you'll make better buys in my view in an auction market number eight you







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