저자: Noblesse · 한국인
요약 보기
미국 증시 상승 후에도 조정을 기대하며 적립식 장기투자를 강조. 나스닥·빅테크 장기 우상향 견해, TQQQ는 2021년 고점 90달러 재돌파 및 장기 10배 이상 상승 전망. 조정 시 더 많이 매수할 기회로 봄. 현재 TQQQ는 고점 대비 50% 수준으로 언급.
다듬은 글
How do you all feel about the significant rise in the US stock market lately? If you think you are happy simply because stock prices have gone up, you are mistaken. Hello, this is Noblesse. The stock market trend is excellent these days due to various indicators and corporate earnings. I may have started with a bit of a provocative greeting, but please do not take offense, and I would appreciate it if you could watch the video until the end.
Lately, it seems there has been a significant increase in the number of people reporting that their accounts have turned upward after the long bear market ended. I offer my sincere congratulations to those whose accounts have turned positive, and I also want to express my deep respect to those who have endured this long bear market since the end of 2021.
The fact that your accounts have turned positive means that you consistently engaged in dollar-cost averaging even during this downturn. I know very well that buying stocks when everyone is trembling in fear during a bear market is by no means an easy task. That is why you are even more amazing, and knowing that, I want to convey my congratulations and respect even more.
Now, the US Nasdaq, which TQ tracks, seems truly remarkable. Other countries around the world are currently reporting quite poor economic conditions and various indicators. Many nations are worried about recessions. Well, the US is the number one powerhouse, and China is currently experiencing the fear of deflation.
I am also concerned about an even more severe economic recession ahead. While the entire world is struggling economically, the U.S. is currently showing "Goldilocks" signs, with robust consumption, solid employment, and inflation figures falling slowly. That is why the stock market seems to be steadily and consistently trending upward.
Now, while it is understandable to enjoy the feeling of happiness when stock prices rise and your account turns positive, you should never simply rejoice. If you look at the long term with the mindset of a long-term investor, if stock prices rise this rapidly, long-term investors like us will inevitably end up paying high prices to buy.
The basic mechanism of the stock market is to buy low and sell high. Long-term investors do not necessarily set a fixed investment target, but it is certainly better to buy in large quantities when prices are low. I believe the greatness of TQQ, in which we are investing, has not even begun yet. I do not think those of you investing in U.S.
stocks—not just TQQ, but also Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia—are investing just to make a small profit. So, what is our ultimate goal? It is financial freedom and a comfortable retirement. We are currently making this painful investment for that reason. Most of you are likely office workers right now. You might cheer on Friday, but starting Sunday evening, a sense of fear will slowly creep in.
Then comes Monday, the announcement that you have to go to work on Sunday. Since I live in the provinces, my commute is less than 30 minutes, but a friend of mine living in the metropolitan area says they spend over 3 hours a day just commuting between Seoul and Gyeonggi. Those who commute between Seoul and Gyeonggi are truly amazing.
I believe we continue this painful, long-term race of investment to achieve freedom of time and money, to be unconstrained by anyone, to avoid seeing people we don't want to see or being forced to do work we dislike, and to freely do what we want, see the people we want, and meet the people we want.
That is what financial freedom is. That is why, even though it is difficult now, we must continue investing steadily, imagining a happy retirement and a happy future. Now, TQ hit a high of $90 in 2021, and since then, the stock price has been declining for two years. As a result of consistent dollar-cost averaging, many people have seen positive gains.
So, will TQ be able to break through $90 again in the future? I believe it is absolutely I believe TQ will break through its previous all-time high. While it will naturally undergo a stock split 10 or 20 years from now once it surpasses $90, I think it will rise at least tenfold. TQ has undergone several stock splits in the past.
Now, how much was TQ 10 years ago? In 2013, 10 years from now, the price of TQ was $1.60. Looking at this, you probably thought, "Ah, if only I had bought it back then." But what is it now? As of the editing date, July 15th, it is $44. However, if TQ reaches its previous high of $90, how many times would it have increased?
Let's assume we were incredibly lucky and sold TQ at its absolute peak in 2021. If we had sold TQ in November 2021, what would the total profit have been? It would be over 20,000%—that means a 200-fold increase. Now, if you had invested just 10 million won in 2010 and held onto it... It means 2 billion.
Now, this isn't imagination; it is a fact from the past. So, what I want to tell you is that you should n't get excited about the current level of profit or the current rise. To buy more stocks when your paycheck comes in next month, the current stock price absolutely must not go up. The stock price needs to fall so that you can buy a larger quantity at a cheaper price.
We should n't have the mindset of feeling overly grateful and happy when the stock price drops. That is the only way we can comfortably engage in the long-term investing we desire. The reason we invest in TQQQ isn't simply to make pocket money. We aren't engaging in risky and dangerous leveraged investing just to earn 30 million, 50 million, or 100 million won.
That financial freedom and comfort—to do what you want, buy what you want, eat what you want, and help those in need— requires a lot of money. To achieve that, a large investment capital and, most importantly, time must come together to realize the financial freedom we dream of. As I mentioned in a previous video, the rate of return is indeed important, but among the factors that determine financial freedom, the quantity is truly crucial.
Even now, currently TQ is currently trading at only half its previous high. Now, the fact that the stock price has plummeted by 50% means, of course, that the return from the peak is simply halved; however, it also signifies that this is a very, very grateful period where you can accumulate twice as much stock.
If a car you really like, or a handbag women want, were currently on a flash sale at half price, what do you think you would do? You would likely pitch a tent and line up for an "open run" the day before. But why is it that most stock investors, who dream of that grand dream of financial freedom, are strangely overwhelmed by disappointment, frustration, and fear as their returns are cut in half?
They stare at the stock price every day, preparing to flee, fearing that even greater terror is coming? I want to emphasize this to you once again: most of us are not chaebols. Unless you have 10 or 20 billion won in stocks, a two-generation surge in the current stock price will absolutely not amount to you capable of achieving financial freedom.
Please check your current valuation on your phone right now. Multiply your current valuation by two... Try this: Do you have enough money to quit your current job or retire? Is it enough to live comfortably and enjoy life to the fullest, even into the era of centenarians? I am absolutely not disregarding your current valuation.
I believe that most ordinary investors, including myself, do not have that kind of valuation. This bear market and sideways market are opportunities to become wealthy. A correction phase will definitely come. Just think of it as the rainy season coming in the summer, and snow coming in the winter. It is natural for it to rain in the summer and snow in the winter.
Now, the sweltering heat of midsummer does not last all year round, nor does the bitter cold of midwinter last all year round. It all passes, and good seasons return. When investing in stocks, do not just look at the price of a company's stock; instead, think of it as partnering with that company and approaching stocks with the mindset of buying a business.
Then, your mind will actually feel more at ease. Now, how wonderful is that? Imagine partnering with companies like Apple or Tesla. I am delivering this mental message today so that you do not feel sad when the correction phase comes. We are long-term, dollar-cost averaging investors who take on risks and invest with big dreams.
The investments that you and I are currently making... TQQQ is a total collection of the world's best, truly "Ultra- Avengers-level" companies based on the NASDAQ 100. To make money, you simply need to buy NASDAQ stocks indiscriminately. Investing in NASDAQ is like investing in the world's future innovative technologies; it is akin to investing as a catalyst in anticipation of the upcoming Fourth Industrial Revolution.
I believe that the U.S. will comfortably maintain its hegemony for at least another 30 years, and I intend to continue these long-term investments in excellent U.S. Big Tech companies. Regarding the NASDAQ stocks, I have already shared information extensively, so I hope you will take a look. That concludes today's video.
I always cheer for your successful investments and hope you achieve even greater profits. Thank you.
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