저자: PositiveInvesting채널진행자 · 외국인
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월마트가 테슬라 태양광 패널 화재 문제로 테슬라를 고소한 소식을 다루며, 주가 영향은 제한적이라는 결론. 결론: 소송 뉴스에도 테슬라 주가는 2.2% 하락에 그쳐 과매도 상태에서 하방이 제한적이라고 봄. 소송 내용: 월마트는 약 240개 매장에 테슬라 태양광 패널을 설치했고, 그중 약 7개 매장에서 화재가 발생해 수백만 달러 손해가 났다고 주장. 손해 배상과 패널 철거를 요구. 테슬라 과실은 아직 입증되지 않은 상태. 주가 반응: 소식 후 하루 2.2% 하락. 몇 달 전 저점 대비 26% 이상 상승해 매도 압력이 약해졌다고 평가. 사업 비중: 태양광(구 솔라시티, 2016년 26억 달러에 인수)은 분기 매출 3~4억 달러로 전체 매출의 6% 미만이며 정체 성장. 핵심은 자동차 사업(Model S/3/X/Y). 태양광 전략: 최근 솔라 타일 가격을 월 50달러로 인하해 확대 의지를 보임. 설치 시 연 1,000달러 이상 절감 주장. 전망: 단기적으로 210~240달러 박스권 횡보 예상. 추가 고소나 유사 화재 피해 확인 시 하락 가능성, 상하이 기가팩토리·모델Y 생산·실적 발표가 상방 촉매. 연말 300달러 근접 가능성 언급. 리스크: 추가 피해자 등장, 손해배상 수백만 달러 규모 지출 가능성. 진행자 본인은 테슬라 보유 중이며 매도하지 않겠다고 밝힘.
다듬은 글
News broke our yesterday the Tesla is getting sued by Walmart here because their solar panel has that they've installed in Walmart stores have apparently started catching fire so what does this mean for Tesla stock our investors are selling Tesla stock should you sell Tesla stock let's discuss that here today so over the last two years Walmart has installed solar panels from Tesla and around 240 of their stores according to Walmart the agreement was that Walmart would lease or license its roof space Tesla for the solar panels in exchange for lower energy costs in exchange Tesla would retain ownership of the panels and handle the maintenance of these panels here's a quote from the official filing to state the obvious properly designed installed inspected and maintained solar panel systems do not spontaneously combust and the occurrence of multiple fires involving Tesla solar systems is but one unmistakable sign of negligence by Tesla now Walmart actually claims that there's been about seven stores that have caught on fire and all of these stores did have the Tesla solar panels installed and this in turn cost Walmart millions of dollars to go and repair and fix and you know deal with all that fire damage and as a result they want to be compensated for this and not only do they want Tesla to pay for all these damages they also want Tesla to remove these solar panels so that they don't have to deal with this anymore so this sounds like pretty bad news right and the stock is probably down significantly after this news broke so let's take a look at Tesla sock to see how it reacted once the news came out the stock was down 2.2 percent today what the heck shouldn't this be a big deal and drive the stock even lower well ladies and gentlemen this is a perfect example of when a stock is beaten down so much and so oversold that even when bad news comes out against the company it doesn't really move the stock price that much even with the drop of around 2.2 percent the stock is up over 26% from its lows just a few months ago showing us that investors don't want to let the stock price go any lower from here this also possibly implies that the Bears are pretty much losing control here in Tesla stock and the Bulls are slowly to regain control now another reason why this drop did not affect HESA stock as much as a lot of people thought or the media actually portrayed it to be is because the solar business of Tesla is a very small portion of the business and the real bread-and-butter is around their cars still the solar business was actually purchased by Tesla from a company called Solar City for around 2.6 billion dollars in 2016 and since then has just kind of been a side project for the company here you can see the energy business formerly Solar City like we just said brings in anywhere from 300 to 400 million dollars in revenue per quarter for Tesla and it's pretty much stagnant growth we're not seeing any exponential growth here and if you compare this to their total revenue every quarter you can see that just how small the energy business really is for this company accounting for less than six percent of their revenue in the last quarter so really the point I'm trying to get across here is that even though this is a lawsuit against the company and any lawsuit is bad press it's not as bad for the company fundamentally as the media is trying to portray it to be yes the 2.6 billion dollar acquisition may have been a bad deal now in hindsight and even if the company goes and shuts down this business completely and writes off that lost Tesla will still continue growing thanks to their car business but on the flip side if Tesla does decide to double down and actually fix these issues and focus a lot more on this portion of the business I think that the downside is a lot more limited than the potential upside here because as we just saw it's a very small portion of their revenue right now but if they truly focus on building this out it could account for a bigger portion of their business and that investment of solar do you may actually be worth it in the end and all the news is pretty ironic because just a few days ago Tesla came out here and lowered prices on their solar tiles possibly in an effort to begin ramping up this business the new pricing offers tiles at $50 a month undercutting any competition and pretty much coming in as one of the cheapest if not the cheapest solar tile option for consumers and Tesla also claims that installing these tiles can save a homeowner well over a thousand dollars a year so it could pay for itself very quickly if it works out so now this news around Wall Martin Tesla could be something very interesting to keep a close eye on over the next few weeks and months to see if anything actually does come out of this and a Tesla is actually found at fault for this nothing is proven just yet at this point is just accusations and a lawsuit and it's really gonna be up to Walmart to prove this and I personally as an investor and I'm just sitting on the sidelines you're just waiting to see what happens with this I don't really know if it's Tesla's fault I don't really know if Walmart can prove this but we'll have to wait and see if this does happen maybe it'll happen with some other customers maybe some other customers come out and say that they also had issues with fires breaking out on their roofs that would make this new story a lot more serious and I think that's when we may see a more of a significant drop in the stock if it happens but as it stands today with all the news that's out there it's pretty clear that investors could care less about this lawsuit maybe if Tesla does end up losing the last you have to pay a few million dollars here to account for these damages and remove the tiles but as of right now a 2.2 percent drop is pretty much within normal range for this stock movement on a daily basis so do I think this is actually gonna cause a bigger sell-off in Tesla stock here in the coming days or weeks absolutely not and in fact I actually think with the stock will remain in this kind of consolidation level here between $210 and $240 for the next little while until we see one of two things happen the first is maybe there's more news around this that comes out many more customers start suing Tesla around this that could become a lot more negative and drive the stock price lower if it does happen but on the flip side there's a lot of positive catalyst that we're waiting here on Tesla for the Shanghai gigafactory the model Y and of course investors are waiting for the next earnings report to see if the company can report record numbers and a profit as well if those things play out then we could see the stock price pop and maybe we'll end off the year close to $300 per share what I'm trying to get out here is that the core of the business is still around the Tesla cars the Model X the Model S the Model 3 and until there's some really negative news around those things we're not gonna see a big move in the stock price in my opinion and kind of the way I see it here is that even with this lawsuit it doesn't really add anymore sniffing risk to the Tesla position for any Tesla investors including myself so I am NOT going to be selling out of my Tesla position here based on this news all right guys that kind of wraps up this video hope you enjoyed it drop a huge like down below if you did enjoy this video don't forget to share it with a friend as well who may be concerned if they have a Tesla or if they're considering investing in Tesla news like this seems to get out of hammer and goes through the media so it's good to have a voice of reason here to kind of lay out the facts actually see if this will in fact affect your investment thank you so much for watching don't forget to last positively and I'll see you in the next one peace
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