저자: Jake · 외국인
요약 보기
ROKU는 횡보 저항 돌파와 전일 장마감 매수세 확인 후 매수했으나 공급구간 도달로 빠르게 청산. NVDA는 종가 부근 진입 후 소폭 수익으로 청산. Amazon·Netflix도 유사한 셋업이었다고 언급. CGC는 테슬라와 유사한 컵앤핸들 형성 중이라 주목. GE는 대칭삼각형 수렴 구간으로 상하 방향 모두 가능성을 제시. 기술적 분석은 가격 경로 파악용이며 리스크 관리가 핵심이라는 결론.
다듬은 글
everybody Jake here would trans fighter to go over a few charts into tomorrow especially ones that were tradable today I want to go over two different trades that I made this is not to you know talk about how much money I made anything anything like that this is really to show you guys how you can use some of these features on trans fighter to actually realistically get an edge in the market and see the market in a different perspective so Roku is the first one there's a few different things in Roku that really made me very bullish yesterday that made me personally get into the trade and that was really the one break out through this horizontal resistance and this becomes more important when we pull up the raindrops but then the main thing that I was really paying attention to here was the fact that we had a ton of volume holding in this area from the earnings date on February 14th and you could see just the volume really starting to create almost kind of like a point of just explosion whenever you've got the price kind of trading right at where the point of control is from a specific point in time notice that I'm anchoring it from this point if I change this let's say to here notice that the the points going to be different so I want to know from this particular point time when the status quo changed in the market what is the distribution of shares of you know of the range so in this case we can see most of those shares we're holding in this area so as supply started to dry up demand started to outpace supply you started to get a little peekaboo here is what I want to call this and you'll notice something on the raindrop as well you'll notice that there was a lot of volume above that resistance area that allows you to kind of see essentially you know that buyers were definitely in control here so in this case you can see here was our red horizontal resistance area you can see how much volume was real supporting price above the zone and then you had a big volume gap above you know I don't think anything could have predicted that kind of move into today but what's interesting is the fact that the news really gapped us up right to this supply zone above so what you're able to see here is you're able to see that you know most of the volume that was traded since this area at least you know when you're not comparing it to this area most of the volume above here was traded right around 108 so naturally that's where we found resistance notice that on the rain drop we've got this big bar and we literally gapped up right to it pulled back and then closed somewhere around here so for me I got out immediately simply because we were hitting this supply zone and you know being up over 10% on a common stock trade into the next day you know you got to take that at least at least for my style trading so you know that's one thing I want to mention another thing that I want to mention here is the fact that you know this is a really important thing to look at into the last 20 minutes of the day so in this case for Roku I was adding Roku into the end of the day because you could see how much volume was really starting to aggregate above this area so you know into the beginning of the day you're not going to see this raindrop formation because the day still has to materialize you still have to have all of that price action to determine where this volume is going to be but into the end of the day you can start to see if buyer's or seller's are in control and clearly buyers were in control yesterday and that's why I was confident holding my position into today and it ended up working out another one is NVDA NVIDIA and this is one that I also traded into the close yesterday initially I entered at like 61 and then I don't know I I was up like a little bit and I got out took like $75 in profit I'm like what the hell are you doing so so as the day kind of continued and buyers working you know clearly in control and you can see this in the raindrop you can see how much of that volume was at the top of the range yesterday and also you can see how much volume was holding kind of like what we were just talking about with Roku you've got this point of control here and you kind of had this explosion to the upside once supply dries up and so the main thing that I you know want to mention here is not only was this a technical setup but if you look at a lot of the other plays like Amazon Netflix they literally looked identical to this a week ago so if we pull up Amazon you'll see that this setup was literally the same exact thing as Nvidia last week so you have to look for especially in this market where it's still trying to become efficient you have to look for those leaders and your laggards in this case Amazon was clearly a leader and still is especially hitting all-time highs here and you'll see the same thing right we had this big area of volume holding we had our move up with all of that volume and then we had those four days of just really strong upside we had the gap above that filled and now you know we clearly broke through all time highs creating new ones today so you know looking for these things and looking for patterns that have you are forming that may you know not have completely formed yet look at this right we've got this you know you could call this two things you could call this inverse head shoulders or you could call it kind of a cup and handle if you will but look at CGC right we've got Tesla that formed a really strong cup and handle formation and then you had this absolute explosion afterwards and the one thing that I want to mention here is the fact that you've got the same setup right you've got a lot of that volume that was in this kind of cup part of the set up and you've got a explosion if you look at something like CGC right now that is kind of in the process of doing exactly what Tesla did a week ago it's kind of forming that second part of the handle you've got a lot of the volume forming here notice in this case we've got the anchored volume but volume by price from this January 15th high and you'll see the same thing we're clearly in this demands own supply is drying up how do we know that supply is drying up because the price is able to move up here and then we're kind of now trading right at this anchored view app right here from the gap up from earnings so we'll have to see if this area does break will this previous kind of a cup kind of line above you know be an area of resistance or does the price absolutely continue to rip to the upside because you really don't have any volume in this area um so and that's kind of dark hold on make this little less solid so you can see here you barely have any volume holding here this is like an air pocket in price and then the next strong supply zone you have above would be in this 17 to 18 zone which if you look at the anchored view app from this actual I don't wanna say it's not an all-time high but the all-time high for this year you can see that this really isn't line right with this supply zone here so if we kind of extend that notice that this is literally right at the top of that area if we move this over notice how well they're in confluence here so we'll have to see if this continues to work out but this is something that you know is very relevant with those laggards it doesn't you know Tesla and CGC have nothing to do with each other but the market moves in tides that was something that I was taught from one of my best friend's dad's who's in the markets at an early age he said you know the market moves and tides and just because CGC and Tesla have nothing to do with each other it doesn't mean that the market is moving in tides and money flowing in different spots that there's a laggard so this is something that's really important just something that I wanted to mention one of those setups that I wanted to mention as well as GE if we're looking at kind of the price right at that main center point of control of volume you'll see here that GE is one of those examples where you've just got one this beautiful symmetrical triangle setup and then on top of that you've got literally you know this this apex that is about to break to the upside or the downside and you know you would really have to have some bad news for the price to break down through this area because look at how many people are holding right here this means if the price started to break down and we started to move you know down through this area which could easily happen you have to think that all of these people holding since this reversal everyone's going to be holding at a loss so people are gonna have to start taking losses essentially for this to for this to add to the supply for it to drop so this is definitely an interesting set up kind of the same exact setup that we showed on some of those ones that already made a move this week but the markets unpredictable the only thing that technical analysis and charts really help you do is get an idea of where the price may go and that's both to the upside and the downside so trading is all about risk management realizing what your upside risk what or what's your upside potential what's your downside risk and then playing it from there everyone's gonna have their own risk strategy and risk tolerance and that's why everybody's trading styles different so hopefully this video helped and we will probably do a couple more of these videos this week so definitely stay tuned thanks so much for listening in
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