저자: John · 외국인
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결론: 영상 진행자 John은 DRYS(드라이쉽스)·테슬라·엔비디아·애플 등에서 단기 조정 가능성을 강조했고, 대부분 숏(매도) 포지션 또는 이익실현·축소를 권하는 경계적 견해다. 구체적 가격 목표를 여러 개 제시했다. [DRYS(드라이쉽스)] - 급등(약 4달러→100달러 부근) 이후 피보나치 618·750 지점과 100달러 저항을 언급하며 큰 조정 가능성을 경고했다. - 장기 보유자에게 분할 이익실현(일부 매도)을 권하고, 상방 목표는 약 140달러 부근, 하방 지지/재진입 구간은 약 108~120달러, 이후 약 109·108달러 지지 언급. [테슬라] - 180~185달러 지지를 유지 중이나 차트가 약하다고 평가. 200일 이동평균선 아래 있음. - 하방 목표 약 167달러, 이후 145~150달러, 140달러 구간. 시장이 하락 전환하면 추가 하락 가능성 언급. [엔비디아] - 월봉 기준 상승 전환은 아직 확신하지 않음. 일봉 인사이드바 패턴 관찰. - 하방 목표 78.55달러, 갭 메우기 구간 약 67달러. 현재 약 80달러에서 72~70달러 가면 청산 의사 표명(단기 트레이더 관점). [애플] - 일봉 200일선 지지 후 반등했으나 약세. 약 90달러 하락 목표를 유지. 118달러 부근 재상승 시 숏 추가 가능, 123달러 언급. [구글(GOOGL)] - 618 되돌림 근처 반등. 상방 목표 약 840달러 부근, 하방 갭 메우기 약 672달러 언급. 현재는 패턴 대기 상태. [아마존(AMZN)] - 일봉 200일선 유지 중. 상방 682·657달러, 하방 갭 메우기 약 600달러. 옵션 만기 주간이므로 변동성 주의. [IBB(바이오)] - 대선 이후 급등 후 과열 우려. 289~290달러 이상 유지 필요, 300~305달러 구간 숏 재진입 계획, 상방 340~344달러 언급. [바바(BABA)] - 382 되돌림 지지가 무너지는 중. 하방 목표 약 85달러, 이후 갭 메우기 약 737달러 가능성. 숏 포지션 보유. [DPZ(도미노피자)] - 숏 포지션을 일부 청산했으나 가격 재상승 시 재숏 계획. 하방 112~110달러 목표 언급. [시장 전반] - 연말 산타랠리가 아닌 저거래량 랠리로 평가, 옵션 만기 주간 변동성 경고. 트럼프 당선 관련 숏 스퀴즈 언급. [리스크] - 모든 전망은 단기(수일~수주) 기술적 분석 기반. 급등주는 되돌림이 클 수 있음을 반복 강조. 출연자 전망 요약: 단기적으로 급등 종목 조정, 숏 우위 관점 유지.
다듬은 글
hello Traders John andstock bookie.com today we're looking at uh drys dry ships Tesla Nvidia Apple Google IBB Baba and a couple more if we have time so let's get right into the dry ships chart and uh what a couple days this was so we were posting stuff on St stock twits earlier just showing the Fib from this high pivot from this low pivot and trying to give po possible resistance levels but when you get a parabolic move like this who knows where this thing can go but you know looking at the daily we did have a gap window we had the 618 and we had 750 up here and then the big number was the even number at 100 that's just natural resistance that's where it went to pulled back nicely at the end of the day and that was it for now guys if you are long in this one be very very careful please take some profits a take a quarter position off take something off because this can be it for this one but look you know what do I know it could go up more this would be the next area here around 14078 and then down in these pivots if you pull this back though this is what we're looking at too this is going to be an area of resistance too around 10897 we did post those numbers earlier on stock twitch just to help you guys out technically now on the weekly this is what I was telling everyone too so if you look at this on the weekly chart check this out so we posted this as well that's why I'm thinking this could be not the end of the road but as soon as we pierce the even number and we hit the 50 Ma on the weekly chart that was that's that's pretty much it for at least today so you're pass the 618 it did pull back you are at this uh 50 retrace right here so let's see if this can continue up but you get parabolic moves like this I mean it was a what a three four stock that that went to 100 come on you're going to have to expect the pullback so if you were in this for the launch take your profits take something off because you don't want it to come straight down you're at four bucks again and you could have sold at least at 50 or 70 or even 100 when I was saying but again you're looking at 106 to 108 you have a little more at uh 120 and then this High here where it broke down before right around 140 14014 area right in there you're going to have big resistance and this big red bars resistance as well that's why I think we stopped here with the with the 50 Ma and the 200 Ma on The Daily so be careful guys if you're long I don't have a position in this but I'm just saying gosh if you if you had this from seven bucks 10 bucks and you got it at 100 why are you sitting around on this hoping for higher prices you you had a grand slam on this trade Take the Money and Run guys let it pull back and if you got to get in it great if not there's a bunch of other stocks we can look at who cares let's look at Tesla Tesla another high flyer a lot of people have been asking me about this this is where we shorted got a couple bucks came right right in nice retrace pulled back we're holding the 180 185 area but again this this is this is ugly let's see where these things curl in price the 50 ma still below the 200 but you know as long as it told the 180 185 area it's okay let's look at the weekly weekly chart again here's your area 18185 it's almost a double bottom from last week so it's holding okay needs to get above this 200 ma this trend line right around you know let's let's call it the 200 even number and you know if you get above these and possibly more upside if the market start to sell then we're probably going to go down but again markets are launching and this one's really not going anywhere so be careful with this one pretty weak you got the buy the dip guys in here Pro possibly buy and lower but you know what for me 167 in this area and then possibly 145 150 to 140 in this area and that comes from these low pivots and then this low pivot here I still like that area I still think we could get there if this Market starts to sell if it starts to sell with the light volume coming in holidays coming up we could get another scenario like we did uh uh the last three months on the Spy where it just sat there for three months and then it pulled back and then we had like a brexit brexit launch on the Trump Victory all the analy there if Trump wins we it's going to be a disaster and straight up you know you know how many shorts got squeezed in that rally and now all the shorts are reversing it and going long now at the top which is which is completely stupid all right let's see on the daily daily Nvidia we had a nice pullback at the end um uh yesterday kind of chopping around but now we have an inside bar bearish pattern still bullish but after a move you know like this on the monthly to get bullish on the stock I just don't see it I don't know maybe 90 maybe a 100 maybe but man once you get stretched guys it's just hard to come back from that uh you know it's it's got to come back first and then then maybe attacked 100 but I'm going to be watching this inside bar daily pattern if this thing goes sideways and starts a dribble I would think at least down to uh 78 55 and then back you know Gap fill area 67 right back to where it was when it launched but you still have a little couple fibs on the way down of support so we'll have to take it day by day weekly same thing Weekly's even extended from the 20 ma I mean look at that move so let's see if we can steer step down get back to this area and then we can reeval weight but at this point it's still slightly bullish but the thing that's stopping me from buying it we are shorten this POS in in uh in videoid we are upside down a little bit and uh but man if you're in another one just like uh dry ships if you have profit if you're in this one from 35 or so take something off the table this is a grand slam guys hu I wish I was long in this one I'm I'm a short-term Trader so I it doesn't really matter to me so we're looking for a pullback we're in right around 80 bucks if it pulls back to 72 70 bucks I'll be out I don't care I'm on to the next trade but anyways just be careful high flyer could possibly come in apple a lot of people have been talking about this one or asking me to look at it to go to the daily daily chart almost kissed the 200 ma that's where we got the bounce but we filled the Gap right here at uh 10544 so it's holding this area still a little bit weak you're still below the Mas on The Daily you are holding the 200 I still think we're going to 90 on this one then we'll wait for the set up and see if we could go lower or possibly bounce and 90 I'll show you on the weekly chart in a second but right now we're kind of setting up sideways so let's see if we can actually retrace back up actually you know what let's do this let's take that FIB out let's put the new one in here to here so yeah so let's see if we can retrace back up maybe up into the 618 area if it does go there Longs thinking about uh tightening up the stops it could possibly go to 114 if it gets up back up to this 118 area I will add to my short we are short apple as well we are in the money so even if it retraces back up I'm not that worried I still think we could get the 90 bucks on this one um weekly chart weekly you had a nice fall you do have some little bit of support I would have liked to seen the 102 uh uh 73 area in with the Pierce of the uh 50 ma down here on the weekly never did have a slight bottoming tail so you could get another retrace up like I said if you're long start covering or start selling if if you're short you know just you know I don't know if you're not short wait up here until 118 possibly 123 if you're short already just hold on to this one but right now it's holding this inside bar until it cracks below the 10258 I believe we're going to 95 and then the $90 area in this might hold up through the holidays and stuff that you know typical the Santa Claus rally and it's not the Santa Claus rally guys it's the no volume rally no participants in the markets allows uh crooked yelling to um to push the markets up and do whatever they want but you'll see stocks going up and down like crazy which was uh which has been fun lately and it is options X week so uh be aware of that as well let's look at Google L Aldi's got a pretty good bid today you know people buy the dip people just can't help themselves gotta get in gotta get in at the highs oh my gosh it's Google it's got to go to a thousand no let this thing come in so we got a bid we went right back to the 618 here told none of that let's see if we can retrace here if you're not short we did Cover shorts half of our position if it gets back up here in here we'll start adding again if you're long you know start thinking about taking some profits up into the uh 108 115 area if you definitely get the 840 again definitely shave off some profits if you are long and if you are long you want to see this thing keep going up if it starts to go sideways your possibility of it U moving down is a little bit better I still think we could get to the 672 area or Gap fill if you're long you want to recapture the 816 and then get above the 840 area up here and then we could continue up if the markets in the index is start to sell these will go down with the indexes we still haven't got to the 618 and the 750 down in here you end have a couple gaps down in there so you got to be aware of that as well looking for the pattern there's nothing other than three bars down now we're waiting for pattern on this one weekly weekly same thing 50 ma that's what pretty much uh stopped this thing and you have the 50% retrace bounce back up well we're going to wait for pattern if we go sideways and a you know slight wedge going upwards maybe until the 750 retrace I'd expect lower prices like I said if you want um higher prices you got to get above the 815816 area then of course a double top up here you could possibly move higher maybe on some news or an upgrade or something like that I don't know uh amzn same thing caught a bid you got bu the dippers coming in here we never stayed above this trend line came right back in held the 750 retrace we're trying to get above the 618 retrace as well and uh this is on a weekly basis guys so it needs to get above that but you know right now we're waiting on pattern nothing really to do with these daily chart same thing you know just a little bit oversold you are below here you are still holding the 200 Ma I still think um Amazon can go to 682 you know then there's a couple 657 then they have a Gap fill around 600 bucks but again we're waiting on pattern so far three days sideways it is holding up pretty good had a nice day today it was 24 bucks up so but uh don't get too excited if it starts moving up into here and if you're in the money long start shaving some off if you definitely get up to the G fill around 819 820 definitely shave some off because that's going to be some good area of resistance up in there but at this point it's options X like I said so you never know what these guys can bring out um IBB uh this has been a fun one Hillary lost and boom rocket ship up you do have a dogee a small dogee here they're trying to hold it up so basically what happened is everyone's buying puts up here so they're going to hold it up for about a week or two just to deplete the puts and make people pay for their uh getting in way too early that that's that's my thinking at least you know it went up and uh we started adding shorts and we will put some positions on puts I just want to see where this thing goes if it consolidates and it possibly moves up again or it consolidate and then the pattern fail and then it moves down but right now it's a little bit overbought I you know you go from 248 almost to 300 that's a $5 move in six seven days just these parabolic moves are ridiculous but you are trying to recapture this uh breakdown bar here on a weekly close you need to stay above 289 290 area and then uh possibly get more follow through I want to see more volume as well volume is very important in this play but we did add some shares short in this one so we are short again I'm going to wait for the 300 area 305 up in here to short again and uh if it if it keep continues up we'll probably cover and then this will be the next area 344 340 we we'll have to see how this plays right now I just have a small position I can withstand some uh some pain if I have to and if I have to wait you know if I just hold on what I have now and don't add a 300 and see if I could get a little higher then I might play it that way but we'll see we'll see how it goes uh Baba another high flyer this one was up A123 it did hit the uh 382 so it's holding that on the weekly let's go to the Daily really quick on the daily chart it is starting to break down a little bit we do have some pretty good volume here so it could possibly get a nice little you know bid or a retrace back up into the moving averages but let's see what pattern develops on The Daily I'm thinking sideways action into the next move down I'm still thinking it will at least come in 85 bucks then possibly fill the Gap around 737 4 but again I'm going to wait for pattern right now nothing to do we're short we're in the money on this one already so you know again we're short everything or we were you know we're starting to cover stuff as stuff comes in because we're big believer short-term trades we get five six 7% we're out we get 3% we're out we had some puts we've been playing puts here and there we make 500,000 on a put we're out of that one too I don't be shy when you have a profit period so just like this one I was telling everyone man you know what Bob is a little overextended take some money take some money and boom now here we are almost 20 bucks lower could be buying here 20 bucks lower guys could have took profits and sold but you know what oh well what are you going to do all right weekly chart like I said starting to break down a little bit 382 retrace trying to hold it you're into this little pivot to this area here so you have some but I still thinking 83 down in here then ultimately 77 and then you know we'll see if the markets are dumping we're going right back to this pivot and possibly down in here because they had no business being up there in the first Place let's look at dpz that was a high flyer we shorted we did cover some of that the other day which was the right move we had a pop today for four bucks don't let this one get you out of it let's see if we can retrace up if you did C cover the trade with me we're going to wait for it this thing to get back up in higher prices we're going to short it again or at least take the half that we sold add it back up here we'll get a cost average our stop out you know we could be at 180 at that point who cares but yeah that was a great trade too uh what else um oh to Sor real quick if you're short that one you know if you were in the money up here or if you're taking it up here please cover some down in here we just got in the money today so we're going to hold this one a little bit longer see if we get some lower prices I'm thinking 112 110 possibly this Gap fill down here all right guys thanks for watching my videos hopefully I'm helping some people out there God bless see you on the charts
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