저자: John · 외국인
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결론: 발언자는 고점 신호를 보고 대부분의 고플라이어(넷플릭스, 엔비디아, 아마존, 애플, 구글, IBB, 바이두, 도미노피자)에 하락 쪽 포지션(공매도·풋)을 잡고 있으며, 시장 급등을 함정으로 보고 조정 가능성을 경고한다. 넷플릭스(NFLX): 월봉 기준 과열 구간이며 실적 발표 이후 하락 흐름으로 보고, 100달러 부근까지의 하락을 예상한다. 일부 공매도 물량은 청산했으나 하락 베팅은 유지 중이다. 엔비디아(NVDA): 유일하게 약세를 보이는 종목으로 보며, 지지 이탈 시 하락이 이어질 수 있다고 본다. 과열 구간에서 일부 이익 실현을 권한다. 아마존(AMZN): 750달러 되돌림 이후 하락 추세가 강해졌다고 보며, 626달러, 434달러 지지선까지 밀릴 수 있다고 전망한다. 애플(AAPL): 과거 90달러 하락을 예견해 적중했던 경험을 근거로, 96달러 갭 메우기 후 90달러, 그리고 75달러 수준까지 하락을 전망한다. 구글(GOOGL): 840달러 위 손절을 제시하고 700달러 수준까지 하락 가능성을 본다. IBB(바이오 ETF): 월봉 약세 패턴과 상승 갭 메우기 가능성을 근거로 단기 상승 시 공매도 추가를 언급하며 조정을 예상한다. 도미노피자(DPZ): 풋옵션 수익 실현 후 과열 상태로 보고, 141달러·135~140달러, 더 나아가 100달러 방향까지 하락을 전망한다. 바이두(BABA): 880달러 목표를 제시하며 하락 전환을 경고한다. 지수·리스크: 주식시장이 급등하면 함정일 수 있으며, 증시 급락 시 개별 고플라이어가 크게 밀릴 수 있다고 경고한다. 포지션은 계좌의 10% 수준으로 분산 운용한다고 밝힌다. 출연자 전망: 단기 조정 및 고점 형성을 강조하며, 반등 시마다 공매도로 대응하는 전략을 제시한다.
다듬은 글
hello Traders John topi.com today we're looking at Net's o Nvidia Netflix Amazon Apple Google L and the IBB and a couple more if we have time I want to show you the High Flyers and how I'm playing these and uh most of them are working out Nvidia is the only one that's being a bear but eventually that pig will fall so let's get into the charts dcom follow us on stock twitz subscribe to our YouTube channel and follow us on Twitter too we have trades on all those areas and we're making money guys we do some scalp trades intraday action we do swing trades um fade trades whatever you know whatever's out there more eyes on the market the more emails I get we can look at stocks and try to figure out which way these things are going and ultimately make more money so let's get to the monthly on netes netes another High Flyers guys one two three four five six months up seven months up see how got it stretch down stretch down stretch where do you think this thing's going you think it's going everyone's 300 300 my Max moves were 262 272 it pegged that second um trend line and boom had earnings came right down on earnings if it would have popped I would have added more this thing's coming down eventually it might take a month or two to get back down in this area but I'm still thinking 185 possibly 175 but we'll see how it goes if the Market's dump it could possibly go lower but on these just got to be careful if you're long you know tighten that stop we did Cover half our short today and uh we're going to try to ride the rest down but a high flyer let's go into o this is one we were short again extended from the two 20 moving average pulled back beautifully we covered it here right at the inside bar half sold the rest and then it kept going every time we cover these things seem to keep going it's pretty brutal so but that's okay we'll take what you know whatever at this point so we're at the we're at uh support right here let's go to the uh daily on this one let me just see yeah I mean maybe we're starting to get some uh some bigger volume so this can be getting exhaustion selling so it could possibly turn up but if the Market's dump a lot of these stocks are going to go lower Nvidia another high flyer guys gotta be careful on this one they actually pulled it back though it was it was pretty um pretty amazing that uh they came in rocket ship it up you know everyone's so bullish on these stocks and man when these things fall they're just going to rip heads off just like apple when it was at 700 and everyone was like we're upgrading it to a th it's Apple it's going to be great and then it got cut to half and went to 350 and everyone was like whoa like I told every one after hours this thing's at like 78 bucks on earnings take your profits guys if you love this one so much let it come down to 50 and buy back again buy back 25 bucks cheaper why the hell would you set hold it up here and I'll show you the reason why let's go to the monthly this is this is a stupid stretch chart you better be care especially on the on the popup my Max moves were 8080 153 um I start I I put on a position here I am short in this one I did get railed a little bit I still have you know I take 10% positions guys in my total portfolio so if I get railed I'm not going to kill my whole portfolio but in the meantime I'm banging out winner after winner after winner so one loser to me means nothing it's all about money man management it's all about share size and it's all about knowing when to add and knowing when to get out this one knowing that it's a high flyer I might be married to this one a little while but I will definitely make money on this when this thing starts to fall I'm going to show you charts just like this one and they all came in so if you're long Nvidia tomorrow start taking profits and E even yeah I'm short on that one I don't care if you take profits or not but I promise you it's there's not too much more left in this let's just let's these markets rally which I think we're almost done there with these last couple days of craziness stocks moving up Tech just bombing a dow Le rally is dangerous period so anyways enough enough of the ranting and raging guys in these videos I tell it how it is guys I don't sugarcoat anything I don't I don't tell you oh maybe it might go up I'm going to tell you hey this is my thoughts I've been doing this crap a long time charts like this they always come in Period that's it bottom line guys come to my live sessions too on uh YouTube we do all my post stuff on stock twitch going live follow me subscribe all that good stuff but all right let's go to uh let's go to Netflix this really wasn't a high flyer but this is typical crap from this one and this is another one I've seen it too many times comes down retraces comes down shaking everybody up they finally got good news as this thing was going up we added shares we did covered today half the position of Netflix but right here we started putting on puts so when this thing popped up when this thing popped up we added a couple popped up again we added a couple we took them off here unfortunately a little bit early but you know what on a put if I make a grand 500500 I sell it I don't care I have share size of this we make more on that if I could do 10 20 puts a month and make 500 to a grand on each one that's a hell of a lot money you know to me at least I don't know about you guys I'll take 500 bucks every day of the week so yeah so we cut we took our puts off and then Boom coming right back in we took half off because we were at the Gap window here I'm still thinking 98 bucks 100 bucks if these markets really start to plow down be careful with these be careful Longs you might wake up one day to a 500 point gap down and your head's getting ripped off so Amazon too everyone's trying to buy the dip buy the dip Amazon's cheaper they upgraded it to a th000 it's going to be great look Amazon just keeps going down right right here they shook a lot of people out here though but look where it came to 750 retrace you have support there anything else back in here uh you had this little pivot here wasn't bad but yeah someone came in here and did some buying trying to save this one but this is starting to get ugly guys be really careful with uh Amazon again what what we call this well first of all you have this big trend line got above it little head fake brought it right back down you know how many suckers they got on here and then earnings came out and everyone was like what that doesn't make any sense but right now we're popping up a little bit Market start to dump we're going to 626 and honestly I think this one could be 434 or this pivot down in here if everything starts to tank so be really really careful guys I've seen this crap before and all a sudden it just starts to roll over and buy the dip buy the dip buy the dip Margin Call Margin Call and everyone who's buying the dips getting margin calls so they got to sell and everyone's starting to chase it and short it and that's pushing it down you know what everyone's shorting it down here I'll be buying it down in this area so we will be long eventually one days so all the guys who think I short all the time I'm shorten because we're at the tops all right sorry for the rant guys you know I just love this stuff I love teaching people and I love showing people what I see not right all the time but let me tell you I bang out a bunch of winners if we have a loser here and there I could really care less on to the next one all right let's go to Apple and apple too but but but they had pretty good earnings I don't get why it's going down but uh yeah I get why it's going down it's just it's just it's just time guys that's it let's go to the uh daily on this one so the daily they get everyone sucked in iPhone 7 is going to be great it's releasing it's the best phone ever down again the Longs got burned again and it's just amazing you know if if you were long from here long from here and you're not selling up in here because on earnings ah it's just like Tesla the same crap they just pop Drop Pop drop he could be making so much money on these so we've been short I'm going to ride this one down I'm thinking we're going to this Gap fill right here around 96 bucks and ultimately I think we're going to 90 and then I I think honestly we could fill this gap down in here there's a gap around 75 bucks I think this one could get to 75 bucks do you think I'm crazy last time this one was down or uh I'll go to the monthly last time this was high fly and I was telling everyone 90 bucks bam went right to 90 and this was the flash crash too and that I T you're short Apple you're an idiot I'm say it's going to 90 it's going to 90 went right to 8975 right in that area bounced up we shorted again came back bounced up shorted again these are the stocks you want to wait for the bounce and you short them you don't because if you buy it long and all a sudden we have a 500 gap down day on the Spy these are tanking that's it over so you want to you want to wait for the retrace and you short the retraces right now when the markets are going up you ride them up you let it retrace you buy it again same thing this one they go down retrace short retrace short they go up you buy retrace buy retrace buy that's how you work this stuff guys at least for me as a swing Trader scalp Trader to we did GS we scalped that one today pulled back went straight up again we sculpted again pulled back again we got out of that twice twice today for a nice gain uh let's go to Google L and what's Google L everyone together a high flyer this what this one was wasn't too bad but we had a couple topping little Tails here I wouldn't call them topping Tails could never get above it now honestly here's your stop out 840 if you're shorted ah we're we already covered half our short here I'm still thinking 700 bucks maybe down in this level but man if these markets start to come in guys you better watch out we've had some big volume on all the indexes and that's what I'm thinking that this thing they're pushing everything up they're sucking everyone in on big volume and they're going to drop this thing in everyone's face that's my opinion but you know I called that uh I was telling everyone to short before that thousand Point down day that August you know of 2015 for about a month and a half every time the markets popped up I was telling people short it short short the Spy short the Spy you're an idiot this thing's going higher then it would come back in a little bit go right back up and I'd you got a shorty you got it here's your other opportunity then we had those four days five days down and the last day was a thousand Point down day we covered everything in site flipped it and we rode it up and uh there was support down there and that's why we did that all right guys man I'm I am I'm hyped right now because uh we put shorts on today we added some puts we covered some positions we're just having a great this this is this is my dream Market guys I lo I love markets like this I live for this stuff now if I can get the right ticker symbol in there all right the IBB this one we started adding shorts monthly pattern nasty big inside bar bearish pattern this move up on Clinton crap is just a bull trap guys we have a nice dogee on the day we came up and filled the Gap up here it could possibly go higher if you're not short this thing we're already adding if it gets up into this area to 300 again you got to short it it could but after a parabolic move like this I'm thinking we're going to get a nice pull you might get a pull back and then maybe buy but then we got to see what's going on but if we could pull back to like the 2 area fill the gap down in here I'll be out again rinse and repeat guys short long short long you know Vice for whatever short short short long I don't care just want to be on the right side of the trade um let's go into dpz I did sell my puts on that one today everyone's been crying about it because it keeps going up well you know why because Kramer on CNBC is telling everyone to get into this thing this is my last level of Defense the 17526 today we had a great pull pull back guys look at the look at the look at the uh the intraday I mean this this was epic my put just ballooned right down here we covered reason why we covered we were coming into some support I was up big time I was up probably about 1,200 bucks I think 1,00 bucks on this trade and we started adding puts we we started adding shares as this thing was going up pulled back went up add some more shares pulled back we started adding put right in here as this thing pushed up and boom got paid today and I was out I might have added them here too though might have added one or two here then we added more on this pushup here because it was coming in double top and uh bam we got paid today something like that I don't know all I know is I made a little bit over a grand and that was it goodbye again everyone together monthly high flyer nice nice um upward Trend though but it's time for this one to come back to the mama which is the 220 Ma honestly first stop will probably be around 141 this will start curling up I'm still thinking we could probably get it to maybe 135 140 right in that area it could go to 12 it could go to it could go to the 50 Ma at 100 bucks this shouldn't be up that high you got all the hype with CNBC everyone's in here now guys and when this thing starts to dump in everyone's face it's going to exaggerate the move down all right um let's see what else uh and I always show this one too Sky works I always go back this one was the apple and this one's going up the upgrades and all that look extended chart look what they did they just chopped this one we were short at 112 like 52 or 32 right at the right at the high we covered right you know right about in here at 96 and then you know freaking went down to whatever 70 bucks you know of course we cover and it just keeps going but you gotta watch stocks like this these High Flyers guys they're all coming in we put some other positions on let me see is this one yeah look at this one jbt another high flyer and this just keep this one could go a little higher but we're just starting to add slow and steady and I will put at at at a certain point I'll buy some puts on this one but you know it could maybe go to even number 90 maybe a 100 we got to see but this one's starting to get extended just keep an eye on these High Flyers guys they all starting to come in oh and one more Baba same thing high flyer I was telling everyone I was shorting it but everyone was like oh man this thing's going to 120 they're upgrading it look at it coming in guys this here's your target 880 bucks I mean you'll probably going to 89 83 then hit this level but look at it starting to roll over be careful if you're long and you should have took it off here you could have you could have been buying it back 15 bucks cheaper already but anyways guys thanks for coming thanks for watching my videos hopefully this is helping somebody thanks again God bless see you on the charts
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