์ ์: Jeff ยท ์ธ๊ตญ์ธ
์์ฝ ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๊ฒฐ๋ก : ๋ง์ดํฌ๋ก ์ ๋ฐ๋ฅ์ ํต๊ณผํ์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ์ฑ์ด ํฌ๋ฉฐ, 35๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋ถ๊ทผ๋ถํฐ ๋ถํ ๋งค์๋ฅผ ๊ณ ๋ คํด๋ณผ ๋งํ๋ค. [์ ๊ทธ๋ ์ด๋ ์์] BMO๊ฐ ๋ง์ดํฌ๋ก ์ ์์ํผํผ์ผ๋ก ์ํฅํ๋ฉฐ 2019๋ 50% ์์น ์ฌ๋ ฅ์ ์ ์ํ๋ค. ์ต๊ณ ๋ฑ๊ธ์ด๋ฉฐ ์ฃผ๊ฐ๊ฐ ์ ํ๊ฐ๋๊ณ ํ๋๋ฉํธ์ด ๊ฐ์ ๋๋ค๋ ๊ทผ๊ฑฐ๋ค. Bernstein๋ ์ดํ ๋ค ์์ํผํผ์ ์ ์งยท์ฌํ์ธํ๊ณ , ์ต์ ์๋๋ฆฌ์ค์์๋ ์ฝ 20% ์ถ๊ฐ ํ๋ฝ ๊ฐ๋ฅ์ฑ์ ์์ง๋ง ์ํ ๋๋น ๋ณด์์ด ๋งค๋ ฅ์ ์ด๋ผ๊ณ ๋ดค๋ค. ๋ชฉํ๊ฐ๋ 52๋ฌ๋ฌ๋ค. [์ ๋๋ฆฌ์คํธ ํ๋ฆ 2018๋ ] UBS 6์ ๋งค์โ์ค๋ฆฝ ์ํฅ, ๊ณจ๋๋ง์ญ์ค 9์ ๋งค์โ์ค๋ฆฝ ํํฅ, 10์ ์ค๋ฆฝ ํํฅ, 11์ ์์ํผํผโ์ธ๋ํผํผ ํํฅ, 12์ RBC ์์ํผํผโ์นํฐํผํผ ํํฅ ๋ฑ ํํฅ ํ๋ฆ์ด ์ด์ด์ก๋ค. ์ด๋ฒ ์ํฅ์ ์์ฅ ํ๋ณต๊ณผ ๋ง๋ฌผ๋ฆฐ ์ ํ ์ ํธ๋ก ํด์๋๋ค. [์ฐจํธ์ ์ง์ ์ ๋ต] 12์ ๋ง ์ค์ ์ผํฌ์ ์ ๊ฐ์ด๋ ๊ฐ์ด๋์ค๋ก ๊ธ๋ฝํ๊ณ , ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์ ํ๋ฒ๋ ๊ทธ๋ ๋จ๊ธฐ ์ ํ ์ฒญ์ฐํ๊ณ ์ฅ๊ธฐ ํฌ์ง์ ์ ํ๊ท ๋จ๊ฐ ๋ฎ์ถฐ ๋ณด์ ์ค์ด๋ค. ์ต๊ทผ 5์ผ๊ฐ 33~34๋ฌ๋ฌ๋์์ ์์นํด 35๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋ํ ํ ์ค๋์ ํก๋ณดํ๋ค. [๋งค์ ์ ๋ต] 35๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋ถ๊ทผ์์ ์ผ๋ถ ๋งค์, ํ๊ธ ์ฌ์ ๋ฅผ ๋๊ณ 32๋ฌ๋ฌ, 29๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋ถ๊ทผ์์ ์ถ๊ฐ ๋งค์๋ฅผ ๊ณ ๋ ค. 2๋ ์ฐจํธ์ ๊ณ ์ ์ 52๋ฌ๋ฌ ์ด์, ์ฌํด ์ด 60๋ฌ๋ฌ๋์๋ค. [์ค์ ๋ฐํ ์ผ์ ] 3์ 20~25์ผ ์ฌ์ด ์ค์ ๋ฐํ ์์ . ๋ํญ ์ด๋ ์ผํฌ๋ณด๋ค๋ ํ๋ณต ๋ถ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์์ํ๋ฉฐ, ๋งค์ถ ์ํ์ ๊ฐ์ด๋์ค ์ํญ ์ํฅ์ ๊ธฐ๋ํ๋ค. ๋ง์ดํฌ๋ก ์ ๊ธ์ ์ ์ธ ์์์ด๋ฉด ์ฃผ๊ฐ๊ฐ ์ค๋ฅผ ๊ฒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ ๋ณธ๋ค. [๋ฆฌ์คํฌ] ์ถ๊ฐ ํ๋ฝ ๊ฐ๋ฅ์ฑ(20% ์ํ)์ ์ฌ์ ํ ์กด์ฌํ๋ฉฐ, ์ค์ ๋ฐํ๊ฐ ์ค์ํ ๋ณ๊ณก์ ์ด๋ค. [์ถ์ฐ์ ์ ๋ง] ๋ง์ดํฌ๋ก ์ ๋ฐ๋ฅ ํ์ธ ์ค์ด๋ฉฐ ํ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ๋ถํฐ ๋ถํ ๋งค์ ์ ๊ธฐ๋ก ๋ณธ๋ค.
๋ค๋ฌ์ ๊ธ
what's going on everyone my name is Jeff and in today's video we are going to talk about the two big upgrades uh that Micron got this week and how that is affecting the stock price so bimo came out Monday uh real early shortly into Market open and upgraded Micron and saying that they see a 50% upside in 2019 so bimo Capital markets upgraded Micron to outperform at which is the highest rating analyst can possibly give it and they're setting its cheaper price and better business fundamentals so as you may know in 2016 and 2017 pretty much all of the semiconductor stocks ran wild you know some of them gaining 2 3 4 500% you know Micron was one of those companies that had a really good year in 2017 and of course got that big huge correction in 2018 and of course guys their reversal is based off of valuation in structurally more profitable companies and guys historically bimo or uh does most of their upgrades and downgrades based on fundamentals okay and then yesterday Bernstein came out and upgraded Micron 2 Bernstein actually gave Micron another outperform rating now that is two outperform ratings in one week so the Bernstein analyst Mark Newman came out saying for micron although we still see up to a 20 20% potential further downside in the worst scenario the risk reward is too attractive to ignore now right there guys I kind of agree with that statement you know I want to say that Micron has hit a bottom first and foremost they're going to have to do it uh on the earnings report they're going to have to perform on the earnings report um like you know the 2017 Micron did you know where every earnings report you know was a massive beat on EPs and a massive beat on Revenue now in this article guys he also did mention that he thought Micron has hit a bottom here recently and that now would be a good time uh to start investing and they gave them a $52 price Target I just pulled this up right here guys um just to give everybody a little bit of the analyst activity in 2018 uh that Micron has seen and now going back to June UBS uh upgraded them from a cell to neutral but then in September that's when everything started kind of falling apart for micron when Goldman Sachs downgraded it from a buy to neutral then in October they got another downgrade from positive to neutral November they got to outperform to underperform rating so they actually got downgraded two spots and then back in December guys RBC Capital uh take their outperform rating and downgraded it to sector perform so these two upgrades do come at a very interesting time you know it does look like the market is recovering so just a lot of the pressure uh from the market falling I think that is priced into Micron right now let's let's go over to the Chart so I've got the one month chart pulled up on Micron and this huge dip right here at the end of December guys that came from their really really uh poor earnings report and they also issued very low guidance for the next quarter now I did make a video about this around that time where I talked about shorting Micron so I actually went short on Micron here shortly after the earnings report I gained a few percent and then I covered and moved out guys and then I rotated those funds uh into to my long-term position in Micron and averaged my shares down a little bit now here's the 5-day chart and as you can see this is when all the upgrades came out right here on the 7th you know Micron Micron started trading into the $ 33 and $34 range of course also having the strength uh of the market recovery at its back and then right here guys on the 9th it took another big boost and got itself up over $35 a share of course momentarily dipping down today and then pretty much trading sideways uh in today's session do I think now is a good time to start building a position in Micron yes I do okay just keep in mind um there still is pro possibly room for the stock to fall some more but I would probably look to take a position like I said somewhere around $35 leave yourself a little bit of cash on the sidelines maybe to add again around 32 and then possibly again around $29 because guys even looking here at the 2-year chart uh Micron was trading up as high as $52 and uh got itself well over in the60s uh earlier in this year and like I said that's when this big huge fallof happened and so one last thing to keep in mind guys right here uh their micron's expected earnings date is projected for somewhere between March 20th and March 25th so you know I have managed to cover all of micron's earnings report here on the channel and I will be in attendance that day guys so you might want to mark this date on your calendar now I'm not anticipating a huge blow up quarter guys I'm just anticipating more of like a recovery quarter so I'm I'm kind of anticipating you know to see a beat and maybe a beat on revenue and then a very slight upgrade in guidance pretty much any positive news for micron is going to move the stock up so but anyways guys that's all I got for today's video please drop a like on this video leave me a comment tell me if you're invested in Micron and thank you for watching in the video







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