저자: RaamdeoAgrawal · 외국인
요약 보기
인도 주식시장 시총이 현재 약 414 lakh crore에서 향후 4년간 약 400 lakh crore 추가되어 두 배(800 lakh crore)가 될 수 있다고 주장. 핵심 동력은 약 150 lakh crore 규모로 추정되는 비상장 기업들의 IPO 및 자금 유입. 비상장주 NSC는 5월 약 1500에서 1주일 내 2300대로 급등, 15일간 최대 60% 상승. 비상장주는 환금성, 고평가 IPO, 사기 위험 존재. 과거 니프티 예측(5년 내 두 배)도 언급. 투자 조언으로 분산투자와 장기 관점 제시.
다듬은 글
This news could prove to be great news for those investing in the stock market as a spectacular rally is expected in the market. Not only this, the market cap of the Indian stock market is going to double in the next 4 years and the biggest contribution in this will be from the unlisted shares of unlisted companies.
If we look at the Indian stock market right now, its market cap is around ₹414 lakh crore and in the next 4 years, another ₹400 lakh crore is going to be added to it. That means the market cap of the Indian stock market has doubled. Actually, we are not saying this but this is the claim of Ramdev Agarwal, Chairman of Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
So if you also invest in the stock market then definitely watch this video till the end because you will get a lot of useful information in this money video. So now first of all let us tell you in detail what Ramdev Agarwal has said. So according to ET report, Ramdev Agarwal has said that the current market cap of India's stock market is around Rs 414 lakh crore and it can increase by Rs 400 lakh crore in the next 4 years.
This means that the total market cap can increase to ₹800 lakh crore. Now, the big unlisted companies of India will be seen playing the main role here. Ramdev Agarwal says that the total estimated value of unlisted companies is around ₹150 lakh crore and as these companies bring IPO, the market will get a huge amount of money and there will be a huge capital investment in the market.
Now this is Ramdev Agarwal's opinion. Now let us come to what are these unlisted companies or these unlisted shares ? Whose value has currently been stated by Ramdev Agarwal to be ₹150 lakh crore. So let us tell you that unlisted shares mean those which are not traded on any major stock exchange like BSE or NSE.
These shares are purchased through private placement or pre- IPO rounds or private transactions. At present, the value of such companies is around ₹150 lakh crore. Now let us tell you that a tremendous rally has been seen in NSC unlisted shares at this time. So according to ET report, in May 2025, unlisted shares of NSC were trading around ₹1500.
But within just a week, the stock was seen trading around ₹2300. And if we look at the total data of 15 days, then in 15 days, a rally of up to 60% has been seen in these unlisted shares. And this is believed to be the reason why Ramdev Agarwal has made this prediction regarding unlisted companies and unlisted shares.
Now it is very important for you to know the risks of unlisted shares and what precautions should be taken. So let us tell you that in unlisted shares, exit is not easy because there are very few selling takers in it. If you want to exit by selling the shares, it may be a little difficult for you. If the IPO is delayed, it means that the unlisted companies want to get listed.
I want to launch an IPO. But if their IPO is delayed then the share price may fall below this. There is a fear of downside from overpriced IPOs. The prices are not official and the risk of fraud also remains here. So here are some precautions you should take and these are some risks you may face. Now let us take a look at what opportunities may exist in unlisted shares.
So pre IPO investors can get huge returns after the IPO. This means that investors can get huge returns in the pre-IPO round that takes place before the IPO. Something similar was seen happening to the investors of LIC and Paytm as they too were seen getting strong returns at that time. So according to Ramdev Agarwal the market cap can double in the next 4 years.
Retail investors, private equity and family offices can make a significant contribution here. So, this was Ramdev Agarwal's opinion on the market gap in the Indian stock market. Let us tell you that just a few months ago, Ramdev Agarwal had also made a prediction regarding Nifty. He had said that Nifty, which is currently trading around 24 to 25,000, can reach 45 to 5000 in the next 5 years.
This means that a rise of double the current level can be seen here. Two times the speed can be seen here. The reasons given behind this were GDP growth, profitability of companies and reforms based on this estimate made by Ramdev Agarwal. He also had some advice for investors. If you are also an investor then you should also listen to these advice carefully.
The first advice was that you have to move ahead with confidence in India's growth story. Along with this you will have to create a diversified portfolio. This means that you should not invest in any one segment, any one theme, any one sector. You need to diversify your portfolio. You will have to take a long term view and you can also focus on thematic investment.
Or you may get good returns. He also said that you should invest in the stock market thoughtfully and not out of fear. So overall, the valuations and prospects of unlisted companies can change the direction of India's capital market growth. The massive rally in unlisted NSC shares seems to be proving the importance of this segment.
Although there are risks such as liquidity, regulatory hurdles, overvaluation, these can be great opportunities for disciplined, verified long-term investors. Ramdev Agarwal has stressed that by listing unlisted companies having a value of up to Rs 150 lakh crore, the total market cap of the Indian stock market can double to Rs 800 lakh crore in the next 4 years.
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