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시장은 거래량이 적은 상태에서 지수들이 올라 있지만, 차트상 아직 확정적 상승 신호는 없어 신중하게 봐야 한다는 결론이다. 지수별 차트 진단: SPY는 일봉에서 20일선 위로 올라섰으나 하락 가능성이 여전히 남은 인사이드바 약세 패턴이며, 주봉도 인사이드바 상태다. IWM은 20·50일선 아래에서 약세 패턴이 이어진다. QQQ는 사상 최고가를 경신했으나 120 부근 돌파와 거래량 확인이 필요하고, 발표 실적에 따라 급등 후 급락 가능성도 언급했다. DIA(다우)는 7주째 횡보하며 20일선 아래에 있어 하락 쪽으로 설정되어 있다고 봤다. IYT(운송)는 저항에서 밀리는 약세 흐름으로 하방 경로를 예상했다. 원자재·달러: USO(원유)는 상승 재료가 많지만 방향은 50:50으로 보며, 1179 돌파 시 상승, 아니면 하락 쪽을 열어둔다. UUP(달러 강세)는 완만한 상승이며, 달러가 강해지면 금(GLD)은 하락, 원유도 하락할 것으로 봤다. GLD는 1240 부근 하락 시 매수를 계획하며 1157, 1124 등을 지지 후보로 제시했다. 개별 종목: 엔비디아(NVDA)는 50달러 부근에서 소량씩 매수했고 현재 평가손실 상태이며, 상승 중이라 '추가 분할 매수'로 대응한다. DPZ(도미노피자)는 숏 포지션으로 실적 전 일부 보유 중이다. 넷플릭스·구글·아마존·페이스북 등 대형 성장주 과열을 경계하며 숏 헤지를 권했다. 전반 리스크: 거래량 부족 속 지수 상승은 취약하고, 주요 기술주가 흔들리면 급락할 수 있다. 실적 발표 전후 분할 대응과 과도한 몰빵 자제를 강조했다. 출연자 전망은 단기 조정 가능성과 실적 이후 방향성 확인을 중심으로 정리된다.
다듬은 글
he Spy the iwm The Q's the DIA The iyt The Uso the GLD and the uup today let's dump jump right into the uh daily spy and uh 60 million on a day another light float we gapped up on mergers and Acquisitions upgrades Galore and uh the market is great again so why not you know open up with a rally so but during the day you notice that you know I'm still on no volume let's look at intraday action you know we hit the high we gapped up here went right into the 618 kind of followed retrace inside bar we talked about that on an intraday basis and it did pull back into the lunchtime hour or so and then right at 12:30 we started the float and then we started floating enough 60-minute chart let's let's look at that real quick we are above the uh 200 moving average but no confirmation we do have a little bit of a topping tail here we're still inside this bar choppy sloppy pattern and uh we'll be uh keeping an eye on this uh let's see here we'll just keep an eye on you know for above this if we stay above this tomorrow to a gap below every time we get above this they seem to bring it right back down but the light volume can Prevail and that's what you have to keep an eye on at this point and also we captured the 20 ma on the daily chart went to the 618 from this high pivot to that low pivot still inside this bar underneath this trend line let's see how this goes in the next couple days or in the next week and we'll see what happens on the uh weekly chart close so on the weekly did we get above the yep we're back above the 20 ma that's one of their goals but we're inside this bar inside that bar so we're an inside bar bearish pattern and an inside bar bearish pattern let's see if we can get above this trend line we are back below this big trend line but we've been bet there for a couple weeks but they did actually Gap it up over the 20 ma which was resistance and that's one of their goals just you know to keep these markets going as long as they could Gap it up over that let's see we're in the 618 maybe get to the 750 on the top of this bar and we'll see how this Market reacts but again light volume you got to keep an eye on that on the iwm it was up uh what was it up today 77 cents nothing big still below the ma see how touched the 20 almost got to the 50 pulled right back this is still a bearish pattern on The Daily but now we're still or I should say still we're below these Mas and the big pivot will be the 120 area we'll see if we can get below that but also let's see here there's this trend line here we did get above it uh let's click on that hold on let's extend that one let's make sure that's in there oh yeah so we're right right about there so they did get it above that see how we were below it almost closed they popped it right on the line they H gapped it up today right into resistance it pulled back we filled was there a Gap no the Gap was filled so so really it was the 20 and the 50 ma holding this thing down today the weekly chart same thing inside bar inside bar till we close Above This High 125.95 I think we still have a good chance of going down technically we are in a strong stance bullish but uh inside this bar you still got to get above the 125 area then ultimately the one uh 26 area as well but uh but not bad you know but we're chopping around this thing should be going we had a nice float up and now we're having some turbulence here I'm expecting some more downside that's me and my opinion qes so on the q's let's put that down a little bit so on the qes same thing daily chart it was up a buck 42 more a little more a little stronger on this one we did get above the pivot high and actually made a new alltime high or 52 we high today and that was at let's see 52 we High 48 yep we did make a new all-time high today let's see if we can confirm and keep this thing going 120 is the area if we can actually get above 120 and get some conviction volume get this thing pushing up I'll actually well you know what I won't believe it but it I think they're getting people sucking them in get the rally going then if Google and Amazon have G earnings get the get this thing going and all it's going to make a round at top and next thing you know it's going to be freaking bombing again that's what they're doing guys are getting everybody in again the iwm still lagging as well as the Dow Jones transports as well if those aren't leading these markets aren't going up so we'll wait on a weekly basis let's see if we can close above the high which was right around 11949 so if we could get above that uh on a weekly close then I want to see more volume like I said and some conviction and this thing pushing up and get some confirmation up there and then then we'll see uh See where these markets are going but the Dow Dow still weak 1 2 3 4 5 six seven weeks sideways we're still below the 20 ma still chopping around this one's setting up definitely for lower prices let's get to the Daily Tuesday is the only one there's strong which you know you got everything you got all the earnings coming up so you got all these upgrades it's out of control uh again inside bar we're below the 50 we did pop above the 20 so there's still trying to hold this thing up again no volume keep an eye on that easy to take this thing up when there's nothing out there that's why when nothing when none of these indexes have volume that's when you get moves on Amazon and Google and uh Netflix was moving you got Buu moving you got chipy up and down Tesla going all over the place you had oil down in the day up at the end of the day or almost positive it was just a Bizarro day and then you had the IBB that was weak but you had to get all the Googles and Amazon strong or the IBB would drag down the cues it's just a sham these markets let me tell you and we're right in a seven and a half year Bull Run and just be careful in my opinion again chopping around bearish pattern I'm think it's setting up for lower prices the Dow to spy the cues are still a little bit strong but I I still still hard to believe what that thing's doing and it's just hype and ER and if they have good ER reports oh my gosh we might actually get a blowoff top which I would love to see all right iyt iyt gets to the 8,000 Mark or the Dow Jones transports get to the eight it just can't do it on a daily basis too look at this thing it pushes up we hit a little bit of turbulence or overhead uh resistance comes right back in closes below the 20 and it still can't get going why you know another lagging indicator and it just this thing needs to start leading the way until it does you know here's here's your highs this thing should be well above the highs and just ripping if everything was that good but it isn't you have a great bullish pattern it's trying to break out still gets above into the uh 14563 area and just can't do it gets to the 75 retrace boom boom boom eventually it's going to take the path of least resistance because it can't get through and least resistance going to be down I think we're going to go right into this trend line then we're going to fill this and then so on and so forth but one one step at a time is this is a weekly chart let's see where it closes on a weekly basis let's get into the Uso Uso again you know more more shaking and baking news upgrades RBC this guy ABC oh oil's going to 70 now we promise you you know other than this little breakout we would had a nice bullish or bearish uh inside bar pattern but uh this one kind of ruined it but we're still going sideways it did dip down into this line which is 382 in the 20 ma that's why we bounc back up with some support uh Gap fill would be right about here so we'll see if this thing can hold up uh in the next couple days or if it will go down maybe there's some more maybe there's more uh fed chatter you know more lip service from those freaking clowns it's starting to just get ridiculous in my in my opinion of course so on the weekly basis we never confirmed above the uh 50 and the 20 so let's see if we can get a bullish consolidation and get oil to go or does it have a bullish consolidation and then it comes right back in we still need more data we need we're waiting on data on the weekly to see what's happening but the uh daily daily you know he had a nice bounce off the 382 and the 20 ma that was saving it so if we continue sideways eventually I think we'll go down if not it's got to get above this uh 1179 then I think we're going to 12 so right now we're kind of a 50-50 shot to go up or down so let's just see see what pattern builds up and we'll take it from there but The UU U now uup still moving up a little bit nothing crazy we had a little bit of a bullish pattern here popped up got above the 2549 area pulled right back which at 2549 is Gap fill next level is going to be right around 2557 then you have a trend line and then you have some more resistance coming here about 2587 so let's see if this one continues up if this does I think gold can come down a little bit more and I think oil will come down a little bit more eventually right now they're just kind of shucking and jiving it making it go whatever direction we still have a pretty good move up on the weekly three bars up let's see if we could get a little more into this area or possibly get above that trend line up here and possibly go after the 2587 area but with the uup going up gold should be going down and gold you know it wasn't it was down a little bit today nothing serious but they tried to make a break the other day came back in made another break came back in pushed it again came back in so again still bullish or bearish consolidation you have the 20 ma curling down let's see if they could Gap it above the resistance here and keep it going or does the 20 ma push it down and get to get back to the lows down in here 11846 I still believe we're going to uh 11571 Gap fill and then 11240 right in this area 35 and you have another Gap here right around 10917 this this pattern here is telling me that uh it's bearish and it could possibly be setting up for lower prices as well as the uh weekly too I mean weekly inside bar nice consolidation let's see if this 200 will take this thing down I'd love to see the5 116 but ultimately the 11240 that's what I'm really waiting for if we get into 113 right into this area I'll probably start adding some gold but I want to make sure I have enough to add at 1240 then then ultimately around 109 110 too you know in this area too 10751 if this pattern played out so you know you got to take your time with this guys add slow SL markets like this they go up and down and all around you got to know your share size you got to know what type of position or what size position you're going in you can't just go all in on on a trade and okay I'm I'm in and then that's how you always get screwed but you want to put a good enough you know share size out there to you know if something pulls back you want to make some money but don't get crazy you got to expect this thing to move up at least if you got you know not this one so much but um you know excuse me just be careful in these markets guys you know you you got stocks all over the place don't get sucked in on the uh on the hype and oh Amazon's going up and all that stuff just put a trade out there like dpz we went short it keeps going up and you know what we're gonna we're going to keep adding you know we started slow we knew it was going on earnings so we knew what was up with that so it's slowly going up still and this is I'm getting off the track on this one but but come on Dy see how it's just slowly grinding up I see how the volume's disa appearing it's almost at the end of the road they upgraded it they did they did this so you got to add so on earnings we added we added a little more and I believe we added a little more today you know so we went three times if you're doing a th shares you might go 200 200 200 maybe 200 and 200 I I'm not going to put a position half on and then go another half and then knowing that you know the scene can scream up that's what they're doing look at nettis or look at Nvidia you know this one they just keep keep going I mean this is ridiculous so if you didn't go small and steady you're you're pretty much done you know and I I'm underwater on my swing swing trade on this one but that's okay because I've been racking up a lot of winners but yeah I mean we we were adding down here around 50 bucks and then it went up 55 60 65 you know stuff like that but we knew this one was it was Nvidia the hype was on we had to go small like I said if you're doing a th000 shares this one I would you know go 150 150 150 150 and then if it gets to a c maybe 70 75 then load the boat you know load the rest of the thousand shares but you got to go slow this one will pull back people I promise you just a matter of time got to be patient on this one all right guys that's going to be it uh for today it's uh 6:30 here in Arizona and again I appreciate everyone watching my videos I'm Hing I'm helping some people out there with these charts and giving you plays just be patient in these markets guys they're floating up on 60 million you know volume on the Spy light volume on the cues so these markets are kind of doing whatever they want they upgrade these things they sh start shooting up the small retail Traders going nuts right now getting into Nvidia getting into Google getting into Amazon getting into Netflix getting into buo you know all the big ones Facebook and oh my gosh if they have if this thing starts to correct all those are going to fall like a freaking brick that's why I'm say say get short with all those but save enough for earnings if they pop you'll have to add more if they drop you'll already be in collecting the you know payday so all right guys stockbookie gmail.com but
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