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결론: 영상 전반은 테슬라·치폴레·넷플릭스·트윌리오·엔비디아·스타벅스 등 2016년 10월 시점 개별 종목 기술적 분석이며, 주로 단기 약세(공매도·풋) 관점이 우세하다. 테슬라: 일봉상 약세 횡보이며 이동평균선 아래에 있다. 주요 지지선은 193.50과 192.03, 하방 목표는 188.28 부근으로 제시됐다. 주봉 200일선이 위로 말려 올라가 하락을 일부 제한할 수 있다고 봤다. 실적 발표를 앞두고 260 부근까지 오르면 공매도하겠다고 했고, 하락 시에는 시장 흐름을 보고 판단하겠다고 했다. SPY·IWM·QQQ도 약세 가능성을 언급했다. 치폴레(CMG): 주봉상 약세 채널이며 이동평균선 아래다. 실적 발표를 앞두고 있어 변동성이 크다. 350~355 부근 반등 시 공매도 관점을 유지했고, 300 부근까지의 하락 가능성도 언급했다. 실적이 나쁘면 50달러 급락도 가능하다고 봤다. 넷플릭스(NFLX): 신고가 부근에서 횡보 중이다. 신고가 상향 돌파 및 거래량 동반 확인 전까지는 박스권 흔들림으로 본다. 월봉상 과매수(스트레치) 상태이며, 실적 후 반등 시 풋 매수를 고려하고 장기적으로 185~186 부근 하락 가능성을 언급했다. 다만 구체적 매매 권유는 피한다고 밝혔다. 트윌리오(TWLO): 일봉상 약세 반등 중이며 실적 발표 전 불확실성이 크다. 66.25 부근 고점 저항을 넘지 못하면 다시 공매도하겠다고 했고, 38.62 갭 메우기 가능성도 언급했다. 주봉상 큰 음봉으로 추가 하락 신호로 해석했다. 엔비디아: 일봉상 상승 후 조정 중이며 실적 전 대기 상태다. 63.68 지지선 이탈 시 58.12 부근, 나아가 갭 메우기와 50일선(43.50) 방향 하락을 예상했다. 실적이 호재로 나오면 공매도 추가를 권했다. 스타벅스(SBUX): 이동평균선 아래로 약세가 뚜렷하며 52.63 부근 저점 이탈 여부가 관건이다. 주봉 지지 이탈 시 44.74와 41.22 방향 하락을 예상했다. 실적이 나쁘면 40~41달러까지 갈 수 있다고 봤고, 롱 포지션이라면 손절선을 타이트하게 관리하라고 했다. 리스크: 모든 종목에서 실적 발표가 가장 큰 변수다. 시장 전체 급락 가능성, CEO 트윗 등 뉴스 리스크도 언급됐다. 진행자는 특정 방향에 베팅하기보다 기술적 차트를 따르겠다는 입장이다. 출연자 전망: 진행자는 개별 종목별로 단기 약세 우위를 보였으며, 테슬라·치폴레·스타벅스에 대해 특히 부정적이었다. 넷플릭스는 과열 우려는 있으나 추세 자체는 인정했다.
다듬은 글
esla CMG nettis twilio Nvidia and Starbucks get right into the daily time frame of Tesla and a little bit of roller coaster today let's get into the 10-minute first and uh some news came out we and we were in the live live session watching this thing and we were looking at Gap fill and then possibly this little pivot that was the end of the road popped right up and then bearish or a bullish pattern and boom lights out to the tie of the day or almost a 200 even number and we'll see what happens uh on this one something with the model 3 some news that's why I don't like this stock I mean anytime you're in this trade you're going short I mean if you're short here and all a sudden the flush but then you know you're expecting it to go lower next thing know pops up some buy the dippers come in or the news isn't good or whatever it is and right back up and right on its way so and then you know you have a call position you freak out you dump it you know stuff like that but just be careful careful with names like this because any day elen can tweet something can happen they get an upgrade blah blah blah but again we did short from here I got about two bucks and the thing kept falling we do have a bearish consolidation underneath the moving averages but they're trying to get this thing up on anything whatever that news was I'm not sure but it saved the day they brought it back above this trend line which actually I thought it was going to start breaking down we closed we closed here but they popped it right back up so keep an eye on this pattern if it starts breaking these lows at 19350 or gets below this low at the 19203 I think this one can continue on down to the 18828 technically it's in a weak stance under the Mas let's go to the weekly weekly chart same thing inside bar on an inside bar below the Mas but it is holding the 200 the 200 is curling up in the price so that can help the matter of this thing moving up earnings are coming up so anything can happen if Tesla comes up into this area 260 or so on earnings we will definitely be shorting this one if it goes down then we're going to have to wait to see what the markets are doing because I believe the Spy the iwm The Q's it's almost time for those things to get roasted in my opinion let's go into CMG kind of roasted like this one old Billy boy stuck in this they're roasting him some more but for all we know he was in down here they popped it he might have sold it right here dribbled it out he could have bought it back here went back up dribbled it out who knows but that's exactly what we did every time it went up into that uh this trend line up into here boom we're short we're writing calls one or the other and then boom again we shorted this one we got about 10 bucks 11 bucks and of course it continued down it is trying to hold on to this low pivot today we did close below so it could it could possibly go back down to 387 keep an eye on this or does it run up in the options X and screw some people that roll calls up in here basically if you wrote a call up here wrote a call here wrote a call here you sell sell sell take the money geez what are you waiting for I mean it's unbelievable if you're holding on to this thing so chipot at this point looking bad earnings are coming up so anything can happen again you're in a weekly uh bearish chart you're channeling up and down so theoretically you're below or you are below the moving averages so this one is setting up to go lower but on earnings you know you know how that works anything's possible I'm still thinking uh 350 355 in this area you could you could may you know 300 maybe if this pattern plays out you're getting some lower prices there especially if it has bad earnings you probably get a 50 Buck wash out right the 350 of these low pivots and then maybe we'll have to see how the Spy reacts to take a long trade on this one if the Spy is breaking down then you don't want anything long in my opinion nettis another high flyer with Netflix this one just keep just won't stop but but one thing that's catching my eyee every time it's going I want to clear this chart out here uh remove all drawing tools you know ultimately you know you want to get a close Above This all-time high for this thing to continue up until then I still think it's a you know just chopping around and we'll get to the monthly chart on this one but until also here till closes above this area as well on a weekly basis this is a daily you know I still think this is week every time it pops up it comes right back in pops up right back in pops up right back in this one stayed a little bit stronger because everyone's getting all crazy on Netflix let's get to the weekly chart weekly chart there's that line I wanted to close above this on a weekly close let's see what happens on Friday and still I it needs to get above the all-time high and continue up on volume right now there is no volume in this so they're just shaking and baking people up and down monthly charts a real story here stretch chart look at this stretch in stretch in what do you think this is going to do it's going to come down eventually if this pops up on earnings short it period if you're already short make sure you can add more at higher prices so this thing comes in I still think we could come down to the 185 area excuse me area it's going to take a little bit of a time so if you want to buy a put on a popup on earnings buy a put you could buy it you know down in here 250 255 buy it uh in the money down in here you know or you could buy it at Price whatever but I think eventually in the next couple months will be down here at the around 186 area or so so maybe go out to January maybe even um uh February maybe but we we'll see what happens on this one I'm not going to throw out stuff and uh somebody does it and they get in trouble so let's see what happens on earnings if it pops and then we'll determine you know for me I'd probably just do shares because the premium will get sucked out or write some calls if it pops so n is stretched that's why we're playing this one uh let's see here twilio so twilio got a pretty good bounce today it was up $332 you knew eventually it was I mean from that schlack and from the highs you know we play it off the topping tail it closed never confirm and boom boom boom we were down we were talking about the 5274 area then this pivot here at 4968 and ultimately I would have loved to get it to the 4272 never did stalled out you know let me look at the weekly why did this thing stall out is there an MA down in here no there's no ma yeah I don't know why it's Stall oh this pivot right here that's why okay so you have this pivot right here and that's some of the reasons why it stalled out but we got a bounce we're bouncing right back up into the 382 let's see what uh pattern this thing develops on The Daily first let's see if we just chop around sideways if twio bounces up on earnings comes up into the fills this Gap or maybe back into this High pivot right here around 6625 I will be shorting again so let's figure out where this thing's going to go right now if this 20 ma curls down in the price before earnings I think this can still go down a little bit lower we have a gap fill around 3862 as well but right now we're getting the dead cap bounce don't believe this one don't chase it let it come up Resort it up here or just let it go maybe double top whatever but we'll see how this thing reacts on earnings I'm not sure when it is but I think it's uh next couple weeks I believe and uh weekly chart again boom nice little tapping tail came right in nice follow through and this is why do you have a big red bar like this this is telling me lower prices to come if it bounces up on ear ear ings around 61 62 I'll be shorting again or I'll be starting to add if it goes up add if it goes a double top add some more just bew if you're long this one if you get a nice retrace up here take some take some money off tighten up the stop do something because you could wake up to the nice gap down on this one and we're right back to square one I mean ultimately you might you might end up going right back to the IPO price who knows but it's twio it doesn't matter guys doesn't matter what stock it is uh let's look at Nvidia another high flyer this one this one's another one but you know we are chopping around we did get up on the weekly let's look at the daily really quick daily we did move up we had a couple Tails it did pull back little bearish pattern following the 20 ma probably waiting on earnings now if earnings pops up on this one short it if you're already short here make sure you have enough to add up on here and if it goes down you're already short and good you know good for everybody we're going to get the targets on the weekly or on the monthly chart this one inside bar so this could pop a little higher if it does close below this pivot or 6368 we are probably going to head down to the 5812 area if that area gives and this pivot gives then we're definitely going to fill this Gap and then go to the next area support which is right around the 50 ma or 4350 but if you look at the monthly stretch chart we talk about these stretch charts in our live sessions we've been doing live sessions at noon noon eastern time through the lunchtime hour a little bit lighter volume little bit of a float but but uh that's when we could get through some charts get through some uh you know everyone brings a symbol throw one out at me we'll look at it try to figure out which way it's going and hopefully I'm saving some of you guys out there uh some money and uh making a good trade so this one here stretched we talk about these charts in our in our uh videos all the time 3628 this thing's at almost 68 bucks or 70 bucks it is slightly pulling back but setting up to possibly move up like I said if this thing moves up on earnings we will be adding more short to this one definitely if you're not in a short position definitely add some don't go all out but make sure you get a decent Siz position because eventually this one will be falling um areas of it to come in you're probably looking at the 57 you're looking at that pivot ultimately around the $50 even number and then ultimately you know it might take this thing's going to keep curling up but I'm thinking uh let's draw a quick FIB in here just to see where what we're looking at on this you know 5250 4 721 4191 then ultimately 35.99 this will curl up so I'm thinking maybe around 41 bucks or so but we'll see how it goes on earnings and then we'll take it from there it better have good earnings or this thing's going to go straight down guys in my opinion an sbck this one was trending on stock twit so I thought I'd do a quick video on it we were short this one a while back we did cover it everyone was oh you're short Starbucks you're an idiot blah blah blah and there it goes you know comes here that that's your uh your thousand Point dip day look at that thing di to 41 bucks geez when the that's why I sell everything's a market trade that's why I say it all the time the markets dump massively I don't care what stock it is it is going to get just it's G to tank but then we get the bounce boom right back up I mean look at that bounce they they came in here the Federal Reserve did an overall buy program on everything and they pushed it up all the way until October then it slowly drained in come uh December right in here we got slacked came right up then slowly been just kind of retracing goes down retrace is short retrace is short and now technically we're below all the moving averages I don't know when earnings are they're probably coming up maybe tomorrow we're below the moving averages we did close below this pivot low here so at this point we're looking pretty damn weak I think the low of the day 5263 yeah that was uh almost a 52- we low so that's telling me there's another little pivot here so let's go to the weekly let's see what we got going on yet there you go there's a pivot here that's what we're holding on to guys and there there's a little pivot here so if you're if you're bullish here you need to hold this pivot if you're bearish it needs to break and you're probably going down to this area here 44 74 and and maybe even 41 down in this area 4122 or 4204 that was the flash crash back in August so technically on the um weekly chart this thing's not looking so good I mean we're below the M Ma down in here we're holding this pivot so if earnings coming up this thing pops up into this area maybe the 61 area short it if you're already short just ride it down to the 200 Ma and possibly even lower than that but uh right now this thing's technically weak just trying to see what else is here let's look at the monthly real quick monthly say yeah same thing look at that stretch chart well this one came in and touched it but it's getting stretched again we had the inside bar closed below it yeah this thing's starting to break down I'm thinking yeah 41 42 right in this area if it really starts to rumble if it has bad earnings this is where you're going actually right about four I'd say 40 bucks 41 bucks possibly so be careful with Starbucks if you're long tighten that stop off if you do get a pop up on the earnings definitely take some off or tighten that stop just in case the market breaks down this one will definitely can be back here in a $42 stock eventually one day and again we are bulls or bears I don't really care I just want to be on the right side of the trade using technicals and uh following the charts that's it guys earnings will you know you got to watch out for that period but uh other than that news like Tesla you get the the CEO tweeting and stuff like that gosh it's it's almost ridiculous but anyways send it to me at stockbookie gmail.com and uh let me know if you have a symbol to look at or let me know what your thoughts are on a chart or if you're in a trade you're upside down or looking to take some profits I can help you out with that I can make a video come to our live live session join us hopefully I'm doing them at 12:00 Eastern Time depending if I have uh an open slot during the day because I'm pretty busy most of the days but most of the trades I'm trading in the morning checking out the charts looking to see what we can make money on but
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