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결론: NVDA·AMD·TSLA·MU 등 고성장주는 실적 발표를 앞두고 기술적으로 중립~약한 상승 쪽이나, 실적 이후 방향은 50:50이라고 봄. 엔비디아: 일봉·주봉 모두 50·200일선 위라 상승 추세로 보나 $250 저항(이중 고점 구간) 돌파 여부가 관건. 현재가 약 $239, 실적 후 급등 가능성과 급락 가능성 병존. AMD: $15~16 구간 횡보 후 $12 돌파 시 $13~13.5 목표, 실패 시 재하락 가능. 시장 지수(SPY, IWM) 흐름에 연동될 것으로 봄. 테슬라: $300 부근 박스권, 적자 지속으로 신뢰도 낮음. $340~350 저항, 하락 시 $280~290 또는 $240 전후 재테스트 가능성 언급. 월봉상 $340 부근 이중 저항 강조. 마이크론: 주봉상 50·200일선 위 강세 구조를 언급하나 저항 돌파 전까지 관망. $54 부근 저항, 돌파 시 상승 여지, 실패 시 $36~40 재테스트 가능성 언급. 출연자 전망: 진행자는 시장 전반 흐름을 따르라는 입장이며 개별 종목 확신은 낮음. 리스크로 실적 전후 변동성과 저거래량 상승 지적.
다듬은 글
hello traders Donna stock boog calm / promo / stock bookie give him a call tell him stock bookie Sencha ain't take it from there alright guys nvidia daily chart what was it 10 million on the day 6.7 cents up or two point six one percent green on the day earnings I believe possibly next week or the following week so they're ramping this one up because you know every time after earnings guys this one goes higher so we had a nice consolidation I mean it's it's choppy choppy action guys in a channel but slightly bullish being overall the mas the 50 the 20 and the 200s the bullish stands we got back right to this trendline area right to this high pivot here so this is some big resistance here's guys if it can push through will most likely push through to the 254 area and these possible trend lines up here so I'm gonna pull this one out a little bit further there's gonna be another area there and then this one here as well so you got to watch for those and then of course double top and this is gonna be the big area to when they broke down right here in this big red bar and a little bit of follow-through so you got to watch the 250 area so right now we're at 239 so it's about 1314 or no my 11 bucks away so maybe it pops up in earnings and that's the area we got to watch for maybe a pierce but it is Nvidia guy stock of the Year last year so um you know doing okay volume was alright today I'd like to see more volume on a big green like day like this today but it's always no volume push up heavy volume selling that's pretty much the verdict all the time weekly chart same thing pretty good too in sidebar bearish pattern I mean down sideways we recaptured a 20ma a nice push up this week above the 50 above the 200 bullish stance not too far from the 20 here when it was up here came back still holding from this pivot to that pivot high you're in to the 500 retrace six one eight down here it held it today got back above the 7500 retrace and tried to recapture this high pivot on this candle it did not so let's keep an eye on this I do like this pattern here going sideways for five weeks let's see what happens again in earnings guys on fifty-fifty shot that it flies higher 50-50 shot that this thing bombs and goes lower so or the pop with the fade that's pretty much been the textbook play on these high flyers here guys and then of course the monthly chart you have a high flyer 163 would be your first target then I still think we could get down in here guys if the markets are selling so this has been extended for a long long time it needs to come in and take a breather and then possibly move up in its merry way so keep an eye on Nvidia and now we're into the new month so we'll see what happens - Ben okay onto monthly though in the last couple months a little bit weak here as it's been going up but let's take a look at that and see what we get come on next week on this one AMD so AMD guys 35 cents up this thing's clawed its way up to the to the $15 $16 area again nice pop consolidation bullish consolidation trying to make a move needs to get above this pivot high here and recapture the 6 1 8 Fibonacci level from this low point to this high point so that's pretty much gonna be good resistance as well as the 7500 and a 200 ma the big area for me will be the 12 dollar area if it could pop through that then most likely we're going to 1291 so an or 13 bucks or maybe even this gap-fill here at 1326 so there's a lot going on up in this area let's see you know one day at a time guys still in this range still chopping around still nice bullish pattern coming off this low but still slightly bearish kind of you know jumping around up and down off this low of nine dollars and four cents or so 20ma could curl in the price and this thing higher so let's let's see what it gives us next week if the markets keep you know going up this will most likely keep going up if the markets take a turn the spy the IWM and start going down this will most likely start to head down so you got to watch for the overall picture and and just follow what the spying and everything else is doing guys it will be a market trade coming from the side pivot than that are low pivot to this - you're back into the 20ma as well and the weekly chart so you got good resistance here - let's see what next week's brings us so we had a nice little move up move from the nine dollar area I mean that's 20 something percent move guys so we'll short-term traders start to take profits or they gonna wait for the twelve dollar area another 75 cents or so in the 50 M a good resistance up in here guys around the twelve dollar area then of course 13 1350 up in there so watch for they AMD right now really nothing to do nice bounce off the lows and a little bit of follow-through earnings helping it - so how high will it go don't know if you're in this thing long just trail the stops and protect it you don't to wake up one day and next thing you know this thing's flying down to the six dollar area then we're still not out of the woods still comes in retraces comes in retraces this is your big line if it gets above that then we'll most likely break out the 13 and 1350 if it can't handle this one it's gonna turn around and come right back down so right now nothing for me to do here and I wish you know a little bit lower on this one we would caught it but what are you gonna do guys it's always easy after the fact to see the move so Tesla same thing chopping around up $10 really doing nothing weekly chart goes up chopping nice bullish pattern here though guys let me tell you I'm slightly bearish but you know you know up sideways is bullish guys but it's still Tesla bleeding a lot of cash earnings just couldn't save it you know until we get back above this neckline around the 30 35 area I don't see this one really going anywhere guys it's gonna be chopping around chopping around in a range still holding the lower range down in here but this point nothing for me to do with Tesla you know I do like that even on the daily guys it's gotta get up on this 306 area that's that's the big one so we had a nice push up today let's see if we do I mean look at that gap down then we get two days pushing up you know by the dip mentality they can't help themselves let's see I mean we close back above the 20 so next next one will be the 50 and then the 200 and then the big trend line right here right at 3:35 340 area even this blue line around 330 676 so pretty much in the middle of the range here not doing much I just let it play out guys you know I mean you could probably get a quick trade here and there but not worth it we start heading up then we'll do something with shorting if we go down we'll be looking for more violence areas like we did here then we shorted calls here and now we're just kind of seeing what this thing will do so um Tesla still okay I mean it's still up into three hundred dollar area and I just need a little more news guys that's all we need just like with Apple you know volume was okay today what was it up three point three nine percent so it was a pretty good day but overall monthly chart 20ma that's what it's hitting it hit the 50 ma so fulfilled the the the high-flyer I mean a next next move would be the 180 you know if this thing stays inside his barn chops around for next couple of months next earnings it's setting up the fall so with news elin tweeting this thing could possibly go up but right now for me at least there there's nothing nothing to do on this it was a nice move up though but if I'm gonna short calls I think I'm gonna wait for it to go up a little bit more we I mean we had some puts on this thing we just got out of them and that was it why don't we what do we do the puts on so we had Tesla puts we got him at five we sold him at nine oh that's right on earnings we did an earnings play small position dropped we made almost 100% got out it was a 50/50 shot like the casino guys but it worked out you know we've been throwing trades like that just to say hey if you guys are willing to take a risk let's put this trade on let's see if Tesla bombs or Amazon goes up or Apple goes up after earnings always a 50-50 shot but if you don't want to lose any money you don't take the trade period so that was a nice little trade for a put got out of it next thing you know we're two days up retest trying to retest these highs up here in the 300 area so again up sideways okay but still down sideways in a channel kind of a bearish channel in a micro bullish possibly moving up higher in in short-term maybe a little short-term and then the next move down so big area will be this one here around 342 340 Sauer 350 let's just say that so interesting on Tesla volume is dribble and down so we had the earnings and all that stuff so see what happens going into Monday Tuesday see what the markets give us weekly chart pretty much just a doji nothing crazy inside this big green bar but still inside this big red bar - so nice reversal but we're still you know still inside down sideways so gotta keep an eye on Tesla markets pullback everything's pulling back markets go up this could move higher just you know the couple more tweets guys couple more tweets mu 28 million on the day little light volume nothing crazy 96 cents up or two point zero six percent green we are trying to hold this 20ma on the weekly I mean it held it pretty good we went all the way down to 45 64 they pushed it back up saved it we're back above the 20 of the 50 and the 200 more in a bullish stance above the mas but still down sideways a bearish pattern at the high so until we get above this area 54 bucks and we could see higher prices if we don't get above the 54 55 area and this thing stays in this lower range coming from this high then will most likely be retesting to 40 I still think we're getting to 36 or 37 60 or double bottom maybe a buyer there I still like in this range better I would love the 20 Amanda curl into the 28 $29.00 price and then take a long from down there I don't know if it's getting there but if it does that'll be a great trade and I'll still probably step up at the plate that comes into the $40 to $38 area well look to see how this comes straight down maybe if it takes a time consolidating then I'll probably stay away and wait for lower prices on this one but em you guys great you know great run right here right back down stretch from the weekly even stress on that monthly two strikes on two monthly targets 34 bucks guys this thing starts to fall apart so that's the monthly chart and then the daily of course a little more short-term I'm same thing looking at nice in sidebar bearish pattern falls again nice in sidebar comes up tries to break above never confirms comes right back in tries it again comes right back in nice bearish pattern underneath the MA setting up for the lower prices I think we get one more retrace maybe and then maybe in the next maybe to the $50 area maybe to the 50 209 or the 50 ma gets above this area they'll hear guys 54 then you can probably see higher prices so right now not much to do volumes pretty lights good move today because the overall markets were up but hats off let's see if this thing can you know grind and grind its way through this and you know get back above let's see from this low pivot you got the three a two five oh yeah that's gonna be a big area around the 54 area in that pivot so I mean we pivot don't reverse where I'm right back down so there's gonna be some bag holders here selling right around the 54 area so watch for that guys but overall you're gonna have to follow the markets the spy the IWM the qs tall gonna be a market trade guys those go up it will help the matter but you know even on a big big update you had stock still down like overstock Regeneron what else stz or constellation aerosol stocks red but I think they had earnings or some news and he stocked ahead news wicks was down yum was down WB was down jack-in-the-box Expedia Dollar Tree Dillard's CW you know there are still some stocks red a net then there's a lot of green there too guys so alright so we're gonna wrap this one up today just keep an eye on em you keep an eye on this pattern if this stays in this lower rains and we could possibly you know go to this area fill this gap and if it continues going lower than you're at the 3760 area down in here so it could go another 10 but let's see if we could retrace back up once we get the retrace we'll see if we could take out some of these pivots and then we'll reevaluate this one next week what was the weekly close again yeah weekly close they recaptured a 20 so it's still okay bullish stance trying to hold these areas and you know doing an okay job but look at the volume disappear like volume garbage again guys if we go into that most likely the spies are gonna keep rolling so nice little tail here I still think we're coming down before we get the bounce but I could be wrong I'd love to see another retrace and it will shore it again here guys on you so all right guys thanks again for watching my videos don't forget to click down here in the bottom right hand corner subscribe don't forget to Like and you know spread the word guys we're doing a lot of good trades out there teaching a lot of people a little bit about technical analysis having fun here making money what better combination is that guys and then enjoy in life so
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