저자: RogerSands · 외국인
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ULTY(YieldMax) 포트폴리오의 일일 매매 리뷰. 아마존과 브로드컴 전량 매도, 코히런트·루멘텀·ALAB 신규 편입. 1월 6일 기준 ULTY 약 3.79달러로 4달러 미만. 아마존 +2.4백만 달러 수익, 브로드컴 -8.9백만 달러 손실. 코히런트는 옵션 전략(콜 매도·풋 매수 등)으로 변동성 베팅 중이며 만기는 이번 주 금요일(9일). 진행자는 ULTY가 배당 발표 이후 더 하락할 것으로 보고 1월 중 약 39달러 회복을 기대한다고 말함.
다듬은 글
All right, welcome everybody to the daily Ultio update. This is for data as of end of day Monday because there was a lot of trading in the Ulti portfolio on Monday. In fact, they sold out of two of their big positions. One was Amazon, the other was Broadcom. Let's take a look at those trades. And they bought three other stocks.
So, they sold out of Amazon, that was for 37 million. Um, that was the remainder of their position. They had sold out in two chunks and they also sold their $62 million Broadcom position and we'll talk about in just a moment whether or not those trades were profitable. Now, they did buy three new stocks.
One is ALAB, which they held on to before uh that was not a profitable trade before. I don't have high hopes this time. and they also bought a company called Coherent and uh Lummentum Holdings. I'm not familiar with either of them, but let's take a look at these on Yahoo. These were both for around 34 35 million in the portfolio.
So, total about $70 million for those two, plus another 33 uh million in ALAB. So, quite a lot of trading for Ulti. Now, Coherent, um, I have the homepage up. Looks like they're doing something in lab coats with photons and manufacturing. They're supplying data centers and telecom companies. I don't really know what they're doing, but I do know when I look at the stock, and I'm not even looking at the chart right now.
If I look at the trailing 12 months PE ratio, it's 258 258 uh dollars for $1 of earnings and the earnings per share is.72. So this is um I mean the in the beta is 1 um 84. So definitely an expensive company. Now, let's let us take a look at the six-month chart. You'll see that it's been going up for quite a bit.
So, if you know about this company, uh, drop a comment below. Let's hear about it. At least they're profitable because if they have an EPS and they have a PE, that means they are profitable. So, that is good to know. Uh, Lumenum, the other one, here's their homepage. Again, this looks like a data center to me.
I'm not going to go too much into it because I don't pretend to know it. And these are their products. It'd be cool if one of the viewers out there works for either of these companies and could shed some light on it. But um their PE ratio is 238 and their earnings per share is a buck 50 there. Beta of 1.52, market cap 25 billion.
Oh yeah, coherence market cap 29 billion. So, kind of right in the sweet spot. Maybe there's some technicals that Ulti saw that, you know, made them want to trade into it. Both of them have been going up for a while now. So, anyways, that's what they hold. And then, of course, you guys will remember if you've uh followed this series that Ulti previously held uh ALAB, PE ratio 136, market cap 28 billion, EPS 1.22, to two and the six-month chart looks like this.
So, kind of had some lows and then big highs and then has flattened out. Um, but also an expensive company probably in that uh space as well. Let's see what do they say about ALAB. Where does Yahoo tell you what ALAB does? I don't know. Oh, at least we can see financial highlights. They seem to be u fairly profitable there.
Profit margin 27%. That is good. So, um and they're making money. So, anyways, that's what um Ulti had bought. And let's take a look now at how things performed um throughout the day. So, Ulti was up uh or the stocks in Ulti were up 1.6%, 6% 16 winners uh nine losers for a 64% win rate. Ulti now trades at uh 37.92 or $3.79.
So definitely below the $4 range if you're converting it for the uh the reverse split. Uh New Scale and Iron, the ones that I'm telling Ulti to get rid of, those were up today. Uh new scale back to around 18. Iron around 48. Robin Hood was up almost 7%. Applied materials up 5.75%. So, a pretty darn good day and diversified day for Ulta.
You see the the sharp greens there, the yellows, the light greens, and then the oranges and the dark reds. Alab, which they just bought into. Um JBL, which has been one of their profitable ones, and then uh Lummentum, the one they also just bought into. all kind of down around 7%. Now here we have the heat map and this shows that overall the market was pretty healthy today.
Um you know Apple was down, Nvidia was down, Broadcom down, some of the larger names were down but then you know Amazon and Tesla had good performance, Google, Facebook, the financials over here were good. Um asset management was uh was doing very well. So, this was a pretty good day for the markets overall.
And then I guess the big one, Microsoft and the technology sector that was fairly flat. Take a look though at uh some of these what we've got going on here. So, Coherent um that one they're actually up uh slightly on this. They've got some nice options premium and some nice stock gains. and uh Lumenum, which they just bought also uh they time the trades well.
So they, you know, making just a little bit of money, which is good. It's a good sign. I I know it's not indicative of how they're going to do overall, but it is a it is nice to see. Now, I do want to filter for Amazon and Broadcom and see how those did. So, Amazon, they were positive on both the stock and the options premium.
They made 2.4 4 million on this trade overall. And unfortunately, Broadcom, they were negative on the stock and negative on the options premium. They lost 8.9 million. So the net of this is 6.5 million in the negative. Broadcom was down 12.8% for them and Amazon was only up 3.81%. So they took another loss on another stock unfortunately.
Now, here is the payoff diagram for Lum. They bought it at 35238. They've sold a call at 365 and they've bought a put at 32250. So, they're basically saying they'll allow for 3 12% upside. You can see that right there. They'll allow for 3 12% upside and then on the downside they'll allow for 8.48% 48% on the downside, capping their win at around 1.7 million for now and capping their downside at around 2.5 million.
And you'll notice that they've only done one put, which they've bought, and they have not sold another put, but they did do that for uh Coherent, which we'll take a look at right now. And here's our payoff diagram for Coherent. You'll see that they bought it at 185 uh spot 85 cents. Their upside or where the call is going to be is 19750.
So 6.27% above. So a much wider range. In fact, let's see what the range on that is. That plus oops minus that. So about a 14.8% 8% range that they're allowing this stock to trade between. The protection was put in at $170, right around there, and they got some more premium at 180 at that strike price.
So really, they're going to cap their win at 2.6 million and the loss is going to be limited to 4.2 million if it just stays like this. Now, these all expire on the 9th, which actually is this Friday. So, these could be adjusted maybe on Wednesday or even Thursday, or maybe they'll adjust on Friday if we get some interesting trading activity from Coherent.
So, definitely we'll keep a close eye on this one. I think I'll leave the data here unless there's something else to uh review. But I I definitely would like to see how this one plays out because they've got such a huge spread like upside up 6.2% downside down 8 1.5%. I think they're expecting this stock to do a little bit of movement here.
Uh especially because they've got that short push strike. So they're trying to collect more volatility premium from this. and they'd only do that if they expected this stock to trade um and be volatile and move a lot. So, this is this is going to be an interesting week for Ulti. So, this is going to be an interesting week for Ulti.
Thank you so much for watching. We are going to start tracking since the beginning of the year shares outstanding and net assets and see what kind of increases or decreases we get. 3792 is is not where I want Ulti right now and it's going to go lower this week after the dividend announcement. I'm hoping in January we can get to around $39.
It doesn't keep dropping because if you look at the markets, they've been doing well and Ulti needs to catch up. So, thank you so much for watching and see you in the next Ulti video. Take care.
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