저자: Ryan · 외국인
요약 보기
TSMC는 세계 파운드리 점유율 약 61%로 AI 칩 제조의 핵심이며 엔비디아·AMD·애플 등과 파트너십이 있다. 다만 미중 갈등이 주요 리스크다. VectorVest 지표상 TSM은 가치 대비 고평가 상태이나 RV·RS·RT 등 복합 등급은 양호(1.38)하고 추세는 상승 모멘텀을 보인다. 매출 성장률 전망은 -2%, 이익 성장률 전망은 6%로 예측 데이터는 혼재되어 있다. 영상 후반은 VectorVest 구독 프로모션이다.
다듬은 글
good evening VV Nation my name is Ryan and welcome to the channel now how many of you own an AI stock an AI stock being like a semiconductor you know one of the Magnificent 7 such as Apple Amazon how many of you actually own one of these companies if you do type AI in the comment section now this is one of the hottest spaces to be in at least in the last 12 months here especially the semiconductors we've seen huge runs in some of these companies such as smci and Nvidia now this AI Revolution and Innovation would not be possible without the company that we're going to cover this evening that's right we're going to go over Taiwan semiconductors or TSM now this evening we will go into some articles that really show the impact that TSM has on the semiconductor and AI space as a whole I mean this company has huge Partnerships with AMD Nvidia Apple Amazon the list goes on and on Taiwan semiconductor is years ahead of its competition and on top of that they're starting to build plants worldwide now we will dive into the vector V7 system to see how our proprietary indicators match up when it comes to this company now if this is something that you're interested stick around and let's get started now to put in perspective just how big and how meaningful this company really is here's a chart of the revenue of the top 10 foundaries worldwide here now you can see since 2019 Taiwan semiconductor has accounted for about half of the revenue worldwide when it comes to semiconductor manufacturing now in 2023 tsmc their market share was 61.2% of the global Foundry Market while the second place winner was Samsung occupying only 11.3% of the revenue in the market now here's an article by Forbes Magazine just showing the geopolitics behind the semiconductor industry now the main point behind this article is this right here the Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing company makes all of the world's AI chips that's right all of the world's Advanced AI chips most importantly this means Nvidia gpus it also includes the AI chips from Google AMD Amazon Microsoft and every other credible competitor now I will say that TSM or Taiwan semiconductors probably one of the most vital companies when it comes to the AI advancement now this being said if you're thinking about investing in this company the one thing you should know and the biggest threat to this company is geopolitical tensions that's right between the US and China as you can see here as I scroll down a lot of Articles coming out if you haven't already noticed us and China right now are at a standoff when it comes to Ai and semiconductor chips they've already done several bans especially when it comes to nidian AMD chips going into China and China responded with several restrictions of rare earth minerals critical to the supply chain structure to the semiconductor industry now that I've told you the good and the bad when it comes to this company let's go ahead and jump into the vector V7 system and see what our proprietary indicators tell us about this position all right so now we're in the vector vest 7 software you can see Taiwan semi here or TSM update today up over just 1 1.2% here currently trading at $144 28 here we value it at just $17 so yes this position is overvalued right now but if we compare it to the space or the industry below which is the semiconductor space we see the price coming in at $91 while the value is at $63 so with the AI hype right now you are paying a premium across the board for these type of stocks now that being said RV and rs which are fundamental indicators here do come in favorable with the RV at 1.02 which looks at long-term price appreciation and the RS are relative safety here just looking at the consistency of the company's financials 1.41 so solid financials here now RT relative timing lets us know that this company is currently trending up with the magnitude behind the trend right now sitting at 1.58 therefore the overall rating or VST comes in at 1.38 which is a great rating for position in general now you will notice we have the buy recommendation here and looking at his forecasted data the sales growth rate not positive right now comes in at -2 while the forecast at earnings growth rate comes in at 6% now if we compare this to the industry below we'll see that the growth rate comes in at 4% and the sales growth rate comes in respectively at 43% now we're going to take a look at Taiwan semiconductors from three different charts now that being said the first chart here looking at forecasted data you can see price action over the last 6 months nice lower left to upper right in price action confirming that bullish momentum that we saw from the RT on the viewers tab now down below we have EPS this is the leading 12-month forecast down below we have our growth rate and earnings here and we also have our sales growth rate we can see the earnings per share is higher than it was 6 months ago however is trending lower over the last two months on top of that look at growth rate and earnings this is also lower than it was 6 months ago we got the growth rate coming in at 6% right now however 6 months ago the growth rate was at 11% now the last indicator down below that sales growth rate here looking at forecasted sales data started out 6 months ago at -14% however we finished today at just -2% so with this being said you can see that the forecast of data here a little mixed right now the sales growth rate is negative while the growth rate and earnings has been shrinking over the last 6 months and the EPS is pulling back over the last 2 months now the second chart here looks at the stock at more of a technical standpoint I have the three and 8 day exponential moving average along with the 20-day support resistance and down below I do have volume now that being said here we do see price Action Moving up over the last few trading sessions here the 3-day is above the 8-day exponential moving average and you can see last week price action looked at that 20-day moving average as a level support here we're starting to diverge away from that 20-day exponential moving average showing momentum to the upside now for confirmation I'd like to take out today's high at 14675 and from a more conservative standpoint we can wait for more confirmation to see if price action takes out the previous high at $158 40 now here's the near-perfect indicator up top looks at Trend which we do see that the 5-day moving average of our stop price is above our 40-day moving average of our stop price confirming this upside momentum however look down below with the RT moving averages we just do not have trigger right now now the 5day is converging closer to that 40-day moving average of RT therefore if price action continues to move to the upside we'll be getting trigger here shortly now ai is changing the world around us forcing companies to operate and adopt these new technologies in order to thrive in the world ahead now Taiwan semiconductors plays a vital role to the supply chain of these computer chips needed by big companies such as Apple Amazon so I wanted to put this company on your radar as a potential play going forward now this company does have its drawback such as geopolitical concerns and Rising above the rubble of this most recent earthquake now this being said I hope you found this video informative and in tonight's video we went over three different styles of charts let me know in the comment section if you like that showing a little bit of diversity of how to look at a stock on a chart now if you found this video informative and make sure you hit that subscribe button make sure you hit the like button share it with amongst your Social Circle so that way they can thrive in the market as well have a good night hey VV Nation do you have access to the vector vest tool the most powerful tool in the industry right now no well I'm going to give you an opportunity to take advantage of an outstanding deal simply go to www.
VectorVest docomo 30 days for $9.95 that's an outrageous price for a trial so what do you get well you get uh the opportunity to see how we have outperformed the S&P 500 by over 2,000% for the last 20 years we go down we can see that we track over 18,000 stocks globally and have access to an anzing those and we've got 25 years of accurate Market predictions yes folks we time the market simply folks all you have to do is go to www.best.com SLT 9.95 for 30 days and we offer a hassle-free refund folks take advantage of it right now he
Comments 0