저자: Jason · 외국인
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이 영상은 2019년 11월 7일 기준 5G 관련 종목(XLNX, ADI, MRVL, AVGO, INSG)과 ETF의 기술적 차트 분석이다. 전반적으로 단기 과열 상태를 경계하며, 주요 저항·지지 구간을 중심으로 단기 조정 가능성을 언급한다. 5G ETF(XLNX 계열 포함 지수): 일봉상 25.35~25.38 부근 이중 천장 저항대가 핵심이며, 금융 섹터 약세 시 전체 종목이 동반 하락할 수 있다고 본다. 24.92 지지선 이탈 시 추세 전환 우려. AVGO: 과열 상태(일봉 RSI 70 근처)로, 단기 저항 323.20, 지지 308.71 부근. 308.71 이탈 시 헤드앤숄더 패턴이 완성될 수 있다고 보며, 이 종목을 당일 주목 종목으로 꼽았다. ETF 및 SPY 약세가 동반되면 AVGO 공매도 진입을 고려할 수 있다고 언급. MRVL: 일봉상 AVGO보다 약세. 26.45 지지 이탈 시 중요한 하락 신호로 보며, 갭 구간 테스트 가능성 언급. XLNX: 97.80 이중 천장 저항이 핵심이며, 97.37 돌파 시 상승 신뢰 증가, 93.30 이탈 시 4시간 추세 변화 가능성. INSG: 실적 부진 후 42 지지를 유지. 450 부근 지지가 중요하며, 하락 삼각형 패턴 가능성 언급. 현재 베어 우위로 평가. ADI: 일봉 큰 음봉에도 5일 EMA 지지 유지, 불(매수세) 우위 지속 조건은 고점 저점 유지. 110.65 테스트 가능성, 상단 저항 114.43 제시. 결론적으로 단기 과열 해소를 위한 조정을 기다리며, 조정 후 공매도 기회를 노린다는 입장이다.
다듬은 글
alright guys Jason near 40 archives I only have time to do one solid video today so please excuse any errors or mispronunciations we're gonna start with 5g the ETF and first of all what I see on the daily timeframe is that we've got some key resistance up at twenty five thirty five to twenty five thirty eight double top area of resistance if the market continues to show a lot of strength we're going to need to get over that level on this ETF we're already overextended a lot of names and we haven't seen a ton of consolidation yet the S&P is very very high of being propped up by XLF if we see the finance sector seeing some weakness it could drag all of our names down with it as we are very extended 25:38 key level of resistance should we see weakness we have today's long day and most importantly yesterday's load a twenty four ninety two we need to hold that level to maintain daily higher lows if we lose it we're looking at some trend changes let's go check out a VGO and again all one take today a bzo a little bit of weakness this is better than we saw yesterday we needed to see some short opportunities yesterday we saw some key breaks of support levels no follow-through that's an indication they're gonna see continued upside but we're already super extended we're still I was still argue we're all overbought on the daily timeframe just under 70 we have three twenty three twenty resistance and we only have yesterday's low of day 3:08 71 for support levels we move so quickly over the last week that we haven't really established a lot of support levels yet and this is not even necessarily confirmed as a daily high or low we need to see more consistent movement away from that level for our timeframe a little bit of consolidation just getting back under 70 RSI still trying to carve out a higher low on the four hour timeframe as possible we're gonna do that but I think it was more than likely we're gonna see a test of that 300 871 level on the hourly timeframe possible set up for a head and shoulders this is pretty much picture-perfect if we see some strength tomorrow and on low or high into continued weakness and getting dragged down by the overall sector or the overall market I should say perfect head-and-shoulders setup key level 308 71 let's check out mr vo Mr VL on the daily timeframe weaker than AVG oh so we have to keep an eye on yesterday or the high of 2747 and today's high up day we did open a little bit stronger but we saw that initial weakness so we're going to be looking for load a support and then ultimately yesterday's love day it's going to be a key level 26 45 on the four hour time frame we are looking at a tightening range here up against sort of double top resistance 2747 trying to set these higher lows in the four hour time frame if we lose 26:45 that's going to be very very key for us and on the hourly that continue tightening range you can see that sort of resistance coming into play here so if we lose today's low of day and I think that will be very indicative of a two 26:45 test and then a test of this gap that we have worried down here XL and X how did you do today excel on X the Bears are trying their best so far but we do have this area much like the other guys double top resistance 97-80 that's going to be key for us indecision candlestick today really chopping around not a lot of clarity or direction possibly we set up our for our higher and low but we're gonna need a break over ninety seven eighty for me to be convinced of that as a longer-term entry there's a double top nearing triple top but still have we still have for our Bulls in control of the chart at this point and possible we're looking at a beautiful cup and handle pad and we're gonna see an execution and I would be happy with the break of ninety seven thirty seven if we lose that ninety three thirty and then we're back to a four hour time frame for possible trend changes i msg that's right yes i NS g looks like we had some bad earnings yesterday but we did hold for forty two support so what that means is we got to focus primarily on today's action and then at four forty two level so we're gonna look for support of today's low of day and we're gonna look at our early support levels and see what more we can establish as we move forward it's nice to see bulls buying this dip and certainly better than having momentum right near the low of day so we'll have to see what tomorrow's action brings nice little bounces here looks like we've got a lot of support right at 450 level so that is going to be key for us and not a lot of clarity on these patterns but we see that we are setting low eyes on the hourly timeframe so possibly looking at a descending triangle pattern which has a base of support and a clear line of pressure holding the price down usually when you get toward about 75 to 80 percent completion of these patterns you see a drop in volume and you see uptick in bull volume if you're gonna break bill and I up taking bear volume if you're gonna break bear so keep an eye on that as we see this pattern evolve right now everything looks like bears are in control we have not set higher highs on the 15 on the hourly or the 4-hour and we're just holding 450 support so bulls need to step up in a big way if they're gonna save this pattern 45440 to support is all we have at this point any eye on the daily time frame adi on the daily big red candlestick still holding EMA five support on the daily so bulls are in control until they give up these higher lows possibly we're going to look for a test at 1:10 65 and if we see bulls in control tomorrow our resistance is 114 43 let's see if we can't clean this chart up a little bit for our time frame looks like we are getting into a little bit of a balancing act between 114 43 110 65 and our high of our pre mark connection 113 82 and then the Bears are in control for the majority of today's trading action with Bulls buying a little bit of a dip right into the end of the day but you can see how this hourly eq is setting up so I'd be keeping a close eye on 113 80 to 110 65 as we headed in tomorrow if we lose 110 65 possible Head & Shoulders I think that beautiful Head & Shoulders is an ABG oh that had that best play I would be keeping an eye on this one as my play for the day if we do see a higher low and a fifteen-minute trend change up here sometime tomorrow and see the overall market keep an eye on X and left keep keep an eye on the spy if those turn right around the same time I would be eyeballing an entry for a short position on AVG Oh given the fact we're so hyper extended up here we need to see some consolidation hourlies cooling off nicely for our still has a long way to go and daily still has a long way to get a long way to go so be ready for those short opportunities when they arrive and until then good luck
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