저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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바이든 행정부 출범 직후 2021년 투자 테마를 정리하면서, 트럼프 시대에서 바이든 시대로의 정책 전환이 시장에 큰 영향을 줄 것이며 여러 테마에 기회가 있다고 주장. 전자상거래: 팬데믹 이후에도 성장 여력이 남아 있다고 보며, 타겟·치폴레 등 온라인 전환에 성공한 기업과 쇼피파이·페이팔·아마존·넷플릭스 등을 제시. 재개장(리오프닝): 백신 접종이 확대되면 회복 가능한 종목으로 메리어트·사우스웨스트항공·보잉·에어비앤비를 언급. 클라우드·디지털화 및 사이버보안: 세일즈포스·마이크로소프트·어도비·서비스나우·워크데이 등 클라우드 관련주와 크라우드스트라이크·지스케일러·옥타·팔로알토 등 보안주를 추천. 5G 및 반도체: 티모바일·크라운캐슬 등 5G 관련주와 스카이웍스·퀄컴·TSMC·파스틀리를 언급하며, 세계적 반도체 부족이 2021년 큰 테마가 될 것이라 전망. 경기부양책: 추가 부양금 지급 시 월마트·아마존·타겟·코스트코·홈디포·로우스 등 소비주에 수혜 기대. 중국: 바이든 행정부가 트럼프처럼 강경하지 않을 것으로 보며, 중국 시장 노출이 큰 애플·나이키·스타벅스·보잉에 긍정적이라고 주장. 보잉은 중국 항공기 주문 가능성을 언급. 증권·자산관리: 모건스탠리·골드만삭스의 호실적을 근거로 주식 선별 투자 및 자산관리 수요 증가를 전망. 원격근무: 재택근무가 지속될 것으로 보고 윌리엄스소노마·웨이페어·로지텍·줌·아마존을 언급. 헬스케어: 바이든 행정부의 보험 접근성 확대 시 센틴·휴마나·CVS 수혜를 예상하고, 일라이릴리·리제네론 등 신약 기업을 제시. 전기차 및 친환경: 환경규제 강화로 전기차 전환이 가속될 것이라며 테슬라·플러그파워·수소·SPAC 합병 전기차 기업과 포드·GM을 언급. 포드는 리비안 투자 및 F-150 전동화를 근거로 제시. 주택: 금리 상승 우려에도 연준·옐런 발언을 근거로 저금리가 장기 지속될 것으로 보고, 이민 정책 완화로 주택 수요가 늘어날 것이라며 톨브라더스·KB홈·풀트·DR호튼·레나르를 추천. 건설장비 부문에서는 캐터필러, 태양광 부문에서는 선파워를 언급하나 판단은 유보. 투자 전략: 테마 종목은 상승 시 추격 매수보다 조정 시 분할 매수가 낫다고 조언하며, 자본과 시장 유동성이 기업을 지지한다고 강조. 리스크: 금리 상승 가능성, 백신 공급 차질, 미중 무역 갈등 재발 등이 변수로 언급되었으나 구체적 정량 리스크 제시는 제한적. 출연자 전망: 장기적으로 테마주가 대통령 교체와 무관하게 작동할 것이라는 낙관적 견해.
다듬은 글
homework in clay america i'd be one of my friends i'm just trying to make you some money my job not just to entertain but dedicate and teach some call me at 1-800-743 cbc or tweet me jim cramer the trump era is over so how do you prepare your portfolio for the biden era in some ways this feels like the most consequential change of administration since perhaps the reagan revolution or the new deal or maybe even the civil war now that's not really true but i'm betting it'll have a bigger impact than the obama to trump transition four years ago the market roared today the dow gaining 258 points the s p polevarden one 1.4 and the nasdaq scoring almost two percent in part because nothing crazy happened at the inauguration the absence of a negative these days means a lot in the wake of the aborted capital push so what does change trump was anti-immigration he was pro-fossil fuel and vocally hostile to china biden's pro-immigration anti-fossil fuel and a lot more chill about china i know these things i'm jimmy chill the new administration should do a better job with a vaccine rollout hard to imagine how anyone could do worse we put the states in charge but also the military in charge and the drug distributors in charge and of course the pharmacy is in charge but when everybody's in charge nobody's in charge in many states it's all come down to county level public health officials which is insane what the heck are they supposed to know about setting up a national vaccination program so once again the bar is very low on the vaccine front if biden simply finds where the extra vials are hidden pfizer and madonna insist that they've got millions of doses waiting somewhere well that'd be a huge win how many have gone bad how many are sitting in federal closets how many fell off the back of a truck for heaven's sake by the way later tonight we're going to hear from gritstone which is working on a new type of vaccine that might obliterate those dangerous mutant coveted strains that you've been hearing about however this isn't mad public health or mad fear-mongering it's mad money so let's dive right into the biggest investable themes for 2021.
now i've been keeping this list since late last year and today we got to update it and reflect some of the biden's cabinet picks personnel is policy first and always is going to be e-commerce a lot of people are nervous that the e-commerce story will fall apart once we beat the pandemic boy that would be the least of a problem sorry but i believe this theme remains in its infancy every retailer restaurant chain has been forced to embrace the web the winners still work up here think target with its shipped same-day delivery service we use it today to bring in like mason mints and a lot of swedish fish uh chipotle with digital delivery and chipotle lanes no wonder it was up 3.6 today same goes for the e-commerce enables shopify etsy paypal square and do not forget although it's often and prematurely considered dead facebook's the best way to advertise online amazon's well amazon apple's got the quintessential e-commerce device and netflix is the king of online entertainment and alphabet's like a cross between facebook and amazon these stocks led the market today second theme the great reopening once we have a national vaccine policy you'll want to own everything that can rebound and there that we let's keep it simple okay well you got to do i say marriott uh southwest air boeing more on that later and yes airbnb third we're still in the early innings of digitization all these cloud plays have made themselves essential here what are the obvious ones go with them salesforce microsoft adobe service now workday theme number four cyber security earnings season is now in full swing and when you listen to these bank conference calls holy cow it's breathtaking how much they have to spend on cyber security you've got cloud native operators like crowdstrike and zscaler and kramer family fave octa or operators that can handle both the cloud and legacy systems that makes me think about palo alto i like them all as for number five that's the 5g wireless build out last week i gave you a whole basket of these t-mobile crown castle marvel tech and seagull oh man skyworks qualcomm taiwan semi and fastly that that basket is paid for itself like nine weights this sunday those are all flying especially the chipmakers because we have a massive worldwide semiconductor shortage gonna be a big theme for 2021.
five jesus juggernaut just pick one theme six biden's covered 19 stimulus plants now this one's tricky you're gonna hear a lot about infrastructure but we don't have any enough ways to play it there's too few industrials you could always go with the rock place like martin marriott or bulk of materials meanwhile another round of stimulus checks is good news for walmart amazon target costco home depot lowe's dollar general dollar tree and let me throw in two for good luck whirlpool and stanley black and decker seven is china for months biden and his campus stressed that they'll continue taking a hard line on china like trump oh please i do not buy this fill the papers today i'm like want to call the if i were their editors man i would have made i would have sent them all back say go do some homework biden's been in politics for 50 years he's never been that hawkish in china plus as much as i believe in the trade war and you know that the business community wants to stop it who wins the companies that already have a lot of chinese exposure like apple did you see that go up nike starbucks you think these go up in a vacuum no it's because of what i'm saying here and let's not forget boeing china needs planes now that their economy's back to normal boeing's directly or indirectly employs 2 million americans if biden plays nice the chinese communist party will throw some orders boeing's way as a gesture goodwill and you'll be paying 250 for the stock theme eight the resurgence of stock picking and wealth management think morgan stanley and goldman sachs they both had unbelievable quarters morgan stanley is the best what an amazing quarter capitalizing new generation investors who recognize that picking stocks is actually a good way to manage your money the asset gathering momentum at morgan stanley is extraordinary they're crushing it crushing it number nine remote work is here to stay even when the pandemic's gone why simple for the last 10 months millions of white-collar workers have been stuck at home you know what happened their productivity sort you can call me 3 a.m at 7 00 a.m make them work it's really great if i were boy if i were boss during these days i would never i would wake them up at quarter three and put them to work and that's am who wins the home office plays remote work enablers william sonoma wayfair logitech zoom video and of course again amazon 10 is healthcare biden doesn't have the votes in congress to do anything earth shaking here but i think his administration will try to make it easier to get insurance and that is very good news for centene humana cvs because cbs now owns aetna i like breakthrough drug bankers by eli lilly with its alzheimer's treatment and regeneron first code for drugs finally you know what i don't come empty-handed to any party i've got two new themes brought to you by the biden white house first be ready for more stringent environmental regulations that push people into electronic vehicles now we've been seeing this all over the place this is not new to you but yeah i'm going to bring them to you constantly and not just tesla plug power someone put a big short rate on that one today for green hydrogen electrical vehicle players that are merging with special purpose acquisition vehicles northern genesis soon be lion electric don't forget lordstown motors a ciig which is merging with uk-based arrival everyone's very hot on that one but you know what i'm increasingly drawn to ford because they're electrifying the f-150 and they've got a nice investment in rivian the 25 billion electric truck developer it was the second biggest gainer in the s p 500 today general motors works too they both are cheap and they've got momentum second is housing now i've been reluctant to do this i would like to recommend toll brothers kb homes polti dr horton and lennar because i was worried about higher interest rates but after what we've heard from fed chief jerome powell and then incoming treasury secretary janet yellen i believe rachel's going to stay over for a long time maybe years so think about it meanwhile biden's pro-immigration which is gigantic for home builders there are at least 10 million undocumented undocumented immigrants who will soon be able to come out of the shadows and ask for credit to buy a home and that will be amazing for the home builders especially since we only have 2.3 a month's worth of homes for sale right now and that is among the lowest on record now if you get an extra aggressive infrastructure push you should buy caterpillar if biden goes big on solar energy all tons of names it's sun power but unlike the others i think the jury's still out on those themes they don't do enough work what's the point of identifying these big themes simple they give you something to fall back on you don't chase these stocks on the way up people you wait for a pullback then you pile into them on the way down when everyone else is scared to death the whole point is that you can feel confident buying them in weakness because the themes give you staying power and you've done the homework the bottom line most of these teams don't need a new president or an old president or any president you put a dog in the office they'll still work the only thing these companies need is capital and this document will provide the stock market will provide any capital that is needed in a heartbeat
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