저자: JoseNajarro · 외국인
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엔비디아 2021년 3분기 실적(매출 71억달러, 전년비 +50%, 게이밍 32억·데이터센터 29억 달러)이 컨센서스를 상회해 시간외 주가가 급등. 게이밍·데이터센터·옴니버스 수요와 대형 기업 채택 확대, 재고 확보를 긍정적으로 평가. 4분기 가이던스 74억달러(±2%)와 ARM 인수 불확실성을 언급. 장기 보유 관점이며 현 가격에서는 추가 매수보다 소액 분할매수(달러 코스트 애버리징)를 제시.
다듬은 글
hey guys welcome back to another episode today i'm super excited my number one position my favorite company out right now reported earnings yesterday stock price is up 28 dollars before the market opens almost 10 percent uh and we're gonna take a quick look at earnings i'm going to share some of the highlights from the report also some of the things i'm keeping an eye out and i have my weekly free newsletter where i have this awesome presentation of all the companies that i follow for free uh so let's get started right nvidia reported earnings right now pre-market stock price is up to 321 dollars i do believe that would be an all-time high if it closes around there but we know right the market can be completely volatile it can be up this big amount pre-market but by the time this video releases it can actually go down um but at the end of the day nvidia long-term hold for me so right off the bat we can see revenue was 7.1 billion dollars this kind of beat expectations and these are i want to say the two main reasons stock price is up right now one huge beat in the expectations what analysts were expecting in overall revenue data center revenue they also did increase guidance and gave a very strong guidance for quarter four uh which also is driving this overall bullish sentiment uh for the company so let's jump into my presentation revenue 7.1 billion that is up 50 year-over-year and up 9 quarter over quarter the gaming business which is about a little bit less than half of this company's total business is 3.2 billion that was up 42 year over year and up five percent quarter over quarter main reason for gaming is just gaming demand is up in both their desktop gpus also has high-end laptops i do believe high-end laptops are coming out a little bit more freaking right now people are buying it i just purchased the recent new laptop um with the high-end graphics cards from nvidia and enjoy it uh we're also seeing uh now data center 2.9 billion so we can see gaming and data center continue to be the major major driving force for nvidia uh right now that's up 55 year-over-year and 24 quarter over quarter this is what really drove the company uh to really beat expectations next if we take a look at visualizations for those not familiar these are like graphics cards or software that kind of helps um with like the engineering the any visualization aspects so these are more workstation um laptops and and that's up 144 year-over-year 11 quarter over quarter now if we take a look at their smallest other and that's 577 million right small portion the smallest segment is automobile that was 135 million up eight percent year-over-year down eleven percent quarter of a quarter the the reason for the decrease in quarter of a quarter is just right now car manufacturers supply um is down due to supply constraints right so that's affecting the overall revenue for guidance like i mentioned they expect 7.4 billion dollars uh plus or minus two percent they mentioned and they do have uh they they expect sequential growth in data center and gaming and that's what's really going to be driving the 7.4 billion dollars in revenue i think this is insane and as we see companies continue to invest heavily in kind of data centers and networking and that's one thing two things that nvidia for example works with it works with data sensors within data sensors so they have their gpus for accelerators they also with the acquisition of melanox which i believe it was probably one of their best acquisitions so far increased their products into the networking uh field which is something that's needed heavily in data centers uh so uh pretty bullish as we see more companies investing more in data centers networking and other types of infrastructure one thing that i thought was super important and i i really enjoyed listening to earnings call because you can really understand where some of these players and one of their ceos are bullish in jensen for example is very very bullish in ai avatars and ai avatars if you guys haven't taken a look at their gtc notes these are pretty much i mean i really i really recommend watching the videos on them they did it some in the gtc note uh but now i think now is the time where us as investors we have to find out what are some companies that are gonna be bullish in this market of ai avatars and he mentioned that ai avatars will be coming to places like uh like fast food restaurants hospitality he says within the next five years and someone in the forefront of technology giving kind of that bullish sentiment in my opinion as an investor it excites me to find companies within that market i already thought about three and i'll probably be doing a video on those three companies uh and some i've already talked about and i'll explain why i'm bullish in it with this ai avatar so make sure to hit the subscribe button now let's take a quick look at highlights like i mentioned gaming demand is up due to desktops and high-end laptops huge huge demand for that uh 14 million subscribers in their geforce now this is the ability for gamers kind of to uh kind of stream through nvidia super computers and play their games numbers of members are up about a hundred percent year over year they said more than double over a year so it could be higher than a hundred percent and they also mentioned that the rtx which is this company's current um current graphics line is their biggest refresh cycle and this is what really excites me about uh nvidia's uh about this graphics card right because if we take a look at steam deck's hardware which they share a lot of information of of gamers and what kind of hardware they're using we can see the rtx line is still very very little compared to the nvidia's previous line the gtx so there's still a huge pent-up demand in my opinion for these graphics cards so even if let's say we see a slowdown in things like crypto mining the gamers who have kind of been in my opinion pushed off or or are depressed of the new cards because of crypto miners they will be picking up that slack so i'm super excited about there uh they also mentioned a lot about the omniverse and how this is the future for them right now strong adoption by big companies like bmw automobile ericsson lockheed martin and sony and this is all very important in my opinion all four of these hit different markets lockheed for example arrow and space aerospace and defense company so you can see that this is not something that is just meant for content creators it's not just meant for it's not just meant for uh like i mentioned content creators studios and stuff like that there is a purpose for omniverse outside of all of this and that's great i and jensen also mentioned during the q a that omniverse the success of this is coming with one an increase of adoption by users and creators which they're seeing do an increase of adoption of software that can work within omniverse which they're also seeing and then the adoption of big companies like we see right now getting into and that's how they're gonna be matching their success within the next 12 months and i believe this is going to be very very bullish for the company another thing is they mention about 25 000 companies are currently using nvidia's ai interference program products and this is pretty much just helping artificial intelligence and the overall learning process big companies are using it some of the big mega techs are using it for like their video streaming platforms and stuff like that so super super important um now i just want to mention some things to know one they did say that the gpu channel inventory remains low kind of bullish and bearish right it tells me that hey there's still huge pent-up demand they might not but there's room for it to grow they also mentioned car manufacturer supply is still down affecting companies that deal with car and again their automobile revenue networking revenue was impacted as the man outstrips supplies and this is what's happening so far the demand is outstripping supply networking like i mentioned melanox i think was a great acquisition uh for nvidia to really really get them out the door with some high technological networking switch which are needed for data centers then we can also see arm acquisition has many battles i personally since i saw this arm acquisition i was more on the side that it wasn't going to happen now that it's we're kind of getting closer i'm still those chances of it happening are dwindling it's still possible but for me i believe investors are expecting this acquisition to not go through so if it does go through it's going to take a lot longer than expected but i think it would be a very very bullish sign uh for nvidia like again acquisition that i mentioned nvidia doesn't need this acquisition but it could definitely benefit from this acquisition they have also planned very very heavily on inventory and that's super bullish right because we see supply constraints so nvidia is going for they're planning ahead on inventory for this quarter for next quarter even for the next year this is something they mentioned during the earnings call the final thing i want to mention before i just give my overall thoughts on nvidia uh and this is pretty weird my right things are not for the right company that's okay i could care less about those but they jensen mentioned that hey in the future they believe that every single data server will be gpu accelerated someday right now that number is less than 10 so right there that's a huge bullish for this company in forms of revenue and in forms of long-term process uh so at the end of the day this is a tier one company for me i wonder if the market opened up yet uh it should so nvidia right now is up eight point two percent sitting at three hundred and sixteen dollars congratulations to all holders i know i'm super excited at the end of the day i'm a long-term investor so even though it's up eight percent i'm not gonna do anything right now with current prices this is more of like a low dollar cost average i do believe if there is ever a slip up even a small slipped up it can really cause stock prices to drop and get better buying opportunity at the same time i don't know when that would happen so low dollar cost averaging would be my opinion right now if we ever see a big drop that would be some heavy heavy position building so take care guys have a good day and see you next time
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