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what is going to be the next big short well in this video you guys are gonna find out i'm ben and welcome to motivation to invest so let's just hop right into the headlines guys let's not waste any more time hopping right in here guys michael bury of the big short has revealed a 530 million dollar bet against tesla now i believe this is again because early a few years ago michael bury also had a major short position against tesla which obviously wasn't very successful but for some reason he seems to want to make this new bet again and he's purchased a series of put options against tesla stock now who is michael bury what is he all about now for those of you that don't know michael bury is a legendary investor and he's most famous for predicting the financial crisis in 2008 and actually making a heap load of money from betting that the housing market would crash and this has been popularized in the movie the big short of which you can see michael bury here is played by christian bale but this isn't the only success story of the great michael burris so michael bury also had a long position on gamestop and the gamestop surge actually resulted in a major win for michael bury so it's pretty clear that michael bury has still got it despite missing out on that tesla short position the first time around and the real question is is he right now is tesla stock definitely overvalued and will it crash again okay so hopping into tesla stock let's go back to april 2020.
now this is when i actually covered tesla stock on this channel before it's incredible ball run so we actually went up by 8x so 800 which is incredible gains and a good friend of mine actually invested a lot into this stock and actually made enough to actually buy a house from investing into tesla stock now i personally was a little bit more like michael burrie i was a little bit more skeptical i'm a little bit more of a traditional value investor i got in a little bit later so maybe around this point here but i still got around a four or five extra term which was great returns and i was really happy with that from investing into tesla's stock and many of you guys in the vip group would have seen my recent actually updates and actually in february 2021 i trimmed my tesla stock heavily after seeing that multiple hedge funds were also trimming their tesla stock so there was a major run-up and of course then there was a major correction so the stock actually corrected down by 26 but then it did rebound a bit by 18 but now michael bury thinks it could crash again the question is how low can tesla go well the good news is if you guys watch till the end of this video i've actually done a deep dive analysis and valuation of tesla stock because everybody always says tesla's overvalue tesla valued but no one actually values it and actually comes up with a concrete number so that's what i've done for you guys so stick around to the end of this video and i'll tell you what that number is which is my buy point for tesla stock now in other tesla news let's find out a little bit more about what's been going on so the mormon church this is quite interesting has got a secretive hundred billion dollar fund and they cashed out of its gamestop position and at some major profits and also trimmed their tesla bet by 13 now the mormon church seems to have done some great trades there so i'm assuming they must have got on their side helping with some incredible returns in other tesla news of course we know tesla actually purchased 1.5 billion dollars in bitcoin and they actually accepted it as payment before declining as payment due to the global impact of bitcoin on global warming however there is talk at the moment that elon musk says tesla's likely to start accepting it again and i would hope so especially being a tesla shareholder considering he's invested 1.5 billion dollars of the company's money into a speculative asset and then slated the asset on twitter saying about global warming and the climate change issues of bitcoin mining before backtracking again so really that's causing a whole lot of volatility and i actually personally think that's just my personal opinion guys comment below if you disagree with me but i personally feel that this whole crypto thing with tesla it's a little bit of a distraction from their core business which should be eevee vehicles and actually mastering their self-driving technology and this is where i get onto my next headline regarding their self-driving technology because there is actually some major news which is happening right now but before we hop into that guys if you haven't joined the family yet feel free by hitting that subscribe button turning that notification bell on we do deep dive stock analysis we do stock investing news we do stock investing picks all for you guys to invest in the market to be successful so simply subscribe notification bell on if you want to be informed of that also if you did find value in this video so far feel free to give it a big thumbs up just like these um crazy celebrities are doing here we've got will smith here we've got arnie we've got chuck norris give this video a big thumbs up guys helps up the youtube ai i didn't personally care but the youtube ai we've got to keep them happy they're like a disgruntled wife we've got to keep them happy in order to be successful and be happy in our lives and also guys if you do want to check out our thriving vip membership group or maybe even our stock investing strategy course check out that first link in the description below and find out more it's actually not some thousand dollar course two thousand dollar course like many of these that you'll see online it only works out if you pitch the annual membership around 25 per month and the amount of value you get is absolutely incredible i'm not just saying that guys feel free check it out first link in the description below if you don't believe me and you're curious about what you get because there really is stacks and stacks and stacks of value for just 20 per month most people in the group have made easily 10x that every single month from just being in that group and being around those like-minded people and also having access to my life buys and sells and also my entire six-figure portfolio okay so this is the news about tesla and it's self-driving technology so tesla shares full after us regulators launch formal investigation into tesla's autopilot system so this is following a series of fatal crashes that have left at least 17 people injured and one dead so since 2018 the national highway traffic safety administration said it has identified 11 crashes where tesla vehicles have encountered first responder scenes and subsequently struck one or more of their vehicles so they're actually crashing into all sorts of vehicles these teslas are and of course this is heavily publicized you won't hear about the toyota crashing or the nissan crashing or any of these other vehicles crashing but because it's a tesla it does get in the news which is really bad news for the stock because the shares were actually down five percent just off this news but i do see a lot of news updates i see a lot of people who are actually driving these teslas which are not full self-driving yet despite the fact that it's actually says full self-driving people have been driving them actually asleep at the wheel like fully in bed at the wheel going along a highway in california and of course this is going to result in crashes so i really think tesla needs to improve its marketing or just master their technology finally now this goes back to the debate of whether tesla should be using lidar technology rather than its camera system in its neural net system but that's a whole other technological debate which i've covered in another video so check out the links in the description below i've got a video for my top three self-driving car stocks and lidar stocks okay so what is the fair value of tesla stock well hopping in right here this is my deep dive advanced valuation model which you do get access to as part of our vip group for over 55 different stocks which are valued with buy points so i've plugged in all the numbers here i've updated it recently i get a fair value of tesla stock of 439 dollars per share okay so the bad news is it does say tesla stock is overvalued by around 55 but the good news is if i actually increase the growth rate because i've been really conservative here i've said 35 growth rate for the next two to five years and tesla actually grew at the last period 97 if i increase that to 40 which isn't unreasonable tesla increases in terms of its value at 550 per share so if you're really bullish on tesla i would personally say around 550 per share is my buy point for a bullish investor on tesla but that's still around 24 overvalued of where it is right now and if you want a margin of safety you're going to want to be looking 25 lower than 550 dollars but personally i'm a little bit more conservative i love tesla as a company i think the technology is incredible i think the founder despite his quirks i think he has got a great vision and great persistence but my fair value for the stocks around 439 dollars per share so from its current position you could expect to lose around 45 on the stock however it could also increase my prediction for its future increases just due to the size of the company not really the fundamentals but it could probably at least could two to three expert could take a number of years so that's today's video guys i hope you did find this valuable remember first link in the description below for our vip membership group subscribe if you haven't already and with that being said i'd love to hear your thoughts please do comment below also and i hope you guys all have an incredible day and i'll see you in my next video invest save
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