저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
이 영상은 마이클 버리가 주택시장과 모기지 관련 증권에 대해 공매도 베팅을 한 사실을 소개하고, 그가 테슬라에 대해 약 5억 3,400만 달러 규모의 풋옵션을 보유한 것으로 보고된 내용을 다룬다. 첫째, 공매도의 개념을 설명한다. 주식을 빌려 매도한 뒤 가격이 떨어지면 되사서 갚는 구조이며, 헤지나 투기 목적으로 쓰인다고 설명한다. 둘째, 마이클 버리의 투자 스타일을 역발상·가치투자로 규정한다. 시장 컨센서스와 반대로 베팅하며, 가치가 있는 곳을 찾는다는 점을 강조한다. 셋째, 테슬라 공매도 건을 다룬다. 2021년 1분기 말 기준 약 800만 주(혹은 약 800,100주) 규모의 풋옵션으로 약 5억 3,400만 달러 상당이라고 보고되었다. 버리는 2020년 9월 테슬라 배터리데이 이후 트위터에서 엘론 머스크와 설전을 벌였으며, 당시 테슬라 시가총액 약 4,380억 달러와 자동차 시장 대비 고평가를 지적했다. 이후 테슬라 주가는 2021년 2월 이후 약 30% 하락했다가 다시 약 30% 반등해 주당 약 730달러, 시가총액 약 7,220억 달러 수준이라고 언급된다. 버리는 여전히 테슬라에 대해 숏 포지션을 유지하는 것으로 소개된다. 넷째, 아크인베스트(ARK Invest)에 대한 베팅을 다룬다. 버리의 Scion 자산운용이 ARKK에 대해 23만 5천 주 규모의 풋옵션을 보유한 것으로 13F 공시에 나타났다고 설명한다. ARKK의 공매도 잔고율이 역대 최고 수준(11.63%)으로 치솟았으며, 숏 ETF 출시 시도도 있었다고 전한다. 다섯째, 캐시 우드의 반박을 소개한다. 우드는 버리가 주택시장 위기를 잘 예측했지만 혁신 분야의 기본적 성장 동력은 이해하지 못한다고 주장하며, 혁신 기술이 향후 10년간 세상을 변화시킬 것이라고 강조했다. 결론적으로 영상은 테슬라와 ARKK를 둘러싼 버리와 우드의 대립 구도를 제시하며, 어느 쪽이 맞을지는 추후 지켜봐야 한다는 입장을 취한다. 영상 말미에는 채널의 유료 멤버십과 강의를 홍보한다.
다듬은 글
i want to i want to short the housing market i i i look for value wherever it can be found what has michael buddy been shorting right now well in this video you guys are gonna find out i'm ben and welcome to motivation to invest who is michael bury michael bury is a legendary investor who's most famous for the big short in which he predicted the us housing bubble in 2007 and the financial crisis of 2008 he did a big short bet against the housing market and of course he won and there's even a hollywood blockbuster movie which covered the whole experience so i highly recommend you guys watch that movie i want to i want to short the housing market i i i look for value wherever it can be found and the fact is that these mortgage-backed securities are filled with extremely risky subprime adjustable rate launcher so has michael bury lost his touch or does he still have the ability to make great predictions in the stock market and specific stocks which he can choose which will fall in price well in this video we're going to dive into this as i reveal the exact stocks and funds which michael bury is shorting right now so before we hop right in guys if you're new around here and you do like investing tips stock market picks feel free to join the investing family it's completely for free by hitting that subscribe button turning that notification bell on and also if you want to check out the first link in the description below you can join our ultimate investing strategy course or our vip membership group where you get access to exactly which stocks i'm buying selling in real time and my entire six-figure portfolio and with that being said let's dive in okay so firstly what does it mean to shorter stock now i'm not going to assume everybody knows the exact technical details of what it means to shorter stock so when you sell a stock short you're effectively betting that the price of that stock will fall now the exact way you do this is you effectively borrow shares from a broker you sell them at a higher price and then you expect the actual price of the stock to fall in value and then you buy back the shares at a lower price and return them to the broker does it make you feel bored or stupid well it's supposed to wall street loves to use confusing terms to make you think only they can do what they do is margot robbie in a bubble bath to explain michael burrie found out that these mortgage bonds that were supposedly 65 aaa were actually just mostly full of so now he's going to short the bonds which means to better gains now investors can use short studying to hedge their portfolio against uncertainty and against declines and traders can use short selling for speculation if they speculate or so it's going to decline in value and this is exactly what michael berry does so what is michael bury's investing style well it's clear to me he's a true contrarian investor and a true value investor really he values these companies these stocks which is a portion of a company and then even if the whole consensus the media the public is really for the specific stock or the specific movement then michael bury will bet against it and those type of situations have the perfect ingredients for major gains in the market i i look for value wherever it can be found okay so which stocks has michael bury been shorting well the first major stock which i'm sure many of you guys may already be aware of is michael bury has a major short position against tesla stock so michael buddy has revealed a major 530 million dollar bet against tesla now michael bury has long put options against 800 100 shares of tesla worth approximately 534 million dollars and this was by the end of the first quarter of 2021 according to a filing with the u.s securities and exchanges commission the sec now michael berry is no stranger to having public fights on twitter with the great elon musk for example in a deleted tweet by michael buddy which have managed to recover on september the 22nd 2020 bury sent a tweet directly to elon musk slamming the valuation of tesla stock just after tesla battery day he highlighted some bloomberg data with regards to tesla and he said the global autos market excluding tesla had 2.3 trillion in sales with a hundred million and he beat so earnings before interest and taxes and the market cap of 807 billion now tesla at the time had just 25 billion in sales no earnings before interest in taxes and a 438 billion market cap at elon musk yes i'm short tested but some free advice for a good guy seriously issue 25 to 50 of your shares at the current ridiculous price that's not dilution you'd be cementing permanence and untold optionality if there are buyers sell that from the lows in 2019 tesla stock has skyrocketed by over one thousand seven hundred percent are made many tesla millionaires or tesla nairs however from february 2021 along with the major growth stock market tesla stock did decline by a massive 30 percent so you could argue that michael bury would have made some cash during that period however since then tesla stock has increased back by another 30 percent so tesla stock is currently trading at 730 per share with a market cap of 722 billion and michael bury is still short tesla so we'll see what happens i'd love to hear your thoughts guys so please do comment below okay so what else has michael bury been shorting well he's also shorted arkhamvest so yes the investment firm which specializes in disruptive and innovative technology led by their bullish founder on many technology stocks such as tesla the great kathy wood now kathy wood gave tesla a brave price target of over five thousand dollars in early 2020 which i did cover on this channel and made it the largest position around 10 percent of all arkhamvest etfs or exchange trading funds this paid off massively for arkhamvest after tesla stock's meteoric rise in 2020.
according to a according to a 13f regulatory filing at the end of q2 2021 michael buddy's cyan asset management owned put contracts against 235 000 shares of arcs innovation etf or a r k k but michael bury isn't the only person shorting arkhamvest the short interest of arkhamvest etf has currently skyrocketed to a record high of 11.63 and even an investment management firm called total capital management filed a prospectus with the sec to launch a short arc etf earlier this month so things are not looking great for kathy wood but she's been biting back on twitter so on twitter kathy woods stated to his credit michael buddy made a great call based on fundamentals and recognized the calamity brewing in the housing and mortgage market as you can see in the big short movie and then she goes on to say i do not believe that he understands the fundamentals that are creating explosive growth and investment opportunities in the innovation space talk about the general strategy of investing in innovation she stated in our view our confess the seeds for the innovation that arkhamvest is dedicated in researching were planted during the 20 years ending with the tech and telecom bust having just stated for more than 20 years these technologies should transform the world during the next 10 years so it's clear cathy wood does put up an incredible argument she was right in 2020 but now let's see what happens with arkhamvest is the ark finally going to sink and michael bury come out on top or will cathy wood reign supreme once more well we'll see what happens but be sure to watch this channel motivation to invest and i'll be following minute by minute update so if you haven't subscribed yet feel free by hitting that subscribe button and turning that notification bell on and remember guys if you do want to access in real time exactly which stocks i'm personally buying selling and my entire investment portfolio and join a thriving community of investors check out that second link in the description below for our vip membership group or if you want to learn how to be an exceptional fundamental investor check out the first link for our ultimate investing strategy course which does give you access also to our thriving vip membership group with that being said thank you guys so much for watching i hope you all have an incredible day i wish you luck in the market and invest safe
Comments 0