🚨GAME OVER!!! MICHAEL BURRY [ BIG SHORT ] se Pone CORTO en TESLA 👉🏼¿ QUE HABRA VISTO ? 💥TSLA STOCK

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결론: 영상은 마이클 버리가 테슬라에 숏 포지션을 잡았다는 소식과 과거 숏 경험을 바탕으로 테슬라 고평가를 경고하지만, 자막 기준 구체적 목표가나 기간 제시는 없다. [버리의 숏 포지션 소식] 테슬라 주가가 목요일 짧게 하락했고, 버리가 테슬라에 숏을 잡았다는 발표가 원인으로 언급된다. 이후 주가는 곧 회복했다고 진행자는 설명한다. [버리의 과거 이력] 버리는 2007~2008년 서브프라임 모기지 붕괴를 예측해 수익을 낸 인물로, 영화 'The Big Short' 및 영상 속 'Victor' 언급과 연결된다. [버리의 테슬라 관련 주장] 작년 9월 트윗에서 테슬라 밸류에이션이 부풀려졌고 자동차 판매보다 규제 크레딧 판매로 수익을 낸다고 주장했다. [주가 및 밸류에이션 수치] 테슬라 주가는 약 600달러 수준으로 언급되며, P/E는 약 1200배로 제시되어 다우 구성종목(20~40배)과 대비된다. [진행자의 과거 거래 경험] 올해 테슬라 숏을 세 번 쳤고 과매수 구간에서 진입해 수익을 봤다고 설명한다. 다만 숏 대신 롱을 유지했다면 수익이 20배 이상이었을 것이라고 말한다. 올해 테슬라는 600% 이상 상승했다고 언급한다. [시장 전망 및 리스크] 골드만삭스 또는 모건스탠리로 언급된 곳이 목표가를 750달러로 상향했다고 전한다. 기대치가 높은 상태에서 실적 미스가 나면 하락도 급격할 수 있다고 경고한다. [투자 관점] 전통적 펀더멘털 분석으로는 테슬라가 고평가이나, 정성적 분석 병행이 필요하다고 말한다. 좋은 기업을 좋은 가격에 사는 것이 중요하다는 원칙을 강조한다. [홍보] 'Economics in 15 Lessons' 교육 프로그램 출시를 안내한다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Tesla shares fell very briefly last Thursday, but they did make a fairly significant move. I honestly did n't understand why they were falling because there wasn't any negative news about the stock. Then we found out that Michael Barry is shorting Tesla. If you don't know who Michael Barry is, I suggest you check out the video you'll find here in the tags, which is related to the movie "The Big Short." Michael Barry was one of the people who predicted what would happen with subprime mortgages in 2007 and 2008.

02. In fact, he designed, built, and developed the financial derivatives that he ultimately used to execute short positions on subprime mortgages, and it was this operation that made him a lot of money. This same person is now shorting Tesla shares, and that's what we'll discuss next. Let's begin. [ Music] Tesla shares fell more than 4% last Wednesday morning.

03. This happened after the famous Michael Barry, who in case you don't know... Whether they recognize him or not, he was portrayed by Christian Bale in the 2015 film *Victor*. This is a fantastic film that I recommend you watch; I think you can find it on La Flecha or Amazon Prime. It's a stock market movie that explains the details of what happened during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, and it's fantastic.

04. One of the protagonists is the character played by Christian Bale, Dr. Michael Barry. The fact is that Michael Bay has announced that he is shorting Tesla stock. Some Wall Street analysts have said that this is Michael Barry's short position. Dr. Michael Barry is a former hedge fund manager who gained notoriety by predicting and profiting from the subprime mortgage crisis.

05. Last September, Barry tweeted about Tesla's inflated valuation and said that the company relies on selling regulatory loans rather than selling cars to make a profit. This is a very strong argument that Michael Barry made on Tuesday. He confirmed on Twitter that he's also putting his money where the action is right now, and in that sense, he said the following on Twitter, and I quote Elon Musk: "Yes, I'm short on Tesla, but I'll offer you some advice, you 're a good guy.

06. Seriously, he's putting between 25 and 50 percent of his shares into the current ridiculously low market price. This wouldn't be wishful thinking; you'd be encouraging holding. It's not an undisclosed option. If there are buyers, sell your shares right now." This is something Barry tweeted as early as Tuesday night.

07. As we just discussed, Dr. Michael Barry, who manages the investment fund called Option Capital, I believe he's now closed it to the public and is focusing on managing his private capital. He said he's taken a short position on Tesla shares, and this is what caused a small drop last Thursday, but it immediately recovered.

08. Anyone who analyzes Tesla's fundamentals will find that from the point of view of traditional fundamental analysis or, for example, value investing analysis, Tesla's short position is a significant loss. If we do that kind of traditional analysis, we'll find that Tesla is extremely overvalued from the perspective of financial data ratios.

09. Just to give an example, Tesla's P/E ratio, or Hernings ratio, is currently almost 1200, meaning it's extremely overvalued. If you look at the P/E ratio of any company in the Dow Jones, it might be 20, 30, or 40, but Tesla's is almost 1200. Here, we would need to do other analyses to understand Tesla's business and why it's subjective to say whether it's expensive or cheap.

10. And, like traditional fundamental analysis, it needs to be complemented with other types of analysis that are no longer objective but qualitative and subjective. The fact is that Michael Barry has a large following that influences his decision-making and investment objectives, which can be long or short positions.

11. Before I forget, I suggest you watch the film "The Big Short." In my opinion, it's the best film that explains everything that happened before, during, and after the stock market crash. Subprime mortgages from 2008, remember that benefit from that, and now they're trying to profit from Tesla. From my point of view, I have to say that this year I've been short on Tesla three times, and on all three occasions things have gone very well because I positioned myself short just when prices were in overbought territory, and that, in one way or another, puts the odds in your favor because those are levels—overbought levels— levels where a pullback is very likely simply due to the market taking profits.

12. I exited, I took profits after the short position generated profits and the shares skyrocketed, so I also had some luck there. I also have to say that if instead of being short on Tesla three times at different price levels, and instead of choosing this type of trading, I had gone long and stayed put, I would have earned 20 times what I earned with the short positions.

13. That's a lot of money, and I don't mind admitting that losing a good amount of money on short positions is not a problem, but if I had been long, it would have been... 20 or even 25 times the profit obtained from shorting because since this year it has appreciated by 600 percent or more than 600 percent.

14. The fact is that Michael Barry is short Tesla; it's almost at $600, it's a crazy level. But in fact, for example, Goldman Sachs, I think, I don't remember exactly if it was Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs, has raised the target price for Tesla to $750. The problem when a stock has this explosive movement in its share price is that, since what the market is doing is discounting very positive expectations, if during any quarter it were to fail to meet these expectations, or have a really bad quarter, or some negative event were to occur that directly affects it, then logically, if the upward movement has been explosive, if the expectations are not met, the downward movement could also be explosive.

15. But many legendary investors, successful and successful, have been short Tesla at different price levels and made a lot of money. There are several stories about them on the internet; the latest is... I don't remember the name, but the last one just closed his position, but in a very painful way, meaning he lost a lot of money.

16. Well, let's see what happens with Testra. It's a wonderful company, but remember that no matter how wonderful a company is, as traders and investors, what we should try to do is not buy wonderful companies at wonderful prices because it's simply not in our best interest, and the chances of success are reduced.

17. Everyone has done well this year, and no matter how much we thought it had peaked, it kept breaking through and will continue to break upwards. It's very similar to what happened with Bitcoin, but there it is. I think we all learn from what happens in the markets, which have been very turbulent this year.

18. Before I say goodbye, remember that we are currently launching our training program, " Economics in 15 Lessons." What I find with many of you, with many of our followers, is that you are people who want to learn about trading, investing, or personal finance, but most of you don't know the basic principles of economics.

19. You don't know what inflation is and its implications for the markets. You do n't know what the different variables are. Macroeconomic factors that at some point become drivers for the markets, and what I'm aiming for with this training is for everyone to have a very homogeneous understanding of the basic principles of economics so that assimilating knowledge in terms of investments and personal finance is much easier.

20. It won't be an academic training; what I'll explain are the elements of economics that have a direct influence on the markets and how we can use them to understand what's happening at any given moment in the stock market. If you feel understood by what I've just described, then this training is probably for you.

21. Below I've left a link with all the details. If this video has been valuable to you, give us a thumbs up, share it on your social networks, and consider subscribing to our channel if you haven't already. Goodbye, thank you very much for your attention, and see you in the next video. Until next time!