저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 이 영상은 2017년 7월 기준 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라에 대해 단기 방향은 혼조~약세 쪽으로 보며 신중한 포지션 관리를 강조한다. 엔비디아: 당일 소폭 상승했으나 8거래일 연속 하락 후 횡보 중. 20일선 아래로 내려가면 추가 하락 가능성이 있다고 봤다. 실적발표를 앞두고 방향 확신은 어렵다고 보며, 큰 상승(200)과 큰 하락(100) 모두 가능하다는 입장이다. 엔비디아 포지션 관리: 롱 포지션은 손절 타이트하게, 숏은 170 부근 돌파 전까지 버티기 권고. 한 종목 비중은 전체 포트폴리오의 10% 이내, 옵션 등 스윙 매매는 전체의 3% 이내로 제한하라고 강조. AMD: 장중 변동 후 소폭 상승 마감. 20·50·200일선 위지만 채널 내 등락 반복. 2~3달러 사이 15~20% 등락이 반복되는 종목으로 설명. 방향은 중립~약세로 보며 지수 흐름에 따라 같이 움직일 것이라고 봤다. 테슬라: 주간 차트상 지지권에 있으나 추가 하락 가능성을 높게 봤다. 280 전후와 270, 238 부근 갭 메우기 가능성 및 200일선(약 258) 하락 목표를 언급. 반등이 나오더라도 330선을 회복해야 의미가 있다고 봤고, 과거 상승 구간에서 익절했어야 한다는 설명을 덧붙였다. 시장 전반: 나스닥·S&P500·SPY·QQQ·IWM이 조정을 받으면 개별 종목도 같이 밀릴 수 있다는 시장 종속 관점을 제시. 다음 날 주간 차트 재점검을 예고했다. 리스크: 실적발표 전후 변동성 확대, 단기 과매도 반등 가능성, 신용 과다 레버리지 시 마진콜 위험을 경고했다.
다듬은 글
do.com sign up for the free membership or go to YouTube and subscribe so $18 million on the day on the daily chart 43 cents up on Nvidia so it was an okay day for uh you know 150 down on the Dow and pretty much all red there's a couple stocks that were actually green and this was one of them so now though we had 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 about what 8 Days down we're getting a little bit of sideways action we're above the 50 and the 200 so still a little bit of a bullish stance below the 20 though if the 20 starts curling down in the price that can lead to lower prices here so let's what let's see what happens in the next uh five to five to 10 days or so you know we'll see how this thing chops if it retraces back up comes back in big 50/50 shot guys are earnings we're back in the earnings season so at that point anything possible for these stocks Nvidia can shoot to 200 this thing could possibly shoot down to 100 so right now though guys holding this little pivot Gap fill area and uh just going sideways now two days um after a nice little Gap up here and then a little bit of sideways action so nothing wrong with Nvidia guys just just if you're long just tighten the stop you don't want to turn a great trade into a mediocre trade if you're short just hang tight if you get back above the 170 area maybe on earnings you you might see a gap in crap so hold strong just make sure guys when you're taking these swing trades and any trade no more than 10% of your total portfolio guys in any positions if you have 100 Grand no more than 10 grand in this position especially you're doing a swing trade if you're doing options with a $100,000 portfolio only do a th000 2,000 3,000 at the most 3% is the most you get wiped out with that it's 3% of your total portfolio so you got to go small in those as well it's All About Money Management guys with trades like this and uh just being smart about what you're doing so so right now just chopping sideways let's see what it gives us in the next week or so on Nvidia let's go to AMD AMD guys what a day I mean this thing was up in the green it came back down it gapped down went up came in 17 cents on the day nothing nothing great you know just a just an okay day guys it was red still above the 20 the 50 and the 200 still in this channel tried breaking out filled the Gap went to the high pivot right back down back above the uh 20 though so that's that's good for the Bulls guys but pretty much in the 50% area of going up and down in this channel so just got to just got to see see more maybe they get some news maybe some an upgrade or something but what a trading vehicle guys it's like two bucks three bucks two bucks three bucks two bucks three bucks three bucks two bucks you know up and down up and down these are these are 15 20% moves guys this is nothing to sneeze about we were telling people you know just figure if you bought here around 9 990 10 bucks this thing goes to 15 you're taking profits comes back down you buy back at uh I should say comes back down you buy back at 1135 it goes to 14 bucks you're taking some off the table came back down little bit oversold get a little bit of a dead cap Bounce Down in here but uh bullish stance let's see if this thing just chops sideways if it does I'm going to say it's going to set up for lower lower prices but not showing us too much other than a nice reversal day here starting to chop in a bullish manner but overall down sideways bearish so be careful with this one it could go either way at this time if the Spy the iwm The Q's start to start to pull back all these will come back including Nvidia as well it will be a market trade on these so and then tomorrow we'll go over the weekly charts on these and then to see where they closed at as well now Tesla guys Tesla's getting interesting here guys it's up about a buck after hours and uh we're in a pretty good area of support I I I I cannot deny that let's I'm going to go to weekly on this one weekly 50 ma or 20 ma straight shot down 750 retrace you had a little bit of a gap a little bit low around I would still like this thing to hit 300 and then maybe that's what I'm thinking guys we might get a little more of a Shakedown tomorrow and then the bounce possibly but watch for that but little bit lower though guys huge gap fill around 280 278 and then a gap window around 28542 this area here volume was good again today on the on the daily but uh looking at this I still think we're coming down here to fill this Gap possibly still have a low pivot here around 290 I'm still thinking they get the Shakedown tomorrow maybe right out of the gate for people go oh my gosh not again they start selling brings it down you do have a gap fill around 295 as well on the daily chart so good support I didn't know if it was going to hold we'll see I'm thinking down maybe just chopping maybe get a slight retrace on some news you are beat down a little bit here and you get by the dippers in here you know with the Tesla especially Tesla guys this thing dips 10 Buck right here you got buy the dip buy the dip they bought the dip again and they're just like oh my gosh you get one more day where they Shake people out these guys who bought the dip up in here going to have to dump they'll probably get a margin call cuz most likely they're you know 90% of their portfolio in a trade going oh this is going to be great they they can see saying it's going to go up and they're all like oh Goldman Sachs those guys no you know what you get a run up from 180 to you know almost 400 guys since December you got to expect some sort of a pullback so now we're into this area big trend line there that we cracked through so I mean realistically guys they got to get it above this trend line which is at 330 or so to to to maybe hold the fort down for a little bit this chops around down in this area for the next week or two we're possibly setting up for lower prices here's your Gap fill that I talked about around the 270 side and there's still another one gosh where is it right here around 238 But ultimately you have the 258 where the uh 200 ma is and we talked about the Fang we talked about all these tech stocks you have this 200 ma hasn't hit it in months this is sometimes the Target right here guys so uh if you are long just tighten up the stops you want to get be you know be be wrenched on if this thing goes to 250 but this is where you should have been taking profits right here even 400 even if it went to 400 who cares you would have sold at 360 370 350 325 now it's at 38 you could be gaining some on this one so just be careful with this Equity if we get some weakness tomorrow in the markets this will possibly go down even though you got a beat down in the last couple days so just be careful with the Tesla all right guys again if you like this video I really want to thank you guys for stopping by watching my videos I love making these for you and hopefully it's helping some of you guys out there all right guys
Comments 0