저자: 미상 · 한국인
요약 보기
나스닥100 선물이 최근 급락 후 반등 중이며, 19,450 부근이 핵심 지지선으로 중요. 이 선을 지키며 19,700 부근까지 반등하면 이중천장이 완성되고, 19,450 이탈 시 하락 채널로 19,100 수준까지 조정 가능성. SOXX 역시 이중천장 형태로 228 라인 사수가 필요하며, 코스피는 20,000 상승 추세선 유효 여부를 주시. 단기 조정 가능성이 있어 현 시점에서는 관망 입장을 취하며 방향 확인 후 대응을 권고.
다듬은 글
Hello, the Nasdaq 100 futures chart is pulling back slightly. When the price plummeted recently, I repeatedly mentioned that a strong rebound would occur, and I stated that I was looking at a rebound range of 10,700 (based on Nasdaq 100 futures) or 19,700. I had indicated that we should watch up to that level.
After pulling back slightly and testing it once more, it is now pulling back a little. If we zoom in a bit more, the line has become important now; the area around 19,450 has become crucial. If a rebound occurs without breaking this level and reaches around 19,700, then the important line collapses, a double top is completed, and if 19,450 is broken, a downward channel will form, extending the decline by the same amount.
In that case, 19,100 is the level we can view from a short-term perspective. That point is the spot where it hit the previous resistance; that level could now act as support. The possibility opens up up to that point. Regarding the scenario when 19,450 is broken— that is, if it does not break and rises again...
The point is that it is not too late to enter a trade after visually confirming whether it goes below the 19,700-plus Garden level. Do not enter based on the middle ground; be clear-cut. You can see the supply zone, so you should either enter when it breaks through it or when there is a sufficient short-term correction.
Since the answer is visible, there is no need to take unnecessary risks. I am telling you that it is not too late to make a decision after observing the direction, whether it goes up or down. Seoksu will likely move along with Asak 100. Although the magnitude of the SX decline differs, the wave patterns are flowing similarly.
Let's look at the minute chart. When looking at the one-hour chart, there is the Soxx n line, 228b. Soxx is also currently forming a double top pattern like this, and it needs to hold that line. Since checking the supply zone is currently clearer when viewing Soxx on the Nasdaq Back futures chart, I am traveling while comparing these two charts.
Ultimately, SXS needs to hold 228b. If it breaks this level, a short-term correction might occur. However, that does not mean it will just crash again; it is more likely that a correction will occur and then... I am watching a rebound unfold. It plummeted in a short period, yet a rebound occurred without pause.
However, expecting a rebound without pause simply because it plunged without pause is actually greedy. Given the strong rebound, it is natural that it may encounter resistance at the supply zone. Therefore, my stance for now is to wait and see. Moving on to the market chart, we look at the KOSPI 20,000 level.
I mentioned that the upward trend line is still alive, and I warned in last week's video that a short-term correction could occur in the global market, just like in the US. Within the SDAQ 150 level, there is a supply zone accumulated here, and since it has hit this zone, these moving averages could act as resistance.
Furthermore, looking at the chart in reverse, it broke through this resistance zone, surged strongly with significant trading volume, and then plunged sharply. I cautioned that touching this supply zone could be a technical rebound. Ultimately, I believe we should watch because a short-term correction is possible.
In my case, while looking at the SDAQ 100 futures chart... I am taking action. Even as I speak, a rebound is occurring with another upper wick. The important thing is that it needs to break through the line—either break through here or break downwards. I will not engage in any trading within the channel. That concludes today's video.
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