저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 마이클 버리의 경고를 인용하며 비트코인과 밈코인·밈주식 과열이 큰 폭락으로 이어질 수 있으니 리스크 관리가 필요하다는 영상. 마이클 버리 경고 내용: 투기 열풍이 개인투자자를 끌어들인 뒤 '모든 폭락의 어머니'가 올 수 있다는 취지. 과거 게임스톱, 2008년 금융위기를 예견했다고 소개. 이 발언은 이후 삭제된 트윗으로 언급됨. 밈주식·암호화폐 구조: 개인투자자는 대개 손해를 보는 쪽이며, 이익은 헤지펀드 등 기관에서 나온다는 주장. 암호화폐는 제로섬 게임이라고 설명. 비트코인 사이클 분석: 과거 고점 이후 평균 약 80~85% 하락 패턴이 있다고 제시. 현재 고점 대비 하락 시 1만 달러 안팎까지 갈 수 있다고 언급하되, 횡보 후 재상승 가능성도 인정. 알트코인·밈코인 리스크: 비트코인 하락기에 알트코인은 약 90% 이상 타격 가능성. 2017년 사이클 코인 약 70%가 사라졌으며 이번 사이클에서도 다수가 0으로 갈 수 있다고 주장. 러그풀, 해킹, 허니팟 등 위험 언급. 규제 리스크: 정부가 비트코인을 금지하지는 못해도 규제(앱스토어 등)로 가격에 영향을 줄 수 있다고 봄. 과거 중국 규제와 일론 머스크 트윗이 가격에 영향을 준 사례 언급. 진행자 전망: 장기적으로는 비트코인 강세론자이나 단기적으로는 큰 하락 리스크가 있다고 봄. 매수 의향은 장기 관점에서 밝힘. 결론적으로 버리의 경고를 근거로 리스크 관리를 강조하는 영상이며, 구체적 종목 매매 지시는 없음.
다듬은 글
don't forget to check out my patreon where you can get exclusive access to all my picks and all my trades before they hit the market and before they hit you welcome back to another video on the finance value guy and in today's video i wanted to address something that i feel like is very concerning but yet nobody's paying attention to simply because of the amount of volatility and speculation going on in the markets right now so right now okay we have a situation okay where michael bury michael j barry has said something okay but michael barry has deleted this tweet and this is why i say okay you have to understand and pay attention to what is being said now for those of you who don't understand who michael where is the quick definition is this is guy this is basically a guy who um you know definitely has probably one of the most foresight i've ever seen in the financial markets someone that definitely sees a lot of things coming he saw gamestop coming he saw the 2008 financial quest coming he saw so many different things coming that people didn't see and um this is someone that is live right now tweeting about the markets and the financial markets that we are in so i think it would be wise for all of us okay who have even if we don't have a dollar invested to pay attention to what he says because his opinion definitely definitely matters because in the future we're going to see just how things play out now what has he said and what is why is this important okay so he said all hype speculation is doing is drawing in retail before the mother of all crashes now who is retail retail is people like you and me okay retail the average person you know who invests in a stock invest in a crypto okay that is what the retail is okay and we have the two kind of you know people that we have as retail institutions institutions are things like banks or things like chase bank and all those you know blackrock all those vanguard all those institutions that are the institutions guys in retail um retail the reason why he said drawing in the retail is because usually the people who get screwed is usually us okay that's the retail okay before the mother of all crashes okay hashtag fomo okay fomo is the fear of missing out okay and he always says okay parabolas slash parabolic runs don't always resolve sideways when crypto falls from trillions or meme stocks to fall from tens of billions okay the main street okay losses will approach the size of countries okay history hasn't changed now i do think okay the woody says here is very very smart and i do you know look at me saying what michael bryce says a small i'm a nobody but um i do think that what he says is very very important to today okay especially when it comes to okay crypto and meme stocks okay because right now these two asset classes are probably one of the hottest hottest asset classes at the moment right now and we need to understand okay where we are with crypto and meme stocks okay because right now we're at a vital point in the market where things could definitely shift for the better or for the worse so meme stocks as you know are things like amsterdam gamestop you know got squeezed out of billions of dollars for because of all the hedge funds and crypto of course as you guys know it's currently a trillion dollar market cap but the thing is okay one thing that i do know about crypto okay is i do know that crypto is very risky i feel like a lot of people don't realize how risky crypto is and a lot of people put more than they can afford to lose in cryptocurrency okay and then essentially lose more than they were willing to invest in the first place and what happens okay is that you have to understand okay that cryptocurrency and meme stocks okay is a zero-sum game guys meaning okay that in order for one person to make money okay a lot of other people okay have to lose money as well guys so don't think that everybody can get rich together that is not how things work okay in the real world okay how it actually works of course everyone's saying to the moon to the moon to the moon but everybody can't get to move the reality is only a few people get to the moon and then the rest of the people just you know they they kind of just suffer down the bottom and i know i don't want to sound like you know someone who's spreading doom and gloom but that is just a reality of the situation guys if you make a trade and you profit okay someone on the other side and we're seeing a loss so just understand that is the reality of how things work so when you're seeing people with millions and millions of dollars there are people losing so for example when we saw the meme stocks okay with gme okay when gme went up so much okay and deep deep effing value okay had that 50 million dollars okay who do you think that came from okay that came from the hedge funds okay that is what i'm talking about so when you know we have okay all of these people getting rich off of games of an amc that's coming from those hedge funds that put in billions of dollars okay so literally retail investors are taking money from um you know these hedge funds and that's what i'm saying guys so you have to understand how this works now why is this interesting and why am i bringing this up now okay especially at this point in crypto okay he's saying that you know crypto falls from trillions or millions of tens of billions the losses will approach the size of countries so what we need to do guys is i'm going to just exit this presentation quickly because we need to look okay at the previous previous market cycles and previous things that are going to happen okay so if we go on to trading view okay and i'm only going to look at the big bitcoin chart because the bitcoin chart is something that i want to show you guys because i really do believe that we are at the point right now okay where there are so many different bearish signals okay and we need to pay attention to where the market is headed okay so let's zoom out for a second okay and let's talk about what michael barry has said so michael barry has basically said that you know all the speculation is doing and drawing in retail before the mother rule crashes now there are many different things that can cause this mother of all crashes okay things like the stock market correcting things like um you know government regulation okay which i'm going to talk about later on in the video but one of the things that we do know okay is that bitcoin does have cycle and market top peaks okay and after the cyclone market top peaks okay there is a huge huge correction guys if we look at every single past cycle top to the next halving okay we can see okay if we take this and if we take this and if we take this guys and this okay and this is what i'm even gonna talk about okay on why this cycle is much worse than the last one okay so if we look from here all the way to here you guys can see that the drop is about like 85 that is on average to drop 80 percent okay and currently with crypto we haven't just seen that yet guys we honestly haven't seen that so if we were to you know take the top of this cycle and put it down to here you can see that bitcoin would be sitting around you know 11 to 10 000 which by some people's estimates are saying that's completely bearish or whatever i'm just trying to give you guys one side of the coin of course there is a possibility that we go sideways and go up again but if we go down 80 from the top like we have historically then there are gonna be some crazy losses now the reason okay that i think okay that this crash the reason people are going to lose more money than the last time okay is because if you bought in 2017 there were no meme coins guys things like dogecoin existed but they did not have the the the thing that they have now the reason why i think losses are gonna be way way further than they are before is because guys there are too many meme coins right now seriously there are being meme coins made on a ridiculous level guys okay um even though i'm i've been a vocal advocate for dogecoin which is technically okay class is the main coin guys do you know what happens to altcoins when the price of bitcoin tanks okay these coins okay every other coin other than other than bitcoin is gonna take a 90 hit okay when the price of bitcoin cycles out okay and it does okay and i'm not saying that as a bear there is going to be a point where there is going to be a bear market that is the nature of things happening okay i am not a bitcoin bear i'm someone who's neutral okay i'm not i'm not i don't love bitcoin too much i don't hate bitcoin too much i'm just saying okay that these run-ups okay are short-lived run up like this okay shortly we could have another run-up but this is what happens the majority of the time okay and most people that just entering the market don't realize that okay and during these periods okay altcoins take a huge hit okay if we just look okay for example a ripple okay and of course ripple has had its own thing the reason i'm saying okay you guys need to pay attention to this stuff is because with meme coins okay not only can you get rug pulled you can get you know rug pulled you can get you know there can be crashes there can be hacks there can be you know honey pots there are so many different things that can happen with meme coins guys and the thing is okay the reason this is riskier okay is because in 2017 okay like i was an investor in 2017.
if you bought ripple in 2017 okay some people were like oh no you bought yada yada yada but the thing is if you held until this cycle you wouldn't have lost that much money guys understand that 70 of the coins from the 2017 ball cycle okay are completely gone and never returned this is gonna happen again with the next cycle guys so many coins are gonna go to zero okay and this is not me just spreading fomo okay this is what i'm saying they're gonna be so many coins that rug pool that get boring during this bear market okay and this is what you have to pay attention to and this is what michael barry's saying okay now okay even if let's just say okay this is a new paradigm this is a new market coin is just you know it's like the stock market now you know there is no bear market things just carry on going okay we have to be very very careful okay of government intervention okay in a recent video i published on the 30th of march guys you guys can see okay i talked about you know michael barry and what he was talking about bitcoin okay how i predicted the housing market okay he was basically talking about okay um you know legally violent heartless central governments with lifeblood interests in monopolies and currencies won't allow bitcoin to remain decentralized basically what this means is that these gree let me know i don't even use any crazy words but these greedy bankers that we have in the world guys they are not going to allow okay the average person like you and me to benefit okay outside the financial system and increase our wealth without them having a say in how it happens guys you have to understand that bitcoin is completely decentralized these guys don't really have a vested interest in at the moment and they can't really control the price as they do with many other assets guys and this is something that people don't like i i really wanna you know you guys should really check out this video because it's definitely interesting and i'm just saying that because it's mine but i would say take a look at this because governments can just ban cryptocurrencies outright they can ban things like you know bitcoin of course you know you could argue that it is hard and i did reference this article where u.s lawmakers are saying that they realize they can't ban bitcoin but even if they can't ban it they can definitely regulate it guys you know things like app stores things like that they can definitely regulate things and you know it's definitely gonna affect the price guys we've seen what flood has done to bitcoin if if elon musk can tweet okay about bitcoin a few negative things and then the price just simply goes down then i think we are definitely a stage where bitcoin is definitely sensitive to news okay even china fodder okay and you know china brought the price of bitcoin down heavily guys and you have to understand that what if we get some united states for that is not going to be good at all guys especially with what's going on the economy i think we should be paying attention to what michael barry is saying okay that you know this okay eventually there is going to be a crash guys i'm not someone who's just spreading fud okay but bitcoin just can't continue going up okay understand that if a you know crypto goes up like this it usually has a period where rest and there is an accumulation phase and then that accumulation phase has bear market okay people are going to get bored of the coin and that is where majority people are going to lose money me myself i'm going to be buying because like i said i am long term bullish but in the short term we do know that there is a big risk on what could happen the point i'm trying to make from this video okay is that michael barry is oh my god didn't mean to close that he's definitely right on what he says we have two major risks okay we have risk of this bear market starting very soon okay and we have the risk of government okay being you know having or trying to regulate bitcoin okay then this video i play this video clip it talks about the government's talking about bitcoin and it's definitely i'm just definitely worth a watch if you want to you know um you know talk about this and guys understand this is all coming from the opinion of michael burris someone that is way smarter than me someone that makes millions of million dollars can sees all of these things coming and him himself is saying that a crash is coming so even if you don't take my opinion into account just take michael barr's opinion in his account when he's told you that there's a crash is coming and i think okay that you guys should definitely be managing your risk when it comes to bitcoin because it is very very risky of course there are life-changing games to be made but do not forget the risks that cryptocurrency poses especially with how volatile it is with that being said i'll see you guys in the next video
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