저자: LarryJones · 외국인
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시장이 주간 하락 후 일시 반등했으나 Larry Jones는 이를 조정 국면으로 보고 S&P500이 7~8% 추가 조정 가능성을 언급. 테슬라는 230달러 지지 여부를 기준으로 248 목표를 제시하며 보유 중이라고 밝힘. 엔비디아 실적 발표를 앞두고 사운드(SOUN)·APLD는 손절가 설정 후 보유 의사, 알리바바 콜옵션은 일부 익절 계획. 게스트(JP Morgan 전략가)는 연내 시장이 제한적이라 보며 중국 둔화의 S&P500 영향을 강조. 잭슨홀 파월 연설이 시장을 움직일 변수로 지목.
다듬은 글
hey what's up Good People how you doing welcome back to stock up with Larry Jones we have a lot to get into today first make sure that you check out the top link below uh this video is sponsored by stock up you stock up you is the top link below I've been hearing um a lot of great comments for those of you that are taking the options uh that are looking at the options the whole class is all one class so you one-time payment you get everything for free including the new stuff I just uh last week uploaded an entire chapter on options and um I hear that you guys are really liking that okay let's get right into it we got a lot to talk about um on yesterday um I'm just gonna wrap up these few plays that I was in and then we're just going to keep it moving because we are trading the market that we are in we're not overly bearish we're not overly bullish but I am going to play two videos for you that is fascinating of how uh two experts see this Market from two totally different lenses okay so uh X ticker symbol X I sold it um it just was just trading flat flat I sold it this morning and it's starting to cool off uh that was a steel company you can hold it I just didn't there was no bad news that uh made me sell it it just wasn't performing well so I sold it as you guys know I wasn't heavy into that and uh but I still think that there's money to be made if U.S steel gets bought out by another company so you do what's best for you anything I say is not a suggestion for you to buy hold or sale all right I want to get a lot of information out on this one so I'm going to talk really fast all right so let's take a look as we could see now we got a really really nice bounce back today uh not bounce back because we had a long ways to be back all right we got a really really nice bounce as you can see the dial was up s p is up um NASDAQ over one and a half percent s p is up over a percent and the Dow is teasing with a full percent um but just remember if you zoom out okay so let's not get all excited let's take these off but if we look at the week as we could see it's just been a sell-off right it's just been a sell-off all week right but we were expecting that why because this is a this is not a good month it is and the market was due for I call it a correction but it's not a true correction a true correction is 10 all right or actually more than 10 is a true correction okay so I expect the market to pull back about seven to eight percent and um so I'm calling that a correction but it's not textbook technically a correction just a pullback a cool off all right so the max 7 is cooling off but some are not actually Tesla's up again today all right uh we do know that Nvidia is uh reporting tonight we'll come back to Nvidia let's just look at Tesla really really quick right so as we can see here Tesla is up almost two percent again today actually it was up two percent uh today it was up three percent today but it's up two percent now and uh we could see that Tesla has been for the last week Tesla has been up really really good okay and um there's a trading range that I want you guys to uh think about actually we're gonna go right to it I'm gonna play a snippet of a video from stocks with Josh he's our resident um um technical analyst we launched his page right here okay we want you guys to have the best I want you to listen to what he says because there is a trading range that I want you guys to be aware of okay and a trading range remember when he gives you support and resistance right if there's a daily chart that means that you know he gives you a weekly Charter daily chart an hourly chart that means when he gives you these numbers they have to close okay above a certain number all right so I just want you guys to just listen hopefully we can get this to yup work pointing out that 230 dollars had right above it a very strong descending line of resistance that we had to see it break through well we went pretty powerfully into the close last night and we were above it which meant it was a hold position and then in the morning time we skyrocketed all the way to 240 dollars and then since it hit a brick wall and it's come right back to that 230 range I was watching it because 230 is the critical spot anything any sell-off beneath 230 and here's what it tells us it tells us definitively that we would be going back to 211 but as long as we stay above 230 even though we flashed back all the way from 240 if we closed today above 230 it means that we are very likely going to move on from this spot and move up to 248.
that's how we're watching the Tesla trade so far it's been so you heard that it did close over 2 30 and we could be moving back up to to uh 48. you guys heard that all right and so now as we could see we are at 2 37. now that's not definitively but I am holding my Tesla positions um at this time I was going to do a little let's just look at what we have going on here so let's just blow up Tesla here as you can see Tesla I'm up seven percent let's just call it eight percent on my Tesla stock and Tesla um I will just tell you guys that this is my swing trade account this is my Weeble um I also bought the same amount in my long-term hold of Tesla now I'm going to sell this Tesla and um I don't know exactly where but today I am going to move my stop loss up into profit and let me let you guys know that are new you cannot set a stop loss after closing bail you it doesn't work you can set it but it's not active make sure you set your stop loss before closing bail you can't do it before the Market opens or after it closes okay so what I'm going to do is set my stop loss into profit on here but just know for me I also have the same amount on another trading app that's why I suggest you have you guys have multiple trading apps all right and um you know what let's talk about sound okay because as you can see I have sound and I have a pld all right as you can see sound I'm up 12 apld I'm up 10 percent if you follow these plays um and bought any of it let me know I'm just going to say if you bought any not follow because anything you say is not a suggestion anything I say is my suggestion for you to buy hold the sale but if you're in any of these plays and uh you're making money uh just let me know how you're doing all right now remember I am going to on Tesla because I it's it's the bigger amount that I've bought I am going to set a stop loss why because Nvidia reports tonight if Nvidia goes down I believe apld will go down and I believe that sound will go down so I am going to take my risk of holding through um earnings tonight with Nvidia remember I sold my Nvidia I made 30 on my Nvidia call option right but what I'm going to do is I'm going to with apld and sounds I'm going to set my stop losses before closing bail today and if Nvidia does well these will probably have another Pop tomorrow okay and so that's what I'm going to do uh winner new win or lose all right but Nvidia itself I buy the rumor sell the news meaning you buy the stock based on a rumor which is earnings and sell the news simply means you sell the stock or the option before they report okay so just know uh what that means let's take a look at Nvidia right quick yep there we go and videos up uh nicely again today and um I know my buddy Josh uh was in some option plays and remember anything he says is not a suggestion for you to buy hold or sale I don't have a crystal ball I can't tell you what's gonna happen within videos earnings but I am going to hold my sound and my apld win or lose so if you lose you should have sold today right I'm going to take that risk so this is not get like me okay so uh what else do I want to look at I talked about that oh yeah let's talk about Baba right quick as you can see uh let's see here see here Baba my Baba as uh Alibaba remember on yesterday we were red but look right now on my 90 call I'm up uh I was up as much as 20 but right now it's 17.83 on my ninety dollar call and it's 91 on I'm sorry it's 14.83 on my ninety one dollar call all right if you've gotten into some of these plays let me know now China's getting really really sketchy and I'm really close to selling these right I'm really close to selling these I'm going to see how things look towards closing bell and I might sell uh these and look to get back in because it keeps fluctuating right I'm just gonna take the money as a matter of fact I'm probably going to sell all but one contract of each take a little change right never apologize for taking profits and then just keep one share of each just to see how they perform all right that's what I'm gonna do I'm gonna sell all the one share of each take my profits and run okay that way I don't think that I will be in horrible trouble all right all right so let's keep it going we covered in video we covered Tesla um listen as far as the market goes right where we're on time we're doing good so as far as the market goes I'm going to play you this because I want you to see how confusing it is trying to guess this Market listen to this dubrovco lakos Chief Global Equity strategist at the aforementioned JP Morgan that wasn't your call though right that was that was Marco a lot of it right it's our research call okay so it's a house call house field um so the rest of the year is not going to do anything oh we think it's capped because uh you got a multiple that's basically hitting against that 20 turn ceiling you have a cycle that in our opinion is aging and not getting younger uh you have positioning which definitely was on the low end earlier in the year but now I think the boat has gotten filled up there and sent them is definitely much more bullish you have monetary policy remains restrictive and aware of the view that fed is not going to be easing anytime soon we can talk about do they hike more or not cost of capital remains prohibitive and fiscal what people forget this year has been a massive fiscal easing year 1.8 trillion dollars in government spending next year that's going to get tighter so as you can see that sounded very very bearish saying that the market is not going to do well this year right so it's not going to close well this year now check this out I'll ask you to just kind of go back to the broader investing implications especially for the U.S investor what are they yeah so it's interesting because if you look at U.S economy exposure to China it is different to the s p 500's exposure to China right uh U.S GDP exports account only for roughly 10 percent of GDP but 30 percent of s p 500 revenues come from abroad and roughly one-third of those come from China right so a slower Chinese consumer a slower Chinese economy could actually have a outsized impact on the S P 500 versus an outsized impact to the U.S economy yeah and so if that's true for the S P 500 Andres what would your advice be to investors who are looking and saying listen if I'd miss the market this year I you know what what do I do now yeah I I one I would Echo that we can't ignore the fact that the U.S economy has been really resilient to a rising rate environment and to a slowing global economy and I think that's one of the reasons we've seen uh the way the market act the way that it is Right double digit returns this year so you have to look at every Factor here not just yes China is slowing down but on the upside the U.S economy has been very uh resilient when it comes to the U.S investor I think the question now is where is that incremental dollar going not just within stocks but versus a bond or versus a savings account and that's one of the areas that I feel a little bit more skeptical that we could go back to all-time highs in the stock market uh this year consider back to all-time highs in the stock market win this year so you got somebody talking extremely bearish somebody talking extremely bullish now what will move them Market in the near future what will move the market in the near future Jackson Hole it starts tomorrow Thursday and then fed Powell will be speaking Friday whatever he says about interest rates and inflation will move the markets okay and so that's what remember last year he talked for eight minutes and he tanked the market right he tanked the market the last Jackson Hole meeting should I say he tanked the market with a lot just eight minutes tank the market so um um uh sent the market on a a swing should I say so that's what I want to talk about all right you know what Josh says something I want to also leave you in this video with that's very important for those of you that are doing um options he talks about something about doing options far out which you guys know I do on the expiration date but um before we go into that guys make sure that you get your free stock 16 of free stock right make sure look each stock is between two and two thousand dollars per a piece and make sure you put a minimum of a hundred dollars where you gonna get five free stocks already remember from two to two thousand dollars per stock and then the fifty dollar cash uh reward okay make sure you check that out so let me find the spot where Josh is talking about and um um I kind of agree with it let's listen that's how we're watching the Tesla trade so far it's been very profitable but it's also been very very volatile so right now it makes more sense to get contracts that are further out expiration the first contract that I played was actually August 25th which I wouldn't recommend because that was a pretty risky move if it had not gone the direction that I expected it to go I would have lost 80 percent of my principal within a 24-hour window that's not the type of trade that most people who have never traded options should do at this point I'm pushing out my expiration dates on Tesla as long as we stay above 232 I'm going to stay in it for a push up to 248.
now today's so you guys hear that and I agree with that um that's what I do remember everything is range bound and it could change day by day remember support and resistance remember closing above or closing beneath those are some of the things that a lot of people uh with charts misunderstand when um people like Josh talks about it so just understand that hey I'm wearing this I actually got this from Lahaina so we are Lahaina strong we're standing with you guys in Hawaii we're we're we know that you guys are not out of the woods and we're going to continue to support you guys we love you guys you guys are family if I've said I've done anything that was eye-open to you and you're new make sure you hit the like subscribe notification Bell and make sure that notification Bell has all on it if you've made any money on any of these plays leave me a comment please and remember the stop loss lessons you can't do it after closing bail and if you need to rewind this video and go over any part please please uh feel free to do so hey um stock up with Larry Jones we are on our way to a million subscribers I'm gonna name it and claim it all right you guys are going to help me make sure you check out the two top links Below in the description MooMoo is uh the free stock is there and then stock up you where you can learn how to do options for those of you that don't know anything about options okay love you guys we'll see you tomorrow live love laugh and learn hey I think we're supposed to be on with the guys tonight excuse me I've been a little uh preoccupied as some of you guys know but we're just gonna keep you guys fit we love you
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