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Are we on the verge of a market collapse, or are we in for one of the steepest V- shaped recoveries ever ? I think many people don't realize that the answer to this question will probably come in just 48 hours, and you will know everything you need to understand where we are headed next. I'm getting ready.
I'm putting everything in order. It is time to act decisively in one direction or another. In other words, I plan to take some big steps later this week. To everyone on Discord, get ready. We released six options strategies today, and of course we have the Fed meeting on Wednesday. This is going to be crazy.
I will be trading live . If you're not there yet, the first link is below. Use code freedom until the end of this month. You can save 40%, then the offer disappears. We have something to talk about. OK. This is serious. We have QQQ. You know, I've been doing some experiments with it, and I'm going to break down this model because it's important.
As I said, Kevin Warsh is speaking. There are technical indicators. There is a situation with Iran and the USA. There are all these factors that will allow us to make profitable deals and, hopefully, make huge profits. But let 's wait and see. The NASDAQ is falling on the charts , but two catalysts could turn this into a rally very quickly.
If you look around, you'll hear a lot of negativity from YouTubers. Oh, so much negativity. QQQ fell 7 % from its high. Everything is going downhill. Everything is bad, but the Iran deal is in play. And that's the only thing that can change the scenario for the Bears. We can grill bears faster than you think.
The Fed is on Wednesday, Kevin Warsh is speaking , and everyone keeps talking about how negative he's going to be, how bad things are going to be, how he's just going to destroy this market. What if he comes out and says, "We're not going to lower rates this time"? And after the Iran deal, it could become a positive, where we'll see things get better.
And he will speak in a " dovey" tone. What will happen then? The market will take off. OK. However, 676 is a key limit. So I want to be completely honest with everyone about the line I'm following. No paid access. You don't have to pay for it . I'll show you that in this video. Technical indicators advise caution.
Headlines can talk about the rally. Let me show you both sides of this equation, because this is what I think you need to know moving forward. So you can say, " Well, at least Mo told me about it." And that doesn't mean things can't change, but right now I like what we have. Q closed at 682 , down 7% from the high.
And from today's low of 676, we held on and bounced back up. So, we have our line of defense. The Bears tried to push him below 676. He held on. The bulls said this was a key point. If we lose her, it will be completely pointless and unpleasant, man. The 52- week low, 552, is much lower than where we are now.
In other words, we can go down and check this minimum. How is this, Mo? Yes, that's almost 20%. I understand. Two weeks of lower highs and lower lows. This, my friends, is a change in the nature of the market, we are moving downward. QQQ has slipped from 725 to around 682 now. And it looked terrible.
Attempts at a rebound continue to fade at lower prices. This is the definition of a short-term downtrend. Will it develop into something more long-term? You'll find out by the end of Wednesday. It was the AI companies that caused the damage . The same companies that pulled us up, the entire market with them, are doing the same thing, but now in the opposite direction , down.
OK. Last week's reaction to Tesla and Google. Heavy spending on AI dragged the entire NASDAQ down. QQ was overloaded with these very names. So when these huge companies get hit and they just get crushed, you know, and it's not even because they reported bad results. Tesla record, what was it? Record auto revenue or record car sales, and then Google crushed them all.
Just spent more money. But this is a setback, not a collapse. This is not the end of the world. It wasn't like Google said, "Oh, we're going to lose." They were on top. Alphabet has crushed the market. Even now, QQQ is well above its 52- week low near 552. In my opinion, this is a correction within a larger uptrend, at least until key support is broken.
So it's just a normal, just a normal little correction right now. This is one of the things we are monitoring and I want you to pay attention to it. Here is the schedule that everyone follows. This is what I'm watching. I drew lines here. I'll let you know what's going on. You see the clues. I play Q's.
You guys know this from Discord. We raised the indicators. So, QQQ lost the 720 level. It held for weeks. We had 720, 720, 720. Fallen, risen, up, up, up. Hey, we tested it, and at the end of last week we officially lost. Now we've dropped to 676 and pushed back . New below closing. Short-term trend.
Evil. Evil. Today it touched 676 and went up. If you lose 676. This is the level that the bulls should defend. Lose it—it will be bad. To change the situation, you need to return 708 . This purple line. If we can get back higher and confirm that the rally is back. The V- shaped recovery is likely to return.
This is a trillion dollar question. Below 676, the path opens to lows around 660. Above 708, the momentum is heading upwards again. That's how simple it is for those who are watching. Close above 708— rally is back. Close below 676— prepare for losses. The pain train is back and, in my opinion, it's not going to stop.
I think you will receive an answer by the end of the day on Wednesday, 48 hours. The levels that decide the next step, here they are. Let's open them, friends. This is it. This is it. We have broken through the 720 level . We confirm this with a signal. The rollback is over, and we are moving on. 708 is an important level.
This is the first ceiling. The Bulls need to get through it to stabilize everything and we can move on. It's like the Boston Marathon. Let 's just run, run , run. The price is now 682 , sandwiched between the ceiling and the floor. She is compressed. Ready to move in one direction or another . Support at 676, today's low, is the limit.
Let's keep it, and the rebound is alive. The constricted vipers are ready to strike. And I'm talking about rapid growth , rapid upward movement. All it takes is a few words from the Fed's Kevin Walsh this week and it could happen. We also expect some pretty important earnings reports this week. Any of them can be the spark that starts this process.
If any of this fails and we break through 676, then we know that 676 is the bottom and there is almost no support to 660 , and that is what we are watching. Agreement between the US and Iran. Take my word for it . This deal could change everything. We do n't know yet whether they will be able to make a deal.
Remember, we don't know what's going on. According to some reports, the US has suspended bombing as targets are running out. They hit almost every military target they wanted. So there's almost nothing to bomb. After 13 straight nights, the US took a break this weekend to give the talks a chance. Now I have told you what I heard myself.
We also heard from the president that he wants to give peace a chance. We'll see. This pause in the markets is the first real signal that the five-month conflict may be winding down. I don't know. I don't know. The market started briskly today. Hey, he went into decline. Everyone was happy until they stopped.
This says something. When the market falls after good news, it usually means more selling pressure in the near future if something changes. So keep an eye on this. The thing is, the whole thing is actually about oil. This is a fact. They want a drop in oil prices. Negotiators are working to allow Iran to control traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil passes.
A deal would smooth out the spike in oil prices caused by the conflict, and a lower oil price would help stocks, but not oil stocks. So, if they give in and allow Iran to control the Strait of Hormuz, it will effectively set a precedent for any country that controls a strategic body of water: the principle of freedom of navigation will be destroyed, because it is enough to launch a few drones to control everything.
And this is a precedent that, unfortunately, will be set if this is how it ends up , which it looks like it will, because it's very cheap for them to launch drones at boats, and they can do it forever. And I mean this seriously. That is, if you look at it and say, "Well, we can stop this." You can't.
This is a large strait. They can do this from any corner of their country. In other words, the situation is getting more complicated. And it's all about oil, but the agreements are fragile and haven't been signed yet. Iran's leadership is divided. Netanyahu is going to Washington. Progress is real, but not fixed.
See this as a positive risk, not a promise. Lower oil prices and reduced risks of war are exactly the fuel that a weakened NASDAQ needs. OK. And I'm doing something new on Discord. I have a couple of things I'm testing. So for those out there, you know I started this new experiment that we wanted to do on this selling pressure in QQQ, with this triple leverage strategy.
I'm running some backtests tonight that could be important for this. So pay attention if you're on Discord . If not, as I said, the first link, the code freedom. Tuesday, Wednesday, tomorrow and Wednesday. Kevin Worth will announce the decision on the bid on Wednesday afternoon. We know he will speak at 2:30 p.m.
At 2:00 PM they publish the decision. The technology sector is the most rate-sensitive corner of the market. A calm or " dovey" tone is an uplift. We will see " hawkish". This will hit the market. Two macro factors, two macro triggers in one week: the Fed on Wednesday and any headlines regarding Iran.
This is a week where a single news headline can move the charts in either direction . This is why technical levels are so important. So , a lot is happening . This is what I want you to think about, how this week is likely to unfold. If 676 holds plus a positive catalyst, we should return to the 708–720 zone.
I think if 676 doesn't hold, we'll go back to below 660. It's simple, and it could get even worse after that. Same schedule, two different scenarios . Five things I'm keeping an eye on this week. 676 is a key mark , guys. We lose her and the horror begins. The Fed will set the tone for the future on Wednesday.
" Hawkeye" mood— they will raise the stakes. This usually triggers a new round of sales. More sales. Any headline about an Iran deal or progress in negotiations is a trigger for relief, and that's what we're looking for . Breakdown of negotiations. This will hurt the markets even more. 708 on the rise.
First ceiling; Overcoming it is the first real sign that the rollback is complete. AI stocks, QQQ—that's them. Microsoft, Meta, Amazon— this week's quarterly reports could rock the entire index, folks. If you don't know, then you don't know. Come and join us on Discord today. First link below. Go in there.
We have a lot of useful things going on. Let's also do some thank yous on Discord. Dr. Stock just blew up today's live broadcast. You get access to it. He holds a " power hour" at the end of the day. From the third to the fourth—trading and learning. Midas with his victories. Bot, let's go. Midas is in touch.
Barb, let's go . Dog and pony, I got it. Got it. Deer hunter on the go and much more. I hope you have a nice day. I'm also giving up my seat. I can't wait to find out who wins at the end of the week. If you're not here yet, the first link is below. Press. Join us. Come in now. Code freedom 40% discount. Okay, friends. That's all. See you on Discord.
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