🔴 Peter Schiff and Max Keiser Talk Crypto, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin

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결론: 피터 쉬프는 달러 약세와 비트코인 하락을 전망하며, 금이 진정한 가치저장 수단이라고 주장한다. 트럼프 행정부와 달러: 트럼프 행정부는 경제 문제를 물려받았지만 취임 후 모든 게 좋다고 주장해 부담을 떠안았다. 주식시장은 거대한 거품이며 붕괴 직전이라고 봤다. 달러 전망: 연초 이후 달러 지수가 약 10% 하락해 연간 저점 부근이라고 설명했다. 2013~2015년 달러 강세는 연준 정책에 대한 오해에 근거한 가짜 랠리였고, 다음 위기에서 달러가 크게 하락해 역사적 저점을 경신할 것이라는 '새로운 약세장 시작' 예측이다. 구체적 목표 가격은 제시하지 않았다. 해외 투자: 달러에 과도하게 노출되어 있어 외국 주식으로 포트폴리오를 조정할 필요가 있다는 진행자 논지에 동의하는 취지로 말했다. 비트코인: 비트코인은 실질 가치가 없고 신앙에 기반한 투기 자산이며 결국 붕괴할 것이라고 강하게 비판했다. 2017년 기준 3,000달러에서 300달러로 폭락 가능성을 언급했고, 10달러나 5달러까지 떨어질 수 있다고 말했다. 다만 1만 달러까지 먼저 갈 가능성은 인정했다. 밀레니얼 세대가 금 대체재로 보고 투기하고 있으며, 실제 상점에서 결제 수단으로 쓰이지 않는다고 지적했다. 금: 금은 수천 년간 가치 저장 수단과 통화 역할을 해왔고 정부 승인 없이도 가치가 유지되는 유일한 화폐 자산이라고 주장했다. 가상화폐 대안을 원한다면 금을 보유하라고 권했다. 출연자 전망: 디지털 화폐가 모두 금으로 뒷받침되지 않으면 실패할 것이라고 봤고, 가상화폐 투자자는 젊고 무지하다고 평가했다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. all right so we're prowling a floor of Freedom Fest oh my gosh so can we bumped into Peter Schiff hey hey what's happening Oh work out my booth get ready for the bull bear debate well okay yeah it was one I am uh well it's a bull bear about what well that's right good question yeah well everything I don't know the US the US House you're exploring I mean you were very visible in the political arena you ran for was a Senate or Cano as well as it said it said it as part of Congress yes the house is the Congress congressman it was a senator you're right and so you're closely associated with that what's your current take on the administration right now it's just a WoW there look they're having a tough situation look what they inherited from Obama but I think a big problem for Trump is that as soon as he won he pretended everything was great I liked them better as a candidate when everything was rigged when the data was phony right the statistics aren't real the unemployment rate is much higher don't believe the GDP the stock market's a big fat ugly bubble that's the Trump of Odin for the Trump I got everything is great it's a bull market the economy is great it's all because of me so he's claimed ownership of this economy and this stock market right is about to go over the cliff right there he's the fall guy now right so I think I think he's been off a lot more that he could chew and I think things are going to go down look at the dollar the dollar is now down 10% since early January it's on the loaf of the year close the week on the low I mean it looks terrible technically so the Trump trade is completely reversing the dollar I don't know you know how much longer let's talk about the dawn per second because you really made your bones on this invest in foreign stocks you know you're kind of like outside of the dollar probably overexposed to the dollar so let's get something outside of the dollar and the dollars had a pretty significant rally and but now it looks like it may be softening up a bit and it's kind of overdue for a pullback I would say and so you're kind of back your portfolio I think is poised back to now take advantage of these these transits reasserting themselves yeah years ago I think the whole dollar rally that took place really in 2014-2015 maybe start 2013 was fake I think it was based on a misunderstanding of the tikkun see a Fed policy everybody all of a sudden believe that the Fed solve the problems that there was no damage from QE that everything is great that they can normalize interest rates they can shrink the balance sheet the Fed save the day Ben Bernanke was a hero and I think people are going to find out how wrong they were if you remember the very first reaction when they first launched QE and when gold went up to 1900 and people were worried that this was going to be a problem they were right the initial reaction was the correct reaction and the market is going to swing back there and I think this is the beginning of a new bear market in the dollar and I think it's headed a lot lower I think we're going to take out the lows the all-time record lows that the dollar said in the Oh a financial crisis in fact it was saved by that Bell right the crisis ironically saved the dollar I think the next crisis is going to kill the dollar right and of course in the case of the dollar and in stock market responding in this way we've had a tremendous movement into cryptocurrency now here we are in freedom and you know you're kind of like the guy who is represent gold certainly the gold business gold and silver and precious metals and so those who are in this why first of all it's such a big topic here there's you come out and you're pretty negative on crypto in Bitcoin in general so just summarize what your what your thoughts are on the negative side and this is not new I mean people have been doing this now for last year so I mean people have been getting excited about kryptos you know I did this breakfast this morning with Jimmy Rogers several people asked about kryptos you know Jim Rogers has never bought a crypto you know he owns gold like him to buy I thought well yeah of course I mean that people you're you are you got a paper dinner tonight you own all the bitcoins you got all the money right but look you know I understand the the concept o fiat currencies don't work we need an alternative to central bank's yes I get that but the alternative to fiat currency is it a fiat digital currency I mean it you know the our monetary system now is based on faith right because you know there's something real behind dollars or euros or yen it's just based on the fact that you believe people are going to want it right they're going to accept that other than that the one thing that currencies have is government's accepted or require it for payment of taxes so if you live in America except for me living in Puerto Rico now so I'm out from under this but if you live in America the IRS wants your taxes and you better send them dollars right that's what they accept so there is a natural demand for dollars to stay out of jail you have to give up for a second not only jumpa soso need that word Fiat now we know usually the debate is about fiat versus gold and we say fiat is the government saying this worthless piece of paper has value gold doesn't need the government to say that value is that value for thousands of years now indicates a crypto it's not about if not Fiat in that sense it's deriving its value from this network of cryptographer so I worked right I'm not saying the government is saying let this be money I'm just saying it's the same concept of it's just being created and let it be money but there is no real value in it it's all based on faith right if if somebody doesn't want your Bitcoin right because there's nothing you can do people are using this cryptocurrency in particular your Millennials okay they are doing decoration you've got a big business here they're not and in millennial generation is gravitating toward I they perceive as a gold substitute well as a businessperson you've got to take that on board now I mean say I think my markets wrong well I'm gonna ignore my market no it's not my market I'm saying they're wrong the people who are using it are using it as a speculative asset I talked to a guy today he showed me his crypt portfolio whatever they had like fifty thousand dollars I said have you ever spent any no I mean so he's never used it in in commerce he's speculating on it he owns it as an asset the old people don't spend their gold typically they put in the bank think they're for retirement their golden years you know and it says you got a service for storing gold you get internal storage fees it it is never going to work as money right it's suspect you people can buy it and the price can go up until the price collapses until people don't want it anymore I mean the people who are buying it think that one day bitcoin is going to be like a currency everybody loses it's gonna be worth a million dollars in Bitcoin and everybody's just going to be it's impossible and first of all there's already like what thousand other crypto currencies and how many more can there be a separate point but sort of people are using this card saying oh they're not every day that's up one hundred thousand the Argent accepted to compile a jacquard from bit paint that's back mile it's going to every second of my life on a Bitcoin day all day long they don't accept it I accept a Visa card no but to beat what they get paid dollars no merchants are pricing your products in Bitcoin you can't go to a merchant and it says this is 0.1 of a Bitcoin and then you give the merchants to Bitcoin and they take it they don't what happens when you use your debit card or you use bitpay the merchant gets dollars or euros all they're doing is making it easy for you to sell your bitcoins to buy the currency that the merchant is mined all money debit card when I go to Sears Roebuck it's not pricing gold no but I said well here is my old money debit card right but the big thing about bold money is not to use the gold money debit card one day merchants will actually want gold and you'll bill one day people will love it well they're not they're never going to want why do I say that it's your opinion and now the market exciting on the markets giving you a different angle well the market was giving a different signal for the textbox in the internet bubble and a lot of it went to zero the market was giving me an Amazon is like ruling the world yeah Amazon but for every outlet there were a hundred that way to zero low goal eBay how do you know okay so how do you know let's say you really believe in digital currencies so what if somebody comes up with a digital currency a year from now two years from now that is so much better than Bitcoin it does everything Bitcoin does better faster cheaper and everybody wants that new one and now nobody wants Bitcoin so it's worthless right nobody wants it anymore because somebody came up with a better mousetrap so just because they were first but of course I don't think that's gonna happen without think any of them are going to work I think if we're ever going to have digital see here they have to be backed by gold they're not going to be backed by nothing they're not just going to be digital Fiat where you have unlimited supply I think not another currency coming alone competing with Bitcoin they weren't all your competition there are a lot of competitors that's true but if you say gold let's say is a store of value it's very popular it's used for thousands of years it doesn't mean it's not also silver palladium rhodium right but they don't how I mean rubies Monnaie they've been rasa they better all usually cut off here snow their use as currency in one case or another people pick up ammo and they go over to another country and they cash it out that's currency is just to move money from point A to point C not occur asset gold has used no it's not as you use an asset you don't keep you can trip up a Picasso and give somebody a piece of destroyed the value sure it's absolutely now but in the case of gold though it is used in similar way store value and a currency yes that's right people to hand away but no bitcoin has no value to store no the price has gone up but there's no inherent value there who's to say that Bitcoin doesn't go back down to ten bucks or five bucks I mean it could it go to ten thousand first sure I think there's no way I don't care City value and your point about there being other currencies being created willy-nilly I think it's not a great point because I was pointing out with other monetary metals no you can create other Mononoke as well silver doesn't have the same properties as gold gold is unique in the periodic table and there were reasons that it's money now silver silver has been used as money to this it has some properties that people desire of monetary but bitcoin does not yes bitcoin gives you could you can you can exchange it but there is no value there to store and you say oh there's a scarcity yeah it's also there's 21 million bitcoins if nobody wants them they're worthless right and the only reason that people want them is because they believe somebody else will accept them it's all based on faith the belief that somebody is going to want this cryptocurrency in the future and they will give me real value for it they'll give me goods or services but what if they don't what if somebody comes up with a better one what if they just collapse what if this bubble bursts what if Bitcoin goes from three thousand down to three hundred you know not too long ago it went from a thousand down to two hundred where are people going to think who paid three thousand dollars oh my money just went from three thousand to three hundred I mean you're you got a lot of people now that are coming in to think they're going to get rich off these things I mean it's going to be you know bad branding when this thing collapses you know they all everybody look at Christmas this is what everyone's a critic criticized fiat currencies well these digital currencies might end up making fiat currencies look good that's how bad they are these currencies could collapse before the dollar before the euro so I think if you're worried about via currencies your jumping out of the frying pan into the fire if you're buying these crypto currencies stick with the real thing stay with gold ok gold got the history yeah for sure and in all the feralas reads they've just said it is the preeminent store value has been for thousands of years this cryptocurrency Bitcoin is very similar in a lot of ways and for this new generation they accept it now as gold that's there a perception of it well that much should as good a shame that's that market though if enough of climb onto it if they define that market that will be it but we got to go they got going you like I'm not going to take my advice from 20-something year old so think you know they all think I'm foolish all I'm an idiot I just don't get it and they guys like Jim Rogers smart people or me you know they think we're dumb we don't get it no I do get it that's why I don't own it it's the people who are buying who don't get it now do I wish I bought it a long time ago again and I would be selling it if I if I had it but it doesn't mean the people who bought it were smart they were lucky now there are some people having out we're not done bro all right all right thanks I thank guys report fine all right thanks