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13F Filings: Bill Ackman, Michael Burry, Warren Buffett Defensive Strategy, Stock Picks!!! New Bets

Just-InvestToday · 2021-02-17 · 유튜브 시청 1,330 · Board Views 8 · International

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2021년 4분기 13F 보고서를 통해 빌 애크먼, 워렌 버핏, 마이클 버리의 투자 행태를 해석하는 영상. 애크먼은 맥도날드·힐튼·스타벅스 등 일부 보유 종목을 소폭 줄였고, 경기 전망은 낙관적이라고 말했지만 실제 행동은 소극적이었다고 분석. 버핏은 애플을 6% 매도하고 버라이즌을 매수했으며, 제약주(예: 브리스톨마이어스)와 셰브론 등 방어적 종목 위주로 포트폴리오를 구성했다고 평가. 은행주는 저금리로 인해 줄인 것으로 해석. 진행자는 버핏이 전반적으로 방어적 태세라고 봤고, 버라이즌은 경기와 무관하게 필수재 성격이라 저평가로 보인다고 언급. 루 (Lulu/Druckenmiller 계열로 언급된 투자자 — 원문상 'lilu'로 표기) 는 페이스북을 27% 줄였다고 하며, 진행자는 페이스북이 정치·규제 이슈로 저평가 상태이며 정리되면 340달러까지 갈 수 있다고 전망. PDD(핀둬둬)는 최근 주가가 177에서 200 수준으로 올랐다고 언급했고, 중국 이커머스 성장과 중국 증시에 대해 강세 관점을 밝힘. 마이클 버리는 분기마다 대규모 매매를 반복하며 저평가 종목을 단기로 사고파는 스타일로, 4~5개월마다 회전한다고 설명. 진행자는 시장이 과열(frothy)이라 버리의 빠른 회전 전략이 지금 상황에 맞는다고 봄. 결론적으로 진행자는 2021년이 좋은 해가 될 것이라 전망하며, 유명 투자자들의 13F 보고서를 참고해 저평가 종목을 직접 리서치하라고 권고. 삼성전자·SK하이닉스 등 국내 대상 자산에 대한 언급은 없음.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. hello everyone welcome to justin best today and today we're going to be talking about the new 13f filings this is a very exciting time always when uh investors come out and actually release their filings like they have to do every quarter so this is q4 and i want to see what investors are thinking kind of just like interpret what are these investors doing what are they trying to accomplish right now and how do they see the market even though these investors are not focused on the market they know we always know they have that kind of on the back of their mind so whatever they say we want to do we don't want to focus on really what they say we want to see what they're doing that's really going to tell us how they're thinking so the first person i want to touch on is bill ackman so we know buck ackman's an amazing investor and we want to see what he's doing because he always he has always a lot to say so he recently came out and said that oh 2021 it's going to be an amazing year for investment returns that's what he thinks so but then when we look at his actions he is even though it's not a huge percent he is reducing uh all his positions like lows like uh restaurant brands hilton uh starbucks all these companies he is reducing even though it's not like a lot it's whatever uh so from what i gather with bill ackman he's probably chilling right now he's probably maybe even more focused on his um spa place because he has a spec maybe he's just focusing on managing that right now so even though this is not a big thing right now it just kind of shows you that these people are kind of getting getting ready seeing what's out there maybe they're not too focused on the economy but they understand where it's at right now so what he said is that oh he's not really uh he thinks the economy is not gonna like he thinks the economy is gonna do really good but his actions hasn't shown that in this just this q4 so we still have a lot of time to see during this whole year if he's going to be more active but in q4 he wasn't that active so let's move on from bill ackman let's go to warren buffett you know warren buffett the godfather of investing his plays mean a lot to us guys his what he does means a lot because he's been through ups and downs turmoil whatever and then this his everything he did in this quarter kind of shows you where his thinking's at like he reduced apple six percent not a huge amount but still he's reducing apple probably because he thinks it's too expensive right now but there's more reasons to sell this this could be a lot of reasons that people sell their stock but it's probably because it's probably too high right now so he's like let me get some off the table and take a little bit of profit so i can see warren buffett doing that so six percent he bought verizon like this is what i'm talking about like these stocks i feel like he's buying and the one like he's buying the ones that he's selling it's almost like he's preparing for something to happen like i don't know if i'm just crazy but this is what it feels like verizon is gonna last in any market condition like any market market condition you need a phone you're gonna use your phone you're still gonna pay your phone bill so it's like a perfect company to buy right now even though i don't know how it's uh if it's like well if warren buffett's buying it it's probably undervalued he sees it as undervalued so that's a good signal that it's probably undervalued if he's buying it at that price so it's very interesting probably something that you can probably dig into to see then he hasn't uh a bank he's reducing banks because we know right now banks are probably not going to do like amazing uh especially during this time so interest rates are super low they're not getting a lot of those interest rate gains so that's probably that's a that's the way people you know and and they're holding on to a lot of loans too they're probably not as aggressive lending out money too so that's interesting and then he has chevron like this is an interesting buy chevron like i wonder where he sees with chevron probably because he thinks but like the long-term of the oil industry is kind of up and down like where do we think this oil industry is going to go ten five years from now but chevron might be actually adapting to the new eevee market so i'm not too sure what i see with chevron but i think he still sees this as like one of these those defensive plates like chevron verizon uh and then like look two pharmaceutical companies like he just put in 20 28 that might be um his uh his investees the people that work under him uh todd but like still like he's it's like he's playing very defense like he knows these companies are probably gonna be good because we know the pharmaceutical industry especially during this whole pandemic those are companies that are probably going to do really well right now so it's almost like he's playing defense on what can happen or what might happen in the future so it's just very interesting he used another bank he reduced uh bristol myers he he put money into it our age like it's just all t-mobile another one uh it just seems that like he's playing it very safe right now because he like he probably sees something happening in the future this is what i keep coming back to because everything just feels very safe very steady so he's not being aggressive he's kind of playing it more defensively right now so that's it interesting uh thing i kind of like gathered from what warren buffett is doing um tell me what you guys think about that is warren buffett just playing it cool is he being very is you thinking the future is gonna be more aggressive like how do you think he sees the market um so now we can go to uh let's go to someone else i want to talk about lilu and then after that we could talk about michael bury but let's go to lulu so he reduces facebook which i thought was very interesting because he just recently bought facebook in the last quarter put a good amount in it and he reduced about 27 which is a good chunk 27 percent is pretty solid amount so we're gonna see because i still think feel like facebook is very undervalued compared to every other company because like if you compare facebook to apple facebook is way more undervalued than apple because apple has been on a good streak because everyone believes in apple right now facebook the the sentiment for facebook is horrible you know the whole government situation in the us and uh how they're like uh all their social media their privacy stuff so they they don't have any good outlook right now but once that clears i feel like facebook would hit 340 easily once that all that smoke and drama clears from facebook and we gotta remember that the government i feel like uh joe biden is more on facebook's side because pretty much facebook helps uh that side win kind of not helped but like joe biden doesn't have any like kind of dilemma with uh the media companies because they didn't really do anything to him like they did the trump so that's interesting and then we had pdd um this stock is very interesting i'm gonna go more into it to see what's up with this because if you bought around 177 i had a pretty big jump all right it's at 200 so that's a good jump but like still i want to see what uh pdd is doing because we still have alibaba we know this company is not e-commerce space so is it can it compare to jd um or alibaba like can't even compare to those companies so that'd be interesting to take a deep dive into see what they're doing i haven't done that but i feel like the chinese market i'm so bullish on the chinese market that i'm willing to go into these companies because the chinese market is like just gonna be booming like their their e-commerce market is just this is flying fast so i'm very bullish on the chinese economy chinese stocks so taking probably taking a look at that would be very interesting at this time um let's go to the last one we go to michael berry man michael berry is just such an interesting investor i just have it like i have a theory that he has some kind of intricate program that he runs like he has like like he's not really doing the extensive research but he might be because he is an extensive research type of person but just the way that he like it's so all planned like reduced 20 25 27 40 16 he does this every quarter and then he buys all these stocks like it's like it's like paperwork it's just like comes like that like he's just finding all these because we know his strategy is to find all these undervalued companies buy them by these companies that have those quick movements in price and this kind of as soon as they hit that target that he thinks he just sells out and then he also has that long-term mindset sometimes if he finds a good stock to buy maybe he has that long-term mindset if he kind of believes in it but he's just in and out of these stocks every every four or five months so it'd be very interesting to see like ask him about does he have like some kind of program or is he actually going through every company analyzing everything in the balance sheet because analyzing companies takes a while but like but he's very smart so he might be able to go through the balance sheet very quickly in this boom boom is this company undervalued do i think i can uh have it is this have a huge upside quickly then just invest in it quickly so maybe he is doing that maybe he's not looking at management or anything of that he's just going quickly buying these stocks that are under value and he's gonna that he probably looks at some technical analysis to see if this company has a potential to go up if it's actually people buying in and out of the stock so he's an interesting guy to kind of actually do a deep dive on i'm going to be doing another video on michael bird to see what he does in the market and how he invests because his style is the i think it's the most interesting because you just never know what he's gonna get into get out of like what he's buying how he's buying it how he's thinking about these companies so i have a video on his investment strategies but i want to go to more depth to see exactly what he does um because we know he's a big believer of security analysis he's read that book and he loved it and that's all about buying those uh undervalued companies a dollar a dollar company for 50 cents a dollar bill getting uh a dollar for 50 cents so we'll see what happens the next quarter is going to be interesting too but guys that's just a quick 13f breakthrough it feels like more people i feel like are defensive right now than aggressive i feel like michael berry's style right now kind of fits the mold because this market is really frothy so like going in and out of stocks might be doing it for him right now and it kind of makes sense because as soon as he sees the market going bad he can just come out of them like he already he already does so i feel like finding these quick undervalue stocks is probably very good for michael berry right now in this situation so tell me what you guys think about these four three investors man it's been a good year guys i think 2021 is going to be a very good year and remember always keep up to date on these three enough filings see what people are doing find companies that maybe you don't know about and research them see if you can find potential in them um because they're very they're already vetted by these really good investors so if you like this video can you please like it subscribe to my channel and get back to you in the next video i'm out peace

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