저자: HueFinNews진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
마이클 버리(Scion)가 13F에서 엔비디아 등 반도체주에 대한 풋/숏 포지션을 공개했다는 뉴스를 다룬다. 진행자는 버리 한 명의 베팅이 시장 방향을 결정하지 않으며, 반도체 ETF(SOXX)는 주간·일간 차트상 여전히 상승 추세이고 프리마켓 시세와 목표가(516, 530, 533 부근)를 제시한다. 다만 과거 고점 대비 하락 이력(2022년 약 48% 하락)과 주간 차트의 낮은 고점(lower highs)을 언급하며, 엔비디아 실적 발표 후 하락 전환 가능성은 열어둔다.
다듬은 글
so what's going on everyone today is the 15th of November 2023 we have it again Michael bur strikes again whenever this person comes out makes a move within his portfolio you see a whole lot of people on social media mainstream media CNBC Fox Business they all come through and try to see what this person is up to why because he's the one who has made billions of dollars off the housing crisis yeah he's the one that's recognized as The Big Short investor so when he bets against a particular Market you kind of want to pay attention to see what he thinks is going to happen in the future so that is why Market Insider has created this article right here look at the title big short investor Michael bur reveals a bet against wait hold up no Nvidia and other microchip stocks wa but semiconductors is supposed to be one of the most bullish stocks in the market today why would he come in and try to short this Market is he trying to say that the high is in for NVIDIA and other stocks within this sector if that's the case maybe we might want to pay attention to the markets right pump the brakes relax because the chart gives you all the information you need to know people were trying to make you seem make you think that okay just because he is betting against a particular sector that that sector is doomed that's not true Michael bur is a human he also gets his ideas wrong maybe he has a short in a semiconductor space but maybe it's on a minimal short like he's not maybe he's not expecting the market to plummet or crash we don't know his strategy but these news articles the videos that people write about him about what he's doing is only their opinion they are only surmising as to what he's up to so from our particular Viewpoint we can only look at the chart overall to see what everyone else thinks he's only one person he has one particular company skion that is holding these puts in socks what about everybody else if everyone else into the market and socks is more bullish than he is he will be the loser but if more and more people begin to see what he sees meaning they're looking for the semiconductor space to go down in price the value to go lower Nvidia to go down that he will also be right we just got to see which side of the market is overpowering the other so let's take a look at this so he revealed in this latest 13 F he's betting against Nvidia and other semiconductor stocks also he sold a bunch of Holdings but boosted his position in other stocks as well all right cool namely he boosted his stakes in euronav Hudson Pacific Properties next star media safe bulkers star Bol carriers and stant's last quarter he also sold other positions and trimmed his backs on Crescent energy and the rear rail he bought Alibaba shares and booking.com shares here's the website right here for his particular business skion Asset Management okay down here look at the left of the chart this is where the short is okay socks reported November the 14th 2023 this is the date of filing or reporting 4 September the 30th 2023 they owned it during the third quarter 2023 so let's look at the charts cuz here it is now so we now know he has a short into the market in the socks right let's look at this particular ETF the I share semiconductor ETF on a 3-weekly chart now look at it is he wrong when you see the chart to put on a short right now but look at where the price is the last time that the stocks was trading at $58 was back in 2021 from that standpoint the market in socks went down from the high in January 2022 to the low of October 2022 48 and 1/4% pretty big move to the downside that's definitely well with than crash territory well past correction territory this would be depression type levels to see the market go down 48 and a qu% now one thing that we don't know is how long does he plan to hold on to these puts is it a year is it 6 months is it three months is it five years who knows take a look at it on the five weekly chart okay so we can only say that within the socks the market is making currently lower highs right there may be just a little bit of gas in the tank that the stocks could potentially continue to go higher but I definitely be paying attention to the market on this downtrend on the longer term charts now now I'm here to tell you even though he's looking for price in the stocks to go down the stock is bullish I mean this ETF is bullish okay it's currently trending up take a look at it on the three-weekly chart again it's bullish buyers came into the market in the socks on the last 3 weeks take a look at this on the monthly chart I really want to see the completion of this ETF for the month of November I want to see that but we got 15 days and 9 hours so this video will be well posted to YouTube I want to see the price bar look the way that it looks now cuz if it does then I'm expecting the price in the so to continue to go up now like I told you it may not go that high because we already identified this particular ETF making lower highs here it is on the weekly okay take a look at the ETF on the 5-day chart 8 hours and 44 minutes left closing at the high of the bar in the next 8 hours that would definitely tell you that the market is bullish on the 5day time frame here it is on the three we already got that indicator of Str triggered so yeah the stocks is anticipated to go higher still okay now let's see if it's worth putting on a price prediction in the market though because you already can see pre-market is trading at what $514 so we may see like another 5 1 12% move to the upside in in socks or the market will try to attempt to hit the all-time highs back in 2021 okay so let me go ahead and give you these two Targets first one is going to be here at $516 only 1.65 % my second target is going to be up here towards like 530 4.37 and I might just leave it there because I really want to see the conclusion of the monthly time frame in the socks let me put a Target right here this will be our third target right here let me extend this over so about 5% total $53.3 so that's it give me your thoughts let me know where do you guys think price in socks is about to go I really want the market in socks to hold this area right here for support in any indication that the price is going to come down I was still surmise that the market May overall if it comes back down to this line and holds it the market just consolidating within the trading range that would be my expectation but um let's go a and see how high the Market's going to go because currently the environment is bullish and we'll see how high the market buyers will be able to take this particular ETF okay and let me extend this back a little bit all right so I'm finished even though he currently is shortening the market and the socks the stock is bullish I haven't seen any indications off the chart that the overall Market is doing the same thing yet uh maybe once Nvidia reports earnings Market flips Revenue was down whatever the case may be then we may see a start of the market move to the downside in socks but as of right now the chart is not reflecting that give me your thoughts make sure you maintain the profitability and is always trade different
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