저자: TraderTVLive진행자미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
엔비디아가 271 이중천장 후 260 지지선 이탈을 노린 단기 숏 트레이드를 진행했으나, 선물 급락 후 반등과 테슬라·애플 상승으로 시장 심리가 전환돼 260 저항이 확인됨. 스캘핑 수익은 있었지만 숏 포지션은 되돌림에 막혔고, 시장 신호에 맞춰 대응하는 것이 중요하다는 교훈을 강조. 제목의 CEO 인텔 파운드리 뉴스와는 직접 관련 없는 장중 기술적 분석 영상.
다듬은 글
here we go the trade of the day is going to be a review of nvidia today and why we picked this one or why i picked this one is more about what we can learn from it because uh you can have the best laid plans in the world you can have the best setup in the world but the market doesn't give a damn about your position or your setup and we're going to give that example i've switched things up a little bit i do have a higher time frame of nvidia here we can show the trade in the middle but i've also included the nasdaq futures that'll come become obviously important as i show you the level we're working off of here today so you had some relative weakness in semis we talked about amd possibly getting a death cross if it pushed any further down off 115 but nvidia was already pulling back and you look at that double top 271 on the 15 minute chart and then i just looked right at that even 260 and you can see like the last time last couple times some bounces to the upside then holding your support it was the top end of the channel when you made that double top now you come in the morning you've already sort of violated this level and then at the open you're looking for that so that breakdown right you're testing down towards it and looking for that breakdown of the 260.
that's a pretty simple trade i'm shorting 260 on a break the market had been up several days in a row and thinking turn in in the market now we get the we're gonna get that entry and you'll see that it ends up working out a couple of times like the market opens we get the break we're able to quickly scalp some out there you get a buck 50 on the trade even able to come back and reload at the exact same price and it flushes down again but i do want to make sure that we're keeping an idea of what's going on in the futures like we're actually getting a monster flush through in the future which is confirming pretty much everything that we want in this trade when we're breaking the low of the day here and you start seeing it form this bottom at that point it is so weak that if we take another leg down in the futures i can't think of any reason why we're not filling the gap into 250.
it seems inevitable that 55 is gonna break 250 is going to come into play and you start getting greedy right when others are panicking get a little bit greedy i don't mind that notion but if you can see this one 15-minute candle after that bottom is made in the nasdaq and even the weakest name the semi's been weak all year but even the weakest name is going to correspond with this bounce back up and now suddenly in the face of that you're resisting that 260 level and as much as this was holding weakness every single bounce and it looked like it was going to be the short that i'd be in all day long you have to accept the change in market sentiment that is about as bullish a bottom as you're going to see you've got to accept that it's turning the market and on top of that at that particular time tesla and apple were going nuts to the upside essentially dragging the entire market up by themselves you can't ignore something like this had to be able to get out when it broke and was right at that same key level if it could have held that through the entire market mess it's gonna flush but it didn't and you just have to be able to get out but the only thing i could have done differently you guessed it is make a reversal off of that same price area it gave you a scalp trade but it didn't hold and that's why i think the shore was a little bit better because it didn't hold on the way back but it gave you a nice little scallop trade for a few dollars that you could have taken and sometimes it's not about making the best winning trade or or simply finding that perfect setup sometimes it's about listening to what the market is telling you making the best out of the trade that you're already in or avoiding the trade that you don't need to be in today was making the best out of what was a good setup but the market decided it was going to be something different so stayed up on the stock but there was no way it was going to give me that follow through given what we saw today with apple and tesla
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