저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
12/13 CPI 발표 직후 나스닥 3배 레버리지 ETF TQQQ 롱 트레이드를 실시간 복기. CPI 7.1%(예상 7.3%)가 나오기 전 나스닥 급등으로 진입했고, 25달러 부근에서 일부 청산 후 되돌림에 물타기, 최종적으로 50 포인트대 추가 청산. 연준 금리인상 기대(약 77~90%)도 언급하며 특정 방향 편향 없이 데이터 대응이 중요하다고 강조.
다듬은 글
what's up guys it's your trade of the day and today it's going to be a CPI based trade make sure you hit that QR code in the bottom right to join us here at daytrade the world our number one sponsor and the number one prop trading firm in the world okay uh very very simple here look it's tqq now the the uh number came out on CPI 7.1 for 7.3 so instantly it was a better number there you can see here on the this is a 20 period chart the one thing I want to show you is no matter what kind of data comes out and I was sort of talking about this with the trader and we're just like oh man why did we not see this I mean you just go back here to December 1st November 30th it's that exact High where we stopped today so the tqqs go to like 24 30 there on that day the high today 24.50 basically on some Wick tops so that should have definitely been faded past support or resistance has to be watched so it's a mistrade here but let's go to see what we did now the funny thing about this trade here today why are we on tqq very very simple it's pretty cheap it's only 22 bucks so that's the first thing it's great for you day Traders out there that are able to maybe maybe you're under PDT you know you don't have too much money in there you can only make a few trades you don't want to trade the Futures and you like trading Equity the tqq gives you triple that's why it's their triple levered NASDAQ so you're going to see the NASDAQ right now up one percent tqq up three percent so it just gives you a little bit more movement but at the same time you know it's a less dollar value so you could take you know instead of trading the queues which is 360 or whatever it is you know you can maybe only take 100 shares of that maybe you could take a thousand of this so you know back and forth that's why I did it but all right let's go over this look at this rate at 9 20 or sorry yeah uh 8 28 wow yeah we were in here early 8 28.
there's some kind of a movement here that happens on the NASDAQ where it spikes all the way up then it comes all the way back down then you're gonna see here there's one minute in here at 8 29 where the market started just to rip up and it was going up pretty aggressively here the tqs was from 22 it went all the way to 22 60 or 70 there so you got about 30 to 70 cents on that move right away out of nowhere the number wasn't even out yet then all of a sudden bang it shoots up to the upside the problem was before Brendan had it or before I even saw it on Twitter or anywhere I was like oh my God the Market's moving the Market's moving then I heard 7-1 and I instantly just punched in uh very very much not considering price whatsoever this thing was bouncing around like crazy but then it just starts to go up to the upside and that's where you take out 20 40 60 of our trade and it actually looks like I knew what I was doing here because we did run into this top but I'm here to tell you that wasn't the case at all I just wanted to make sure we got some out so our initial long was about 24 30 there busts up why were we getting out 25 bucks so it just it went up to 25 and I know it's a levered ETF so prices don't really matter that much it's just ingrained so I just get out and then I'm like okay now let's see then it fades back down look this is why I draw lines you got to have some kind of lines v-wop although on a move like this doesn't really matter that much but it did hold came down we bounced off this 23.50 a bunch of times so we averaged in we take our last fill then as we sort of morph back up to the upside there remember it wasn't that much better and it didn't change at all the Fed rate fund tools so it actually went higher to the 50 points right so we were at about 77 78 for tomorrow's Fed rate increase that was at 50 points it looks like it's going to stay there it's up to 90 now so then all of a sudden we just start to drift up then we're like okay we get some tops out there we're waiting for the complete top that doesn't come in then we get another piece out in this range break the 50 period break view up and get out then our last out is at 50 just to make sure we capture are some profits and then it was down to the downside but look it's your trade of the day for two reasons again one we knew the instrument we wanted we wanted the triple cues right and so we picked tqq again triple levered so that's what we wanted we wanted something that could move aggressively so that's the first thing the second thing is we were just not biased whatsoever and I think that's important to be that way when you're into this Market is that you just wait to hear if Brendan would have said seven five or seven four greater than expected then I just would have hit the short instead of the long right so I was waiting for the key data and on that we miss it a little bit and then for myself for next time even for tomorrow look to see where we were in the past maybe some of these old data points come into play again it's the cues it's the NASDAQ on a very important day your trade of the day
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