저자: ChristopherUhl · 외국인
요약 보기
시장 전체에 매도 신호가 발생해 현금 전환했다고 밝힘. 대부분 종목이 매도 신호 또는 하락 추세이며, AMD·MSTR·구글·넷플릭스류 등 개별 종목 신호를 점검. 시장 사이클 4단계(하락 추세) 진입 가능성을 강조하고, 팔란티어·소파이·로빈후드·테슬라에 부정적 견해를 밝힘. 애플·아마존은 매수 신호 유지 언급, 금은 신규 매수 신호 언급.
다듬은 글
I just sold out of everything. I'm back to cash on sell signals that came on Friday. And I am going to look at 13 stocks and set a 12minute timer so that we can get through here as fast as possible. Now, a lot of these stocks you probably have in your portfolio right now. And I got bad news for you.
Only a couple of them are still sitting on buy signals. Nearly everything else has a sell signal. So, let's take a look at each one of these individually. Let's start with the market, right? Let's start with the S&P 500, the Q's, and the Dow Jones. Two of the three got sell signals here on Friday. Now, what I saw was a buy signal that came through on Wednesday, which I took, and then I got out on Friday, of course, following my trading plan, and I would really encourage you to do the same.
Now, with the market having a sell signal, that is one of our top most important signals out there. Now, I forgot to start our timer. In fact, let me restart it here. There we go. 12 minutes just starting now. um getting a sell signal on the market has rippling effects across everything. We don't trade our aggressive plans or even our defensive plans when we have a sell signal on the market because that means that the software has the has uh has has found that the uh most likely direction is actually pointing down actually pointing down so I am not buying anything other than ESG which is our cash vehicle which is paying about 4.3% annualized right now.
Now, also market breath still hasn't taken a bit the uh the nose dive that I expected. Earlier this week, we saw , but as of Friday, less downtrend. I'm sorry, less uptrends, more downtrends. That's not what we want to see. But we still have a bullish crossover on breath. And honestly, by Monday, that's probably going to have crossed right back down.
But let's take a look at these stocks individually. Let's start with everyone's favorite, AMD. [clears throat] AMD had a buy signal came through on October 7th and just now got that sell signal. Let me go to AMD right here. October 7th was here and the sell signal came on the November 11th. So between the two points, AMD did pretty well, I would say.
Only up about 12 1.5%. Only up about 12 1/2%. Now, that was a great trade right there. If you were in AMD, what you were seeing was it was getting more and more bullish on the fear and greed the whole way up. Now, something I forgot to to drop into is that the trend of the market is still bullish, right?
We can go over to the spy and we can see the 10 over the 20 price over the 50, but this is coming down hard and fast. Hard and fast. These moving averages are starting to compress, get closer to each other. That's a very nerve-wracking sign. Now, if you have heard of the market cycle, what I want to show you here should not be um unfamiliar, but this may be where we're at right here, hitting the euphoria complacency phase.
Up here is stage three. Now, stage one is the sideways. Stage two is the big beautiful uptrend that everybody wants to get. Stage three is where the moving averages start crossing over and coming down. Stage four is the big nasty downtrend. And this is not theory. This is reality. I just want to show you a quick example on Tesla.
how it pulled the market cycle, the entire market cycle from uh October to March of 204 20 24 2024 into 2025. The market cycle is real going to AMD since that that's what stock we're talking about right now. Pulled the entire market cycle right here and then it's pulled a big beautiful stage two right here.
Maybe maybe hitting a stage three topping pattern, but we don't have the moving averages crossed yet. However, we do have that sell signal on AMD. Let's go to the next one here. Micro strategy. Are you trading Micro Strategy? Tell me in the chat if you're looking at Micro Strategy because I I go to this website to get some research every once in a while called uh Ape Wisdom and it tells me what's going on over on Wall Street Bets.
And I looked at it and Micro Strategy behind the SPY and Nvidia is the third most talked about stock. And I'm like, wait, what? Why are we talking about Micro Strategy? Tell me in the chat why Micro Strategy is on people's radar. because I'm looking at Micro Strategy and I'm like, who in the wide world of sports would want this?
This is a terrible garbage stock. It got a sell signal on October 10th. Let's go to that real quick. MSTR Micro Strategy got a sell signal on October 10th and has done nothing but go down since then. Right, this is the stage four. Okay, this is stage four that's happening right now. Okay, your stage one was over here.
Your stage two was this big, beautiful uptrend. Stage three is where it went sideways for a bit. your moving averages. We're crossing back and forth. Stage four right now, it is going down hard and fast. We're looking at jeez, what are we looking at? A 42% decline since the sell signal. Why would anybody be interested in this?
I have no idea. I have no idea. Let's go to the next one. Google. Google just got the sell signal today on November 14th. Now, between the buy signal and the sell signal, Google went up about uh where was the buy signal? What day was that on? That was on October 21st, which I have marked on here already.
Okay. And to today, that's a basically a 10% gain. A 10% gain on Google with a sell signal that just came today. And this this is super high on the greed right here. Uh pushing 96 out of 100 on the greed scale. So, uh Google is definitely one where if I were holding it, I would be looking to take profits right away because the market's not necessarily lighting up anymore.
The sectors are starting to weaken and then the stocks are starting to weaken. This is not what we want to see. However, one of the handful of buy signals that I saw right here on Apple, Apple still has the buy signal. It came through on October 28th. Let's go to Apple's chart real quick. Uh October 28th.
Now, it's gone sideways since then, right? The market hasn't been helping it. The sector hasn't been helping it. And looking at Apple right here, yeah, I tell you what, it's uh it's it's just going sideways, right? I would be looking to uh to take my profits on this because it is starting to lose the greed with it and this whole sector is getting less and less greedy more and more fearful sector breath is crossed over now why do I care about that right 40% of the move of any stock is due to the market itself 30% due to the sector and only the last 30% due to the stock if this one's holding up well it might be a good idea to go ahead and take profits off the table that you have right now because the whole market is starting to look a lot weaker and Nvidia is a great example of that.
Sales signal came on November 12th and Nvidia looks really, really weak at this point. Right? We're crossing under the 10, under the 20, almost under the 50. We might be having that bearish crossover on the trend on Nvidia very very soon. Nvidia was uh the second of the uh the list on uh Wall Street Bets and it's uh it's not looking very good at all whatsoever.
By the way, we've covered several stocks. We still have five minutes to go. We making tons of time here. Palunteer, right? If you're a Palunteer shareholder, let me know in the chat. I'm very curious, right? Are you one of those people who are like Tom Nash and others who uh went on YouTube and they're like, "My base case for Palunteer is $500 a share." Right?
Here's the thing with setting profit targets. We don't know when that's going to get hit. In fact, what I'd like you to do is look at Bank of America with me real quick and we're going to look on the uh weekly charts. And I'm going to zoom out just a bit because what you see right here, in fact, I have to zoom out even more.
Hold tight here. What you see right here is Bank of America is just now getting to break even if you were to have bought it in 2006. Right? So, Bank of America didn't care what your price targets were, right? It was already in a big beautiful uptrend at that point. Bank of America didn't care at all what your price targets were.
20 years later, it's finally getting back to break even. Bro, I would hate for that to be the same for you on Palunteer. Let me go back into the daily charts. Now, I know that they're two totally different stocks. I know that they're two totally different businesses and I'm sure that you have a brilliant reason as to why I don't know what I'm talking about, right?
But I don't want you to be stuck in a bad trade. And Palanteer is looking like a really bad trade right here because not only does it have sell signals coming through, it's getting significantly more fearful. The sector is not helping. And then it now has a bearish trend. Your 10 is under the 20. Price is under the 50.
Now, am I calling for it to crash? No. I don't have any idea what it's going to do. And anybody out there who tells you it's going to go to $500 knows as much as the next person who says it's going to go to $5. You don't have to know anything about that. All you got to know is buy stocks as they're crashing up, which hopefully you did on Palunteer.
Made some money. I made some money earlier this year on Palunteer, but not as they're crashing down. And right now Palanteer is not looking good at all. Let's go to the next one. Oh, wait, wait. I don't want to lose that one. I want to lose this one here. Let's go to Meta Stock. Meta stock also sitting on sell signal getting more and more fearful.
We are finding a recurring theme around here. Everything is looking really really bad in the market underneath the surface. It is looking ugly in pretty much every direction. And then SoFi. All right, SoFi bros, get ready. Pound those keyboards right now. Tell me how wrong I am about SoFi. Go ahead and tell me all day, every day.
November 7th is when we got the sell signal on SoFi. Let's take a look right here. Let me remove some uh notes here real quick. November 7th, right here. Okay, so we're pretty much back to where we were after that sell signal came through. Now, SoFi also reminds me of a stage three topping pattern, right?
And I and it definitely makes me nervous, too. This reminds me of what's called the 5080 rule. In the 5080 rule, 50% of the time, a big moving stock like this can fall by 80%. 80% of the time, a big moving stock like this can fall by 50%. Now, I know you're thinking because you're SoFi, bro. SoFi can't go down.
Don't you understand? This is the future of finance. I'm sorry to tell you this, but the future of finance has already fallen by 50% once. And I was on YouTube. Receipts are there telling you, "Don't buy it right here. Do not buy it right there because it was running into this big nasty overhead order block where people were ready to get out of SoFi." And it went down 50% since I said, "Don't buy it." Now, we had a bullish trend reversal, and it's moved huge.
Right, your stage two uptrend right there. But this gets me really nervous. We got a compression of those moving averages. We've got sell signals. Man, so it's not looking so great. And it's also not looking so great. I only got two minutes to go. Let's go to Robin Hood. Another stock with a sell signal all on the way down.
Let's go to Robin Hood with a bearish trend at this point as well. Bearish trend on Robin Hood. I'm not owning Robin Hood. Let's see if we can find any more buy signals. Not in Tesla. Tesla has that sell signal came just a couple days ago. So, let's go over to that real quick. Tesla again, another bearish trend.
It almost looks like it could be another market cycle happening, right? Two market cycles happening, one right after another can absolutely happen. It doesn't take years for these to play out like it did on Bank of America. And in this uh example on my PowerPoint here, that's from 98 to 2004. The reality is it can happen as fast as the market wants it to.
And you don't need to get in the way. I also want you to don't get in the way of the buy signal that came on Amazon. Amazon is still sitting on a buy signal probably because my wife spent so much money on Amazon this week. I think her credit card literally caught on fire. And then lastly, gold. Look, if you're looking for the safe haven asset, a lot of people thought gold was a beautiful move when it went up and made this 26% move.
All our buy signal came right at the beginning of it. He got out and kept most of those gains. We just have a brand new signal coming through on gold from Tuesday this week. And um right now I got 1 minute to go. So listen, everything that we covered here is inside of the Outlier platform. The Outlier platform is just 82 cents a day.
I want you to get Outlier so you're going to know where those entry signals are coming and where those exit signals are coming. And I want you to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk by clicking one of these two videos. And have a fantastic day. Toxine.
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