저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
미국 증시는 기술주(엔비디아 등) 강세로 혼조 마감, 시장은 3월 첫 금리인하를 선반영. 미국 경기 강세로 달러지수와 국채금리 상승, 금 가격은 약세. OECD 미국 GDP 성장률 상향. 중국 증시는 마진콜 우려 속 정부 부양책(2조 위안)에도 변동성 확대, 대형주 선호. 자동 인식 자막의 오류가 많아 일부 문장은 불명확.
다듬은 글
Good morning, Tuesday, February 6th, 2024. This is Strategy Infocus from UOB K's Strategic Planning department. We're here to discuss the market. US stocks closed relatively flat, with the Jones down 0.7%, the S&P down 0.3%, and the NAS down 0.1%. The factors supporting the stock market remain... The earnings announcement was considered to be quite...
The positive side has resulted in money flowing out of the money market into the US stock market. Especially in the tech sector, such as the group I'm referring to, led by Nvidia, which rose over 4%. Nvidia will announce its earnings on the 21st, and G has raised its price target for Nvidia to $800 per share.
NXP is also in the group and has increased from earnings that beat estimates. Super Micro Computer is up 14%. Furthermore, Bank of America indicates that they see Apple stock as having high growth potential. This year, so whenever there's an adjustment... When the price goes down, buy periodically. This is a buy-on period, or as they say, this week.
Tech stocks continue to announce their earnings. Yes, that includes the healthcare sector as well. Analysts still believe that both Gatech and healthcare will perform quite well. That 's good, it pushed the stock index up. It continues to rise amidst issues of... Regarding interest rates, the market has already priced in the first reduction in landfill time in March.
I'm leaving now, after Vola indicated that he wanted to. Wait for data on inflation returning to the target. Let's return to the previously set target of 2%. Okay, and as I informed you yesterday, the CBS 6 Minutes program that Pwell mentioned might... The first interest rate reduction will occur in the middle of the year.
This year, the Fed in Atlanta... There are indications that the infection rate figures should be monitored. I'm currently unemployed, and a good reading major would be helpful for my first time adjusting to a new role, especially if there's a rush. The stock is rising sharply, and if we look at SW Trade, we'll see that the market is currently giving weight to...
The first reduction was in June. July and September instead, based on weight. The interest rate cut in March was considered relatively low. That's low, only 17%, and more importantly, it's about weight. There was also a downward adjustment in May. Well, after the economic figures came out, they're quite solid.
The boss is a big shot, you know. At Pimko's place, he pointed out, uh, the curve of... Interest rates might return to normal soon. Okay, so he will buy a derivative of SR, which is Secure Overnight Financing Rate, for a contract in September, and then sell it in the following month. Next September, please interpret that as...
Gossip predicted that interest rates would fall sharply. SR might be a derivative that managers use to make profits. Typically, these contracts are active around September. Furthermore, BuCross would be a leading indicator suggesting investment trends. That's also fine, regarding the reporting of assets.
You 'll find that various banks in the United States, or SL oos, have measures in place that... The regulations regarding loan disbursements are becoming stricter. The declining confidence level may need to be reassessed. Regarding the financial strain... The resilience of the US economy is evident, besides the positive earnings figures released yesterday.
The PMI service figures, while showing a slowdown, also contribute to this. Okay, but it's better than last month, which was at 52.5. This caused the overall composite service score to drop to 52, but it's still at a certain level. The expansion includes ISM services, which increased by 53.4%, reflecting the...
The strength of the US economy has pushed the dollar index up quite sharply. The index touched 10.31, in the same direction as the ballot index for both the 10-year and 2-year periods. The Year Y index has increased by 28 basis points in the last two days, following the US economic downturn. This reflects the strength of the True Year Y index, which rose by 26 bi-points in two days.
It's anticipated that the Fed will not... Interest rates were lowered in March, and gold prices were affected. Prices edged lower after the dollar strengthened to $241 per tion. Oil prices, WTI, stood at $72, while Bryce stood at $77 per barrel. The OECD also made an announcement. Uh, sorry, I meant to say we've revised or increased the global GDP forecast.
It's gone up from 2.7% to 2.9% following an upgrade to the US economy. We believe the economy will grow strongly. Strong and fast, however, the global GDP upgrade remains lower than 2022 due to pressure from interest rates and... The weaknesses of the Chinese economy include tensions. The OECD has revised its forecast for US GDP growth upwards to 2.1% from 1.5%, including inflation.
Inflation and interest rates... uh, I'm sorry to have misunderstood. Benefits from slowing inflation include: Lower interest rates while maintaining China's GDP at 4.7% are a positive sign, in terms of monetary policy. It's inflated, but I believe we will see a slowdown. Global inflation, particularly in G20 countries, is expected to return to normal levels by the end of 2025.
However, a risk to watch is the geopolitics league, especially in the Middle East. European stock markets have also adjusted and slightly declined. It's low, even though the service PMI figures showed a recovery, they still remain in the contraction zone. As for the UK service PMI, it's considered...
It's expanding quite strongly and may... Factors suggest that the Board of Governors may not need to rush things yet. Interest rates will be lowered soon, and as for the stock market... Most of Asia is showing negative territory, which is consistent with... That's based on our assessment after the boyish incident.
It accelerated yesterday, following the US stock market. It puts pressure on securities due to negative sentiment combined with an appreciation of the currency. The dollar's depreciation is also causing money to flow out. Asia is considered a good country for investing in Chinese stocks. It's been quite volatile lately due to some issues.
There's a risk of a "For Sale" offer after the share price drops, so you might have to buy in. Please top up your account to the required collateral amount, or in other words, to cover a margin call. This has become a risk to the Chinese stock market. This is considered to be quite volatile and increasing.
In the past month, there have been more than 60 margin calls and for-sale requests. Therefore, margin calls, or even requests for increased liquidity for shareholder liquidations, could be considered a snowball effect, potentially causing volatility in the Chinese stock market. It's becoming more volatile, however, due to the measures taken.
The Chinese government has announced a stimulus package of over 2 trillion yuan to boost the Chinese economy. Along with relaxing investment regulations, including... Controlling chocolate production generates revenue. It's also flowing into the Chinese stock market. Specifically, large-cap stocks are being speculated on, with the CSI 300 rising 0.7% yesterday.
Meanwhile, the CSI 1,000, which represents small-cap stocks, has fallen by more than 6%. This year, the CSI 1,000 is down 27%, the largest drop in 9 years. The decline in the CSI 1,000 indicates that most investor flow is directed towards large-cap stocks. More than small-cap stocks due to foreign fund inflows.
More than 1.2 billion yuan, or approximately 167 million US dollars, flowed in through the market. Hong Kong stocks reacted yesterday as expected. Um, the stock market will be supported by... The government sector has shown that the trading volume in the CSI 300 has been quite high recently. Over the past week, and the students...
Chinese economists point out that the domestic market... Currently, we need support from the sector. It's mostly the government, plus investors. Focus on buying large-cap stocks. It's better than small-cap stocks in the stock market. China might face selling pressure again. Before closing the China border for one week, the working days are...
The final day will be this Thursday, and the students... Investments may also involve selling for profit, you know. Oh, I'm sorry. Yes, there are sales to reduce risk, and possibly... This could cause the market to adjust downwards. The value of stocks in China and Hong Kong has dropped by approximately $7 trillion since the beginning of 2021, due to the lockdowns themselves.
Even advances in technology and... The real estate slump could also be a contributing factor. This will damage investor confidence in China. That's considered a relatively rapid decline, according to EFG Asset Management Hong Kong's assessment. Investing in the Chinese stock market might be worthwhile.
It will be very difficult this week because there are... Vulnerability comes with the risk of exposure. Selling pressure is quite high ahead of the Chinese New Year, amidst... The market is eager for economic stimulus policies. Quite strong to come to restoring faith. Investor confidence, which he believes is likely.
This has happened during the past 2 years or so. Our investment strategy for this week remains the same. I recommend taking profits on technical stocks, but... The focus remains on investing in train station brands. The United States, which is part of the UN, has diversified its investments into India and...
It's Indonesia. Thank you for watching. Follow us to stay updated on our activities. You can invest every morning via Facebook or YouTube at uttrade.com. (by UOB K. Thank you for today.)
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