저자: RevanthChalama · 외국인
요약 보기
타이탄 주가가 3일 전 하루 7% 하락, 최고점 대비 약 16% 조정. 금 가격 상승(35,000→70,000)과 함께 주가도 약 2배 상승. 주력 사업은 주얼리(타니시크·캐럿라인) 메이킹차지 기반이며 시장 점유율은 리라이언스·아다니 등 신규 진입으로 분산 예상. 금 랠리 모멘텀은 둔화 가능, 추가 10% 내외 조정 및 차익실현 가능성 언급. 펀더멘털은 좋으나 섹터 지지 필요.
다듬은 글
suffering from money, illness, job, business, debts? Launch Your Future program is just for you. Namaste Welcome to Suman TV. I am Vishnu. Currently, the famous stock market analyst Revanth Chalama is in the limelight. Let's talk to him. Sir, Namaste Sir, Revanth. Namaste. And Revanth. Did you know that Revanth is Rekha Jhunjun's wife?
Rakesh Jhunjun lost 800 crore rupees in a stock. Recently, there have been articles saying that why did that stock lose so much? Naturally, when everyone hears Rakesh sir's name, one stock that comes to mind is that it is Titan S. Yes, okay, so basically, we have three days back. We had a 7% fall in one single day.
Actually, it was a correction of almost 16% from the recent high. So naturally, the stock fell after the fall. So what is the reason behind the stock? So, it is a good stock. Again, 16% correction is the right time to invest, so everyone is chasing stocks in various ways, so regarding Madam, particularly after the late Rakesh sir, everything the properties were shifted to her, so 800 crore rupees due to sudden dip, it looks like a huge valuation to us, so let's put that topic aside and actually look at the subject that needs to be taken up in this, so basically, when you think of Titan, what business do you think of?
The business of Tata Group is right, so basically, when you think of Titan, it means watches, but here the actual thing is that when you think of Titan, everyone should think of gold business, jewelry, so their entire major contribution comes from their jewelry business, it can be Tanishq, otherwise it can be Caratline, so all their major revenue is generated from there, so everyone naturally thinks of Titan.
That is, everyone knows that there are watch-related businesses, but they think that major revenue is generated from it. But all the major revenue is generated from this jewelry segment for us, particularly. So basically, if you have noticed since 2019, gold prices have been increasing. Yes, it has almost doubled.
It has gone from 35,000 to 70,000. So it has almost doubled for us. This stock price has also almost doubled. It has delivered to us at the same time. So will it continue to double in the future? Just because we have Rakesh sir's shares in it, it will not be like that. So basically, we have to look at the fundamentals related to the sector.
So now, gold price has doubled in the last five years. Will it double in the next five years and more? If the gold price actually doubles, here What is the profit for the jewelry business? This question should also be asked. So basically, where does the profit for the jewelry business come from? Making charges.
Making charges, whether they charge a fixed ₹1000 on the jewelry or a percentage, will be higher in percentage. 35000 then 10% making is 3500 70000 then how much is the making charge? 7500 for 10%? Will you generate double revenue? Again, is this the only one? In addition, how much gold reserves do they have?
Some of them will have some. How much futures have they hedged in the market? And again, they will have some gold reserves. So overall, their valuation has also reached three lakh crores in the market. Within no time, okay. So basically, because of that, we saw that good rally. So going further. Whether we will have the same gold business in the future, we should basically note one thing.
We have had a gold rally in the market based on uncertainties and it has been consolidated for a long time. So, the data related to it should also be delivered. So, two factors have combined and come to us. So, our business related to this has grown a lot. So far, Titan has dominated us to some extent in the jewelry business.
Yes, it has given us good domination. And so, going forward, will it maintain the same domination in the market? It is also a question whether other players are also significant. They are not a monopoly game. Yes, like a few other businesses, this is not a monopoly business. We have corporate competitors in this.
There is also an unorganized business sector. So basically, along with this, Reliance is also entering the jewelry business and along with that, recently, like unauthorized According to the news, Adani is also showing interest in the jewelry business, so the share will be divided by default. They will also divide the market share.
So when all this happens, by default, along with that, the gold range has already increased, so there may not be any momentum in that either, so we cannot expect a rally. There may be stability, but according to my expectation, there has already been a 15% correction, if not, there may be another 10%, naturally part and partial of the profit booking, this will happen.
So if not, just like before, you should continue to invest in it aggressively, that is, the sector should be supported. This is called fundamental analysis and more over. When you look at it technically, the stock did not fall directly, it did not go high and fell in a straight line, it is a formation.
It also appeared to have created weakness there technically. So that is why we advise every person that you should have a fundamental knowledge not just on the stock and you should also know the macro picture related to it. So if you have an understanding of how the business of that sector is going to go, then it will be useful if you analyze that single business.
Titan is a very good company, fundamentally, ethically, in all ways, but only if the sector also supports it, it will have a chance to run ahead. So from now on, invest in investments, particularly in this sector, just in Titan Kalyan Jewellery, it may have been something. So while investing in this sector related things, look at the rallies before and do not jump into investments directly.
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