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hey guys I'm back here so for those who stay to the end of the video yesterday what do we talk about what's the trend huge red day equals huge Green Day the next day the pattern still holds true until it does not okay so we got another one like that and I'm going to go over something today that Tom Lee put out because I was actually doing an update on this anyway and just so happen he put this out here today about there's something that's not happening which would really surprise I think when I show this to you it'll surpris you because remember we've already eclipsed 2021 highs right we're at all-time highs new all-time highs and to do that you would think there would be a lot more risk being taken on to push us to that point would you not and so I'm going to show you something that really might surprise you and a point he made which could be true may not be but it kind of makes sense in a way and and then we'll go into a lot of people I get this question a lot man whether it's DMS emails in the comments it's like you know why in the world we gotta be having a sell off we're overextended all this stuff and look like I told the members I'm G to give give you three stocks watch these three stocks and I'll give you the reason why so all you got to watch to know where the Market's going it's just that simple okay so I'm going to give that to you and when we look at this first of all I just want to start by saying can you imagine this right here imagine being to sell four billion of your stock and four trading days and that right there is nothing but pennies I mean not even quarters pennies to you cuz the man's worth 194 bill now that Amazon has ran up all right he's actually increased by like 70 billion over the last two months I believe and so just imagine I mean put in the comments what's the largest amount of stock dollarwise you have sold in a 4-day period right I mean I think mine probably in a 4day period was maybe maybe 45k if I remember correctly I mean something like that but imagine selling four billion dollars worth in four days and it's just nothing but pennies you know not that he did he said come here sell that for me you know but a that a't that just amazing can you imagine that mean that means you I even looked it up today is like the top seven richest Americans are worth a trillion dollar isn't that amazing to see oh1 trillion doll seven people in this country woo boy man that's that's unbelievable I would just like to like have one day to just follow him around to see how that lifestyle is because let's be real you know you can be a millionaire you ain't touching that that that right there that is like you know Chris Rock said being rich you can lose that on a drunken field stup in Vegas in one weekend being wealthy can't lose that now this is what Tom Lee was talking about he says too much cash on Sidelines I mean the stock market hasn't peaked and what he's talking about is not so much this cash but he's talking about margin right a lot of dry power Sidelines buying power needs to be exhausting this was behind the July 202 three top by comparison there's still low level of New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange margin debt these figures need to Surge to a near top is what he thinks it is and then of course this is his chart right here different sources for this different kind of margin Deb we're talking about here but he's he's getting his from F he said in October you know it was around 935 billion in July of 2023 is around 710 and now it's sitting around 700 billion according to his chart so there's still a lot out there and you would think that we would have already eclipsed the 935 billion to push us to new all-time highs right but even when you look over uh at this Source right here you can see this one's dealing with broker dealers and the debit balances in the margin accounts and you can see where we're at which is kind of stunning right this is in dollarwise we're still way down here I mean we hadn't even come up to the zero line across that yet and you would think we'd be way higher than that right I mean you can see during the Peaks where they were pushing us up to in billions wise right and when you look at this I mean you got to think back going all the way to 2000 in the levels we were at there was kind of like your Peaks right there right and we're still down here which is just and you got to ask stuff this like how much margin are you using compared to what you were using back like 2020 and 2021 right that's really the big questions right I mean I mean I know I'm not using much margin anywhere near and so you know I'm curious to know what you think even you look at percentage wise what the increase has been and stuff and it's really just not that big of an increase you know I think if I had to really say this was let's say it's updated through I don't know probably December is one my guess is updated through you know you're looking that's very low right even percentage increase but because a lot of people don't believe in the rally a lot of cash on the sidelines versus having to use margin now remember we had to build up the cash right by going through 2020 2021 and so let me know you know what you think about what he's saying like do we have to top out or increase the risk and the reason why I say that which is funny and guys before we continue if you could hit that like button for me I sure would appreciate it it helps people find this video and everything and also if you like the content think about subscribing guys it's because when you look at the market right now look what's happening today this week bitcoin's going through the roof crypto miners going through the roof crap coins are starting to take off like crazy right you're sitting here with even garbage AI stocks and I mean AI stocks that companies that will never monetize they just put the AI in their name or they talk crap on the earnings calls which have never you know meant anything you see in their earnings they're not monetizing anything like Nvidia or AMD or even meta them right nothing okay even they're up just this week 20 30% all right that so I'm looking at that going man seem like it's risk going to me but people just aren't using margin they're having more cash just flow back into it reinvested and coming off the sidelines and stuff and so that was two different sources you saw there so again you're talking about hundreds of billions that could be used in margin to continue to push this up and it'll be interesting to see like yes if we get a pullback uh will that come back into play or not so again let us know in the comments are you using as much margin as you used to use or is it less now right what do you have you talked to your friends about it what are they doing right but when you look overall before we getting those three stocks I mean obviously the S&P you know again you got to pull out on perspective when you have a big red day right it's still sitting above the 5day moving average you can see it regain that heading back up to the top of that trend line like I said all it did was fall back down that channel okay after going up to this and this is the trend line to really watch if you're going to break above it this one has been going on for well over a year now like a year and four months or something it's held true so far that's where we rejected from uh when we got that sell off but again we're still setting in this Channel and you look over at the QQQ again this one is right at the 5day moving average it didn't turned up yet on The Daily but again big move up today I expect this will probably end up happening still within the weekly range this another one has a trend line goes back to beginning of 2023 which is respected and so this is what it's broke above and now it's just kind of sitting right on top of it right there so again watch that kind of stuff when you're looking at this now looking at these three stocks if you really one of these people you want to sell off and you're like man I got my money waiting or my margin waiting whatever it is you need first Apple right it's setting to the 200 moving average again this one right here the macd is below the zero line it still has that trend line which is respected as multiple hits off of it to save it right even if it does break the 200 and it's done this play before right again you got support sitting right there around like 180ish as well but that has to break first right and when you look on the daily I mean you can see have we be getting lower highs sure sure have but there's not a lower low here yet right so you kind of were getting that then it stopped and so we got to see is it going to set another lower and low which means it will have to break that trend line as you saw over here yeah we were getting that going on hit the trend line boom bounced right and so that's going to be the key question again apple is one of the generals that has to fall I'll explain why just the second Microsoft here's another General that would have to fall and show a lot of weakness you again on the daily macd sure it's showing a bearish you know macd cross right there and what you're really looking at if it does start to sell down is that 100 moving average would be your target right why because it really respects the 100 when it does these sell offs it's done it multiple times you go back through the Microsoft chart you'll see it bounce many times whether it's getting it's bouncing off of it or if it was coming up getting rejected off of it so it really does like the 100 moving average and so that will be a good Target if that is the case that will put a sell off over 10% on Microsoft and Apple the other general which you have to end up taking out is going to be Nvidia right Nvidia why would Nvidia be one of those three and I think we all know why because it's the AI King right you take out the king if the king Falls then all the other AI stock will follow easily because this is the one that's monetized the most when it comes to the AI play right and the first thing you're going to be looking for obviously there's big support there first is going to be that trend line right there around 645 650 depending on when it would hit it if it falls down that channel obvious I don't think the moving average will probably stop us would be the bottom of that channel and so again this is another one that you're looking at to say okay and you mean that macd that thing has just been climbing had and if we go to a weekly which I'm not it's just straight up and so you know a lot of people are picking out oh maybe it's going to be the earnings day it shows weakness or is it just going to crush it again right and so if it hangs the moon again they can continue to push this one up uh if not then you get yourself but you have to take out those three stocks because two of them are just comfort for all the big hedge funds and everybody else to buy into because they you know they're they have so much cash on hand they buy so much stock back all that good stuff and again the other one is just the AI king that's the way it is until that one Falls all the other AI stocks are going to just continue to hold up or you take those three down or those three start to show a lot of weakness then the other the market will fall with it that's just the way it is I don't mean crash anything I mean literally buy a 10% as what I'm talking about from the indexes which is a lot more for the stocks of course but you know that's what has to happen till then you know it's all for nothing I'm just being honest about it let me know your thoughts in the comments on that now iwm obviously another big move up today still within this weekly range and a lot of people said oh we fell below the weekly range what's going to happen well it pop right back up shocker right then all I did was bounce right off that little trend line right there which was that that little wedge it was in and so you know this one again above the five day moving average which is a good thing to see in it it is again everything's risk on I should have added this to the crypto and stuff but is amazing how we're pushing out rate cuts and the stuff that's rate cut sensitive is going up like an in Phase small caps all this other stuff right uh which is kind of amazing to see but when you look at this one obviously you know you can see we're in this volume Gap that's one reason you're getting these moves right here and it it can and again if we can just break above or be like 200ish right there then this thing could finally move out of that range and move all the way up but you know it's going to be interesting to see how they're going to handle this with Opex and all of a sudden all these rate Cuts aren't going to happen anymore blah blah blah all that good stuff and so watch that one I still find it it just seems fishy to me that small caps of them are just blasting off like that but you've seen what huge swings in it okay now Tesla again I'm still watching this inverse head and shoulders right here had a you know decent day today still weaker than the other Max 7 that is for sure that is no joke it's happening it really needs the Catalyst more anything else and no more price cuts and stuff like that you kind of see it on the daily the you know the good news is you still got you see that momentum down the bottom with that histogram it's just God it's so small look at the other parts of the histogram right and you see a lot more momentum there's just not a ton of momentum it just needs a catalst or something the good news was it was number one for the most bullish when it comes to uh flow call Flow right here so you know 50 million in premium not a lot for Tesla to be honest with you but it was still a number one and so we'll see if that continues if it does then you should see Tesla move up now earnings tomorrow you know you get Crocs John Deere Yeti watch out for that one as well what the heck Wendy's uh the high beta stuffs in the afternoon though DraftKings coinbase Roku uh trade desk Applied Materials door Dash and Open Door which is a real estate company and then when you go over to the data you're going to have jobless claims coming out so we'll see if they're going to be hot or not uh and then you'll have a lot of manufacturing data which the market still does not care about at all Philadelphia new orders will be interested and then retail sales month over month year over year uh so a lot of industrial data coming out manufacturing all before the Market opens so that's going to be interesting to see and then you'll have a lot of fed speakers uh coming out talking again they're all kind of saying the same thing right right now which is we're data dependent and we'll see what happens uh but you know we we'll see you know again if you're playing earns by the way because I know a lot of people just the YOLO calls whatever it is go look up the expected move I think this is the big thing and see how often it beats it or it doesn't beat it because if you're buying just straight up calls or puts you're most likely going to get crushed right if it doesn't hit the expected move and and this is what you see the funny stuff in after hours like in a firm for example which sold way down and it met the expected move but what happened after hours they pushed it all the way up before the market opened right and so you were screwed unless you were actually selling and buying in the after hours marketing stuff so just kind of figured i' put that there to you keep that in mind if you're playing uh Lottery stuff and everything so and we'll see if there's any other semi stocks that people are going to push up because again I forgot to mention like smci I think this is the stock that one's still you know getting pushed up and up and up and up and up so you know I mean the price of that stocks over uh Nvidia at this point in time because uh I know somebody explained this to me and I got still got to verify this let me know in the comments if you know the story this like some group actually owns so much of the stock it wasn't much that much available which is why you don't see it dropping yet right it just keeps gapping up every day and keeps going and going and going so I'm not saying it's a GameStop type thing but it's it's kind of similar in a way they're just not doing it with options I don't think but anyway I got to look into that one and study that one a little more so let me know in the comments feel free to educate us on that so hope you guys I'm out of it hit that like And subscribe button we'll see if tomorrow is going to be red or green cuz what are we going we went was it red Monday no green Monday Tuesday red today green we'll see if we alternate it right because remember we got the IEX coming up on Friday so anyway have a good one guys I'll see you tomorrow
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