저자: 미상 · 외국인
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팔란티어는 지난 1년간 급등했으나 6월 급락해 최악의 달 중 하나를 기록. 마이클 버리는 거래량 감소와 하락 추세 지속을 주장하며 팔란티어에 풋옵션을 매수했다고 알려짐. 진행자는 미국 사업 성장, AI 수요, 매출 가속과 수익성 개선을 근거로 장기적으로 매력적인 종목이라고 평가. 다만 성장 둔화 시 높은 밸류에이션이 압박받을 수 있다는 리스크도 언급.
다듬은 글
Today we are going to be talking about a stock that has absolutely exploded over the last year and that stock is paranterea. In this video we are going to take a look at their most recent announcement breakdown why the stock continues to get so much attention and look at what Michael Barry is saying right now and then go over what it would actually take for paranteer to reach a much higher price from here.
If you enjoy the video, drop a like below. And if you want to see more content like this one, make sure to subscribe. Panttier is one of those names that have turned the battleground of the stock market. It has become the kind of company people either laugh or cannot stand. And so that is exactly why the stock is so fascinating.
The expectations are sky high and also the market is already crowded and that means a lot of good news that was already baked into the price means that the stock could be getting a sell of news event. Positive news gets tuned into evidence that a bull case is alive and well. Negative news gets tuned into evidence that the whole story is unraveling and when the stock is wed as parantea both sides are going to spin the tape in their favor.
According to the recent reporting, Paranter has been down sharply in June, heading for one of its worst months ever and has been hit by a broader rotation of software and other big tech names and two semiconductors. The stock has also been under pressure year to date. So now investors are asking a more serious question than before.
Is this just a templar reset or is the market starting to say that parent viration story needs to come back to earth? Before we get deeper, smash that like button for me down below. It really helps to get the video out there to more people and I appreciate it so much. You are also certainly welcome to subscribe as well.
Now one of the things that stands out the most to me about Pante is how much of the company's growth is being driven by the US side of the business. That matters because when people talk about Panteer, they often focus on the big dramatic narrative around government contracts and defense but the commercial side is growing fast enough to be part of the rest story too.
And at the same time the company has continued to lean hard in the idea that AI is not a very important distinction. A lot of companies can talk about AI but parent is trying to operationalize it and that's why parent investors keep tring it like something bigger than a normal software stock and now here is where things get even more interesting Michael Barry Barry has been taking a victory lap on parenteer and that matters because he was one of the most famous beish investors in the world the latest coverage says Barry has been pointing to declining trading volume saying that investor interest has been fading for about a year and has argued that the stocks downtrend is still intact.
The menor FN article also does not say that parenter is down 25% in the month that Barry has said volume has been dropping for about a year and that the little traders are increasingly waiting for a deep below 100 before stepping in. It also notes that Kathywoods bought nearly 9.7 million in parentea shares on Tuesday which tells you just how split the market really is.
Bulls are buying the deep, bears are calling it a breakdown and retail is sitting there trying to decide whether to jump in now or wait for the next leg down. And that is exactly the kind of setup that turns the stock into a battleground. Barry's broader st is also worth paying attention to. Rotters reported that he closed his hedge fund skoyon asset management and said he was moving on to a much better thing.
But before stepping back he had already stepped up his criticism of big take and AI names including Pante Reuters said he bought put options on Pante and argued that the market was underestimating the risks in the AI and cloud infrastructure. Boom. He has also been critical of the aggressive accounting and assumptions behind AI related CPEX stories.
In other words, he is not just making one of his complaints about planter. He's making a broad argument that the AI trade has gotten crowded before he can potentially be disconnected from reality. And now whether you agree with Barry or not, you cannot ignore him. When B attacks the stock, people pay attention.
And when he attacks a stock that already has a massive short interest debate and huge retail following, the result is even more noise. That noise can move the stock in the short term. It can also change the way people think about the company in the long term. And here is the thing. Noise is not the same as truth.
And that is why you have to step back and look at the business over the years, not just over the last week. If you zoom out, Bante store is actually pretty remarkable. There was a time when the company was mostly thought of as a government software contractor. It has a reputation for being hard to understand, difficult to model and easy to dismiss if you only looked at if you only looked at it from the surface then the business started broadening.
Commercial adoption improved. A became a dominant market theme. revenue accelerated margins improved cash flow improved and student was not just an defense story anymore and became an AI infrastructure story that evolution matters because it changes how the market values the company when investor start seeing a business as something strategic rather than optional the multiple can change dramatically that is what happened with parantea it went from being underappreciated to being overcone overwned from being misunderstood to being celebrated from being ignored to being constantly debated and that is usually what happens when a company becomes genuinely important now one of the most exciting things for paranteer investors is that the company has reinvigorated revenue growth in a very meaningful way over the years the slope of the revenue chart has gone from steady to steep and that second derivative growth is what gets investors excited when growth is accelerating people start to believe the market opportunity is expanding faster than they thought they start building more aggressive variation models start talking about the company as if the future has become much bigger than the present and there is a catch acceleration does not last forever at some point the law of large numbers does to matter company canon keep becoming larger the same time brelling pays for so long eventually the comparisons get harder eventually the growth rate normalizes eventually the second delivative starts to flatten and when that happens the market often goes from rewarding excitement to punishing disappointment and that is one of the biggest reasons parente has become such a controversial A long time the market was asking how much faster growth could become now because the stock has sold off and because investors are watching barry call out to the momentum the market is starting to ask a different question what happens if growth disilets from here that's a [clearing the throat] much scarier question from a high multiple stock and that is why I think the current setup is actually more than either the bulls or bears who want to admit the bulls are are right that the company's growth is real the beers are right the variation has been demanding so the question is not whether either side is crazy the question is whether the stock now has enough of research to offer long term value again and to answer that you have to look at what the company has done financially over time if you have benefitting from the content so far please consider liking and sharing and also you can consider subscribing which means a lot for me.
Now, Valentier has grown over time from a much smaller revenue base into a business that is now generating billions in annual revenue. The company has also improved profitability along the way and that is critical. A lot of companies can grow revenue by spending more, discounting more or burning more cash.
Parenter has done a better job than many people expected of scaling to stronger cash generation. That matters because investors do not pay for growth. They pay for profitable growth. And Parantea has increasingly looked like a company that can deliver both. Now back when parent was in the 20s the story was much easier to like because the business still had room to prove itself and variation had not gotten ahead of the fundamentals as the price moved into the 150s and then past 200 at times uh people became more cautious because the excitement had become too extreme and that was not a random opinion that was a variation discipline.
Now the stock is much lower and the setup is different again and this is why I can say the opportunity looks more attractive today than it did at a peak. Not because the company has suddenly become cheap, not because the business has become boring, but because the combination of a much stronger business and a much lower stock price creates a better long-term equation than before.
And that's exactly the kind of thing I want to see before I get more constructive on a high growth stock. So when Barry says the stock still looks weak and when he points to declining volume and fading momentum is essentially arguing that the market is losing enthusiasm even if the business remains strong and that is a very different argument from saying the company is broken he's not saying pener has no revenue.
He's saying the market may be paying too much for that revenue and too much for the future story. That is a fair argument. Then if you disagree with it because that is the key tension here the book is that parent a category defining a software company with a huge runway growing profit stickers and strategic mode and the bear is that the market has already paid much for the story and that any slow down in growth could compress the variation had.
Both sides have a logic and that is why the stock remains one of the most comparing and controversial names in the market. So where do I stand? My view is that this parent is one of the best high growth software stories in the market but is also one of the most emotionally charged names in the market.
The company is clearly doing many things right. Revenue growth is strong. The commercial side is gaining momentum. The government side remains important. The air story is still very real. The margins are improving and the analyst community still sees upside from here. And I think this is a stock that deserves a serious long-term look.
What are your thoughts? Let me know what you think about the situation and please if you're benefiting from the video please consider liking, sharing and also subscribing. And also remember to put God first whatever you do.
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