저자: Motivation2Invest진행자 · 외국인
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결론: 캐시 우드와 내부자들의 테슬라 매도는 우려 신호이나, 캐시 우드의 매도는 포트폴리오 비중(10%) 재조정 성격이 커 과도한 해석은 경계해야 한다. 캐시 우드/ARK 매도 현황: 2020년 8월 18일 ARKK, ARKW 등 펀드가 테슬라 4만 주 이상 매도했고, 8월 20~21일에도 ARKK 약 1만 9천 주, ARKQ 약 1,300주, 이후 9,285주·5,076주·4,734주 등 추가 매도가 있었다고 설명. 매도 해석: 캐시 우드는 테슬라 비중을 약 10%로 맞추기 위한 리밸런싱이라고 설명해 왔으며, 진행자도 이 논리에는 동의하나 매도 타이밍과 단기 차익실현 성격은 의문이라고 봄. ARK 펀드는 일간 거래하는 액티브 ETF라는 점을 강조. 내부자 매도: 최고재무책임자(CFO)가 최근 5일 전·2개월 전·지난달 등 여러 차례 매도(약 41만9천 달러, 37만8천 달러, 65만6천 달러 등)했으며, 자동차 부문 사장 제롬 과 이사 캐슬린 로빈 등도 매도. 진행자는 내부자 매도를 중요한 경고 신호로 봄. 같은 기간 매수한 내부자는 일론 머스크뿐. 목표가 언급: 캐시 우드가 테슬라 목표가로 주당 1만5천 달러를 제시했다고 소개됨(영상 초반 7,000달러 목표 언급도 있음). 실제 발언 원문 확인이 필요. 진행자 포지션: 평균 약 500달러에 매수해 약 300% 수익 중. 현재 밸류에이션에서는 추가 매수를 보류하고 기존 보유 유지. 기술적 분석가들은 조정이 임박했다고 보며, 조정 시 물타기 매수 가능성 언급. 리스크: 특정 종목이 포트폴리오에서 큰 비중을 차지할 경우의 집중 리스크 강조. 내부자 매도 해석은 과대평가 가능성 있음. 주의: 자막은 자동인식으로 오류 가능성이 있음.
다듬은 글
what we're talking about right now is tesla is ready for prime time as an av and ev and av manufacturer it's not a major position for us but in our view the company is likely to go bankrupt companies likely to go bankrupt companies like me to go bankrupt widely regarded as one of the biggest tesla balls with a price target of seven thousand dollars per share and an even bigger more bullish price target of over 15 000 per share however recently i came across something very worrying i discovered that in the month of august cafe wood has actually been selling a lot of shares of tesla kathy wood is the fund manager for arkhamvest innovation etf ticker symbol a r k k and on the 18th of august that fund and arkhamvest other fund arkw actually sold over 40 000 shares of tesla but that's not all the funders actually sold many more shares in august so diving into the latest trades this is the inside info on exactly what arkan vest has been doing during the past few weeks so as you can see on the 20th of august the fund ar k k actually sold 18 919 shares of tesla and then again also on the 20th of august the fund a r k q actually sold 1 311 shares of tesla but that's not all guys kathy woods arc invest funds have actually been selling a whole lot more shares of tesla so as you can see here on the 21st of august over 9285 shares were sold off tesla and then also on the 21st of august another 5076 shares of tesla was sold and then again also on 21st of august over 4734 shares of tesla were sold now i know what you're thinking has kathy wood lost faith has she gone crazy she's always talking about tesla should go to fifteen thousand dollars per share so why the hell is she selling well to put your minds at ease especially those who have tesla shares i firmly believe that if you ask kathy wood and she's actually stated this multiple times in previous articles and interviews she will tell you that she's actually just rebalancing the arc invest portfolio so tesla only makes up 10 of the funds holdings this is so the fund is diversified for all the shareholders this is simple portfolio rebalancing as a position gets too big when its share price becomes inflated you sell off a portion to keep it below your desired value now i do agree with this thesis by kathy wood however i also question the timing of this and i do see arkhan vest as a fund cashing in some profits and this makes sense like if you actually understand how arc invest funds work they're an actively managed etf and in cafe woods own words we trade daily they trade daily so they're not trading daily for fun they're trading daily to take advantage of the short-term price fluctuations so there's nothing wrong really with coffee wood selling off some shares of tesla but the main worry as far as i can see as those of you guys especially retail investors who maybe have a large portion of tesla in their portfolio like i have some friends and tesla takes up maybe 50 60 of their portfolio so if people are following coffee wood blindly thinking she's some tesla god and that she just has unshakable faith in the company then that's a wrong assumption of kathy wood yes she does have faith in the long-term prospects of tesla but she's also short-term trading the stock in order to balance the portfolio and also cash some profits so this video is just a word of warning to all investors out there is be aware that a lot of these people who are pumping up certain stocks it's because they have a large position in their portfolio and even when everyone else is turning the other way they're actually selling small percentages and cashing in profits so maybe you should think about potentially doing that for your portfolio just be risking and rebalancing where it makes sense it's very dangerous to have unshakable faith in one single company especially if it makes up a large percentage of your portfolio so if established that kathy wood is most likely selling her shares of tesla to just keep the position below 10 in the arc invest portfolio completely innocent but i've also discovered that there have been a lot of other selling inside tesla this is a real red flag as when insiders are selling it shows maybe they've lost faith in the company or they believe the share price is currently overvalued diving into the recent insider trading we can see that there have been a variety of sell-offs from the cfo the chief financial officer who sold multiple times most recently just five days ago he also sold off two months ago and then again last month so he sold off multiple times in the amounts 419 thousand dollars 378 000 and again 656 000 and then there have been various other people selling from the president of the automotive division jerome to various directors such as kathleen robin another director here so there's been various people selling off and these are all been sales you see sell sell sell sell sales ourselves um so that's just something that you guys need to be aware of and it is quite worrying the only person who actually seems to have been buying at all inside of tesla over the past few months is elon musk of course now these sell-offs are worrying especially those by the cfo who's the chief financial officer and knows the numbers of tesla like the back of his hand but i know this is going to be a controversial subject so i would love to hear your thoughts below so please do comment why do you think these insiders are selling do you think they believe the stock was overvalued let me know in the comments below and also let me know what you're doing personally with your tesla stock and if you don't own tesla are you thinking about buying it are you holding or are you selling so i know what you guys are thinking you're thinking ben what are you doing with tesla stock are you buying and selling are you holding if you guys watch this channel regularly you'll know that one of the unique things about motivation to invest is that i'm very transparent about the positions i hold when i'm buying and even sometimes when i'm selling so if you appreciate this transparency and also this insider trading which i've highlighted then please shows the video to more people now i do have a small stake in tesla which i purchased for an average price of just under 500 per share and on that position i'm up by nearly 300 percent so it's a fantastic position for me and i'm in healthy profit so will i buy more shares well at this current valuation no i'm personally holding back a little bit i'm waiting on the sidelines and watching the action unfold would i buy more on a dip yes potentially potentially have a dollar cost average back into tesla um to increase my position size but not at the current value and i believe that's in line with the insiders that have been selling maybe if the insiders were buying that might convince me otherwise but the fact that the insiders are selling and they are the type of people that tend to know more about the company than anybody on the outside that's a worrying sign so personally i'm holding my current position i'm not selling any of it but i'm also not buying any more of tesla at the moment now i recently did a video on the technical and fundamental analysis for tesla stock and it turns out that many technical analysts think that a correction is coming very soon for tesla so that could be a great opportunity to buy so i'll leave that video on the link below be sure to check that video out it's a really really special video and i'm sure you guys will enjoy it and if you guys w]
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