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Accuracy score+1.8
순 place55
Scored calls1047 calls
Hit rate / Market-adjusted / Return-weighted56.6% / 54.0% / 59.6%
1-month return / Market / beta excess return / Peer excess+2.1% / +1.3% / +0.4
Bullish / Bearish / Neutral44.0% / 17.3% / 38.7%
Best horizon1m
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Updated2026-10-28 07:00:00

Main stocks: #미국기술주 (368)#엔비디아 (328)#S&P500 (283)#나스닥 (187)#테슬라 (170)

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Jim Cramer Reveals the Secret Behind Wednesday’s Market Movements

ERNIE BRAVEBOY · 2023-06-08 · 유튜브 시청 113 · Board Views 7 · International

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저자: JimCramer · 외국인

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결론: 시장은 소수 대형주 중심에서 경기민감주·에너지 등으로 순환(로테이션)되고 있으며, 이후 하락 전환을 대비해 분산투자를 유지해야 한다는 진단. 시장 로테이션: 5월 랠리에서 뒤처졌던 경기민감주로 자금이 이동 중이며, 5월 부진했던 에너지가 이번 주 최고 수익률을 기록. 평균회귀 현상일 수 있다고 봄. S&P500은 소폭 하락했으나 AI가 주도. 기술주: 마이크로소프트 등의 부진은 시장 심리 변화의 신호로 해석. AMD를 매도하고 Palo Alto를 하향 조정. 알파벳과 마이크로소프트는 보유 유지. 분산 포트폴리오: 일부 종목만 믿는 집중 투자는 이번 주 기준으로 아쉬운 선택이었을 것이라고 언급하며 분산 유지의 중요성 강조. 아마존 일부 매도 가능성도 언급. 비유: 야구 타순처럼 모든 종목이 동시에 잘할 수는 없으므로 종목별 등락은 전체 흐름의 일부로 봐야 한다고 설명. 단기 등락: ITW·캐터필러 등 급등은 따라잡기(catch-up)에 불과하며 과정이 끝나면 하락 추세가 예상된다고 봄. 촉매로는 채무한도 합의(debt ceiling)와 5월 고용지표 호조를 꼽았고, 이는 경기침체가 임박하지 않았다는 신호로 해석. 개별 종목: Foot Locker는 바닥을 다지기 시작했으나 아직 투자 적기는 아님. 시장이 충분히 넓어지면 하락 국면이 올 수 있고 그때 다시 과정을 반복할 것이라고 언급. 출연자 전망: 시장 전반은 로테이션 후 하락 가능성을 열어두는 중립~약세 톤.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. welcome back to our Channel if you're enjoying our content and want to show your support we have an exciting offer for you fire join our patreon community for exclusive perks and channel support and the best part we're offering a free 7day trial for new members by subscribing to our patreon you'll gain access to bonus videos behind the scenes content and even the opportunity to participate in live Q&A sessions with our team it's a fantastic way to engage further with our community and get more out of your viewing experience so don't miss out click the link in the description below to join our patreon and take advantage of this exclusive offer welcome back it's time to catch up on what has transpired since our last discussion let's delve into the recent developments starting with the notable reversals seen in Salesforce interestingly this is precisely what we were apprehensive about as we talked earlier this week the winners in the market were bound to face a shift in fortunes and as a result we decided to sell off AMD and a few other stocks it seems we are currently experiencing a significant moment one where we must navigate the waters and merge into alternative stocks discussing rotation undoubtedly these rotations have been quite impactful personally I find it reassuring that we are witnessing a shift towards economically sensitive stocks particularly those that had lagged behind due to the rally in May the SNP while recording a slight decline was primarily driven by artificial intelligence AI one of the sectors that underperformed in May energy unexpectedly emerged as the top performer this week it's quite astonishing to say the least and could potentially indicate a mean reversion phenomenon taking place tech stocks and diversification earlier this week I expressed my concerns about the market broadening its scope as it meant that many technology stocks would need to readjust companies like Microsoft are not down for no reason they declining performance signals a change in Market sentiment this is precisely why we have had to raise Capital perhaps we should have sold some Amazon shares as well it's essential to recognize that battling with stocks is sometimes necessary as they don't all behave in the same manner relying solely on alphabet and Microsoft would have been a brilliant move a few days ago but today it would have been a regrettable decision maintaining a portfolio with diverse Holdings and standing gains is crucial embracing this perspective allows us to navigate the market with calmness understanding that individual stock movements are part of a larger picture the baseball lineup metaphor to illustrate the current situation let's consider a baseball lineup rarely do all nine hitters perform exceptionally well at the same time occasionally the second or third hit hitter must compensate for a Slowdown in the leadoff or cleanup hitter for example Kyle schwarber struggled in the first two months of the season but is now finding his stride in June the same concept applies to the market some stocks have moved excessively While others are catching up however it's important to note that this is not necessarily indicative of a positive trend it's simply a churn lacking any specific reasoning behind it stocks like ITW and caterpillar experiencing sudden Rises are merely playing catchup once this process reaches its conclusion we can anticipate a downward Trend identifying catalysts in our attempt to pinpoint catalysts for these Market shifts we could consider factors such as the death sealing agreement or robust jobs data which showed significant gains in May these positive indicators suggest that a recession is not imminent which may have influenced investors to switch gears specific stock analysis allow me to share some insights on particular stocks Foot Locker for instance has finally started to show signs of bottoming out although it's not yet ready for investment as for our Holdings we have retained alphabet and Microsoft sold AMD and downgraded poo Alto it's worth mentioning that once the market fully broadens we can expect a downturn after which we will restart the process while some may argue that we should be swiftly exiting certain positions if we were running a hedge fund it's important to recognize that our approach is diff thank you for tuning in to today's video if you found it informative and enjoyable please consider subscribing to our Channel by subscribing you'll never miss out on our latest updates and future videos don't forget to hit the notification Bell to stay notified also don't forget to join our patreon community for exclusive perks and to show your support we appreciate each and every one of you see you in the next video

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