저자: LarryJones · 외국인
요약 보기
AI 테마(C3.ai 등) 강세를 설명하며 엔비디아 PE 208을 언급, AI는 단기 거품이나 장기 유망하다고 봄. 개인투자자 자금이 관망 중이라는 리서치 인용. C3.ai 옵션 포지션을 잡아 단기 매매 중이며 실적 발표 전 일부 매도 계획. 비트코인은 25k 부근에서 분할 매수 중이라고 밝힘. 영상 말미에 유료 강좌·무료주식 프로모션 안내.
다듬은 글
Hey, what's up good people? We got a lot to cover today. My name is Larry Jones. For those of you that are new to the page, hit the like, subscribe. Let's talk about AI. Now, I want you to look at um let's look at AI. Uh let's look at Nvidia. As we can see, Nvidia had a massive run. Massive run. It was up to uh 409 earlier today.
I believe it was 409. Uh look at that. 4 418 today and it is still up 3 and 12 uh uh% at the time of recording this. We got about an hour before closing bail. So I'm going to try to get this one up to you ASAP. Right. So uh excuse any um uh mistakes. I'm not going to edit out. So uh let's look at the market right quick.
Dow is down a little bit. So let's go back to Nvidia. So the reason why I wanted to talk about Nvidia is because of AI and how AI is on fire. Look at the PE ratio still 208 on Nvidia. Now a lot of talk is there was a lot of talk out there that says hey and I do believe that AI is in a bubble. I do believe that AI has the overwhelming potential to save us from the depths of a deep recession.
So just remember how I phrase that. But I also believe shortterm that AI is in a bubble, but long-term there are some great plays in AI, especially if you have AI in the name. Having said that, I want you guys to uh listen to this um uh video right now. Listen, I need you to pay attention to this video because we're going to talk about a stock that they discuss in this video.
Okay, here we go. Retail traders appear to be sitting on the sidelines even as the stocks are rallying. Individual investor flows into AI sensitive names have been muted according to research firm Vandra. So why isn't the AI hype driving traders back into the market? Or maybe they will go into the market and fuel another leg higher.
Graca, what do you think? So I think the the retail investors normally like cheaper stocks. They like lower price stocks. They could buy more of of that stock. And if you look at during the meme era of stocks, they were buying a lot of cheap stocks, a lot of heavily shorted stocks. You can't say that now.
Nvidia, no short interest. Nvidia over $300. So I I guess if you look at C3 AI, that's as close to it as you can come. Look at the chart on that one. That looks to me like retail investors have been buying it, selling it, buying it back. Cheaper stock than Nvidia. It has it's in its name is AI, right?
So that one probably tests that that premise right off the bat. Yeah. And so he is absolutely right. I actually talked about C3 AI, ticker symbol AI, this morning on my video. Even if I do a morning live, it's still worth going back and watching it. So, I entered into a position in AI uh C3AI the both the stock and both an option play and I did a call option saying that it will go to 40.
All right. Um and so that's what I did. Now, this video, as you could see, the price of it, this video was made 3 days ago. It was at 32. And he what he said was correct. A lot of people are piling in, but because of what's happened in the past, they're actually swinging it because they understand it's a bubble, but they also understand that the herd is coming and pushing the price up.
Greater food theory. Let's continue. Tickers AI. How much is that ticker worth today, Bonu? What what do you make of this trend? And do you think, you know, it's just a matter of time before retail starts getting in? I mean, the point in the note was also that it was banks doing a lot of the flow inflows into some of these names.
Yeah, I think Steve makes a good a lot makes a lot of good points and I agree with some of them. I I I'm kind of looking at the same thing but from a slightly different lens. So, let's take a look at some of the names that were that were heavily involved in by the retail, right? Tesla, AMC, GameStop, and then Bitcoin.
Tesla's down 50% from its 21 peak from 407 to 197. AMC down from 3640 to 474. GameStop from 81 to 2373 and Bitcoin from 64,000 to just shy of. So, I mean, if you look at the look at the carnage, what do you think that does to the psyche of a retail investor? I mean, a professional investor would be would be taking pain.
It would likely have his uh risk manager tapping him on the shoulder right now. So, I do think there's a certain uh psychological aspect. And then you look at like the housing boom that happened throughout that same period that offers an alternative to where you would be investing those dollars. So you've been burned in this high volatility situation.
You're now able to park your money in a more stable asset and get similar appreciation. And then the last thing is just with the we reopening of the economy and return to offices, we can argue the extent thereof. You just don't have as much time to fixate over how you're going to be trading your portfolio around.
So I think those three dynamics together make it, you know, a bit more challenging for the retail investor to to I I absolutely agree. More people had time in 2020 because no one was at the office, so they had uh time to trade. Now, just like the uh earlier gentleman said, there's a lot of money parked on the sidelines.
So they're getting in and they're getting out right now. I'm going to come back and play the last part of this video. I just don't want to bore you with it. And I'm going just show you some of the things uh one of the lessons that I've learned. I'm going just share it with you. Right. So, here we go.
All right. So, as you could see, um I I I entered into AI. Um I suggested it this on this morning's video and I bought 30 shares. Okay, I bought 30 shares straight out. It's up 31% at the bottom there as you could see. um 30 shares. I'm up 30%. Right. But now I did buy the 30 shares on Friday. Uh I believe it was Friday, but the option plays I entered into this morning.
And as you could see, I'm a momentum trader. So you can see just, you know, I see the volume and I'm going. So now, as you could see, uh in a few hours, I'm up $3,000 30%. Now, it doesn't always end that way because what happened is it cooled off. So, I snapshot that. It cooled off and as you can see, it's now it's heading down.
And for those of you that know me, I am a kind of on earnings. I'm a buy the rumor, sell the news type of guy. The earnings uh I believe is tomorrow for ticker symbol AI. And so what I've learned is this is what I've learned good people when it comes to and I'm going to talk about this more in my class and go more in depth with with the way I do options.
There is there is not one path to wealth. I I promise you. So let's look at this. As you could see, I've noticed a pattern with just about 80% of my options that as you could see in the morning there's a runup and the price for these options is $76, but at the lows you're you're you're you're looking at about uh you know $5 for the price of the options, right?
Or actually even cheaper uh for the price of the options, right? $4 even when you go to the lower uh portions. And as you can see there, the average is $4.85, right? And so, so what is that telling me? Right? So, what I do is just like you, I get it in the morning, I hear something the night before, I hear it in the pre-market.
I was really watching the pre-markets and I'm going, I want to get into this play, right? But I'm thinking the pattern always spikes up like this, Larry. It always shoots up in the morning and then uh um Chicago time around 11 o'clockish the price of the options fall like 80% of the time. But that morning chase is what catches me, right?
I've been caught too many times and I know I'm talking to some of you guys. So when you buy an option then you think it's going to come down and runs up a little bit then you buy another one you buy another one then it drops and you buy and it drops and you buy and you're doing this chase it's just worth waiting sometimes and the ones if 20% of them get away from you but you win 80% then it's it's worth you being patient to get the 80%.
Okay, let me play a little bit more of this video. I hope you got something out of that. I'll be going more in depth in the class. Let's listen. Hey, are you surprised by this guy? I'd agree with what Steve said and Bonoan said. I think that's exactly right. Steve's point about these stocks are expensive on in terms of a price level makes a lot of sense.
And Bonoan's point about these folks getting burned. Look at AMC. Look at where GameStop is. Bitcoin is a great example. on top of which I don't think people have the time necessarily that they had in the peak of COVID when a lot of people might have been home working clearly but had more time on their hands to actually trade stocks.
So I think it's a function of all those things. I don't know if it's a tell necessarily on the market or where we're going but I think it's important to bring up and I think to a certain extent I think we've explained a lot of the reasons why they're not there. So a lot of people he he just reaffirmed what I said earlier.
I don't want to make this video long. So, let's go into where we are today. Let's look at this. Nvidia on today still up another three. Uh, let me refresh it. Another three and a half%. Nvidia still up. Um, uh, AI, look at that on today. 21% 40 bucks, which was my strike strike price. Okay. And I I mentioned AMC this morning.
And the reason I mentioned AMC this morning is because I know that there is 19 more blockbuster issue movies to come out this summer. A I could tell you C3 AI and AMC has one a couple of things in common. They are bleeding money. All right. C3 AAI right now is just like this gentleman said a swing at these prices.
It is a bust company. It's a ghost company. They have no revenue. They have no cash. If we go into a deep recession, they are in huge trouble. But anything with AI in it is running. And so that's why I'm doing this as a short-term play. Now, they could for the first time C3 AI have a great earnings and actually put some numbers on the board which will be bullish in a AI scenario.
So, what I plan on doing is probably selling most at the close of this bail and I'll probably sell three quarters and hold a quarter beyond. Those of you that know me, I like to buy the rumor, sell a news, meaning I buy the rumor that something's going to happen and sell it before the news actually happens.
So, I normally sell before the earnings report, which I believe is to their earnings is I believe it's tomorrow after closing bill. So, we got all of trading day um trading yesterday. Now, let me also bring this up about lessons learned. Okay, let's go right back here. So, as we can see, Bitcoin is at uh 277 at the time of uh recording this, but as you could see here, uh yeah, 277.
As you could see in the last week, it went down to 25. Now, I bought some when it hit the 25. It was like 259ish when it dipped down. Remember, I believe we were together live or something when it went down to to So, what I did was uh I've been accumulating DCAN, but I bought a quarter of a of of a Bitcoin at that price.
So, I'm already up. And so, uh, what's going to happen is if it if it goes down into the 25 24 range again, I'm going to continue to accumulate during this accumulation stage, just like I've been sharing with you guys. But when it dips down, that's when I go in and buy more. For those of you that believe in Bitcoin long term, I look for the red to make the green.
Okay, good people. Hey, I want to tell you guys that you got one day for this. You got one day to get your 20 free stock. If you've downloaded it, uh it's the second link below. Then make sure you deposit a minimum of $100 today. You got one more day to get the 10 or up to 20 free stock worth up to thousands of dollars per stock.
Get the free stuff and use the tools. Okay. And then um you guys know about stock up, of course. You know, all of us are are teaching you for those of you that have been trading short-term and really want to get a better understanding of what you're trading. Stock up you. It will be the top link below in the description.
If you're on your cell phone, just hit the title of this video, okay? Um and we'll go from there. All right, good people. I just wanted to share this with you guys in real time. Get this up and out. Um, I actually took a little time to trade today and um, it is, you know, I can't be in this and not um, actually trade because I'm too busy making videos.
Now, let me show you this. Let me take a picture. So, um, it went back down. AI went back down um as I could I showed you guys to uh you know 18% and now it's back up. So I don't panic when I have a plan and I stick to my plan. But you guys know what else I'm going to say. Stop-loss, stop-loss. Stoploss, right?
Stop loss, stop-loss, stop-loss. Here it is right now in real time. So now I'm back up. I was uh last I looked it was 18%. Now I'm back up to 27%. And what am I going to do with that money? I am going to uh cash it out. If if uh it has a good earnings report, I'm the the regular stock. I'm going to let it ride.
But if it cools off, then I'm going to take the amount of money that I've won in it and some of it I will buy more AI for the long term once it cools off. All right, that is my plan. Anything I say is not suggestion for you to buy, hold, or sell, please leave me a comment. Um, if you've learned anything from this, now there are times when I should have taken profits and didn't and ignore that spike in the morning.
Remember, when you see a pattern, trust the pattern. See how many times it happens and it is showing you it's actually protecting your money against you or from you. I've been there too many times. But you got to take a ruler and spank your own wrist sometimes. All right, good people. Live, love, laugh, and learn. Make sure you check out those links below. We'll see you tomorrow.
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