저자: Just-InvestToday채널진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 현재 시장은 과열 후반부로 보여 유명 투자자들이 신규 대규모 베팅을 자제하고 방어적으로 움직이고 있으며, 3분기에도 이런 흐름이 이어질 것으로 전망. 13F 공시 개요: 2021년 2분기 13F 공시에서 빌 애크먼, 워런 버핏, 스티브 코헨 등 유명 투자자들이 보유 비중을 줄이거나 현상 유지하는 모습. 빌 애크먼: 도미노피자를 약 8% 비중으로 신규 매수했으나 주가가 20~30% 하락했을 때 진입한 것으로 설명. 최대 보유 종목을 15% 축소. 당분간 큰 움직임은 없을 것으로 봄. 워런 버핏: 대형 신규 베팅 없이 보유 종목 원가 기준을 낮추는 등 관망. 현금 약 1400억 달러 보유, 시장이 다소 고평가됐다고 판단한다고 해석. 크로거(식료품): 버핏 관련 매수 언급이 있었으나 진행자는 실제 버핏 매수일 가능성은 낮다고 봄. 진행자 본인은 식료품 업종을 경쟁 과열로 보고 회피. 마이클 배리: 테슬라와 캐시 우드(ARK) 대상 풋옵션 등 약세 베팅, 시장이 대형 버블권이라고 판단하는 것으로 언급. 페이스북·구글 콜옵션 보유. 스티브 코헨 계열: 상위 3개 보유 종목 축소, 마이크론은 10~15% 하락 후 저평가로 보고 추가 매수. 모니시 캐슬리: 기존 3개 종목 유지, 알리바바 추가 매수 가능성. 중국 섹터: 중국 주식이 실제 하락장을 겪으며 마샬 와이즈먼·데이비드 스피어·찰리 멍거 등이 베팅하는 유일한 섹터로 언급. 전망: 시장 전반의 고평가 상태가 이어지는 한 3분기까지 유명 투자자들의 대규모 신규 매수는 제한적일 것이며, 큰 폭락이 발생하면 그때 대규모 매수가 나올 것으로 봄.
다듬은 글
hello everyone welcome to just invest today and today we are talking about the 13f filings that have been recently released q2 guys man in my opinion i feel like everyone is preparing for a market crash everyone is kind of settling down it's almost the end of the year it feels like it almost winter time winter is coming and man i feel like people are just kind of trimming their their main stocks preparing for the worst man from everything i'm reading everything i'm seeing the market rate that's what i'm gonna i've said this like a lot of times but i'm gonna keep repeating it where we are in the market it feels like we're at the almost seventh eighth ninth inning of like the whole market right now so i feel like a lot of these like super investors are preparing the ones that i like the ones that are have actually very long success in this game and the ones the people i follow yeah man they're they're they're struggling to really buy stuff and when i mean buy stuff i mean put a huge bet on a new company guys the these super investors are waiting for the market to turn like there's no debating that like let's go over some people first we're gonna go to bill ackman so bill ackman did purchase uh domino's pizza i think it was the last quarter but guys look how much dom those pizzas had to drop domino's had to drop like 20 30 for him to actually have that that put that like eight percent bet on the stock right so that's what people are waiting for right now like all these super investors are waiting for these moments that the stocks fall that they actually the companies that they respect and want to own for a long time to drop like 40 look he's his top holding bill ackman trimmed off 15 and then every everything else you trimmed off a little bit but like that just shows you like i don't expect bill ackman to make any moves man like i feel like he's done for this year unless something extremely crazy happens in the market where it turns big on it right now we're gonna go to warren buffett and look what warren buffett does he he's staying pat he reduces cost basis on some of these companies and he invested in kroger but i think this is totter um this is probably todd or someone uh probably not buffett because buffett sees this market as more competitive the grocery sphere so i doubt he's in like he's the one going all and then he's the one going all into it um i'm avoiding anything that has to do with groceries i am avoiding like this it's just too competitive man especially since amazon owns whole foods you know amazon what they're gonna do and how they just finesse the system so anything groceries i am not touching but look we know how much money warren buffett has like 140 billion just sitting on the side waiting for a downturn he probably he knows i know for a fact for sure warren buffett thinks the market is probably a little bit overvalued right now maybe not in bubble territory but maybe a little bit overvalued so buffett is gonna stamp out and wait guys and that's what they're doing they're probably adding a little bit of positions here but they're dropping 74 20 48 15 like they're just dropping these companies man and they're just gonna stand pat until the market does something different guys because what i'm seeing is that they're probably expecting a market crash they're trying to expect something to go the opposite way and that's what i'm seeing a lot from these investors right now they're not putting there's no one putting these huge bets on companies because guys as soon as that market turns you are gonna see huge bets on companies and i guarantee you you know michael berry even though he's done a lot we know he does this all the time he adds buys ads by sells off a lot of stuff but you know how pessimistic michael berry is of the market so we don't have to go through there he's betting against tesla he's betting against kathy woods his only call options are like facebook and google right here his major calls and then these he just kind of goes in and out of these like these stocks like here like discover cvs he just goes in and out as he wills but you know he has a very strong view of the market he feels like it's in one of the biggest bubbles so that says a lot because like if michael berry can call that like i said it before like he's gonna he's gonna be seen if he's able to take down cathy and elon because he's calling out he's put huge put options on these companies he might be seen as a god if he gets that right right so who knows uh right now but we can just see how defensive everyone is right now and i still think that's gonna go into quarter three like i saw the thing that's going to the next quarter we're not gonna see a lot of buys man like we're not gonna see a lot of movement a lot of buys everyone's going to be more defensive we got steph clareman man he's reducing his he reduced his top three holdings so but he did add micron he sees micron at the undervalued which micron took like a 10 15 dip and that's what i'm saying man you guys are waiting for these opportunities invested in facebook look at that reduce reduce reduce reduced like playing defensive right now and i see this continuing like tell me if i'm wrong like what do you guys think do you guys think these people are waiting for like a dip do you think people are going to be more offensive like they're going to buy these they're putting a 10 15 bet on these companies like i just don't see that happening and even uh marsha bryant like monash is chilling man he's gonna have these three stocks he's gonna hold them he might be buying more baba and that's what i'm seeing like these the only the only thing i'm seeing is that a lot of these super investors like monish like guy spear um charlie monger guys like the chinese sector is in a market crash so that's why you see a lot of these companies getting picked up because that's the only sector that they see that's in an actual market decline which makes sense since why they're putting 10 bets 20 bets like that's when you want to put those huge bets down when you know the market is going through turmoil or a certain sector's going through turmoil so that's what you're seeing in the market right now marshall bryce the guy spears the greg alexanders the the ray dalios those people of the world they're putting these bets on the chinese equities because they understand like that's the only sector going through a crash that's the only sector that that pretty much corrected itself so that's what i'm seeing from this quarter guys i think this is continuing this is going to continue throughout this year unless we see something dramatic happen in the market because in general i think the market is like more out of its overvalued state like in the middle of an overvalued state so even though we don't look for that we're looking for individual companies we kind of ignore the market but even individual companies are not that we respect that we understand and like like they're not going through turmoil right now they're still going very strong companies that we enjoy and we like that we know are profitable right so tell me what you guys think do you expect you expect them to invest when there's another market crash do you expect the market crash to happen this year maybe next year do you expect them to put a 10 bet in this market now there's so many questions tell me what you guys think guys if you like this video like it subscribe to my channel and get back to you in the next video peace
Comments 0