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hey everyone coach investor back to our video for today so it seems like Messi's transfer to inter Miami has really shaken up the financial world because it has come to a point where palantir is being compared to Messi in this case palantir is the Messi of AI pretty interesting it's a note and initiation and a price Target to 25 dollars by then eyes pretty popular in the Tesla Community as well he follows a lot of tech companies yes he did have some good calls but he also does Chase trends no what am I talking about well it's not the first time he mentions an athlete when he initiates a price Target and coverage of a company for example c3ai and this is by the way January 4th 2021.
the LeBron of AI is setting up for massive growth initiating with outperform and 200 price Target now you might say 200 priced Target doesn't make any sense well it does make sense when the price of the stock was 138 dollars of course since then the stock price has crashed radio silent then Dai hype started to get more attention more attention stock went back up and now he has a 50 price target for c3ai says here we believe C3 has turned a corner and is ready to now capitulate on the 800 billion dollar AI transformational opportunities over the next decade front and center interesting right we aren't stopping there rivian when that was all the hype guess what the price Target was then 130 dollars price Target so we are initiating coverage of Riven we do not perform rating any 130 dollars price Target Riven Automotive is a stalworth EV startup focusing on redefining the sports utility vehicles with their Innovative r1s and r1t models Riven is the cat bird seed around EV pickups and SUVs guess what happened next the stock price crashed radio silence now when the stock has gone back up a little bit and suddenly there is a bit of momentum there you guessed it we believe after a number of one step forward two steps back excuses for rivion and supply chain headaches the company is finally making a major turn towards executing on its long-term business model definitely has nothing to do with the price of the stock demand firm for the company's unique EV model lineup price Target 30 dollars now with regards to palantir this is not the first time that Dan knives talks about penalty but this is the first time that he puts a price Target on that stock now for example in April 8 2021 he did talk with Insider under this article the headline 42 billion dollars panettier's new 90 million dollars contract to help with safety and America's nuclear weapons branch is key to a crucial initiative to expand its business Beyond defense contracts then earlier this year this is a tweet by palantir Chad whitebush analyst Dan Ives was on CNBC talking about the AI arms race palantir is in the right place at the right time they could significantly benefit from this environment where Enterprises want to spend on AI palantir have that secret sauce and is now expanding it's a huge step forward for its Story the stock price back then was around seven to eight dollars or so why not start coverage there well not a lot of hype not a lot of momentum in that stock now that the stock price has more than doubled we are initiating coverage on palantir with an outperform rating and a 25 price Target in a nutshell We Believe palantir has built an AI Fortress that is unmatched and poised to be a major player in this AI Revolution over the next decade planetary points to be a key AI player now for those of you in the Tesla Community we have some mixed feelings when it comes to Diana eyes remember late last year with all the Twitter controversy the stock price crashing 60 percent in a month or two or so suddenly price Target changes to the downside what changes to your business nothing nothing at all besides the stock price going down guess what happened when the stock price went back up huh price Target went back up again some analysts do these things they chase the trends new price targets stock price goes up so their price Target goes up as well stock price goes down price Target goes down as well why is that well they need to follow the actual stock price and also they get to be on TV it's a good Market instant in my opinion now with regards to palantir and his valuation of penalty how does it get to 25 dollars right we're going to go over a couple of things from his note not all of it because I don't want this video to be taken down but it's going to be interesting but overall this is palantir today year to date 177 percent return in the last three months 129 if you look at analyst estimates the growth for sales and EPS for fiscal year 2023 this is expected to be close to 16 growth EPS 256.7 percent for fiscal year 2024 19 growth for sales and 21 growth for EPs and then fiscala 2025 21.4 growth and close to 30 growth in earnings per share so quite nice there now currently valuation wise of course if you just look at a PE ratio 77.8 times not very cheap and if you want to reach 25 it's not getting cheaper either but his valuation model might explain how reached that price or does it so let's start here palantir technology is the messy of AI on the golden trend to success so we are initiating coverage on palantir with an outperform rating and a 25 price Target in a nutshell We Believe palantir has built an AI Fortress that is unmatched and poised to be a major player in this AI Revolution over the next decade so the secret sauce of palantir focusing on human driven analysis by leveraging artificial intelligence planetary builds intelligence platform for data management and security that enable users to address intricate questions without the need for statistical or computational expertise the company Works closely with customers to deploy products optimize workflows and produce operational results quickly while incorporating privacy protective features the company's mission of addressing critical problems faced by institutions across a variety of Industries and Powers data-driven decision making in an environment where large data sets are exposed to significant privacy and silver liberty risks okay we know this no let's dive a bit deeper so here to talk a bit about the different use cases by product so the AIP then Foundry Gotham and Apollo I'm not going to go over all of this but it's there if you want to read that and so we have to talk about this part right here while palantir lacks direct competition on a government level the company is competing with organizations on the Enterprise side such as Salesforce which is incorporating AI models into existing products such as Tableau and C3 dot ai's Enterprise AI platform however Tableau specializes in visualization connecting to various smaller databases for users to see and understand Enterprise data while penalty Foundry focuses on a larger and more complex data sets removing the barriers between back-end data management and front-end data analysis for organizations to leverage the true power of its data brings for operations productivity and now again although C3 dot AI is seen as a major competitor to paneteer by absolutely nobody C3 targets smaller deal sizes for customers due to its consumption based pricing model while parenting provides opportunities for small to large customers due to carp's Mission to take the whole Market with both SAS and consumption-based sales model given flexibility to contract companies of various size across industries by the way if you enjoy this type of videos leave it a thumbs up subscribe if you have not would really appreciate that and now evaluation so how do they reach the 25 dollar price Target so they say here our 25 price Target represents and here it comes 10 times our fiscal year 27 Revenue estimates of 5 billion dollars at our bull case scenario I'll read this again 10x the fiscal year 2027 revenue or sales estimates of 5 billion dollars that's it no EPS no free cash flow nothing about that by the way you will see later down in the table that their models actually stop at fiscal year 2025 so yeah unless I'm missing a page or something I I can't understand this so after modeling a bull base and bear case scenario analysis we believe the stock can continue to re-rate and trade well above its software peer groups over time as planeteer continues to expand and capitalize on this AI revolutionary period And I agree I agree right the next earnings report can certainly surprise the whole market and so the stock price jump will be justified We Believe palantir has a generational opportunity to gain a significant share in what will be a 800 billion dollars total addressable Market with an unlimited number of AI applications redefined business processes across verticals currently the company trades at 12 and a half times 2024 estimates sitting above its peers of which most are just starting to take the first small step into integrating AI into its product base this is where we believe volunteer is ahead of the game is well positioned to grow for the next three years hitting Top Line metrics and accelerating growth by capturing more market share in both the commercial and the defense space and so I'll try and zoom on this thing here as much as possible you can pause the screen and then look at the numbers yourself but to me you're talking about fiscal year 2027 10 times sales there but here we only get up until fiscal year 2025 the estimates there it just it doesn't make any sense and also 25 price Target and you're only basing this on 10 times sales for 2027 to me it just doesn't make any sense and again it smells like chasing a trend now look before you start roasting me in the comments I'm still apparent to your shareholder I still have a lot of money in that stock but let's be honest here it's nice to get a little bit of momentum yes the stock price jumped on this price Target on this coverage but where were all these people when the price was seven eight nine ten dollars where were they because we already saw some things moving with the business not a lot but some things were moving already where are those people it's always dangerous when suddenly the stock has jumped a lot and suddenly there's a lot of momentum in the media right A lot of people talking positively about this company about the stock analyst suddenly jumping in I'll say this again and I talked with Arnie as well Arnie investing great follow on Twitter sub stack and YouTube we said the same thing it's great to have an extra analyst covering palantir that way you get an extra view whether it's bullish or bearish doesn't matter but right now since there is a lot of bullish momentum here sometimes unwarranted sometimes warranted I think it's time to be extremely careful that said it could very well reach 25 dollars I don't know when but the business itself not just sales but earnings and free cash flow need to grow as well basing your price target for the next 6 to 12 months on fiscal year 27 sales to me is extremely weak and by the way if we look at the graph right now since May the stock is up 126 percent if you look at RSI yes we are currently overbought on a weekly chart and I probably think on a daily chart as well macd is still extremely bullish there earnings are coming up it's going to be extremely important because a little Miss and you can basically guarantee a crash a hit and erase well I think it's going to get very interesting of course we'll cover the earnings report on this channel so if you enjoy this type of videos make sure to hit that Thumbs Up Button subscribe if not do share your thoughts down in the comments below as well and I'll see you all in the next one bye
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